Monmouth
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#203
Expected Predictive Rating-4.2#229
Pace67.8#232
Improvement+0.2#159

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#174
First Shot-2.9#255
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#55
Layup/Dunks-5.0#327
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#280
Freethrows+2.1#78
Improvement+1.6#62

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#239
First Shot-5.0#330
After Offensive Rebounds+2.8#42
Layups/Dunks-1.5#235
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#207
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#285
Freethrows-0.5#215
Improvement-1.4#297
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 3.6% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.2 14.8
.500 or above 43.3% 50.6% 28.3%
.500 or above in Conference 40.9% 44.2% 34.2%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.3% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 7.9% 6.7% 10.5%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round3.0% 3.5% 2.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Princeton (Home) - 67.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 34 - 74 - 11
Quad 411 - 515 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 227 @La Salle L 60-73 44%     0 - 1 -14.0 -8.9 -5.8
  Thu, Nov 13 76 @Seton Hall L 58-70 12%     0 - 2 -1.6 -4.9 +2.7
  Tue, Nov 18 60 @Syracuse L 73-78 9%     0 - 3 +7.1 +6.7 +0.4
  Sun, Nov 23 182 Robert Morris W 71-70 OT 58%     1 - 3 -3.6 -2.3 -1.3
  Fri, Nov 28 305 Ball St. W 80-73 69%     2 - 3 -0.7 +7.9 -8.2
  Sat, Nov 29 320 Le Moyne L 79-83 73%     2 - 4 -13.1 -0.2 -13.0
  Sun, Nov 30 334 @Lafayette W 88-74 67%     3 - 4 +6.8 +13.0 -6.3
  Wed, Dec 3 235 Princeton W 74-69 68%    
  Sat, Dec 6 125 @Georgia Tech L 68-76 22%    
  Sun, Dec 14 293 @Fairfield W 75-73 56%    
  Wed, Dec 17 188 Quinnipiac W 77-75 58%    
  Sun, Dec 21 297 Lehigh W 76-68 77%    
  Wed, Dec 31 226 Campbell W 78-74 65%    
  Sat, Jan 3 132 @Towson L 64-72 24%    
  Thu, Jan 8 120 William & Mary L 78-81 40%    
  Sat, Jan 10 134 @Hofstra L 67-74 25%    
  Thu, Jan 15 260 Drexel W 72-66 70%    
  Sat, Jan 17 195 Northeastern W 75-72 59%    
  Thu, Jan 22 230 @Hampton L 70-71 45%    
  Sat, Jan 24 226 @Campbell L 75-77 44%    
  Thu, Jan 29 321 N.C. A&T W 79-70 80%    
  Sat, Jan 31 134 Hofstra L 70-71 45%    
  Thu, Feb 5 222 @Stony Brook L 70-72 44%    
  Thu, Feb 12 260 @Drexel L 69-70 49%    
  Sat, Feb 14 132 Towson L 67-69 44%    
  Thu, Feb 19 100 @UNC Wilmington L 66-77 17%    
  Sat, Feb 21 177 @College of Charleston L 71-75 35%    
  Thu, Feb 26 222 Stony Brook W 73-69 64%    
  Sat, Feb 28 207 Elon W 79-76 61%    
  Tue, Mar 3 195 @Northeastern L 72-75 38%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 8 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.4 0.6 0.1 3.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.1 0.7 0.1 5.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.4 3.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 7.1 4th
5th 0.2 2.5 4.5 1.8 0.1 9.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 5.1 2.9 0.2 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 5.2 4.0 0.4 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.8 5.3 1.1 0.0 10.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.5 2.0 0.1 10.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.8 2.7 0.3 0.0 10.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.0 2.9 0.4 0.0 9.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.9 2.4 0.5 0.0 7.4 12th
13th 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 4.1 13th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.3 3.0 5.6 9.1 11.5 13.5 14.7 13.1 10.7 7.8 4.7 2.7 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 79.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 49.4% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 20.9% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 28.0% 28.0% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 17.7% 17.7% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 1.4% 16.5% 16.5% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2
13-5 2.7% 13.0% 13.0% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.4
12-6 4.7% 11.1% 11.1% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.2
11-7 7.8% 8.4% 8.4% 14.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 7.2
10-8 10.7% 4.6% 4.6% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 10.2
9-9 13.1% 2.6% 2.6% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 12.8
8-10 14.7% 1.4% 1.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 14.5
7-11 13.5% 0.9% 0.9% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.4
6-12 11.5% 0.5% 0.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.5
5-13 9.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 9.1
4-14 5.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.6
3-15 3.0% 3.0
2-16 1.3% 1.3
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 14.3 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.0 0.4 96.9 0.0%