Texas A&M
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +15.6 #27
Expected Predictive Rating +15.9 #31
Pace 76.8 #22
Improvement +7.0 #7

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #27 A- C+ B- B B+
Defense #32 C+ B B+ C+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #109 1.25 #82 +3.4 #72
2 Pt. Jumpers 9% #351 0.90 #37 -3.7 #343
Three Pointers 50% #30 1.14 #27 +7.4 #14
1st FG Attempt 1.16 #22 +7.2 #22
Freethrows 0.34 #86 76% #45 0.26 #55
Second Chance 33.4% #102 1.02 #183 0.34 #114
Turnovers 15.0% #67
Total Offense +9.0 #27

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #301 1.07 #73 +3.9 #59
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #156 0.77 #199 -0.3 #211
Three Pointers 44% #78 1.02 #196 -1.9 #276
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #124 +1.7 #124
Freethrows 0.29 #141 72% #161 0.21 #131
Second Chance 28.5% #97 0.91 #41 0.26 #54
Turnovers 20.4% #28
Total Defense +6.7 #32

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 3.3% #17 -0.7% #107
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 10.3% #35 -2.6% #128
Possession Length 14.7 #11 17.7 #257
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 #81 0.15 #101
Improvement +4.1 #23 +2.9 #42

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 7.0% 12.1% 3.9%
Top 6 Seed 32.7% 47.4% 23.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 95.4% 98.6% 93.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 95.0% 98.4% 93.0%
Average Seed 7.2 6.5 7.6
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 98.9% 99.9% 98.4%
Conference Champion 17.9% 35.5% 7.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.9% 0.4% 2.8%
First Round94.6% 98.4% 92.3%
Second Round60.6% 67.7% 56.4%
Sweet Sixteen19.9% 25.0% 16.9%
Elite Eight7.5% 8.9% 6.6%
Final Four2.8% 3.4% 2.5%
Championship Game1.0% 1.4% 0.7%
National Champion0.3% 0.6% 0.1%

Next Game: Florida (Home) - 37.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 54 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 36 - 8
Quad 25 - 211 - 10
Quad 35 - 016 - 10
Quad 47 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 284 Northwestern St. W 98 - 68 98% +19  1 - 0 +20 +12 C- B- B- +6 B- C+ B+
 Thu, Nov 6 311 Texas Southern W 104 - 70 99% +12  2 - 0 +22 +15 A- C A+ +4 F+ C A+
 Sun, Nov 9 51 @Oklahoma St. L 63 - 87 59% -14  2 - 1 -11 -7 F D D -2 C+ B- D
 Fri, Nov 14 47 Central Florida L 74 - 86 76% +2  2 - 2 -4 -1 F+ A C- -2 F A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 155 Montana W 86 - 81 95% +10  3 - 2 +2 +13 A+ F B- -11 F A- C
 Fri, Nov 21 328 Manhattan W 109 - 68 99% +21  4 - 2 +28 +20 A+ D A+ +5 D- A+ A
 Tue, Nov 25 365 Mississippi Valley W 120 - 84 100% +20  5 - 2 +9 +15 B C+ B -12 F D A+
 Fri, Nov 28 101 Florida St. W 95 - 59 85% +22  6 - 2 +41 +17 A+ A C +21 A+ B+ A+
 Tue, Dec 2 93 @Pittsburgh W 81 - 73 74% +4  7 - 2 +17 +19 B- A A- -1 C+ F+ C
 Sun, Dec 7 39 SMU L 80 - 93 OT 58% -5  7 - 3 +0 -3 C C- C +6 A+ D D+
 Sun, Dec 14 297 Jacksonville W 112 - 75 98% +24  8 - 3 +26 +26 A+ A+ C -3 F A A+
 Sun, Dec 21 307 East Texas A&M W 118 - 77 99% +22  9 - 3 +29 +22 A+ A+ C+ +0 A- C+ C
 Mon, Dec 29 338 Prairie View W 111 - 82 99% +22  10 - 3 +14 +11 B C+ B+ -2 C+ F B-
 Sat, Jan 3 48 LSU W 75 - 72 76% +4  11 - 3 1 - 0 +11 +2 B+ D+ F +9 B+ A- A+
 Tue, Jan 6 28 @Auburn W 90 - 88 39% -0  12 - 3 2 - 0 +21 +20 A+ A+ C +1 A- F A-
 Sat, Jan 10 57 Oklahoma W 83 - 76 81% +1  13 - 3 3 - 0 +13 +10 B F+ A+ +3 B D A+
 Tue, Jan 13 15 @Tennessee L 82 - 87 2OT 31% +3  13 - 4 3 - 1 +16 +7 B+ F+ B +10 A+ B A-
 Sat, Jan 17 30 @Texas W 74 - 70 42% +3  14 - 4 4 - 1 +22 +15 A- B- A+ +7 A- A+ D
 Wed, Jan 21 76 Mississippi St. W 88 - 68 85% +10  15 - 4 5 - 1 +25 +18 B C A+ +6 C- A+ B
 Sat, Jan 24 87 South Carolina W 92 - 69 88% +15  16 - 4 6 - 1 +26 +21 A+ A- B +5 A- A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 31 35 @Georgia W 92 - 77 44% +11  17 - 4 7 - 1 +32 +18 A+ B+ B- +12 A+ A D+
 Wed, Feb 4 20 @Alabama L 97 - 100 33% -0  17 - 5 7 - 2 +17 +20 A+ C A+ -3 C+ A- F
 Sat, Feb 7 7 Florida L 80 - 83 38%
 Wed, Feb 11 54 Missouri W 85 - 77 79%
 Sat, Feb 14 12 @Vanderbilt L 80 - 86 29%
 Wed, Feb 18 60 Mississippi W 82 - 72 82%
 Sat, Feb 21 57 @Oklahoma W 83 - 80 62%
 Wed, Feb 25 24 @Arkansas L 85 - 89 37%
 Sat, Feb 28 30 Texas W 85 - 81 65%
 Tue, Mar 3 26 Kentucky W 82 - 79 60%
 Sat, Mar 7 48 @LSU W 82 - 81 56%
Totals 22 - 9 12 - 6 +16 +9 A- C+ B- +7 C+ B B+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 4.5 8.5 3.9 0.6 17.9 1st
2nd 0.0 3.2 11.7 4.2 0.2 19.3 2nd
3rd 0.9 9.2 5.7 0.4 16.3 3rd
4th 0.1 4.4 9.0 0.7 14.2 4th
5th 0.8 8.6 2.4 11.8 5th
6th 0.0 3.5 4.7 0.2 8.4 6th
7th 0.4 4.0 1.0 5.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 1.8 0.1 3.7 8th
9th 0.2 1.3 0.4 1.9 9th
10th 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.3 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 0.0 1.1 3.9 10.6 19.7 24.3 22.6 13.1 4.1 0.6 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.6    0.6
15-3 96.3% 3.9    2.9 1.0
14-4 64.8% 8.5    3.2 3.9 1.3 0.1
13-5 20.1% 4.5    0.3 1.3 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 17.9% 17.9 7.0 6.2 3.0 1.2 0.3 0.2



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.6% 100.0% 13.3% 86.7% 3.7 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
15-3 4.1% 100.0% 12.6% 87.4% 4.4 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.1 100.0%
14-4 13.1% 99.9% 7.7% 92.2% 5.6 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.5 4.2 2.6 0.4 0.0 99.9%
13-5 22.6% 99.6% 9.6% 90.0% 6.4 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.4 5.5 7.3 3.1 0.7 0.1 0.1 99.6%
12-6 24.3% 98.5% 7.0% 91.5% 7.4 0.0 0.4 1.3 3.5 7.1 7.2 3.5 0.9 0.4 98.4%
11-7 19.7% 95.3% 3.2% 92.1% 8.2 0.3 1.1 3.5 5.9 5.4 2.5 0.2 0.9 95.2%
10-8 10.6% 84.8% 1.8% 83.1% 9.2 0.1 0.5 1.7 3.1 2.7 0.9 1.6 84.6%
9-9 3.9% 74.6% 0.3% 74.4% 9.8 0.4 0.6 1.2 0.7 1.0 74.5%
8-10 1.1% 36.2% 2.9% 33.3% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 34.3%
7-11 0.0% 0.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 95.4% 6.4% 89.0% 7.2 4.6 95.0%