Rice
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#207
Expected Predictive Rating-4.4#236
Pace64.5#306
Improvement+0.6#143

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#204
First Shot-1.0#202
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#200
Layup/Dunks-7.1#352
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#59
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#45
Freethrows-1.3#263
Improvement+1.2#86

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#233
First Shot-1.6#230
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#205
Layups/Dunks+0.9#145
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#352
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#61
Freethrows-2.3#315
Improvement-0.7#242
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.0 14.8
.500 or above 14.5% 20.2% 7.7%
.500 or above in Conference 26.4% 30.5% 21.5%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.0% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 13.5% 11.0% 16.4%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pepperdine (Away) - 54.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 33 - 84 - 14
Quad 48 - 412 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 66 @Oregon L 63-67 10%     0 - 1 +7.3 -1.9 +9.0
  Tue, Nov 11 140 Stephen F. Austin L 69-81 44%     0 - 2 -13.6 -1.0 -13.0
  Fri, Nov 14 295 East Texas A&M W 71-64 75%     1 - 2 -3.3 -1.0 -1.9
  Mon, Nov 17 18 @Tennessee L 66-91 3%     1 - 3 -5.8 +4.4 -10.7
  Thu, Nov 20 198 Tarleton St. L 74-90 59%     1 - 4 -21.5 -5.8 -14.8
  Mon, Nov 24 161 Kennesaw St. L 84-89 OT 38%     1 - 5 -5.0 -1.2 -3.1
  Tue, Nov 25 186 @Florida Gulf Coast L 63-78 OT 33%     1 - 6 -13.6 -18.0 +6.2
  Wed, Nov 26 301 Oral Roberts W 81-62 67%     2 - 6 +11.2 +13.6 +0.1
  Wed, Dec 3 241 Texas St. W 77-72 66%     3 - 6 -2.4 +4.6 -6.9
  Sat, Dec 13 153 Arkansas St. W 77-76 48%     4 - 6 -1.6 +3.8 -5.4
  Sat, Dec 20 292 @Pepperdine W 68-67 54%    
  Wed, Dec 31 83 @Tulsa L 67-80 10%    
  Sat, Jan 3 75 Memphis L 68-76 23%    
  Wed, Jan 7 100 @Wichita St. L 63-74 15%    
  Sun, Jan 11 194 Charlotte W 69-67 59%    
  Wed, Jan 14 287 @Texas San Antonio W 72-71 52%    
  Wed, Jan 21 158 Temple L 73-74 49%    
  Sun, Jan 25 83 Tulsa L 70-77 26%    
  Wed, Jan 28 282 @East Carolina W 71-70 52%    
  Sat, Jan 31 194 @Charlotte L 66-70 36%    
  Wed, Feb 4 146 North Texas L 64-65 47%    
  Sun, Feb 8 119 @UAB L 69-78 20%    
  Wed, Feb 11 117 Florida Atlantic L 73-76 37%    
  Sat, Feb 14 282 East Carolina W 73-67 71%    
  Sun, Feb 22 205 @Tulane L 71-74 39%    
  Wed, Feb 25 86 South Florida L 72-79 27%    
  Sun, Mar 1 158 @Temple L 71-77 28%    
  Wed, Mar 4 146 @North Texas L 61-68 27%    
  Sun, Mar 8 287 Texas San Antonio W 75-68 72%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.9 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 1.9 0.6 0.0 3.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 2.8 1.3 0.1 5.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.4 2.3 0.3 0.0 6.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.7 4.1 0.7 0.0 9.2 7th
8th 0.4 3.6 5.6 1.6 0.1 11.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 3.2 6.9 2.7 0.2 13.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 3.1 6.8 3.7 0.4 0.0 14.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.8 3.5 0.6 0.0 12.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.7 3.1 0.6 0.0 11.1 12th
13th 0.1 0.8 2.1 2.5 1.4 0.3 7.3 13th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.6 5.2 9.1 12.6 14.5 15.5 13.3 10.4 7.2 4.5 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 92.3% 0.0    0.0
15-3 72.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 55.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 24.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 5.0% 5.0% 12.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 9.8% 9.8% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 1.2% 6.6% 6.6% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
12-6 2.5% 3.8% 3.8% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4
11-7 4.5% 2.4% 2.4% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.4
10-8 7.2% 1.1% 1.1% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.1
9-9 10.4% 0.8% 0.8% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.3
8-10 13.3% 0.3% 0.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 13.3
7-11 15.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 15.5
6-12 14.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.5
5-13 12.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.6
4-14 9.1% 9.1
3-15 5.2% 5.2
2-16 2.6% 2.6
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 14.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 99.4 0.0%