Texas A&M
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.2#56
Expected Predictive Rating+6.9#82
Pace69.0#173
Improvement-0.2#199

Offense
Total Offense+6.5#34
First Shot+4.6#56
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#73
Layup/Dunks+3.4#71
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#317
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#209
Freethrows+5.0#7
Improvement+0.1#68

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#97
First Shot+2.1#112
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#155
Layups/Dunks+6.4#15
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#8
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#285
Freethrows-4.5#351
Improvement-0.3#319
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.4% 2.2% 0.5%
Top 6 Seed 5.2% 7.9% 2.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 33.9% 42.8% 23.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 31.5% 40.5% 21.4%
Average Seed 8.7 8.4 9.2
.500 or above 76.1% 86.0% 65.0%
.500 or above in Conference 45.8% 51.7% 39.3%
Conference Champion 1.6% 2.1% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 1.4% 3.3%
First Four4.6% 5.2% 4.0%
First Round31.6% 40.2% 21.8%
Second Round15.3% 20.1% 9.9%
Sweet Sixteen4.7% 6.6% 2.4%
Elite Eight1.5% 2.2% 0.8%
Final Four0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Boise St. (Neutral) - 52.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 9
Quad 23 - 37 - 12
Quad 34 - 111 - 13
Quad 46 - 018 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 316   Louisiana Monroe W 87-54 97%     1 - 0 +20.8 +0.6 +17.2
  Nov 11, 2022 226   Abilene Christian W 77-58 92%     2 - 0 +12.5 +3.4 +9.5
  Nov 17, 2022 98   Murray St. L 79-88 66%     2 - 1 -4.0 +3.3 -6.7
  Nov 18, 2022 44   Colorado L 75-103 47%     2 - 2 -17.9 +6.1 -23.4
  Nov 20, 2022 171   Loyola Chicago W 67-51 81%     3 - 2 +15.9 +3.7 +13.9
  Nov 25, 2022 117   @ DePaul W 82-66 59%     4 - 2 +22.8 +9.3 +13.1
  Nov 30, 2022 155   SMU W 83-64 85%     5 - 2 +16.9 +11.1 +5.7
  Dec 03, 2022 61   Boise St. W 66-65 53%    
  Dec 11, 2022 217   Oregon St. W 77-62 92%    
  Dec 17, 2022 30   @ Memphis L 69-76 27%    
  Dec 20, 2022 162   Wofford W 79-67 86%    
  Dec 27, 2022 282   Northwestern St. W 80-62 95%    
  Dec 30, 2022 259   Prairie View W 81-64 94%    
  Jan 04, 2023 67   @ Florida L 75-77 43%    
  Jan 07, 2023 62   LSU W 74-70 64%    
  Jan 11, 2023 48   Missouri W 83-81 59%    
  Jan 14, 2023 232   @ South Carolina W 74-64 82%    
  Jan 18, 2023 67   Florida W 78-74 65%    
  Jan 21, 2023 17   @ Kentucky L 68-77 20%    
  Jan 25, 2023 29   @ Auburn L 67-74 27%    
  Jan 28, 2023 88   Vanderbilt W 76-70 71%    
  Jan 31, 2023 15   @ Arkansas L 68-78 18%    
  Feb 04, 2023 123   Georgia W 74-65 79%    
  Feb 07, 2023 29   Auburn L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 11, 2023 62   @ LSU L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 15, 2023 15   Arkansas L 71-75 36%    
  Feb 18, 2023 48   @ Missouri L 80-84 38%    
  Feb 21, 2023 5   Tennessee L 65-71 29%    
  Feb 25, 2023 28   @ Mississippi St. L 61-68 28%    
  Feb 28, 2023 64   @ Mississippi L 69-71 43%    
  Mar 04, 2023 13   Alabama L 74-78 35%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 2.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 4.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.0 2.3 0.3 0.0 6.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.2 3.6 0.7 0.0 8.1 5th
6th 0.3 2.9 4.8 1.4 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 0.1 2.2 5.7 2.3 0.2 10.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.5 5.5 3.6 0.4 11.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.9 4.6 4.7 0.8 0.0 11.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.6 4.9 1.5 0.0 10.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.6 1.9 0.1 9.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 7.9 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.8 1.0 0.2 4.9 13th
14th 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 14th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.2 4.5 7.7 11.1 13.3 14.2 13.7 11.4 9.0 5.9 3.2 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
16-2 82.6% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 67.3% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
14-4 33.9% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 7.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 4.0% 96.0% 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.2% 100.0% 11.0% 89.0% 3.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.7% 100.0% 13.9% 86.1% 4.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.8% 100.0% 10.3% 89.7% 5.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 3.2% 98.3% 5.6% 92.6% 6.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 98.2%
12-6 5.9% 93.9% 7.2% 86.7% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.6 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 93.4%
11-7 9.0% 82.9% 5.0% 77.9% 8.6 0.1 0.2 1.1 2.1 2.2 1.4 0.4 0.0 1.5 82.0%
10-8 11.4% 64.7% 4.6% 60.1% 9.5 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.0 2.2 1.4 0.2 4.0 63.0%
9-9 13.7% 37.8% 4.0% 33.9% 10.2 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.6 1.8 0.5 0.0 8.5 35.2%
8-10 14.2% 12.0% 2.8% 9.2% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.5 9.4%
7-11 13.3% 3.6% 2.4% 1.1% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.9 1.2%
6-12 11.1% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.9 0.0%
5-13 7.7% 1.3% 1.3% 15.7 0.0 0.1 7.5
4-14 4.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.5
3-15 2.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.2
2-16 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 33.9% 3.5% 30.4% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.3 4.2 5.8 6.3 5.9 4.5 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 66.1 31.5%