Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#260
Expected Predictive Rating-6.3#266
Pace62.6#343
Improvement+1.4#78

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#269
First Shot-2.3#243
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#262
Layup/Dunks-1.2#225
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#289
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#99
Freethrows-1.7#287
Improvement+0.0#186

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#225
First Shot-2.6#270
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#138
Layups/Dunks-1.0#222
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#334
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#58
Freethrows-2.9#329
Improvement+1.4#59
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.8% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.1
.500 or above 24.5% 36.5% 16.3%
.500 or above in Conference 25.4% 31.7% 21.2%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.2% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 17.2% 13.2% 20.0%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round1.2% 1.7% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: American (Away) - 40.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 33 - 93 - 12
Quad 410 - 613 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 180 @Saint Joseph's L 65-76 25%     0 - 1 -9.6 -7.4 -1.9
  Tue, Nov 11 191 @Colgate L 83-90 27%     0 - 2 -6.0 +10.6 -16.7
  Sat, Nov 15 64 Syracuse L 50-80 10%     0 - 3 -21.5 -14.2 -9.9
  Tue, Nov 18 349 NJIT W 75-43 82%     1 - 3 +16.8 -2.4 +19.4
  Fri, Nov 21 208 Penn L 68-84 52%     1 - 4 -22.1 -6.4 -16.4
  Sun, Nov 23 218 Old Dominion W 75-71 54%     2 - 4 -2.4 +2.4 -4.6
  Tue, Nov 25 360 @Morgan St. W 71-66 70%     3 - 4 -6.1 -2.4 -3.3
  Wed, Dec 3 269 @American L 69-72 40%    
  Tue, Dec 16 314 Howard W 72-66 71%    
  Fri, Dec 19 297 Mount St. Mary's W 70-65 68%    
  Sun, Dec 21 326 Maine W 66-59 73%    
  Mon, Dec 29 151 @College of Charleston L 64-72 22%    
  Wed, Dec 31 102 @UNC Wilmington L 60-73 11%    
  Sat, Jan 3 157 Hofstra L 65-67 43%    
  Thu, Jan 8 222 Stony Brook W 67-66 54%    
  Sat, Jan 10 131 William & Mary L 73-78 34%    
  Thu, Jan 15 200 @Monmouth L 65-71 29%    
  Sat, Jan 17 129 @Towson L 58-69 16%    
  Sat, Jan 17 194 Northeastern L 68-69 49%    
  Thu, Jan 29 232 Hampton W 67-65 56%    
  Sat, Jan 31 318 N.C. A&T W 73-67 71%    
  Thu, Feb 5 224 @Campbell L 68-73 34%    
  Sat, Feb 7 187 @Elon L 68-75 28%    
  Thu, Feb 12 200 Monmouth L 67-68 50%    
  Mon, Feb 16 222 @Stony Brook L 64-69 34%    
  Thu, Feb 19 194 @Northeastern L 65-71 29%    
  Sat, Feb 21 129 Towson L 61-66 34%    
  Thu, Feb 26 224 Campbell W 71-70 54%    
  Tue, Mar 3 157 @Hofstra L 62-70 24%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.9 1.7 0.4 0.1 4.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 2.8 0.8 0.1 5.7 5th
6th 0.0 1.4 3.9 1.5 0.2 6.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.9 3.1 0.3 8.1 7th
8th 0.5 3.7 4.5 0.8 0.0 9.6 8th
9th 0.3 2.7 5.6 1.7 0.1 10.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.9 3.2 0.3 0.0 12.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.6 4.1 0.6 0.0 12.9 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 2.9 5.3 4.0 0.9 0.0 13.9 12th
13th 0.2 1.3 2.7 3.4 2.3 0.5 0.0 10.4 13th
Total 0.2 1.4 3.4 6.7 10.0 12.9 14.2 14.0 11.9 9.9 6.8 4.2 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 92.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 75.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 49.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 25.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 16.7% 16.7% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.5% 14.7% 14.7% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 1.3% 12.1% 12.1% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.1
12-6 2.5% 7.0% 7.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.3
11-7 4.2% 6.0% 6.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 4.0
10-8 6.8% 2.7% 2.7% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.6
9-9 9.9% 1.4% 1.4% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.8
8-10 11.9% 0.9% 0.9% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.8
7-11 14.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 13.9
6-12 14.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.1
5-13 12.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.8
4-14 10.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.0
3-15 6.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.6
2-16 3.4% 3.4
1-17 1.4% 1.4
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 98.7 0.0%