West Virginia
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +9.9 #57
Expected Predictive Rating +10.9 #55
Pace 60.5 #358
Improvement +1.8 #98

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #91 C+ C+ B- C C
Defense #33 B+ B C+ B C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #209 1.19 #131 +0.0 #175
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #224 0.79 #121 -0.6 #210
Three Pointers 45% #110 1.07 #102 +3.1 #81
1st FG Attempt 1.07 #112 +2.5 #112
Freethrows 0.32 #142 68% #309 0.21 #191
Second Chance 31.3% #158 1.14 #67 0.36 #95
Turnovers 15.1% #102
Total Offense +3.3 #91

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #254 1.04 #47 +3.6 #64
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #127 0.51 #1 +2.1 #36
Three Pointers 42% #149 1.00 #159 -0.2 #186
1st FG Attempt 0.91 #36 +5.6 #36
Freethrows 0.24 #34 72% #137 0.17 #33
Second Chance 25.0% #23 1.03 #147 0.26 #41
Turnovers 17.5% #108
Total Defense +6.6 #33

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.5% #158 -0.7% #105
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 4.2% #110 -10.3% #35
Possession Length 18.9 #323 18.6 #335
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #210 0.13 #49
Improvement +1.4 #108 +0.4 #169

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.5% 0.8% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 30.6% 38.0% 20.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 30.4% 37.8% 20.5%
Average Seed 9.7 9.6 9.9
.500 or above 96.7% 99.3% 93.2%
.500 or above in Conference 71.3% 83.2% 55.4%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four10.1% 11.4% 8.3%
First Round24.7% 31.3% 15.8%
Second Round9.0% 11.6% 5.4%
Sweet Sixteen1.4% 1.7% 0.9%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Baylor (Home) - 57.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 44 - 10
Quad 24 - 38 - 13
Quad 33 - 011 - 13
Quad 48 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 286 Mount St. Mary's W 70 - 54 96% +6  1 - 0 +6 -3 C- F C +9 A+ F A+
 Thu, Nov 6 207 Campbell W 73 - 65 92% +6  2 - 0 +2 -2 F C B- +5 A- C+ C-
 Sun, Nov 9 304 Lehigh W 69 - 47 97% +18  3 - 0 +11 -2 C C+ F+ +15 B A+ A+
 Thu, Nov 13 92 Pittsburgh W 71 - 49 75% +9  4 - 0 +25 +6 C C+ A+ +21 B+ A+ A
 Mon, Nov 17 316 Lafayette W 81 - 59 97% +11  5 - 0 +10 +6 B B- C- +4 D+ B A+
 Fri, Nov 21 32 Clemson L 67 - 70 34% +2  5 - 1 +11 +7 C- B+ A+ +4 C A+ B+
 Sun, Nov 23 83 Xavier L 68 - 78 62% -3  5 - 2 -3 +1 D C+ B- -4 D A- B+
 Sun, Nov 30 308 Mercyhurst W 70 - 38 97% +18  6 - 2 +20 +5 C B+ C+ +21 A+ B- A+
 Wed, Dec 3 364 Coppin St. W 91 - 49 99% +14  7 - 2 +19 +8 D C A+ +12 A+ B+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 68 Wake Forest L 66 - 75 56% -6  7 - 3 -1 +8 C A F -10 F+ B B
 Tue, Dec 9 279 Arkansas Little Rock W 90 - 58 96% +22  8 - 3 +22 +22 A+ C B+ +4 A C- D
 Sat, Dec 13 35 Ohio St. L 88 - 89 2OT 35% +4  8 - 4 +13 +6 A D+ D- +7 A+ F+ D
 Mon, Dec 22 365 Mississippi Valley W 86 - 51 100% +22  9 - 4 +8 +20 B A+ A+ -5 A+ D- D
 Fri, Jan 2 9 @Iowa St. L 59 - 80 11% -10  9 - 5 0 - 1 +2 +8 C C+ A- -9 F B- A-
 Tue, Jan 6 52 Cincinnati W 62 - 60 60% +3  10 - 5 1 - 1 +9 +4 A+ F+ F+ +5 B+ B D
 Sat, Jan 10 17 Kansas W 86 - 75 31% +1  11 - 5 2 - 1 +26 +26 A+ A+ C+ +1 A- B+ F+
 Tue, Jan 13 4 @Houston L 48 - 77 9% -16  11 - 6 2 - 2 -5 -6 C+ D D+ -2 B+ F C-
 Sat, Jan 17 80 Colorado W 72 - 61 71% +6  12 - 6 3 - 2 +15 +12 B A+ C +5 A+ A- D-
 Wed, Jan 21 77 @Arizona St. W 75 - 63 48% -1  13 - 6 4 - 2 +23 +11 A C+ C- +13 B B+ A
 Sat, Jan 24 2 @Arizona L 53 - 88 6% -19  13 - 7 4 - 3 -8 -5 D C- B- -4 D+ A+ F
 Tue, Jan 27 87 Kansas St. W 59 - 54 73% +0  14 - 7 5 - 3 +9 -4 D B- D +13 A+ A+ C
 Sat, Jan 31 48 Baylor W 72 - 70 57%
 Thu, Feb 5 52 @Cincinnati L 62 - 65 37%
 Sun, Feb 8 15 Texas Tech L 67 - 72 31%
 Sat, Feb 14 49 @Central Florida L 69 - 73 36%
 Wed, Feb 18 104 Utah W 75 - 67 78%
 Sat, Feb 21 45 @TCU L 64 - 69 33%
 Tue, Feb 24 63 @Oklahoma St. L 73 - 75 43%
 Sat, Feb 28 14 BYU L 68 - 74 29%
 Tue, Mar 3 87 @Kansas St. W 72 - 71 51%
 Fri, Mar 6 49 Central Florida W 72 - 70 58%
Totals 19 - 12 10 - 8 +10 +3 C+ C+ B- +7 B+ B C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.3 0.4 0.0 2.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.1 1.5 0.1 5.4 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 4.9 4.0 0.3 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 6.7 7.4 1.2 16.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 7.2 10.5 2.4 0.1 21.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 6.1 10.2 3.3 0.1 20.3 8th
9th 0.1 2.9 7.5 2.6 0.1 13.2 9th
10th 0.7 3.8 2.0 0.1 6.6 10th
11th 0.0 1.3 1.2 0.1 2.7 11th
12th 0.2 0.8 0.1 1.2 12th
13th 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 13th
14th 0.1 0.0 0.1 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 15th
16th 16th
Total 0.5 3.1 8.5 16.6 21.1 21.5 15.6 8.8 3.4 0.9 0.1 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4 5.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.9% 97.1% 1.2% 95.9% 7.3 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 97.0%
13-5 3.4% 89.9% 1.3% 88.5% 8.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.3 89.7%
12-6 8.8% 76.9% 0.8% 76.1% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.5 2.0 0.6 2.0 76.7%
11-7 15.6% 58.4% 0.3% 58.1% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 3.6 2.6 6.5 58.3%
10-8 21.5% 34.6% 0.1% 34.5% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.6 3.9 0.0 14.1 34.5%
9-9 21.1% 14.1% 0.1% 14.1% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.4 0.1 18.2 14.1%
8-10 16.6% 1.8% 0.0% 1.8% 11.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 16.3 1.8%
7-11 8.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 8.5 0.1%
6-12 3.1% 3.1
5-13 0.5% 0.5
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 30.6% 0.2% 30.3% 9.7 69.4 30.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%