Alabama
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +18.9 14
Results Rating +20.5 11
Consistency 0.12 37
Pace 81.4 3
Improvement -1.4 240

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A+ 2 A- B+ A B+ B+
Defense B 50 A- B D B+ B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 248 B+ 65% 47 +1.2 134
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 360 A+ 54% 2 -3.2 326
Three Pointers 55% 3 B 37% 55 +9.8 2
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ +1.4 28 A- +6.0 25
1st FG Attempt A- 1.18 17
Second Chance B 34.7% 57 B+ 1.17 31 B+ 0.41 31
Opponents' Steals B 7.9% 45
Other Turnovers A 4.8% 4
Turnovers A 12.7% 10
Freethrows B- 0.34 70 B+ 77% 31 B+ 0.26 40
Total Offense A+ +14.1 2

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 46% 233 C+ 10.1% 124
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F+ 9% 359 B- 3.5% 68
Three Pointers B- 87% 115 B 0.3% 49
Total B- 60% 87 B+ 4.1% 33


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 282 A- 49% 16 -5.2 38
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 22 B 34% 48 +1.7 314
Three Pointers 37% 291 B 31% 62 -3.5 40
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ -1.2 27 A- -5.8 16
1st FG Attempt A- 0.88 15
Second Chance B 27.1% 66 B 0.95 63 B 0.26 46
Turnovers from Steals C 9.6% 176
Other Turnovers F 4.6% 365
Turnovers D 14.2% 327
Freethrows B 0.26 43 A 67% 6 B+ 0.17 22
Total Defense B +4.9 50

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 84 B 15.2% 46
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 89 B- 7.0% 61
Three Pointers B- 80% 65 B- 1.3% 90
Total B 49% 46 B 7.7% 40

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 14.2 3 17.9 273
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 37 0.13 48
Consistency 0.09 12 0.10 36
Improvement -1.5 269 +0.1 186

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Lock
Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 19 14 9
Results Rating Rank 17 12 6
Conference Record 12 - 6 13 - 5 14 - 4
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed 5 3 2
NCAA Tourney Finish 2nd Round Sweet 16 Final 4

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 3% 5% 1%
Top 2 Seed 20% 31% 9%
Top 4 Seed 85% 95% 75%
Top 6 Seed 100% 100% 100%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100% 100% 100%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100% 100% 100%
Average Seed 3.4 3.0 3.8
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round100% 100% 100%
Second Round95% 97% 93%
Sweet Sixteen58% 62% 54%
Elite Eight24% 28% 21%
Final Four9% 10% 8%
Championship Game3% 4% 3%
National Champion1% 1% 1%
Next Game: Georgia (Away) - 52.9% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 65 - 6
Quad 1b5 - 19 - 8
Quad 28 - 117 - 9
Quad 35 - 022 - 9
Quad 42 - 024 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 304 North Dakota W 91 - 62 99% +17  99% 1 - 0 A- +18 C+ +2 B F C- A+ +14 C A+ D+
 Sat, Nov 8 20 @St. John's W 103 - 96 42% +4  80% 2 - 0 A+ +28 A+ +22 A A A+ B +4 C+ B C+
 Thu, Nov 13 7 Purdue L 80 - 87 55% -2  18% 2 - 1 B +11 A- +11 A- D A+ C -1 B+ B B
 Wed, Nov 19 5 Illinois W 90 - 86 37% +1  46% 3 - 1 A+ +26 A +12 A+ A+ C+ A+ +14 A- A+ B-
 Mon, Nov 24 13 Gonzaga L 85 - 95 50% -1  40% 3 - 2 B +9 A +12 A+ B- A- C- -2 A F C+
 Tue, Nov 25 116 UNLV W 115 - 76 92% +16  95% 4 - 2 A+ +42 A+ +26 A+ A+ B+ A+ +12 A- A+ D-
 Wed, Nov 26 104 Maryland W 105 - 72 91% +20  99% 5 - 2 A+ +37 A+ +23 A+ A+ C+ A+ +11 B+ A+ F
 Wed, Dec 3 39 Clemson W 90 - 84 79% +9  92% 6 - 2 A- +16 A+ +19 A+ A A+ D+ -3 B- A+ F
 Sun, Dec 7 333 Texas San Antonio W 97 - 55 99% +27  97% 7 - 2 A+ +27 B- +5 F+ C+ A+ A+ +18 A- A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 3 Arizona L 75 - 96 26% -7  28% 7 - 3 C+ +5 B +7 A+ F D+ C -1 B A F
 Wed, Dec 17 54 South Florida W 104 - 93 86% +8  89% 8 - 3 A +18 A+ +21 A- A+ B D+ -3 A- F A-
 Sun, Dec 21 156 Kennesaw St. W 92 - 81 95% +18  98% 9 - 3 B +11 B- +5 D+ B- A+ B +4 B+ F+ B+
 Mon, Dec 29 89 Yale W 102 - 78 92% +19  96% 10 - 3 A+ +27 A+ +26 B+ A+ A+ C+ +1 A+ F F+
 Sat, Jan 3 23 Kentucky W 89 - 74 71% +11  91% 11 - 3 1 - 0 A+ +28 A+ +18 A+ A A- A +10 A+ B- B-
 Wed, Jan 7 17 @Vanderbilt L 90 - 96 41% -5  10% 11 - 4 1 - 1 A- +15 B+ +9 F+ A+ A- A- +7 A+ B- D-
 Sat, Jan 10 27 Texas L 88 - 92 74% -5  10% 11 - 5 1 - 2 B +8 A +12 B+ B- A D+ -4 B+ C F
 Tue, Jan 13 91 @Mississippi St. W 97 - 82 82% +5  52% 12 - 5 2 - 2 A+ +24 A+ +18 B+ A- A+ B+ +5 A+ B+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 46 @Oklahoma W 83 - 81 65% -2  29% 13 - 5 3 - 2 A- +17 B +6 C+ B- B- A+ +11 A+ B- D+
 Sat, Jan 24 16 Tennessee L 73 - 79 64% +1  49% 13 - 6 3 - 3 B +9 A- +9 C+ A A+ C -0 C A+ D
 Tue, Jan 27 44 Missouri W 90 - 64 82% +12  87% 14 - 6 4 - 3 A+ +35 A +12 B+ C+ A+ A+ +22 A+ B C
 Sun, Feb 1 4 @Florida L 77 - 100 19% -11  6% 14 - 7 4 - 4 B- +5 B+ +9 A+ B+ F C- -2 B- A- F
 Wed, Feb 4 34 Texas A&M W 100 - 97 78% +0  45% 15 - 7 5 - 4 B+ +14 A+ +19 A- C+ A+ D -5 C B+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 40 @Auburn W 96 - 92 60% -2  38% 16 - 7 6 - 4 A +20 A+ +18 A+ A+ C C+ +2 C+ B+ F
 Wed, Feb 11 74 @Mississippi W 93 - 74 78% +4  56% 17 - 7 7 - 4 A+ +30 A+ +18 C- A+ A+ A +11 B+ A D
 Sat, Feb 14 95 South Carolina W 89 - 75 93% +8  89% 18 - 7 8 - 4 A- +17 B+ +9 A+ D- C A- +7 A- A+ F+
 Wed, Feb 18 19 Arkansas W 117 - 115 2OT 65% -4  29% 19 - 7 9 - 4 A- +17 A+ +22 A+ C+ A D -5 B B- F+
 Sat, Feb 21 58 @LSU W 90 - 83 72% +6  79% 20 - 7 10 - 4 A +20 A+ +17 B- A- A B- +2 A D C
 Wed, Feb 25 91 Mississippi St. W 100 - 75 92% +23  99% 21 - 7 11 - 4 A+ +28 A+ +19 A+ A+ D- A- +8 A+ F+ C+
 Sat, Feb 28 16 @Tennessee W 71 - 69 41% -6  1% 22 - 7 12 - 4 A+ +23 A+ +15 A- A- B A- +8 A+ D+ F
 Tue, Mar 3 29 @Georgia W 96 - 95 53%
 Sat, Mar 7 40 Auburn W 95 - 86 79%
Totals 23 - 8 13 - 5 +19 A+ +14 B A- B+ B +5 B B+ B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A+ B+ A+ B A- 36% 14% 55% B+ A- B B+ B+ A B- B+ B+ B A- B B A- 35% 28% 37% B+ A- B B B D B A B+
1.29 65% 54% 37% +6 +1 1.18 35% 1.2 .41 13% .34 77% .26 1.02 49% 34% 31% -6 -1 0.88 27% 1.0 .26 14% .26 67% .23
Nov
3		 North Dakota C+ A+ A+ D- B- 44% 6% 50% B B C+ F F C- A B+ A+ A+ C- C A- C- 44% 25% 32% B+ C A+ A+ A+ D+ A- A+ A+
1.23 78% 67% 31% +8 +2 1.23 37% 0.7 .27 20% .46 78% .36 0.84 56% 36% 28% -4 0 0.93 17% 0.1 .02 14% .27 53% .14
Nov
8		 St. John's A+ A A+ D A 39% 17% 43% B- A B- A+ A A+ C+ F C- B C F A C+ 48% 26% 26% B+ C+ A+ F B C+ F B F
1.22 63% 50% 30% +1 0 1.06 30% 1.4 .41 8% .28 64% .18 1.14 57% 47% 27% -1 0 1.00 26% 1.5 .38 14% .55 70% .39
Nov
13		 Purdue A- B- D A- A- 21% 15% 65% B A- D D D A+ D- A+ D+ C B B- F B 32% 34% 34% A B+ F A+ B B F B F+
1.16 62% 33% 38% +3 0 1.08 18% 1.0 .18 9% .16 80% .13 1.26 59% 39% 44% +6 -2 1.09 48% 0.8 .40 15% .39 70% .27
Nov
19		 Illinois A A B B A+ 26% 19% 56% A- A+ B- A+ A+ C+ A+ B A+ A+ C A+ D+ A- 37% 18% 45% B A- A+ B A+ B- C- A+ A-
1.14 64% 40% 37% +4 -1 1.09 28% 1.4 .39 13% .33 74% .25 1.09 64% 18% 37% 0 0 1.03 33% 1.1 .38 14% .33 59% .19
Nov
24		 Gonzaga A A+ B C+ A+ 36% 17% 47% A- A+ A- D B- A- A F B- C- B F A+ A 35% 31% 35% B A F D+ F C+ F D+ F
1.11 71% 40% 33% +5 0 1.12 32% 0.8 .24 17% .36 61% .22 1.24 58% 53% 26% +1 -2 1.00 47% 1.3 .58 14% .40 73% .29
Nov
25		 UNLV A+ B A+ A+ A+ 40% 9% 51% B+ A+ A+ C+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A F B- A- 38% 20% 42% C+ A- A+ A A+ D- A+ A+ A+
1.46 64% 80% 43% +13 +2 1.31 44% 1.1 .50 15% .53 83% .44 0.97 46% 54% 33% -2 0 0.98 23% 0.7 .16 13% .20 50% .10
Nov
26		 Maryland A+ A+ F A+ A+ 43% 7% 50% A A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ C- A+ B A+ A+ F D+ B+ 39% 22% 39% C+ B+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ A A+
1.37 84% 0% 45% +17 +2 1.40 39% 1.3 .50 16% .28 83% .23 0.94 32% 50% 36% -6 0 0.89 25% 0.6 .16 12% .16 64% .10
Dec
3		 Clemson A+ C A+ B A+ 31% 14% 55% B+ A+ A+ B A A+ A+ D A+ D+ B+ F A+ B 57% 16% 27% D B- F A+ A+ F F D- F
1.25 56% 71% 36% +5 0 1.14 34% 1.1 .37 12% .49 71% .35 1.17 53% 78% 27% +1 +2 1.07 41% 0.3 .14 10% .43 79% .34
Dec
7		 Texas San Antonio B- A A+ F F 30% 6% 64% B- F+ C B- C+ A+ C A+ B A+ A C A+ A- 26% 20% 54% B A- A+ A A+ A+ C- A+ A
1.25 70% 50% 23% -6 +1 0.93 37% 1.2 .43 6% .28 85% .23 0.71 43% 36% 24% -12 -1 0.76 19% 0.8 .15 23% .27 44% .12
Dec
13		 Arizona B B A+ A A+ 26% 15% 58% A A+ F F+ F D+ B+ B- B+ C A- D- F+ B 40% 26% 34% C B D+ A+ A F A+ B+ A+
0.99 57% 50% 39% +6 0 1.13 9% 0.7 .06 20% .29 72% .21 1.26 54% 47% 41% +4 -1 1.09 43% 0.7 .29 5% .28 70% .19
Dec
17		 South Florida A+ F A+ A A- 29% 22% 49% C A- A+ C- A+ B A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ F B- B+ 38% 15% 47% A- A- F C F A- F D- F
1.32 38% 67% 41% +5 -1 1.11 49% 0.9 .44 18% .54 83% .45 1.18 38% 50% 31% -8 +1 0.87 50% 1.2 .58 19% .53 79% .42
Dec
21		 Kennesaw St. B- C+ D F+ D+ 40% 14% 46% C+ D+ C A- B- A+ F B- F+ B C- C A- B- 30% 33% 37% A+ B+ C F F+ B+ A- F C+
1.17 58% 33% 30% -4 +1 0.97 30% 1.2 .34 10% .33 78% .25 1.03 59% 37% 29% -3 -2 0.91 35% 1.2 .42 20% .29 78% .22
Dec
29		 Yale A+ C- A A- B+ 23% 3% 73% B+ B+ A+ C+ A+ A+ C- B C C+ A+ D+ D+ A+ 40% 21% 40% C+ A+ D F F F+ F B F
1.48 57% 50% 39% +5 +1 1.15 47% 1.1 .51 7% .25 75% .19 1.13 33% 45% 38% -6 0 0.91 36% 1.4 .51 12% .43 73% .31
Jan
3		 Kentucky A+ C+ A+ A- A 38% 5% 57% A+ A+ A B+ A A- C- B- C- A D- A+ A+ A+ 38% 26% 36% B+ A+ A- D B- B- F B F
1.24 57% 67% 38% +4 +2 1.14 36% 0.9 .33 14% .26 75% .19 1.03 70% 21% 21% -7 -1 0.87 31% 1.3 .38 17% .49 69% .34
Jan
7		 Vanderbilt B+ C+ A+ F F 26% 16% 57% B- F+ A A+ A+ A- A+ C+ A+ A- B A- C+ A+ 36% 30% 34% A A+ A+ F B- D- F A F
1.09 56% 50% 17% -13 0 0.75 38% 1.3 .48 16% .54 76% .41 1.16 58% 31% 33% -2 -1 0.94 21% 1.8 .36 10% .67 70% .47
Jan
10		 Texas A F+ D+ A+ B+ 41% 17% 43% B+ B+ B+ C- B- A A+ D+ A- D+ A A+ F B 31% 27% 42% A B+ D B C F F A D
1.23 45% 33% 48% +3 +1 1.09 30% 0.9 .28 10% .42 70% .29 1.29 50% 29% 45% +2 -1 1.04 42% 1.1 .47 10% .50 69% .34
Jan
13		 Mississippi St. A+ D- B B+ B 33% 12% 55% A B+ C A+ A- A+ A+ A A+ B+ D+ A+ B A+ 25% 36% 39% A+ A+ B- B+ B+ F D- C D-
1.26 47% 43% 38% 0 +1 1.03 26% 1.4 .37 7% .46 82% .38 1.07 65% 21% 31% -6 -3 0.84 29% 0.9 .27 5% .34 68% .23
Jan
17		 Oklahoma B A D+ D- C+ 33% 17% 50% B C+ B- C+ B- B- A+ F B A+ A B+ A A+ 33% 30% 37% A A+ D+ A- B- D+ C- F D-
1.11 67% 33% 30% -1 0 1.00 33% 1.1 .36 15% .41 58% .23 1.08 47% 35% 29% -7 -2 0.84 37% 1.1 .41 12% .33 86% .29
Jan
24		 Tennessee A- A- B F C+ 29% 20% 51% C C+ B- A+ A A+ A+ B+ A+ C C- F+ D D 33% 35% 33% A+ C A+ A+ A+ D F B- D-
1.09 64% 40% 24% -5 -1 0.90 26% 1.3 .34 10% .40 71% .28 1.18 63% 47% 38% +6 -2 1.10 38% 0.7 .27 15% .44 68% .30
Jan
27		 Missouri A C- A+ B- B- 30% 7% 63% A B+ D- A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 43% 20% 37% B- A+ B C+ B C C A+ A+
1.21 53% 50% 36% +1 +1 1.07 22% 1.3 .27 9% .39 88% .34 0.86 52% 18% 20% -14 0 0.74 33% 1.1 .37 18% .38 35% .13
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
1		 Florida B+ C+ F A+ A+ 27% 16% 56% B A+ B- A+ B+ F D- C D C- D- A+ A B- 63% 20% 17% C B- B+ B A- F C+ A B
1.00 53% 22% 42% +3 0 1.07 24% 1.0 .24 23% .22 69% .15 1.29 71% 15% 27% +2 +2 1.09 38% 1.0 .38 3% .35 65% .23
Feb
4		 Texas A&M A+ A+ A+ D+ A- 22% 8% 70% B- A- C B C+ A+ A+ D- A+ D D+ A+ F C- 36% 16% 48% A C A+ F B+ F F+ B D
1.28 85% 60% 31% +4 0 1.12 30% 1.0 .30 8% .44 69% .30 1.24 64% 30% 41% +6 0 1.15 14% 1.8 .25 8% .39 71% .28
Feb
7		 Auburn A+ B+ D A+ A+ 44% 17% 39% B+ A+ D+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ C+ D+ F+ B B- 43% 14% 43% C- C+ B- B+ B+ F A C- A-
1.29 63% 33% 48% +9 +1 1.22 25% 1.9 .46 19% .38 87% .33 1.23 64% 50% 32% +3 +1 1.10 38% 0.9 .35 7% .32 77% .24
Feb
11		 Mississippi A+ F F C D 25% 5% 70% A C- C- A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A D+ A C- B+ 27% 40% 33% B+ B+ A+ B A D A+ A+ A+
1.26 43% 0% 33% -7 +1 0.91 27% 1.8 .49 8% .38 92% .35 1.00 69% 29% 35% 0 -3 0.95 21% 1.0 .21 11% .20 62% .12
Feb
14		 South Carolina B+ C- A+ A+ A+ 34% 9% 57% A- A+ D F D- C A+ C A+ A- C+ D A+ A 35% 21% 44% B- A- A+ B A+ F+ A- F B
1.18 56% 60% 43% +9 +1 1.23 24% 0.8 .18 16% .42 70% .30 0.99 59% 46% 22% -6 0 0.90 10% 1.0 .10 11% .27 89% .24
Feb
18		 Arkansas A+ A+ A+ A- A+ 42% 13% 45% B+ A+ A- F C+ A A+ A+ A+ D B+ D+ F C+ 36% 36% 27% A+ B B- C+ B- F+ A F B+
1.34 76% 63% 37% +13 +1 1.30 36% 1.0 .36 14% .45 79% .36 1.31 56% 41% 50% +7 -2 1.11 33% 1.3 .41 8% .24 84% .20
Feb
21		 LSU A+ F+ A+ B C+ 35% 8% 56% A- B- A B A- A A+ A+ A+ B- B- A+ D- A 38% 30% 32% A A F+ C+ D C C- B+ C+
1.27 47% 50% 37% 0 +1 1.04 38% 1.0 .38 11% .59 81% .48 1.17 57% 18% 39% -4 -1 0.91 41% 1.2 .48 14% .36 73% .26
Feb
25		 Mississippi St. A+ C F A+ A+ 28% 2% 70% A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ D- D- B- D A- B+ A+ C- A+ 18% 25% 57% A A+ B+ F F+ C+ A+ A+ A+
1.32 56% 0% 48% +13 +2 1.32 38% 1.1 .44 17% .21 77% .16 0.99 55% 13% 34% -6 -2 0.85 27% 1.6 .42 16% .19 50% .09
Feb
28		 Tennessee A+ C- A- B- A- 35% 18% 47% B- A- B A A- B D A+ B- A- A+ C A+ A+ 36% 38% 26% A+ A+ F B- D+ F A+ A A+
1.13 53% 44% 35% 0 0 1.02 29% 1.1 .32 16% .25 85% .21 1.10 37% 40% 21% -12 -2 0.74 54% 1.0 .54 10% .14 63% .09



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 0.3 1st
2nd 5.7 47.6 42.0 95.3 2nd
3rd 4.4 4.4 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 10.1 47.6 42.2 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.6% 0.3    0.3
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.3



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 42.2% 100.0% 14.5% 85.5% 2.9 2.7 12.1 17.2 8.9 1.3 0.0 100.0%
13-5 47.6% 100.0% 13.1% 86.9% 3.6 0.6 4.6 16.6 17.5 7.6 0.8 0.0 100.0%
12-6 10.1% 100.0% 11.7% 88.3% 4.4 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.3 3.6 1.2 0.1 100.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 13.6% 86.4% 3.4 100.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 6.1% 100.0% 1.9 26.0 60.2 13.3 0.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 9.8% 100.0% 2.6 6.0 41.5 43.4 8.8 0.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 11.5% 100.0% 3.1 2.4 19.7 49.2 25.7 2.9 0.0
Lose Out 4.0% 100.0% 5.0 0.1 3.0 20.9 49.1 25.0 1.9