Ohio St.
Big Ten
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +15.8 25
Results Rating +15.2 32
Consistency 0.15 139
Pace 66.5 235
Improvement +2.6 91

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A- 16 A B B A- D+
Defense B 53 B+ B- C C+ A

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 286 A+ 72% 1 +3.1 74
2 Pt. Jumpers 38% 175 A+ 51% 6 +4.7 17
Three Pointers 40% 206 B 37% 51 +1.4 133
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.8 290 A+ +9.9 2
1st FG Attempt A 1.20 6
Second Chance B- 33.8% 81 B 1.13 52 B 0.38 50
Opponents' Steals B 8.0% 56
Other Turnovers B- 6.6% 104
Turnovers B 14.6% 59
Freethrows B+ 0.36 18 B 77% 38 A- 0.28 10
Total Offense A- +10.8 16

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 57% 49 B+ 7.6% 28
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 27% 149 C- 5.6% 230
Three Pointers D+ 80% 275 B+ 0.2% 25
Total C 56% 164 B+ 4.2% 37


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 335 B- 55% 84 -5.3 37
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 14 C 38% 171 +3.0 357
Three Pointers 40% 213 A- 30% 23 -3.0 48
Shot Selection/Accuracy A -1.5 13 B -3.8 41
1st FG Attempt B+ 0.92 35
Second Chance B- 27.3% 72 C+ 1.00 140 B- 0.27 76
Turnovers from Steals D 7.5% 315
Other Turnovers A 9.6% 5
Turnovers C 17.1% 151
Freethrows C+ 0.29 144 C- 73% 239 C+ 0.21 157
Total Defense B +4.9 53

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 45% 108 C- 10.0% 211
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 30% 273 C 4.6% 183
Three Pointers B- 80% 79 C 0.8% 171
Total B- 51% 93 C- 4.8% 238

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.7 101 18.7 345
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 242 0.10 15
Consistency 0.12 156 0.10 14
Improvement +2.9 57 -0.3 202

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Likely In
Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 30 25 23
Results Rating Rank 34 32 24
Conference Record 12 - 8 12 - 8 12 - 8
Conference Finish 8 8 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None 8 6
NCAA Tourney Finish None 2nd Round Sweet 16

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 1% 0%
Top 6 Seed 6% 28% 3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 95% 100% 94%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 95% 100% 94%
Average Seed 8.3 7.1 8.5
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four1% 0% 1%
First Round94% 100% 94%
Second Round55% 64% 54%
Sweet Sixteen12% 17% 11%
Elite Eight5% 6% 5%
Final Four1% 2% 1%
Championship Game0% 1% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 101 - 10
Quad 1b3 - 14 - 11
Quad 25 - 19 - 12
Quad 36 - 015 - 12
Quad 46 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 327 IU Indianapolis W 118 - 102 99% +13  97% 1 - 0 C+ +2 A +12 A+ C+ C- F -13 F+ F+ D+
 Fri, Nov 7 259 Purdue Fort Wayne W 94 - 68 98% +14  99% 2 - 0 A- +18 A- +11 A+ B F B+ +5 A- D- B
 Tue, Nov 11 190 Appalachian St. W 75 - 53 96% +6  51% 3 - 0 A- +17 B+ +9 D+ A A+ A+ +11 A D+ D+
 Sun, Nov 16 90 Notre Dame W 64 - 63 88% -3  19% 4 - 0 C+ +4 D- -8 C F C A+ +12 B A+ A-
 Thu, Nov 20 277 Western Michigan W 91 - 58 98% +25  100% 5 - 0 A+ +23 B +6 B+ C F+ A+ +16 A+ B+ A
 Tue, Nov 25 274 Mount St. Mary's W 113 - 60 98% +25  97% 6 - 0 A+ +44 A+ +31 A+ A+ A- A +10 B- A+ F
 Fri, Nov 28 91 @Pittsburgh L 66 - 67 74% -4  19% 6 - 1 B- +8 C- -1 C- B- D- A +9 A- A+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 57 @Northwestern W 86 - 82 62% +0  51% 7 - 1 1 - 0 A- +17 A +14 A+ C A- B- +3 A- F A+
 Tue, Dec 9 7 Illinois L 80 - 88 37% -4  8% 7 - 2 1 - 1 B +11 A- +11 B+ A+ A C+ +0 C- A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 13 55 West Virginia W 89 - 88 2OT 70% -4  13% 8 - 2 B +11 B+ +9 D+ A+ A+ B- +3 C B- B-
 Sat, Dec 20 28 North Carolina L 70 - 71 52% -4  13% 8 - 3 B+ +14 B +7 B D+ A+ A- +7 A C D
 Tue, Dec 23 307 Grambling St. W 89 - 63 99% +13  94% 9 - 3 B+ +14 A+ +17 A+ F+ D+ C -1 B+ F+ B-
 Fri, Jan 2 101 @Rutgers W 80 - 73 77% -1  46% 10 - 3 2 - 1 A- +15 A+ +19 A+ B- D+ D+ -3 B- F D+
 Mon, Jan 5 11 Nebraska L 69 - 72 49% -5  9% 10 - 4 2 - 2 B+ +13 B +6 A+ F A+ A- +7 A- A A-
 Thu, Jan 8 86 @Oregon W 72 - 62 72% +8  97% 11 - 4 3 - 2 A +20 A- +11 B- A+ D A +10 A+ B F
 Sun, Jan 11 50 @Washington L 74 - 81 56% -0  48% 11 - 5 3 - 3 B- +7 A- +11 B B D+ D -5 C B F+
 Sat, Jan 17 26 UCLA W 86 - 74 63% +9  99% 12 - 5 4 - 3 A+ +24 A+ +25 A A+ B+ C+ +1 B+ B F
 Tue, Jan 20 68 Minnesota W 82 - 74 OT 83% +2  70% 13 - 5 5 - 3 B+ +14 B+ +9 B A+ A B +5 A B D-
 Fri, Jan 23 1 @Michigan L 62 - 74 10% -2  28% 13 - 6 5 - 4 A- +18 B +6 B A D A +11 A+ F A+
 Mon, Jan 26 122 Penn St. W 84 - 78 93% +8  96% 14 - 6 6 - 4 B- +6 B+ +8 A F A+ C- -2 C F A+
 Sat, Jan 31 23 @Wisconsin L 82 - 92 37% -4  24% 14 - 7 6 - 5 B +9 A +12 C A- A+ C- -3 C- B+ F
 Thu, Feb 5 104 @Maryland W 82 - 62 78% +11  91% 15 - 7 7 - 5 A+ +28 A+ +22 A A+ B+ A +9 C- D A+
 Sun, Feb 8 1 Michigan L 61 - 82 22% -10  0% 15 - 8 7 - 6 C+ +3 C +1 B+ C+ C- C +0 B- A+ D-
 Wed, Feb 11 75 USC W 89 - 82 84% -0  38% 16 - 8 8 - 6 B+ +12 A +13 A+ C- B- C -1 A- C D-
 Sat, Feb 14 21 Virginia L 66 - 70 43% +2  59% 16 - 9 B+ +14 B- +4 A F+ A A +9 A+ A+ B+
 Tue, Feb 17 23 Wisconsin W 86 - 69 60% +11  94% 17 - 9 9 - 6 A+ +30 A+ +15 A+ A+ F A+ +16 A C- A+
 Sun, Feb 22 10 @Michigan St. L 60 - 66 25% -0  44% 17 - 10 9 - 7 A- +17 B- +4 B- C A+ A+ +12 A+ B- C-
 Wed, Feb 25 27 @Iowa L 57 - 74 40% -9  18% 17 - 11 9 - 8 C +1 C +1 B+ F A- C- -3 D A+ D
 Sun, Mar 1 9 Purdue W 82 - 74 45% +5  71% 18 - 11 10 - 8 A+ +25 A+ +22 A- A+ A+ B +4 A+ A- D-
 Wed, Mar 4 122 @Penn St. W 94 - 62 83% +20  95% 19 - 11 11 - 8 A+ +38 A+ +27 A+ F C A+ +13 A A+ C
 Sat, Mar 7 44 Indiana W 91 - 78 72% +12  92% 20 - 11 12 - 8 A +23 A+ +21 A+ B C C+ +2 B D+ A-
 Thu, Mar 12 27 Iowa W 72 - 69 51% +3  61% 21 - 11 A +18 A+ +18 A+ A+ A+ C+ +1 C- C B
 Fri, Mar 13 1 Michigan L 75 - 86 15%
Totals 21 - 12 12 - 8 +16 A- +11 B+ A+ D+ B +5 B B A-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A- A+ A+ B A+ 35% 38% 40% D+ A B- B B B B+ B A- B B- C A- B 31% 29% 40% A B+ B- C+ B- C C+ C- C+
1.24 72% 51% 37% +10 -1 1.20 34% 1.1 .38 15% .36 77% .28 1.02 55% 38% 30% -4 -2 0.92 27% 1.0 .27 17% .29 73% .27
Nov
3		 IU Indianapolis A A+ A+ A A+ 43% 15% 41% C- A+ A F+ C+ C- A+ B+ A+ F F F B+ F 21% 27% 52% A F+ C- F F+ D+ F C F
1.37 85% 57% 42% +20 +1 1.43 46% 1.0 .46 20% .77 79% .61 1.19 71% 67% 29% +7 -2 1.12 29% 1.3 .38 15% .27 70% .19
Nov
7		 Purdue Fort Wayne A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 10% 56% C A+ D- A+ B F D+ B- D+ B+ F A+ A+ A- 38% 24% 38% B+ A- B- F D- B D B+ C-
1.29 81% 60% 59% +31 +1 1.67 29% 1.5 .43 26% .24 77% .19 0.94 71% 15% 24% -6 0 0.89 19% 1.4 .28 18% .29 65% .18
Nov
11		 Appalachian St. B+ A+ C- F C- 21% 23% 55% F+ D+ B- A+ A A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A- B- A- 24% 29% 47% A+ A A+ F D+ D+ A+ C+ A+
1.22 70% 36% 27% -4 -2 0.91 33% 1.3 .44 7% .56 75% .42 0.86 42% 29% 30% -9 -2 0.80 21% 1.7 .35 15% .15 63% .10
Nov
16		 Notre Dame D- A D- C C+ 21% 34% 45% F C F F F C A+ A A+ A+ A+ F C+ C+ 31% 50% 19% A+ B A+ A+ A+ A- D- A+ C
0.96 70% 31% 33% 0 -3 0.96 12% 0.5 .06 15% .41 83% .34 0.94 47% 54% 33% +4 -4 1.02 23% 0.3 .06 19% .37 60% .22
Nov
20		 Western Michigan B A+ A+ D+ A- 33% 16% 51% D+ B+ A+ F C F+ A- A A A+ A- A A+ A+ 21% 42% 38% A+ A+ B B+ B+ A B- C B-
1.25 83% 56% 32% +10 0 1.22 47% 0.7 .33 17% .38 78% .30 0.80 45% 27% 25% -12 -4 0.70 26% 0.9 .23 22% .27 73% .19
Nov
25		 Mount St. Mary's A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 22% 28% 50% F+ A+ B- A+ A+ A- D A+ C A F F A+ C+ 25% 23% 52% A+ B- A+ A+ A+ F C A+ B
1.54 77% 75% 48% +25 -2 1.48 33% 1.6 .52 11% .29 84% .25 0.82 69% 58% 19% -5 -1 0.90 19% 0.4 .07 18% .30 56% .17
Nov
28		 Pittsburgh C- B+ C F C- 36% 17% 47% C C- B- B- B- D- B- A+ B+ A D A+ B B+ 36% 35% 29% A+ A- C A+ A+ F B- B+ B
1.01 65% 38% 27% -2 0 0.98 28% 1.0 .28 20% .29 87% .25 1.03 65% 26% 31% -3 -2 0.93 36% 0.4 .13 8% .27 63% .17
Dec
6		 Northwestern A A+ B D- A+ 50% 23% 27% B A+ C- B- C A- B+ F C B- C+ C A A 38% 20% 42% D+ A- F F F A+ C+ F D
1.20 85% 42% 29% +12 +1 1.27 30% 1.0 .30 15% .33 60% .20 1.15 58% 40% 29% -3 0 0.96 39% 1.8 .70 20% .31 89% .28
Dec
9		 Illinois A- A+ B+ D A- 24% 26% 50% B- B+ D+ A+ A+ A A+ C+ A+ C+ A- C- F D 23% 26% 51% A+ C- A+ A+ A+ C+ F F F
1.15 69% 43% 30% +1 -2 1.00 20% 1.9 .37 9% .33 71% .24 1.26 55% 42% 46% +9 -2 1.17 28% 0.9 .25 13% .53 91% .48
Dec
13		 West Virginia B+ B- A+ F C- 35% 32% 33% D- D+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ B- A+ B- F D+ 31% 27% 42% A+ C B C B- B- F F F
1.07 57% 47% 15% -7 -2 0.85 32% 1.9 .62 12% .33 88% .29 1.06 38% 36% 50% +3 -1 1.06 29% 1.1 .32 18% .50 76% .38
Dec
20		 North Carolina B D+ A+ F A- 24% 45% 31% F B A- F D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A- B- B- B+ A+ 36% 15% 49% C A B- D+ C D A+ A+ A+
1.08 50% 55% 27% +2 -4 0.98 33% 0.5 .18 9% .32 84% .27 1.10 58% 38% 31% -3 +1 0.98 32% 1.2 .37 11% .23 54% .12
Dec
23		 Grambling St. A+ A+ A+ B A+ 44% 20% 36% C- A+ A F F+ D+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ D- A B+ 33% 26% 41% B+ B+ F+ D F+ B- F C- F
1.33 85% 78% 38% +22 +1 1.47 43% 0.6 .24 21% .47 84% .40 0.94 40% 42% 26% -10 -1 0.80 33% 1.1 .36 22% .44 74% .33
Jan
2		 Rutgers A+ A+ F A+ A+ 48% 24% 29% C+ A+ A+ F B- D+ A+ A+ A+ D+ C F A+ B 33% 29% 38% C- B- F B+ F D+ B- D+ C+
1.29 75% 20% 50% +11 0 1.24 50% 0.7 .35 19% .46 83% .38 1.18 56% 50% 22% -4 -1 0.92 47% 1.0 .47 13% .31 76% .24
Jan
5		 Nebraska B D+ A+ A- A+ 30% 26% 44% B- A+ F F F A+ C F C- A- C- F A+ A- 35% 14% 51% C+ A- B A+ A A- D+ F D-
1.01 56% 50% 38% +5 -1 1.09 12% 0.5 .06 12% .22 62% .13 1.06 67% 57% 27% 0 +1 1.04 24% 0.8 .18 18% .30 82% .25
Jan
8		 Oregon A- A+ F F C+ 40% 24% 36% B- B- A+ B+ A+ D A+ B- A+ A A+ D- A+ A+ 28% 18% 54% A- A+ C A- B F D+ C D+
1.15 71% 30% 27% -1 0 1.00 43% 1.0 .43 19% .45 78% .35 0.99 36% 44% 22% -15 0 0.72 35% 1.0 .35 11% .36 75% .27
Jan
11		 Washington A- A+ D+ D B 33% 29% 38% C+ B A+ F B D+ B A+ A D C- F C+ C- 28% 36% 36% A C A D B F+ F F F
1.15 71% 33% 30% 0 -1 1.00 46% 0.7 .32 17% .28 87% .24 1.26 64% 50% 33% +6 -3 1.08 29% 1.2 .35 11% .40 83% .33
Jan
17		 UCLA A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ 23% 34% 43% F A A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ C+ D B F B- 17% 47% 36% A+ B+ D+ A+ B F C D+ C-
1.38 82% 50% 30% +7 -3 1.11 48% 1.4 .68 16% .48 84% .40 1.18 67% 36% 42% +5 -5 1.02 36% 0.9 .33 8% .33 79% .26
Jan
20		 Minnesota B+ A+ A- F+ B+ 33% 28% 39% C- B A A A+ A A- C A- B F+ A+ B- A- 29% 27% 45% A+ A B+ C+ B D- F F F
1.17 72% 47% 29% +4 -1 1.07 37% 1.1 .40 14% .30 72% .22 1.05 71% 23% 32% -2 -1 0.96 24% 1.0 .24 13% .41 80% .33
Jan
23		 Michigan B C A+ F B+ 24% 34% 42% D+ B A B A D D F+ D A D- F A+ A+ 47% 5% 49% D+ A+ D- F F A+ F A+ C-
0.95 50% 47% 24% -5 -3 0.86 33% 1.1 .36 20% .17 67% .12 1.14 70% 50% 19% -5 +3 0.98 44% 1.9 .85 22% .49 60% .29
Jan
26		 Penn St. B+ A+ A+ C A+ 27% 33% 41% F A F F+ F A+ A+ C+ A+ C- A+ F F+ D+ 25% 23% 52% A C F F F A+ F F F
1.23 77% 69% 35% +16 -2 1.29 19% 1.0 .19 13% .35 76% .27 1.14 45% 60% 39% +6 -1 1.11 36% 1.6 .56 26% .42 86% .36
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Wisconsin A F+ A C- C+ 25% 27% 47% D+ C A- B A- A+ B- A+ A C- D F B- C- 47% 11% 42% D C- A D- B+ F C F D-
1.17 47% 50% 32% -1 -2 0.97 33% 1.1 .36 10% .28 89% .25 1.31 67% 67% 33% +7 +2 1.19 23% 1.3 .30 7% .32 90% .29
Feb
5		 Maryland A+ B+ A+ C- A+ 41% 29% 29% D A A- A+ A+ B+ A+ F A+ A F F B D 24% 20% 56% B+ C- D+ D+ D A+ C+ A+ A
1.33 65% 58% 33% +8 -1 1.17 35% 1.8 .62 13% .56 60% .34 1.01 70% 50% 30% +2 -1 1.05 39% 1.1 .43 26% .33 53% .18
Feb
8		 Michigan C F+ B+ C A- 25% 35% 40% D B+ C C+ C+ C- A A+ A+ C B A- F C+ 44% 22% 35% A B- D A+ A+ D- A+ F A+
0.92 42% 41% 32% -4 -3 0.88 25% 1.0 .25 18% .30 88% .26 1.24 58% 33% 47% +6 0 1.15 44% 0.8 .36 12% .12 86% .10
Feb
11		 USC A A+ A+ C+ A+ 24% 34% 42% F A+ C+ D- C- B- A+ A+ A+ C D+ C A- B- 28% 44% 28% A+ A- D+ C+ C D- F C F
1.21 75% 65% 33% +13 -3 1.22 31% 0.8 .23 16% .40 96% .39 1.11 64% 41% 29% +1 -4 0.96 37% 1.0 .37 14% .52 73% .38
Feb
14		 Virginia B- B+ C A+ A+ 27% 49% 24% F A F+ F F+ A F F F A C- A+ B A 31% 31% 38% A+ A+ B A+ A+ B+ F B+ F
1.00 60% 37% 46% +4 -4 1.02 17% 0.7 .11 12% .16 67% .10 1.06 62% 31% 31% -3 -2 0.93 35% 0.8 .29 18% .60 69% .41
Feb
17		 Wisconsin A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ 29% 33% 39% D- A+ A+ B+ A+ F A D+ A- A+ D- D A+ A- 25% 29% 45% A+ A B- D- C- A+ B A+ A+
1.25 79% 31% 53% +14 -2 1.27 39% 1.1 .43 20% .35 68% .24 1.00 69% 47% 26% 0 -2 0.98 29% 1.3 .38 17% .28 50% .14
Feb
22		 Michigan St. B- A+ A+ F B 25% 33% 41% D- B- D- A+ C A+ B+ F C A+ A+ C- A+ A+ 38% 38% 24% A A+ C B B- C- F B F
0.97 69% 59% 14% -2 -3 0.92 13% 1.3 .16 10% .30 59% .18 1.06 47% 41% 18% -9 -2 0.80 41% 1.0 .41 16% .48 72% .35
Feb
25		 Iowa C C- F+ A+ A- 36% 28% 36% D B+ F+ F F A- A+ D- A C- F A+ B+ D+ 53% 9% 37% F D A+ C+ A+ D C F D
0.97 57% 27% 50% +5 -1 1.10 17% 0.4 .07 19% .44 67% .29 1.26 83% 25% 31% +10 +3 1.28 18% 1.0 .18 12% .33 88% .29
Mar
1		 Purdue A+ A+ B+ C A 22% 27% 51% C- A- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ B+ C- A+ 30% 20% 50% C A+ A+ F A- D- A+ B A+
1.33 78% 45% 33% +6 -2 1.10 34% 1.9 .66 11% .59 78% .46 1.20 50% 36% 37% 0 -1 1.00 28% 1.4 .39 10% .18 70% .13
Mar
4		 Penn St. A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 36% 16% 49% C+ A+ C- F F C B+ F B- A+ B- A+ F A- 32% 25% 43% A A A+ A+ A+ C F F F
1.45 75% 57% 73% +37 0 1.78 28% 0.4 .11 19% .28 67% .19 0.96 57% 9% 42% -2 -1 0.95 3% 0.0 .00 15% .44 83% .37
Mar
7		 Indiana A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 22% 28% 50% D A+ D- A+ B C A+ A+ A+ C+ F A A+ C+ 34% 30% 36% A+ B A+ F D+ A- D D D-
1.34 80% 62% 43% +19 -2 1.35 20% 1.8 .35 16% .44 88% .39 1.15 94% 36% 24% +6 -1 1.11 20% 1.8 .36 18% .38 81% .30
Mar
12		 Iowa A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ 43% 14% 43% B A+ C- A+ A+ A+ A- C+ A- C+ B C F D+ 35% 18% 48% B C- B- D C B F+ D+ F+
1.24 78% 67% 28% +9 +1 1.21 23% 2.2 .50 16% .39 74% .29 1.19 57% 43% 47% +10 0 1.23 30% 1.1 .35 17% .40 79% .31



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 94.7% 1.3% 93.4% 8.3 0.0 0.1 1.2 5.0 14.1 30.7 28.8 13.3 1.4 5.3 94.6%
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 94.7% 1.3% 93.4% 8.3 5.3 94.6%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.3% 100.0% 5.6 2.3 6.8 31.6 45.1 12.8 1.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.8% 100.0% 6.8 0.4 0.4 8.3 25.4 42.4 19.9 2.9 0.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 8.8% 99.5% 7.4 0.1 2.9 14.5 34.5 33.9 11.7 1.9
Lose Out 87.1% 93.9% 8.5 0.0 0.4 2.7 11.1 31.2 31.8 15.0 1.6