IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Oregon
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+11.9	#41
Expected Predictive Rating	+13.6	#12

Pace	69.9	#147
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.2	#66

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+7.7	#12

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
#1 Seed	1.6%	1.6%	1.1%
Top 2 Seed	4.6%	4.8%	1.7%
Top 4 Seed	14.1%	14.7%	5.1%
Top 6 Seed	26.8%	27.8%	12.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid	56.5%	58.0%	35.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	55.5%	57.0%	35.9%
Average Seed	6.7	6.7	7.4

.500 or above	71.6%	73.6%	44.4%
.500 or above in Conference	49.0%	50.1%	33.0%
Conference Champion	2.3%	2.3%	1.7%
Last Place in Conference	4.2%	3.8%	9.7%

First Four	6.8%	6.9%	5.7%
First Round	52.8%	54.3%	32.5%
Second Round	32.9%	34.0%	16.5%
Sweet Sixteen	14.1%	14.8%	4.5%
Elite Eight	5.3%	5.5%	2.3%
Final Four	2.3%	2.4%	1.1%
Championship Game	0.8%	0.9%	0.6%
National Champion	0.2%	0.2%	0.6%

Next Game: Rice (Home) - 93.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 7	2 - 7
Quad 1b	3 - 4	5 - 10
Quad 2	5 - 2	10 - 13
Quad 3	4 - 1	14 - 13
Quad 4	4 - 0	18 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2025	107	Hawaii	W	60-59	85%	1 - 0			+1.7	-14.8	+16.4
Nov 07, 2025	168	Rice	W	77-61	93%
Nov 12, 2025	145	South Dakota St.	W	80-65	92%
Nov 17, 2025	121	Oregon St.	W	74-61	89%
Nov 24, 2025	35	Auburn	L	72-73	45%
Nov 25, 2025	39	San Diego St.	L	67-68	48%
Dec 02, 2025	27	USC	W	72-71	54%
Dec 06, 2025	20	@ UCLA	L	65-71	31%
Dec 13, 2025	218	UC Davis	W	77-59	94%
Dec 17, 2025	287	Portland	W	82-61	96%
Dec 21, 2025	12	Gonzaga	L	72-77	32%
Dec 28, 2025	184	Nebraska Omaha	W	80-63	93%
Jan 02, 2026	43	@ Maryland	L	70-73	41%
Jan 05, 2026	84	@ Rutgers	W	72-69	57%
Jan 08, 2026	22	Ohio St.	W	74-73	50%
Jan 13, 2026	52	@ Nebraska	L	70-72	44%
Jan 18, 2026	5	Michigan	L	72-76	36%
Jan 20, 2026	24	Michigan St.	W	70-69	54%
Jan 25, 2026	51	@ Washington	L	71-73	44%
Jan 28, 2026	20	UCLA	W	69-68	50%
Feb 01, 2026	33	Iowa	W	76-74	54%
Feb 07, 2026	2	@ Purdue	L	65-77	15%
Feb 09, 2026	30	@ Indiana	L	69-74	36%
Feb 14, 2026	101	Penn St.	W	78-67	81%
Feb 17, 2026	72	Minnesota	W	70-62	73%
Feb 21, 2026	27	@ USC	L	69-74	35%
Feb 25, 2026	23	Wisconsin	W	72-71	52%
Feb 28, 2026	60	@ Northwestern	W	67-66	51%
Mar 03, 2026	7	@ Illinois	L	71-80	20%
Mar 07, 2026	51	Washington	W	74-70	64%
Projected Record						17 - 13	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st															0.0	0.3	0.8	0.7	0.4		0.0		2.3	1st
2nd														0.1	0.7	1.4	0.8	0.5	0.1				3.6	2nd
3rd													0.1	0.8	1.7	1.0	0.2						3.8	3rd
4th												0.0	0.5	2.8	1.5	0.3	0.0						5.2	4th
5th												0.4	2.4	2.5	0.6	0.0							6.0	5th
6th											0.3	2.0	3.3	0.9	0.0								6.5	6th
7th										0.1	1.3	3.3	1.8	0.2									6.7	7th
8th										0.7	2.9	2.6	0.3										6.5	8th
9th									0.1	2.2	4.0	1.5	0.0										7.8	9th
10th									1.0	3.6	2.8	0.3											7.7	10th
11th								0.5	3.0	3.7	0.6												7.7	11th
12th							0.2	1.6	3.6	1.0	0.0												6.4	12th
13th						0.1	1.0	2.9	2.2	0.2													6.3	13th
14th						0.6	2.5	2.6	0.8	0.0													6.6	14th
15th					0.4	1.6	2.7	1.0	0.0														5.7	15th
16th			0.0	0.3	1.2	2.4	1.1	0.1															5.1	16th
17th		0.0	0.4	0.9	1.6	0.9	0.2																4.1	17th
18th	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.8	0.3	0.2																	2.1	18th

Total	0.0	0.3	1.0	2.1	3.6	5.7	7.5	8.7	10.6	11.5	11.9	10.1	8.4	7.3	4.6	3.1	1.8	1.2	0.5		0.0			Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1
18-2	83.3%	0.4		0.3	0.1
17-3	61.3%	0.7		0.4	0.3	0.0
16-4	43.5%	0.8		0.2	0.4	0.2
15-5	9.9%	0.3		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1
14-6	0.8%	0.0						0.0
13-7	0.0%
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	2.3%	2.3		0.9	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%								0.0
19-1
18-2	0.5%		100.0%	50.0%	50.0%	1.4		0.3	0.2																	100.0%
17-3	1.2%		100.0%	9.7%	90.3%	2.0		0.5	0.3	0.3	0.1															100.0%
16-4	1.8%		100.0%	12.6%	87.4%	2.4		0.4	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.1														100.0%
15-5	3.1%		100.0%	13.5%	86.5%	2.9		0.3	0.9	0.8	0.8	0.2	0.0													100.0%
14-6	4.6%		100.0%	10.7%	89.3%	4.1		0.1	0.4	1.2	1.4	0.9	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0										100.0%
13-7	7.3%		100.0%	6.8%	93.2%	4.9		0.1	0.3	0.9	1.7	2.0	1.3	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.0									100.0%
12-8	8.4%		99.5%	1.8%	97.7%	6.0			0.1	0.5	0.9	1.5	2.4	1.6	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.2						0.0		99.5%
11-9	10.1%		96.6%	0.4%	96.3%	7.3				0.0	0.2	1.1	1.6	2.3	2.5	1.3	0.6	0.2	0.0					0.3		96.6%
10-10	11.9%		86.0%		86.0%	8.6					0.0	0.4	0.8	1.6	2.0	2.4	1.6	1.5	0.0					1.7		86.0%
9-11	11.5%		58.4%		58.4%	9.9							0.0	0.3	0.6	1.5	1.6	2.4	0.3					4.8		58.4%
8-12	10.6%		23.6%	0.4%	23.3%	10.6									0.0	0.2	0.9	1.1	0.3					8.1		23.4%
7-13	8.7%		3.9%		3.9%	10.8											0.1	0.2	0.0					8.4		3.9%
6-14	7.5%		0.5%		0.5%	11.0												0.0						7.5		0.5%
5-15	5.7%																							5.7
4-16	3.6%																							3.6
3-17	2.1%																							2.1
2-18	1.0%																							1.0
1-19	0.3%																							0.3
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		56.5%	2.2%	54.3%	6.7		1.6	3.0	4.2	5.3	6.2	6.5	6.3	6.2	6.0	4.8	5.7	0.7					43.5		55.5%