Monmouth
Colonial Athletic
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.7#351
Expected Predictive Rating-13.5#348
Pace69.0#153
Improvement+0.5#128

Offense
Total Offense-9.8#359
First Shot-9.9#359
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#163
Layup/Dunks+1.0#124
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#218
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.9#359
Freethrows-1.4#289
Improvement-0.5#278

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#262
First Shot-0.5#192
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#347
Layups/Dunks+2.3#81
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#16
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#312
Freethrows-1.6#293
Improvement+1.1#41
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 58.4% 39.1% 64.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Delaware (Home) - 23.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 50 - 9
Quad 30 - 90 - 17
Quad 44 - 94 - 27


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2022 41   @ Seton Hall L 52-79 2%     0 - 1 -13.5 -14.8 +3.3
  Nov 11, 2022 16   @ Virginia L 42-89 1%     0 - 2 -30.1 -17.0 -19.2
  Nov 14, 2022 17   @ Illinois L 65-103 1%     0 - 3 -21.1 -5.4 -11.6
  Nov 17, 2022 203   Norfolk St. L 59-64 22%     0 - 4 -9.4 -20.5 +11.3
  Nov 21, 2022 118   @ Colgate L 66-85 6%     0 - 5 -13.6 -4.5 -10.0
  Nov 25, 2022 105   Cornell L 63-81 10%     0 - 6 -16.8 -19.3 +3.9
  Nov 27, 2022 258   @ Lehigh L 76-80 17%     0 - 7 -6.4 +2.4 -8.7
  Nov 30, 2022 196   @ Rider L 62-88 10%     0 - 8 -24.7 -12.8 -11.4
  Dec 04, 2022 294   @ Manhattan W 76-69 21%     1 - 8 +2.7 +1.2 +1.5
  Dec 10, 2022 115   @ Princeton L 54-91 5%     1 - 9 -31.3 -18.8 -11.4
  Dec 12, 2022 75   @ Syracuse L 71-86 3%     1 - 10 -5.3 +7.4 -14.0
  Dec 17, 2022 110   Charlotte L 46-80 11%     1 - 11 -33.2 -20.7 -17.1
  Dec 22, 2022 92   Yale L 44-76 8%     1 - 12 -29.4 -27.6 -1.5
  Dec 28, 2022 152   UNC Wilmington L 55-68 16%     1 - 13 0 - 1 -15.0 -12.9 -3.2
  Jan 05, 2023 313   Stony Brook L 56-67 43%     1 - 14 0 - 2 -21.9 -19.3 -3.3
  Jan 07, 2023 202   @ Drexel L 35-67 10%     1 - 15 0 - 3 -30.9 -31.2 -4.1
  Jan 11, 2023 107   @ Hofstra L 57-77 5%     1 - 16 0 - 4 -13.5 -7.7 -8.1
  Jan 14, 2023 141   @ Towson L 48-68 7%     1 - 17 0 - 5 -15.6 -16.7 -1.6
  Jan 19, 2023 83   College of Charleston L 55-69 7%     1 - 18 0 - 6 -10.2 -14.3 +3.6
  Jan 21, 2023 342   Hampton L 66-83 57%     1 - 19 0 - 7 -31.5 -16.0 -15.4
  Jan 26, 2023 152   @ UNC Wilmington L 49-52 7%     1 - 20 0 - 8 +0.4 -15.4 +15.6
  Jan 28, 2023 277   @ N.C. A&T W 79-64 19%     2 - 20 1 - 8 +11.8 +3.7 +8.1
  Feb 02, 2023 206   Delaware L 63-71 24%    
  Feb 04, 2023 202   Drexel L 58-66 23%    
  Feb 08, 2023 313   @ Stony Brook L 61-68 24%    
  Feb 11, 2023 107   Hofstra L 62-76 10%    
  Feb 13, 2023 277   N.C. A&T L 67-71 36%    
  Feb 16, 2023 252   @ Northeastern L 60-71 16%    
  Feb 18, 2023 334   Elon W 67-66 52%    
  Feb 23, 2023 342   @ Hampton L 68-72 35%    
  Feb 25, 2023 305   @ William & Mary L 63-71 24%    
Projected Record 4 - 27 3 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 7th
8th 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 0.6 0.0 2.2 9th
10th 0.1 2.6 2.5 0.2 5.4 10th
11th 2.2 10.3 9.4 1.4 0.0 23.3 11th
12th 2.6 13.9 11.7 1.8 0.0 30.0 12th
13th 6.5 17.4 11.9 1.9 0.0 37.8 13th
Total 6.5 20.0 27.9 24.2 14.0 5.6 1.6 0.3 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0% 0.0
8-10 0.3% 0.3
7-11 1.6% 1.6
6-12 5.6% 5.6
5-13 14.0% 14.0
4-14 24.2% 24.2
3-15 27.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 27.9
2-16 20.0% 20.0
1-17 6.5% 6.5
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.5%