Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.8#140
Expected Predictive Rating+0.8#153
Pace61.9#340
Improvement-1.2#246

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#168
First Shot-3.9#289
After Offensive Rebound+4.4#10
Layup/Dunks+1.8#105
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#123
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#326
Freethrows-1.5#283
Improvement+2.5#59

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#136
First Shot+1.1#142
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#162
Layups/Dunks-0.6#206
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#316
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#104
Freethrows+1.7#65
Improvement-3.7#335
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.3% 13.6% 11.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 13.3 13.7
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.5% 1.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round12.3% 13.6% 11.2%
Second Round1.0% 1.3% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Delaware (Away) - 46.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 0
Quad 20 - 31 - 4
Quad 34 - 65 - 9
Quad 413 - 318 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 207   @ La Salle L 61-67 57%     0 - 1 -6.0 -9.0 +2.6
  Nov 11, 2023 169   @ Winthrop W 74-72 48%     1 - 1 +4.3 +7.1 -2.7
  Nov 14, 2023 206   Temple L 64-66 76%     1 - 2 -7.5 -8.2 +0.6
  Nov 17, 2023 182   Fairfield W 65-47 71%     2 - 2 +13.9 -7.7 +22.7
  Nov 19, 2023 267   Queens W 62-52 82%     3 - 2 +2.0 -10.2 +13.3
  Nov 26, 2023 271   @ Old Dominion L 61-68 OT 67%     3 - 3 -9.6 -12.3 +2.8
  Nov 29, 2023 306   @ Lafayette W 69-48 75%     4 - 3 +15.8 +5.2 +13.1
  Dec 02, 2023 29   Villanova W 57-55 16%     5 - 3 +14.2 +3.4 +11.2
  Dec 05, 2023 82   @ Princeton L 70-81 23%     5 - 4 -1.4 +5.7 -8.0
  Dec 09, 2023 122   @ West Virginia L 60-66 35%     5 - 5 -0.2 -3.9 +3.2
  Dec 16, 2023 279   Albany W 71-52 84%     6 - 5 +10.2 -7.5 +17.7
  Dec 22, 2023 181   @ Bryant L 86-104 51%     6 - 6 -16.4 +9.5 -24.4
  Jan 01, 2024 339   Hampton W 99-65 93%     7 - 6 1 - 0 +19.3 +19.2 +0.0
  Jan 04, 2024 115   UNC Wilmington W 78-63 52%     8 - 6 2 - 0 +16.2 +3.7 +12.6
  Jan 06, 2024 318   @ William & Mary W 77-55 79%     9 - 6 3 - 0 +15.3 +10.2 +7.7
  Jan 11, 2024 342   @ N.C. A&T W 67-63 86%     10 - 6 4 - 0 -5.8 -4.6 -0.9
  Jan 13, 2024 312   @ Elon W 89-69 77%     11 - 6 5 - 0 +14.2 +25.0 -7.8
  Jan 18, 2024 200   Monmouth W 78-74 75%     12 - 6 6 - 0 -1.2 +16.6 -17.1
  Jan 20, 2024 165   Delaware W 86-67 68%     13 - 6 7 - 0 +16.1 +19.1 -1.4
  Jan 25, 2024 157   @ Towson L 67-70 45%     13 - 7 7 - 1 +0.0 +3.0 -3.2
  Jan 27, 2024 342   N.C. A&T W 62-47 93%     14 - 7 8 - 1 -0.3 -12.2 +13.4
  Feb 01, 2024 200   @ Monmouth L 62-67 56%     14 - 8 8 - 2 -4.8 -9.9 +5.0
  Feb 08, 2024 115   @ UNC Wilmington L 56-75 32%     14 - 9 8 - 3 -12.3 -10.8 -3.5
  Feb 10, 2024 109   @ College of Charleston L 70-80 30%     14 - 10 8 - 4 -2.8 +1.0 -4.2
  Feb 15, 2024 129   Hofstra W 79-77 58%     15 - 10 9 - 4 +1.7 +13.9 -12.1
  Feb 17, 2024 300   Campbell W 81-66 87%     16 - 10 10 - 4 +4.7 +3.9 +1.0
  Feb 22, 2024 129   @ Hofstra L 57-69 37%     16 - 11 10 - 5 -6.9 -9.4 +1.7
  Feb 26, 2024 165   @ Delaware L 67-68 46%    
  Feb 29, 2024 211   Stony Brook W 71-64 76%    
  Mar 02, 2024 244   Northeastern W 72-63 80%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 12 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.5 0.5 1st
2nd 6.5 17.0 23.5 2nd
3rd 5.1 37.9 11.2 54.2 3rd
4th 10.1 3.0 13.1 4th
5th 0.1 5.0 5.2 5th
6th 1.1 0.7 1.8 6th
7th 1.3 1.3 7th
8th 0.4 0.4 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 3.0 20.9 47.4 28.8 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 1.9% 0.5    0.0 0.3 0.2
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.2



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 28.8% 14.8% 14.8% 13.1 0.0 0.5 2.6 1.1 0.0 24.5
12-6 47.4% 12.2% 12.2% 13.5 0.2 2.8 2.5 0.2 41.6
11-7 20.9% 9.8% 9.8% 14.1 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.5 18.8
10-8 3.0% 7.6% 7.6% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.7
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 12.3% 12.3% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.8 5.7 4.9 0.9 0.0 87.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 28.8% 14.8% 13.1 0.0 1.9 9.1 3.7 0.1
Lose Out 3.0% 7.6% 14.6 0.1 3.0 4.3 0.2