Ohio St.
Big Ten
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +14.4 #30
Expected Predictive Rating +12.1 #50
Pace 70.6 #153
Improvement +0.5 #148

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #22 A+ A- C+ B- D+
Defense #52 B+ C B C A+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #294 1.48 #3 +2.9 #88
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #110 1.02 #3 +5.0 #17
Three Pointers 42% #159 1.05 #129 +1.5 #134
1st FG Attempt 1.19 #14 +9.4 #12
Freethrows 20.0 #61 78% #37 15.7 #26
Second Chance 32.5% #132 1.10 #117 0.36 #105
Turnovers 15.3% #102
Total Offense +9.1 #22

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 29% #351 1.05 #66 +7.4 #14
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% #9 0.79 #232 -4.1 #359
Three Pointers 41% #189 0.94 #105 +1.6 #129
1st FG Attempt 0.93 #51 +4.9 #51
Freethrows 15.3 #91 79% #356 12.1 #168
Second Chance 26.6% #58 0.99 #120 0.26 #63
Turnovers 16.4% #193
Total Defense +5.3 #52

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.5% #279 -4.1% #8
Shot Type Make Effect 19.2% #5 -4.9% #100
Possession Length 15.6 #46 18.5 #344
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #308 0.10 #16
Improvement +1.4 #75 -0.9 #248
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 6.1% 7.0% 1.4%
Top 6 Seed 23.0% 25.2% 11.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 75.6% 78.7% 59.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 75.3% 78.3% 59.5%
Average Seed 7.6 7.5 8.2
.500 or above 95.1% 96.7% 86.3%
.500 or above in Conference 73.9% 78.3% 51.0%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 0.6%
First Four7.1% 6.7% 9.3%
First Round72.3% 75.6% 55.2%
Second Round44.3% 46.8% 30.7%
Sweet Sixteen14.8% 16.1% 7.9%
Elite Eight5.3% 5.7% 3.2%
Final Four1.8% 1.9% 1.1%
Championship Game0.6% 0.6% 0.5%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.2%

Next Game: Rutgers (Away) - 83.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b4 - 35 - 10
Quad 26 - 211 - 12
Quad 33 - 014 - 12
Quad 46 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 356 IU Indianapolis W 118-102 99%     12.5   1 - 0 -1.1 +13.1 -17.2
  Fri, Nov 7 217 Purdue Fort Wayne W 94-68 96%     14.2   2 - 0 +19.6 +13.6 +5.0
  Tue, Nov 11 218 Appalachian St. W 75-53 96%     6.4   3 - 0 +15.5 +10.9 +7.7
  Sun, Nov 16 60 Notre Dame W 64-63 79%     -2.5   4 - 0 +7.1 -1.2 +8.3
  Thu, Nov 20 271 Western Michigan W 91-58 98%     24.9   5 - 0 +23.9 +9.1 +13.6
  Tue, Nov 25 291 Mount St. Mary's W 113-60 98%     25.2   6 - 0 +43.0 +32.4 +8.2
  Fri, Nov 28 83 @Pittsburgh L 66-67 67%     -4.0   6 - 1 +9.0 +1.8 +7.1
  Sat, Dec 6 57 @Northwestern W 86-82 58%     0.3   7 - 1 1 - 0 +16.3 +16.5 -0.2
  Tue, Dec 9 8 Illinois L 80-88 38%     -4.0   7 - 2 1 - 1 +9.4 +13.7 -4.3
  Sat, Dec 13 64 West Virginia W 89-88 2OT 71%     -4.2   8 - 2 +9.7 +7.4 +2.1
  Sat, Dec 20 22 North Carolina L 70-71 44%     -3.7   8 - 3 +15.0 +11.4 +3.5
  Tue, Dec 23 249 Grambling St. W 89-63 97%     12.8   9 - 3 +18.1 +17.8 +1.5
  Fri, Jan 2 139 @Rutgers W 79-69 84%    
  Mon, Jan 5 26 Nebraska W 78-76 60%    
  Thu, Jan 8 56 @Oregon W 79-77 57%    
  Sun, Jan 11 49 @Washington W 76-75 51%    
  Sat, Jan 17 29 UCLA W 77-74 60%    
  Tue, Jan 20 95 Minnesota W 76-64 85%    
  Fri, Jan 23 1 @Michigan L 74-90 7%    
  Mon, Jan 26 122 Penn St. W 87-72 92%    
  Sat, Jan 31 45 @Wisconsin L 78-79 50%    
  Thu, Feb 5 94 @Maryland W 79-74 69%    
  Sun, Feb 8 1 Michigan L 77-87 18%    
  Wed, Feb 11 40 USC W 83-78 66%    
  Sat, Feb 14 32 Virginia W 77-76 51%    
  Tue, Feb 17 45 Wisconsin W 82-76 70%    
  Sun, Feb 22 17 @Michigan St. L 71-77 30%    
  Wed, Feb 25 19 @Iowa L 70-75 31%    
  Sun, Mar 1 3 Purdue L 73-78 32%    
  Wed, Mar 4 122 @Penn St. W 84-75 79%    
  Sat, Mar 7 28 Indiana W 78-75 59%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.4 1.9 0.6 0.0 5.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.4 3.4 1.1 0.1 8.8 4th
5th 0.4 3.6 4.6 1.7 0.2 10.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.7 6.4 2.7 0.1 12.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 5.5 4.3 0.5 0.0 11.6 7th
8th 0.5 4.2 5.6 1.3 0.1 11.5 8th
9th 0.1 2.4 5.6 1.7 0.1 9.9 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 4.3 3.0 0.3 8.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.1 0.7 0.0 6.9 11th
12th 0.1 1.2 2.7 1.0 0.1 4.9 12th
13th 0.5 1.6 1.1 0.1 3.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.1 1.8 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.9 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 17th
18th 0.1 0.0 0.1 18th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.9 4.0 7.8 11.4 14.9 16.2 16.3 12.0 8.0 4.1 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 90.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 49.1% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
16-4 13.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.6% 100.0% 9.1% 90.9% 3.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.7% 100.0% 6.9% 93.1% 3.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 100.0%
15-5 4.1% 100.0% 6.3% 93.7% 4.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 8.0% 100.0% 4.5% 95.5% 5.6 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.2 2.5 1.4 0.4 0.1 100.0%
13-7 12.0% 98.9% 1.4% 97.5% 6.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 3.3 3.4 2.2 0.6 0.1 0.1 98.9%
12-8 16.3% 96.9% 1.5% 95.5% 7.4 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.5 4.7 4.3 2.4 0.8 0.1 0.5 96.9%
11-9 16.2% 92.4% 0.8% 91.6% 8.4 0.2 0.7 2.6 4.4 3.8 2.7 0.5 0.0 1.2 92.3%
10-10 14.9% 77.3% 0.1% 77.2% 9.3 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.0 3.4 3.3 2.0 0.0 3.4 77.3%
9-11 11.4% 48.0% 0.1% 47.9% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.7 2.4 0.2 5.9 47.9%
8-12 7.8% 18.1% 0.1% 18.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 0.1 6.4 18.0%
7-13 4.0% 3.0% 0.5% 2.5% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.9 2.5%
6-14 1.9% 1.9
5-15 0.8% 0.8
4-16 0.2% 0.2
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 75.6% 1.4% 74.2% 7.6 0.1 0.4 1.7 3.8 6.8 10.1 12.8 13.6 11.1 8.8 6.0 0.3 24.4 75.3%