Rice
Conference USA
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.1#184
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#216
Pace71.5#115
Improvement-2.7#338

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#93
First Shot+1.7#130
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#84
Layup/Dunks-2.8#270
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#259
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.0#16
Freethrows-1.0#242
Improvement-0.3#215

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#308
First Shot-4.9#314
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#140
Layups/Dunks-2.2#255
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#330
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#223
Freethrows+1.3#108
Improvement-2.4#341
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 2.7% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 14.1 14.9
.500 or above 44.8% 47.8% 24.6%
.500 or above in Conference 45.0% 46.3% 36.5%
Conference Champion 1.8% 2.0% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 5.8% 5.2% 10.3%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round2.5% 2.7% 1.4%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston Baptist (Away) - 87.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 33 - 64 - 12
Quad 411 - 315 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 235   Pepperdine W 82-63 71%     1 - 0 +12.3 +1.7 +9.4
  Nov 12, 2021 7   @ Houston L 46-79 3%     1 - 1 -12.4 -12.6 -2.2
  Nov 16, 2021 292   Southern W 81-63 80%     2 - 1 +7.9 -3.1 +9.3
  Nov 19, 2021 285   @ New Orleans W 83-78 59%     3 - 1 +1.5 +5.1 -3.7
  Nov 22, 2021 245   Evansville W 109-104 3OT 62%     4 - 1 +0.6 +12.2 -12.6
  Nov 23, 2021 124   Oakland L 73-76 35%     4 - 2 -0.2 +4.0 -4.2
  Nov 24, 2021 246   Fordham L 74-84 63%     4 - 3 -14.6 -0.9 -13.2
  Nov 30, 2021 138   Texas St. L 69-80 50%     4 - 4 -12.0 -6.3 -5.4
  Dec 11, 2021 353   @ Houston Baptist W 84-72 87%    
  Dec 16, 2021 350   Incarnate Word W 84-67 94%    
  Dec 22, 2021 11   @ Texas L 60-80 3%    
  Jan 01, 2022 108   @ North Texas L 63-71 23%    
  Jan 06, 2022 183   Middle Tennessee W 76-73 61%    
  Jan 08, 2022 51   UAB L 72-79 27%    
  Jan 13, 2022 126   @ Western Kentucky L 74-81 28%    
  Jan 15, 2022 114   @ Marshall L 81-88 25%    
  Jan 20, 2022 228   Old Dominion W 72-67 67%    
  Jan 22, 2022 223   Charlotte W 74-69 67%    
  Jan 27, 2022 109   @ Louisiana Tech L 75-83 23%    
  Jan 29, 2022 247   @ Southern Miss W 73-72 52%    
  Feb 03, 2022 300   Texas San Antonio W 84-75 79%    
  Feb 05, 2022 162   UTEP W 73-71 56%    
  Feb 12, 2022 108   North Texas L 66-68 42%    
  Feb 17, 2022 51   @ UAB L 69-82 13%    
  Feb 19, 2022 226   @ Florida International L 71-72 46%    
  Feb 24, 2022 109   Louisiana Tech L 78-80 42%    
  Feb 26, 2022 247   Southern Miss W 76-69 73%    
  Mar 03, 2022 162   @ UTEP L 70-74 35%    
  Mar 05, 2022 300   @ Texas San Antonio W 81-78 62%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.6 0.9 0.2 3.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 2.0 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 3.3 1.9 0.1 0.0 7.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 3.3 3.3 0.4 8.1 5th
6th 0.1 0.6 4.1 4.1 0.8 0.1 9.7 6th
7th 0.2 3.0 5.3 1.8 0.1 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 1.8 5.7 2.8 0.1 10.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 5.3 4.1 0.5 0.0 10.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.1 1.3 0.0 10.2 10th
11th 0.1 2.2 4.5 1.5 0.1 8.4 11th
12th 0.4 1.7 2.9 1.8 0.1 6.8 12th
13th 0.3 0.9 2.2 1.5 0.2 5.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.1 2.1 4.7 7.2 10.5 14.1 14.8 13.9 11.0 9.0 5.3 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 66.9% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 41.4% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 11.4% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 62.5% 62.5% 12.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 28.2% 28.2% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.6% 25.2% 25.2% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.7% 18.3% 18.3% 13.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.4
13-5 3.2% 11.2% 11.2% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.9
12-6 5.3% 5.9% 5.9% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 5.0
11-7 9.0% 4.4% 4.4% 14.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 8.6
10-8 11.0% 3.7% 3.7% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.6
9-9 13.9% 1.5% 1.5% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 13.7
8-10 14.8% 1.2% 1.2% 15.4 0.1 0.1 14.6
7-11 14.1% 0.3% 0.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 14.1
6-12 10.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.5
5-13 7.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 7.1
4-14 4.7% 4.7
3-15 2.1% 2.1
2-16 1.1% 1.1
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 14.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.2 97.5 0.0%