Grand Canyon
Mountain West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.2#97
Expected Predictive Rating+1.5#149
Pace73.6#87
Improvement+1.4#80

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#144
First Shot+1.2#139
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#206
Layup/Dunks+5.0#34
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#234
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.7#346
Freethrows+3.9#19
Improvement-2.0#333

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#56
First Shot+5.1#43
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#222
Layups/Dunks+6.8#16
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#327
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#144
Freethrows-0.2#192
Improvement+3.4#8
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.1% 6.2% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.3 11.3 12.2
.500 or above 79.6% 80.4% 55.8%
.500 or above in Conference 68.3% 68.8% 53.1%
Conference Champion 5.7% 5.8% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.9% 1.9%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
First Round5.9% 6.0% 3.0%
Second Round1.5% 1.5% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stetson (Home) - 96.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 5
Quad 23 - 44 - 10
Quad 36 - 310 - 13
Quad 49 - 119 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 237 Purdue Fort Wayne W 90-71 88%     1 - 0 +11.5 +5.9 +4.4
  Fri, Nov 7 176 Youngstown St. L 81-90 82%     1 - 1 -13.3 +4.3 -17.3
  Mon, Nov 10 282 Northern Illinois W 88-59 91%     2 - 1 +19.5 +7.1 +11.6
  Sat, Nov 15 54 @Saint Louis L 64-78 23%     2 - 2 -1.2 -6.0 +5.7
  Fri, Nov 21 284 Northwestern St. W 85-72 91%     3 - 2 +3.3 +7.1 -3.6
  Tue, Nov 25 121 Utah W 68-58 59%     4 - 2 +12.9 -1.6 +15.0
  Wed, Nov 26 20 Iowa L 46-59 18%     4 - 3 +2.2 -12.8 +12.9
  Tue, Dec 2 343 Stetson W 84-64 97%    
  Sat, Dec 6 49 Oklahoma St. L 79-85 29%    
  Sat, Dec 13 252 Coastal Carolina W 81-68 89%    
  Sat, Dec 20 114 @Wyoming L 74-75 46%    
  Mon, Dec 22 355 IU Indianapolis W 100-79 98%    
  Sat, Jan 3 77 Colorado St. W 73-72 53%    
  Wed, Jan 7 60 @Boise St. L 66-73 26%    
  Sat, Jan 10 188 San Jose St. W 76-66 82%    
  Tue, Jan 13 103 @New Mexico L 77-79 41%    
  Sat, Jan 17 33 Utah St. L 73-78 34%    
  Wed, Jan 21 56 San Diego St. L 74-75 45%    
  Sat, Jan 24 154 @Fresno St. W 76-74 59%    
  Tue, Jan 27 110 @Nevada L 72-74 44%    
  Fri, Jan 30 60 Boise St. L 69-70 46%    
  Tue, Feb 3 322 Air Force W 76-59 93%    
  Sat, Feb 7 130 @UNLV W 81-80 51%    
  Wed, Feb 11 103 New Mexico W 80-76 63%    
  Sat, Feb 14 188 @San Jose St. W 73-69 64%    
  Tue, Feb 17 56 @San Diego St. L 71-78 26%    
  Sat, Feb 21 114 Wyoming W 77-72 67%    
  Wed, Feb 25 130 UNLV W 83-77 71%    
  Sat, Feb 28 33 @Utah St. L 70-81 17%    
  Tue, Mar 3 322 @Air Force W 73-62 83%    
  Sat, Mar 7 154 Fresno St. W 79-71 77%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.8 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.4 3.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 9.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.7 3.5 0.9 0.1 11.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.6 3.8 0.8 0.0 13.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.7 3.7 0.7 0.0 12.9 5th
6th 0.2 1.9 5.5 3.8 0.7 0.0 12.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 4.6 3.6 0.7 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.5 3.3 0.9 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.8 2.5 0.7 0.0 7.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 1.6 0.5 0.0 5.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.0 3.7 6.0 8.3 10.7 12.9 13.1 12.5 10.7 8.3 5.4 3.3 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 96.7% 0.6    0.5 0.1
17-3 82.9% 1.2    0.9 0.3 0.0
16-4 54.8% 1.8    1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0
15-5 25.7% 1.4    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0
14-6 5.9% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.7% 5.7 3.1 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 74.3% 22.9% 51.4% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 66.7%
18-2 0.6% 48.9% 26.7% 22.2% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 30.3%
17-3 1.5% 31.3% 22.6% 8.6% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 1.0 11.2%
16-4 3.3% 23.6% 19.1% 4.5% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 2.5 5.5%
15-5 5.4% 15.3% 14.5% 0.9% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 4.6 1.0%
14-6 8.3% 11.8% 11.5% 0.3% 11.3 0.0 0.6 0.3 0.0 7.3 0.3%
13-7 10.7% 8.7% 8.6% 0.1% 11.6 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.0 9.8 0.1%
12-8 12.5% 6.2% 6.2% 11.8 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 11.7
11-9 13.1% 3.3% 3.3% 12.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 12.6
10-10 12.9% 2.2% 2.2% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 12.6
9-11 10.7% 1.0% 1.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.6
8-12 8.3% 0.8% 0.8% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.2
7-13 6.0% 0.6% 0.6% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0
6-14 3.7% 0.3% 0.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 3.7
5-15 2.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.0
4-16 0.8% 0.8
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 6.1% 5.5% 0.6% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 2.8 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 93.9 0.6%