Queens
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#194
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#227
Pace70.6#158
Improvement+0.5#145

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#84
First Shot+4.3#69
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#203
Layup/Dunks-0.6#198
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#224
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#36
Freethrows+0.1#173
Improvement+4.2#2

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#342
First Shot-3.9#303
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#303
Layups/Dunks-5.8#345
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#223
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#120
Freethrows+0.3#154
Improvement-3.6#357
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.8% 19.9% 13.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.2 14.9
.500 or above 61.8% 83.4% 60.3%
.500 or above in Conference 86.2% 93.0% 85.7%
Conference Champion 19.0% 28.7% 18.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.4% 0.8%
First Four1.4% 0.2% 1.5%
First Round13.2% 19.8% 12.7%
Second Round0.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wake Forest (Away) - 6.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 32 - 52 - 11
Quad 415 - 417 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 114 Winthrop L 74-81 30%     0 - 1 -3.7 -2.5 -1.0
  Sat, Nov 8 39 @Villanova L 74-94 7%     0 - 2 -5.1 +9.6 -15.2
  Tue, Nov 11 142 @Duquesne L 81-87 OT 28%     0 - 3 -1.9 -5.3 +4.5
  Sat, Nov 15 280 Sacred Heart W 81-64 76%     1 - 3 +7.7 +1.4 +6.4
  Thu, Nov 20 276 UNC Greensboro W 101-94 76%     2 - 3 -2.3 +25.3 -27.4
  Sun, Nov 23 147 @Furman L 79-90 29%     2 - 4 -7.3 +15.7 -24.3
  Fri, Nov 28 26 @Virginia L 69-94 4%     2 - 5 -7.1 +8.3 -17.6
  Wed, Dec 3 356 Gardner-Webb W 107-74 91%     3 - 5 +15.7 +20.7 -6.5
  Fri, Dec 12 359 South Carolina St. W 102-78 92%     4 - 5 +6.3 +19.3 -13.6
  Sun, Dec 14 49 @Wake Forest L 73-89 7%    
  Tue, Dec 16 25 @Arkansas L 72-92 3%    
  Mon, Dec 29 27 @Auburn L 73-92 3%    
  Thu, Jan 1 248 Eastern Kentucky W 85-79 70%    
  Sat, Jan 3 295 Bellarmine W 85-77 77%    
  Thu, Jan 8 293 @Jacksonville W 77-75 58%    
  Sat, Jan 10 343 @North Florida W 90-83 73%    
  Thu, Jan 15 180 @Florida Gulf Coast L 81-85 38%    
  Sat, Jan 17 346 @Stetson W 82-75 73%    
  Wed, Jan 21 198 North Alabama W 79-76 62%    
  Sat, Jan 24 316 @West Georgia W 81-77 63%    
  Wed, Jan 28 285 Central Arkansas W 82-74 76%    
  Sat, Jan 31 295 @Bellarmine W 82-80 58%    
  Thu, Feb 5 293 Jacksonville W 80-72 77%    
  Sat, Feb 7 343 North Florida W 93-80 87%    
  Wed, Feb 11 193 Austin Peay W 78-75 61%    
  Sat, Feb 14 141 Lipscomb L 79-80 49%    
  Wed, Feb 18 198 @North Alabama L 76-79 41%    
  Sat, Feb 21 316 West Georgia W 84-74 81%    
  Wed, Feb 25 248 @Eastern Kentucky L 81-82 50%    
  Sat, Feb 28 285 @Central Arkansas W 79-77 56%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.5 5.2 5.5 3.7 1.3 0.3 19.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 4.1 6.8 5.1 1.6 0.3 0.0 18.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 4.1 6.7 3.9 0.8 0.1 16.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.2 6.1 3.1 0.5 0.0 13.3 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 5.0 2.5 0.3 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 3.8 2.4 0.3 0.0 7.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.7 2.1 0.3 0.0 5.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.7 0.4 0.0 4.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.1 3.8 6.2 8.7 11.6 13.8 14.6 13.7 11.1 7.1 4.0 1.3 0.3 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 99.3% 1.3    1.3 0.0
16-2 92.0% 3.7    3.1 0.5 0.0
15-3 76.6% 5.5    3.7 1.6 0.2
14-4 47.2% 5.2    2.4 2.2 0.7 0.1
13-5 18.1% 2.5    0.6 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.6% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 19.0% 19.0 11.4 5.6 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 41.6% 41.6% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-1 1.3% 34.3% 34.3% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.9
16-2 4.0% 33.3% 33.3% 14.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.0 2.7
15-3 7.1% 27.1% 27.1% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.1 5.2
14-4 11.1% 22.9% 22.9% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.4 0.2 8.6
13-5 13.7% 17.8% 17.8% 15.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 0.5 11.2
12-6 14.6% 14.2% 14.2% 15.2 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.7 12.6
11-7 13.8% 9.8% 9.8% 15.5 0.0 0.7 0.7 12.4
10-8 11.6% 7.3% 7.3% 15.8 0.1 0.7 10.8
9-9 8.7% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.4 8.3
8-10 6.2% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 6.0
7-11 3.8% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 3.7
6-12 2.1% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.1 2.0
5-13 1.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.1
4-14 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 13.8% 13.8% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.1 6.0 3.6 86.2 0.0%