IUPUI
Horizon
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-15.8#359
Expected Predictive Rating-22.2#362
Pace66.9#218
Improvement+1.6#23

Offense
Total Offense-7.4#347
First Shot-6.3#338
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#264
Layup/Dunks-0.1#176
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#56
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.5#354
Freethrows-1.0#257
Improvement+1.3#28

Defense
Total Defense-8.4#360
First Shot-8.2#360
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#193
Layups/Dunks-2.4#275
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#29
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#352
Freethrows-1.8#311
Improvement+0.3#133
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 76.8% 50.1% 81.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Home) - 15.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 80 - 11
Quad 42 - 162 - 27


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 22   @ Iowa St. L 39-88 1%     0 - 1 -32.5 -24.5 -6.8
  Nov 09, 2022 84   @ Drake L 48-80 2%     0 - 2 -23.2 -20.7 -1.4
  Nov 14, 2022 317   @ Chicago St. L 58-68 17%     0 - 3 -15.7 -13.5 -3.3
  Nov 23, 2022 318   Denver L 64-86 25%     0 - 4 -30.7 -13.3 -17.9
  Nov 24, 2022 348   @ New Orleans L 84-87 27%     0 - 5 -12.5 +4.4 -16.8
  Nov 25, 2022 301   The Citadel L 53-74 22%     0 - 6 -28.7 -20.4 -9.7
  Dec 03, 2022 214   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 61-74 7%     0 - 7 0 - 1 -12.5 -6.8 -6.6
  Dec 05, 2022 362   @ Green Bay L 61-68 45%     0 - 8 0 - 2 -21.6 -17.7 -4.1
  Dec 17, 2022 343   Eastern Illinois L 59-70 45%     0 - 9 -25.5 -21.2 -4.0
  Dec 19, 2022 270   Southern Indiana L 74-87 17%     0 - 10 -18.6 -4.1 -14.3
  Dec 20, 2022 319   Texas A&M - Commerce W 62-52 25%     1 - 10 +1.1 -8.6 +10.8
  Dec 31, 2022 210   Northern Kentucky L 42-55 15%     1 - 11 0 - 3 -17.8 -22.5 +2.2
  Jan 02, 2023 201   Wright St. L 68-82 14%     1 - 12 0 - 4 -18.3 -8.0 -10.1
  Jan 07, 2023 131   @ Youngstown St. L 74-105 4%     1 - 13 0 - 5 -26.1 -2.1 -23.6
  Jan 09, 2023 242   @ Robert Morris L 70-77 10%     1 - 14 0 - 6 -8.5 -2.5 -5.9
  Jan 12, 2023 204   Purdue Fort Wayne L 55-70 15%     1 - 15 0 - 7 -19.5 -13.7 -7.4
  Jan 14, 2023 180   Cleveland St. L 54-89 12%     1 - 16 0 - 8 -38.1 -18.5 -20.9
  Jan 19, 2023 249   Oakland L 77-83 OT 21%     1 - 17 0 - 9 -13.4 -6.4 -6.6
  Jan 21, 2023 222   Detroit Mercy L 77-89 17%     1 - 18 0 - 10 -17.6 -2.2 -15.7
  Jan 25, 2023 204   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 75-81 7%     1 - 19 0 - 11 -5.0 +3.7 -8.8
  Jan 29, 2023 180   @ Cleveland St. L 72-78 6%     1 - 20 0 - 12 -3.6 +2.0 -5.7
  Feb 02, 2023 214   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 68-79 16%    
  Feb 04, 2023 362   Green Bay W 70-66 67%    
  Feb 08, 2023 201   @ Wright St. L 66-83 5%    
  Feb 12, 2023 210   @ Northern Kentucky L 55-71 6%    
  Feb 17, 2023 249   @ Oakland L 65-79 9%    
  Feb 19, 2023 222   @ Detroit Mercy L 66-82 7%    
  Feb 23, 2023 242   Robert Morris L 63-72 21%    
  Feb 25, 2023 131   Youngstown St. L 67-82 8%    
Projected Record 2 - 27 1 - 19




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 16.1 23.0 9.5 2.1 0.3 0.0 51.0 10th
11th 16.6 26.9 5.2 0.4 0.0 49.0 11th
Total 16.6 43.0 28.2 9.8 2.1 0.3 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14 0.0% 0.0
5-15 0.3% 0.3
4-16 2.1% 2.1
3-17 9.8% 9.8
2-18 28.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 28.2
1-19 43.0% 43.0
0-20 16.6% 16.6
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 16.6%