Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.2#169
Expected Predictive Rating-0.8#185
Pace62.5#330
Improvement+0.1#165

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#120
First Shot+4.9#44
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#333
Layup/Dunks+3.9#60
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#26
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#289
Freethrows+0.9#125
Improvement+0.2#153

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#243
First Shot-6.1#335
After Offensive Rebounds+4.1#8
Layups/Dunks-7.7#350
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#299
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#50
Freethrows-0.3#204
Improvement-0.1#193
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.0% 12.4% 8.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.6 15.0
.500 or above 63.7% 66.7% 39.4%
.500 or above in Conference 71.9% 73.6% 58.6%
Conference Champion 15.1% 15.9% 8.5%
Last Place in Conference 2.1% 2.0% 3.0%
First Four1.0% 0.8% 2.7%
First Round11.5% 12.0% 7.1%
Second Round1.2% 1.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairleigh Dickinson (Home) - 89.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 36 - 77 - 11
Quad 410 - 317 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2021 71   @ Syracuse L 60-75 17%     0 - 1 -4.9 -8.3 +2.3
  Nov 17, 2021 220   @ Saint Joseph's W 78-75 47%     1 - 1 +3.5 +4.2 -0.6
  Nov 22, 2021 168   Tulane L 87-90 OT 50%     1 - 2 -3.1 +5.6 -8.3
  Nov 23, 2021 223   Charlotte W 67-55 60%     2 - 2 +9.3 +1.3 +9.7
  Nov 24, 2021 149   Jacksonville St. L 64-72 44%     2 - 3 -6.7 -3.8 -3.5
  Dec 02, 2021 325   Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-68 89%    
  Dec 04, 2021 151   @ Princeton L 68-72 34%    
  Dec 11, 2021 143   @ Abilene Christian L 66-71 33%    
  Dec 14, 2021 307   Coppin St. W 77-66 84%    
  Dec 18, 2021 150   @ Temple L 67-71 35%    
  Dec 21, 2021 244   @ La Salle W 68-67 55%    
  Dec 29, 2021 198   @ College of Charleston L 76-78 44%    
  Dec 31, 2021 283   @ UNC Wilmington W 68-65 62%    
  Jan 03, 2022 164   Towson W 68-65 60%    
  Jan 05, 2022 163   James Madison W 72-69 60%    
  Jan 11, 2022 161   Delaware W 72-70 58%    
  Jan 15, 2022 148   @ Northeastern L 60-65 35%    
  Jan 17, 2022 133   @ Hofstra L 69-74 31%    
  Jan 20, 2022 273   Elon W 75-66 79%    
  Jan 22, 2022 332   William & Mary W 76-62 90%    
  Jan 27, 2022 163   @ James Madison L 69-72 39%    
  Jan 29, 2022 164   @ Towson L 65-68 38%    
  Feb 05, 2022 161   @ Delaware L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 10, 2022 133   Hofstra W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 12, 2022 148   Northeastern W 63-62 55%    
  Feb 17, 2022 332   @ William & Mary W 73-65 77%    
  Feb 19, 2022 273   @ Elon W 72-69 59%    
  Feb 24, 2022 283   UNC Wilmington W 71-62 79%    
  Feb 26, 2022 198   College of Charleston W 79-75 64%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.3 4.4 3.2 1.9 0.7 0.2 15.1 1st
2nd 0.2 1.6 4.1 5.1 2.2 0.3 0.1 13.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 5.3 4.2 1.2 0.2 12.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 5.8 4.6 0.9 0.0 13.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 5.4 4.9 0.8 0.0 12.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 4.6 4.4 1.0 0.0 11.4 6th
7th 0.2 1.3 3.9 3.4 0.7 0.0 9.5 7th
8th 0.2 1.0 2.7 2.2 0.6 6.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.3 1.0 0.2 3.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 2.7 5.1 7.6 10.1 12.4 13.7 12.5 10.5 9.6 6.8 3.6 2.0 0.7 0.2 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7
16-2 96.8% 1.9    1.9 0.0
15-3 90.3% 3.2    2.6 0.7
14-4 65.5% 4.4    2.8 1.4 0.2
13-5 34.1% 3.3    1.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
12-6 11.5% 1.2    0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3
11-7 1.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 15.1% 15.1 9.4 4.1 1.2 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 51.0% 51.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.7% 48.7% 48.7% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-2 2.0% 39.5% 39.5% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.2
15-3 3.6% 32.7% 32.7% 13.8 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.4
14-4 6.8% 27.6% 27.6% 14.2 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.0 4.9
13-5 9.6% 21.6% 21.6% 14.6 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.2 7.6
12-6 10.5% 17.2% 17.2% 15.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.4 8.7
11-7 12.5% 9.5% 9.5% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 11.3
10-8 13.7% 7.8% 7.8% 15.4 0.0 0.5 0.5 12.6
9-9 12.4% 7.5% 7.5% 15.5 0.0 0.4 0.5 11.5
8-10 10.1% 3.0% 3.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 9.8
7-11 7.6% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.3 7.4
6-12 5.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 5.1
5-13 2.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.7
4-14 1.7% 1.7
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.0% 12.0% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.0 4.5 2.6 88.0 0.0%