Queens
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#212
Expected Predictive Rating-3.9#231
Pace70.7#147
Improvement-1.6#283

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#93
First Shot+4.1#76
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#215
Layup/Dunks-0.4#206
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#205
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#48
Freethrows+0.4#146
Improvement+2.1#44

Defense
Total Defense-6.9#348
First Shot-5.6#341
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#282
Layups/Dunks-4.2#319
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#201
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#236
Freethrows-0.4#208
Improvement-3.7#354
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.6% 14.5% 11.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.5 15.3
.500 or above 54.7% 79.8% 53.8%
.500 or above in Conference 83.4% 91.2% 83.1%
Conference Champion 15.2% 22.1% 14.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.6% 0.8%
First Four2.1% 0.2% 2.2%
First Round10.8% 14.5% 10.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Auburn (Away) - 3.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 31 - 51 - 10
Quad 415 - 516 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 131 Winthrop L 74-81 31%     0 - 1 -5.2 -3.5 -1.5
  Sat, Nov 8 32 @Villanova L 74-94 4%     0 - 2 -3.0 +11.2 -14.7
  Tue, Nov 11 121 @Duquesne L 81-87 OT 20%     0 - 3 -0.5 -4.8 +5.4
  Sat, Nov 15 251 Sacred Heart W 81-64 68%     1 - 3 +8.9 +3.8 +5.2
  Thu, Nov 20 295 UNC Greensboro W 101-94 74%     2 - 3 -3.2 +25.2 -28.1
  Sun, Nov 23 148 @Furman L 79-90 24%     2 - 4 -7.1 +16.5 -24.7
  Fri, Nov 28 25 @Virginia L 69-94 3%     2 - 5 -6.9 +8.1 -17.2
  Wed, Dec 3 362 Gardner-Webb W 107-74 92%     3 - 5 +14.5 +20.6 -7.7
  Fri, Dec 12 359 South Carolina St. W 102-78 91%     4 - 5 +6.2 +18.5 -12.9
  Sun, Dec 14 59 @Wake Forest L 73-111 9%     4 - 6 -26.2 +4.5 -29.8
  Tue, Dec 16 24 @Arkansas L 80-108 3%     4 - 7 -9.8 +4.5 -10.9
  Mon, Dec 29 34 @Auburn L 73-93 3%    
  Thu, Jan 1 256 Eastern Kentucky W 83-78 69%    
  Sat, Jan 3 268 Bellarmine W 84-78 70%    
  Thu, Jan 8 317 @Jacksonville W 77-74 61%    
  Sat, Jan 10 348 @North Florida W 92-86 71%    
  Thu, Jan 15 188 @Florida Gulf Coast L 81-85 34%    
  Sat, Jan 17 350 @Stetson W 82-76 71%    
  Wed, Jan 21 243 North Alabama W 80-76 66%    
  Sat, Jan 24 315 @West Georgia W 82-79 60%    
  Wed, Jan 28 281 Central Arkansas W 82-76 71%    
  Sat, Jan 31 268 @Bellarmine L 81-82 49%    
  Thu, Feb 5 317 Jacksonville W 80-71 79%    
  Sat, Feb 7 348 North Florida W 95-83 86%    
  Wed, Feb 11 194 Austin Peay W 78-76 57%    
  Sat, Feb 14 142 Lipscomb L 81-82 45%    
  Wed, Feb 18 243 @North Alabama L 77-79 44%    
  Sat, Feb 21 315 West Georgia W 85-76 78%    
  Wed, Feb 25 256 @Eastern Kentucky L 80-81 47%    
  Sat, Feb 28 281 @Central Arkansas W 80-79 51%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.2 4.4 4.2 2.6 1.0 0.1 15.2 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 4.4 6.4 4.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 17.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 4.8 6.6 3.3 0.6 0.0 16.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.8 6.5 2.5 0.3 13.7 4th
5th 0.2 2.7 5.7 2.2 0.2 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 4.3 2.3 0.2 8.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.2 2.3 0.2 6.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.2 0.4 0.0 4.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 3.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.5 4.6 7.6 10.3 13.1 14.7 14.5 12.1 9.2 5.6 2.8 1.0 0.1 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.7% 1.0    0.9 0.1
16-2 93.6% 2.6    2.2 0.4 0.0
15-3 75.4% 4.2    2.8 1.3 0.1
14-4 47.8% 4.4    1.9 2.0 0.5 0.0
13-5 18.2% 2.2    0.5 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.3% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 15.2% 15.2 8.5 4.9 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 45.0% 45.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.0% 29.7% 29.7% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7
16-2 2.8% 29.5% 29.5% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 2.0
15-3 5.6% 25.3% 25.3% 14.7 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.1 4.2
14-4 9.2% 20.9% 20.9% 15.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.4 7.3
13-5 12.1% 16.8% 16.8% 15.2 0.2 1.2 0.7 10.1
12-6 14.5% 13.3% 13.3% 15.5 0.1 0.9 1.0 12.6
11-7 14.7% 9.9% 9.9% 15.7 0.5 1.0 13.3
10-8 13.1% 6.9% 6.9% 15.9 0.1 0.8 12.2
9-9 10.3% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4 9.9
8-10 7.6% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.2 7.4
7-11 4.6% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 4.5
6-12 2.5% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 2.4
5-13 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 1.2
4-14 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.5
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 11.6% 11.6% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.3 1.6 5.0 4.7 88.4 0.0%