North Florida
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.3#347
Expected Predictive Rating-17.5#353
Pace78.5#20
Improvement+0.1#168

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#233
First Shot-1.6#216
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#236
Layup/Dunks-4.9#332
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#192
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.6#13
Freethrows-4.0#353
Improvement+0.9#102

Defense
Total Defense-9.9#365
First Shot-6.3#349
After Offensive Rebounds-3.6#358
Layups/Dunks-5.3#341
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#220
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#227
Freethrows+0.2#168
Improvement-0.8#244
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 8.6% 22.2% 6.8%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 37.6% 20.1% 39.8%
First Four0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Austin Peay (Away) - 11.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 70 - 12
Quad 45 - 125 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 14 @Florida L 64-104 1%     0 - 1 -19.1 -5.8 -8.3
  Wed, Nov 12 15 @Tennessee L 66-99 1%     0 - 2 -12.4 -1.1 -8.8
  Wed, Nov 19 220 @Wofford L 78-86 14%     0 - 3 -8.7 +1.8 -10.1
  Sat, Nov 22 208 Southern Miss L 83-92 20%     0 - 4 -12.2 +6.8 -18.8
  Sun, Nov 23 320 Prairie View L 82-85 40%     0 - 5 -12.6 +1.4 -13.8
  Tue, Dec 2 252 SIU Edwardsville L 63-72 34%     0 - 6 -17.1 -6.2 -11.5
  Sun, Dec 7 5 @Gonzaga L 58-109 0.3%    0 - 7 -26.0 -9.7 -11.5
  Sat, Dec 13 67 @Dayton L 61-84 3%     0 - 8 -11.9 -3.9 -8.3
  Thu, Dec 18 216 @Charleston Southern L 90-113 14%     0 - 9 -23.5 +6.3 -26.9
  Sun, Dec 21 35 @Miami (FL) L 67-105 1%     0 - 10 -21.7 -2.0 -17.1
  Sun, Dec 28 142 Columbia L 82-90 17%     0 - 11 -10.0 +5.9 -15.7
  Thu, Jan 1 197 @Austin Peay L 73-86 11%    
  Sat, Jan 3 154 @Lipscomb L 76-92 7%    
  Thu, Jan 8 315 West Georgia L 82-83 49%    
  Sat, Jan 10 233 Queens L 86-91 31%    
  Thu, Jan 15 246 @North Alabama L 74-85 17%    
  Sat, Jan 17 281 @Central Arkansas L 77-86 21%    
  Thu, Jan 22 255 Eastern Kentucky L 81-85 36%    
  Sat, Jan 24 268 Bellarmine L 82-85 38%    
  Thu, Jan 29 349 Stetson W 83-80 61%    
  Sat, Jan 31 154 Lipscomb L 79-89 19%    
  Thu, Feb 5 315 @West Georgia L 80-86 28%    
  Sat, Feb 7 233 @Queens L 83-94 15%    
  Wed, Feb 11 186 @Florida Gulf Coast L 79-92 11%    
  Sat, Feb 14 317 @Jacksonville L 75-81 29%    
  Thu, Feb 19 197 Austin Peay L 76-83 27%    
  Sat, Feb 21 349 @Stetson L 80-83 41%    
  Thu, Feb 26 186 Florida Gulf Coast L 82-89 25%    
  Sat, Feb 28 317 Jacksonville L 78-79 50%    
Projected Record 5 - 24 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 1.4 4th
5th 0.2 1.2 1.0 0.2 2.5 5th
6th 0.2 1.3 1.8 0.5 0.0 3.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.2 1.1 0.0 5.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.5 2.4 0.2 0.0 8.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.6 4.0 0.5 0.0 12.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.6 6.6 5.6 1.2 0.0 16.4 10th
11th 0.1 1.0 4.4 8.8 6.5 1.5 0.1 22.2 11th
12th 0.8 3.5 7.1 8.1 4.8 1.3 0.1 0.0 25.7 12th
Total 0.8 3.6 8.0 12.8 16.4 16.6 14.5 11.2 7.6 4.3 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 43.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 8.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.2% 10.5% 10.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.5% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4
11-7 1.1% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 1.1
10-8 2.4% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 2.4
9-9 4.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 4.3
8-10 7.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.6
7-11 11.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.2
6-12 14.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.5
5-13 16.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.6
4-14 16.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.4
3-15 12.8% 12.8
2-16 8.0% 8.0
1-17 3.6% 3.6
0-18 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.8%