Utah
Big 12
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +3.8 #107
Expected Predictive Rating +2.3 #126
Pace 70.0 #144
Improvement +0.8 #148

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #78 B C B- C+ B-
Defense #170 C C D+ B C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #65 1.20 #129 +3.5 #71
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #223 0.74 #207 -1.2 #245
Three Pointers 39% #224 1.19 #15 +2.3 #101
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #57 +4.6 #56
Freethrows 0.31 #166 74% #128 0.23 #152
Second Chance 31.0% #162 0.96 #274 0.30 #207
Turnovers 15.2% #78
Total Offense +4.1 #78

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #79 1.13 #134 -1.6 #230
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #140 0.82 #287 -1.1 #275
Three Pointers 36% #315 0.97 #109 +3.4 #55
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #157 +0.7 #157
Freethrows 0.27 #65 70% #58 0.19 #50
Second Chance 30.2% #165 1.03 #185 0.31 #172
Turnovers 15.3% #286
Total Defense -0.2 #170

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.3% #95 0.3% #190
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 7.6% #64 -1.6% #151
Possession Length 17.3 #174 16.7 #93
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #111 0.14 #88
Improvement +0.1 #174 +0.6 #143

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.1% 0.9% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 73.1% 47.6% 74.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kansas (Away) - 4.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b0 - 61 - 12
Quad 23 - 64 - 18
Quad 32 - 16 - 19
Quad 45 - 111 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 238 San Jose St. W 84 - 75 86% +5  1 - 0 +1 +5 B- D+ B+ -4 C- B C-
 Sat, Nov 8 236 Weber St. W 92 - 89 OT 85% -3  2 - 0 -4 -3 F B B -2 B+ F C
 Mon, Nov 10 326 Holy Cross W 87 - 69 94% +9  3 - 0 +5 +9 B- D+ A+ -4 C C+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 112 Sam Houston St. W 85 - 79 64% +9  4 - 0 +6 +8 B+ D D -2 B- A F+
 Tue, Nov 18 239 Purdue Fort Wayne W 85 - 77 86% +9  5 - 0 +0 +13 A F+ A- -12 D- C C
 Thu, Nov 20 264 Cal Poly L 85 - 92 88% -7  5 - 1 -16 -8 C- F D -7 F C C+
 Tue, Nov 25 62 Grand Canyon L 58 - 68 32% -6  5 - 2 -1 -5 C B D +3 A+ A- F
 Wed, Nov 26 60 Mississippi W 75 - 74 31% +3  6 - 2 +10 +13 A+ F D+ -2 D+ D B+
 Tue, Dec 2 65 @California L 72 - 79 23% -1  6 - 3 +5 +7 B C B -3 C D+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 138 California Baptist W 91 - 85 70% +4  7 - 3 +4 +19 B A B+ -14 B- F C-
 Sat, Dec 13 76 Mississippi St. L 74 - 82 35% +6  7 - 4 -0 +6 A+ D- F -6 F A+ F+
 Sat, Dec 20 234 Eastern Washington W 101 - 77 85% +11  8 - 4 +17 +22 A+ B+ A- -5 B C+ F
 Mon, Dec 29 45 @Washington L 65 - 74 15% -3  8 - 5 +6 -0 D+ A- D+ +6 C+ A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 3 2 Arizona L 78 - 97 6% -15  8 - 6 0 - 1 +2 +10 B- B+ B+ -6 B- D D
 Wed, Jan 7 77 @Colorado L 73 - 85 26% -6  8 - 7 0 - 2 -1 +3 F+ B A+ -4 C+ C B-
 Sat, Jan 10 17 BYU L 84 - 89 15% -4  8 - 8 0 - 3 +10 +12 B A- A+ -2 B+ C- C
 Wed, Jan 14 19 @Texas Tech L 74 - 88 7% -11  8 - 9 0 - 4 +7 +8 A- D C -1 D+ D+ C+
 Sat, Jan 17 50 TCU W 82 - 79 37% +6  9 - 9 1 - 4 +10 +16 A+ B B -6 D A+ D-
 Tue, Jan 20 88 @Kansas St. L 78 - 81 31% -2  9 - 10 1 - 5 +6 +10 A- C A+ -4 F+ A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 24 17 @BYU L 78 - 91 7% -6  9 - 11 1 - 6 +8 +20 A+ F A+ -13 C+ F D+
 Sat, Jan 31 51 Oklahoma St. L 69 - 81 37% -1  9 - 12 1 - 7 -5 +0 D+ F A+ -5 C C+ D-
 Wed, Feb 4 73 Arizona St. L 63 - 71 46% -10  9 - 13 1 - 8 -3 -3 F+ A- D+ -1 A+ F F
 Sat, Feb 7 11 @Kansas L 67 - 85 4%
 Tue, Feb 10 6 Houston L 65 - 80 8%
 Sun, Feb 15 56 @Cincinnati L 68 - 77 20%
 Wed, Feb 18 55 @West Virginia L 65 - 74 20%
 Sat, Feb 21 47 Central Florida L 79 - 84 35%
 Tue, Feb 24 4 Iowa St. L 70 - 85 7%
 Sat, Feb 28 73 @Arizona St. L 77 - 84 25%
 Tue, Mar 3 77 Colorado L 80 - 81 46%
 Sat, Mar 7 42 @Baylor L 74 - 85 15%
Totals 11 - 20 3 - 15 +4 +4 B C B- +0 C C D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.4 10th
11th 0.2 0.8 0.1 1.1 11th
12th 0.0 1.3 0.7 0.1 2.1 12th
13th 1.2 2.7 0.3 0.0 4.2 13th
14th 0.8 6.7 1.9 0.0 9.5 14th
15th 1.0 6.8 15.9 8.2 0.3 32.2 15th
16th 13.0 23.4 12.8 1.4 0.0 50.6 16th
Total 13.9 30.2 29.5 17.6 6.4 2.1 0.3 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.0% 0.0
7-11 0.3% 0.3
6-12 2.1% 2.1
5-13 6.4% 6.4
4-14 17.6% 17.6
3-15 29.5% 29.5
2-16 30.2% 30.2
1-17 13.9% 13.9
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 13.9%