New Mexico
Mountain West
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#201
Expected Predictive Rating+3.1#133
Pace81.4#5
Improvement+0.3#150

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#130
First Shot+3.2#92
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#278
Layup/Dunks-0.2#176
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#108
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#179
Freethrows+2.7#34
Improvement-0.1#195

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#278
First Shot-5.0#317
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#73
Layups/Dunks-0.7#213
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#208
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#205
Freethrows-3.3#333
Improvement+0.4#137
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.2 13.6
.500 or above 23.2% 35.4% 15.6%
.500 or above in Conference 14.7% 19.9% 11.5%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 16.3% 12.8% 18.4%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Mexico St. (Home) - 38.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 22 - 62 - 11
Quad 34 - 66 - 16
Quad 47 - 213 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 221   Florida Atlantic W 99-92 64%     1 - 0 +1.5 +11.4 -10.6
  Nov 13, 2021 75   @ Colorado L 76-87 14%     1 - 1 -1.1 +0.1 -0.3
  Nov 15, 2021 324   Grambling St. W 86-61 84%     2 - 1 +12.7 +0.0 +10.0
  Nov 20, 2021 181   Montana St. W 81-78 58%     3 - 1 -1.0 +1.0 -2.1
  Nov 25, 2021 51   UAB L 73-86 16%     3 - 2 -4.2 +0.0 -3.3
  Nov 26, 2021 164   Towson L 58-73 42%     3 - 3 -14.8 -10.4 -5.7
  Nov 30, 2021 102   @ New Mexico St. W 101-94 19%     4 - 3 +14.3 +16.5 -3.0
  Dec 06, 2021 102   New Mexico St. L 77-80 38%    
  Dec 09, 2021 326   Denver W 83-72 86%    
  Dec 12, 2021 162   UTEP W 75-74 53%    
  Dec 19, 2021 99   SMU L 79-83 37%    
  Dec 21, 2021 250   Norfolk St. W 83-77 71%    
  Dec 28, 2021 42   Colorado St. L 79-88 19%    
  Jan 01, 2022 92   @ Nevada L 78-89 17%    
  Jan 08, 2022 46   Utah St. L 75-83 22%    
  Jan 11, 2022 147   @ UNLV L 72-78 28%    
  Jan 15, 2022 48   San Diego St. L 68-76 22%    
  Jan 19, 2022 42   @ Colorado St. L 76-91 8%    
  Jan 22, 2022 84   @ Wyoming L 74-85 17%    
  Jan 25, 2022 129   Fresno St. L 73-74 45%    
  Jan 28, 2022 280   San Jose St. W 81-74 74%    
  Jan 31, 2022 48   @ San Diego St. L 65-79 10%    
  Feb 05, 2022 256   @ Air Force W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 08, 2022 79   Boise St. L 71-77 31%    
  Feb 15, 2022 84   Wyoming L 77-82 31%    
  Feb 19, 2022 280   @ San Jose St. W 78-77 55%    
  Feb 22, 2022 46   @ Utah St. L 72-86 9%    
  Feb 26, 2022 256   Air Force W 74-67 73%    
  Mar 01, 2022 129   @ Fresno St. L 70-77 26%    
  Mar 05, 2022 147   UNLV L 74-75 48%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.5 3rd
4th 0.2 0.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 2.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.0 1.9 0.4 4.6 5th
6th 0.7 3.1 3.2 0.9 0.0 7.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 4.4 4.5 1.4 0.1 11.8 7th
8th 0.2 2.5 7.1 6.3 2.2 0.1 18.4 8th
9th 0.9 5.4 9.7 6.9 2.0 0.2 25.0 9th
10th 0.0 1.9 5.5 6.9 3.4 0.7 0.1 18.4 10th
11th 0.6 1.7 3.2 2.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 9.2 11th
Total 0.6 1.8 5.0 8.9 13.4 15.7 16.2 13.4 10.3 6.8 4.0 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 90.9% 0.0    0.0
14-4 67.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 37.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 1.5% 1.5% 10.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.3% 18.6% 12.2% 6.4% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 7.3%
12-6 1.0% 4.3% 4.3% 11.9 0.0 0.0 1.0
11-7 2.4% 2.5% 2.5% 12.3 0.0 0.0 2.3
10-8 4.0% 1.1% 1.1% 12.1 0.0 0.0 4.0
9-9 6.8% 0.7% 0.7% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.8
8-10 10.3% 0.8% 0.8% 14.3 0.1 0.0 10.2
7-11 13.4% 0.5% 0.5% 14.7 0.0 0.0 13.3
6-12 16.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.1 0.0 0.0 16.1
5-13 15.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.7
4-14 13.4% 13.4
3-15 8.9% 8.9
2-16 5.0% 5.0
1-17 1.8% 1.8
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.6 0.0%