Utah
Pac-12
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.0#57
Expected Predictive Rating+10.4#57
Pace67.8#220
Improvement-1.6#295

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#68
First Shot+1.4#134
After Offensive Rebound+2.9#40
Layup/Dunks-0.7#189
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#125
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#144
Freethrows+0.4#151
Improvement-0.5#235

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#72
First Shot+2.8#92
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#117
Layups/Dunks-2.6#267
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#253
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#45
Freethrows+2.3#47
Improvement-1.1#281
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 1.2% 3.4% 0.7%
Top 6 Seed 3.4% 9.1% 2.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 26.0% 43.9% 22.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 23.8% 40.7% 20.4%
Average Seed 9.2 8.6 9.5
.500 or above 81.9% 92.7% 79.6%
.500 or above in Conference 58.3% 77.8% 54.2%
Conference Champion 1.7% 4.5% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 0.9% 3.6%
First Four6.7% 7.7% 6.5%
First Round22.4% 39.5% 18.8%
Second Round10.6% 20.2% 8.6%
Sweet Sixteen3.4% 6.8% 2.7%
Elite Eight1.2% 2.8% 0.9%
Final Four0.3% 0.8% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: USC (Away) - 17.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 7
Quad 24 - 46 - 11
Quad 38 - 214 - 13
Quad 45 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 143   Abilene Christian W 70-56 81%     1 - 0 +12.7 -1.6 +14.3
  Nov 13, 2021 295   Sacramento St. W 89-56 95%     2 - 0 +22.7 +8.5 +12.8
  Nov 15, 2021 345   Bethune-Cookman W 86-55 98%     3 - 0 +14.6 +8.4 +7.5
  Nov 20, 2021 125   Boston College W 68-61 70%     4 - 0 +9.7 +0.1 +9.9
  Nov 21, 2021 142   Tulsa W 72-58 73%     5 - 0 +15.8 +5.5 +11.5
  Nov 27, 2021 20   BYU L 64-75 37%     5 - 1 +0.4 +1.2 -1.8
  Dec 01, 2021 16   @ USC L 63-73 17%    
  Dec 05, 2021 122   California W 69-61 79%    
  Dec 07, 2021 90   TCU W 69-67 58%    
  Dec 11, 2021 253   Manhattan W 75-59 93%    
  Dec 18, 2021 132   @ Missouri W 70-67 59%    
  Dec 21, 2021 129   Fresno St. W 71-62 78%    
  Dec 30, 2021 127   @ Oregon St. W 68-65 59%    
  Jan 01, 2022 44   @ Oregon L 67-72 33%    
  Jan 06, 2022 145   Washington W 75-66 81%    
  Jan 08, 2022 60   Washington St. W 72-69 62%    
  Jan 13, 2022 96   @ Arizona St. L 72-73 50%    
  Jan 15, 2022 4   @ Arizona L 68-81 12%    
  Jan 20, 2022 8   UCLA L 69-75 28%    
  Jan 22, 2022 16   USC L 66-70 36%    
  Jan 26, 2022 60   @ Washington St. L 69-72 43%    
  Jan 29, 2022 145   @ Washington W 72-69 63%    
  Feb 03, 2022 127   Oregon St. W 71-62 78%    
  Feb 05, 2022 44   Oregon W 70-69 53%    
  Feb 12, 2022 75   @ Colorado L 68-70 43%    
  Feb 17, 2022 95   @ Stanford L 70-71 51%    
  Feb 19, 2022 122   @ California W 66-64 58%    
  Feb 24, 2022 4   Arizona L 71-78 27%    
  Feb 26, 2022 96   Arizona St. W 75-69 69%    
  Mar 05, 2022 75   Colorado W 71-67 66%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.1 1.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.3 3.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 10.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 3.6 5.0 3.9 1.3 0.2 14.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 5.2 6.9 3.4 0.8 0.1 17.9 5th
6th 0.2 1.3 5.0 5.9 2.6 0.4 0.0 15.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.3 4.6 1.5 0.1 11.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.8 3.3 1.3 0.1 8.3 8th
9th 0.4 2.1 2.7 1.1 0.1 6.5 9th
10th 0.4 1.4 2.0 0.8 0.0 4.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.6 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.2 5.4 7.6 10.3 12.4 13.3 13.5 10.5 8.6 5.7 3.7 1.9 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 93.8% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 65.8% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
16-4 30.0% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.1
15-5 6.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 2.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.3% 100.0% 25.6% 74.4% 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.6% 100.0% 19.9% 80.1% 4.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.9% 97.8% 13.1% 84.7% 6.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 97.5%
15-5 3.7% 92.1% 13.3% 78.8% 7.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.3 90.8%
14-6 5.7% 80.6% 7.5% 73.1% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 1.1 79.0%
13-7 8.6% 66.7% 5.4% 61.3% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.9 64.8%
12-8 10.5% 43.0% 2.6% 40.4% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.9 0.7 0.0 6.0 41.5%
11-9 13.5% 24.4% 2.7% 21.7% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.0 0.0 10.2 22.3%
10-10 13.3% 9.3% 1.3% 8.0% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 12.1 8.1%
9-11 12.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.5% 11.4 0.1 0.1 12.2 0.6%
8-12 10.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.2 0.4%
7-13 7.6% 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.6 0.3%
6-14 5.4% 5.4
5-15 3.2% 3.2
4-16 1.7% 1.7
3-17 0.8% 0.8
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 26.0% 2.9% 23.2% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.2 2.0 3.1 3.6 4.7 6.3 2.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 74.0 23.8%