Mississippi
Southeastern
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.2#69
Expected Predictive Rating+1.1#160
Pace64.9#285
Improvement+0.1#158

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#139
First Shot+0.0#180
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#114
Layup/Dunks+1.0#132
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#17
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#236
Freethrows-3.8#347
Improvement-0.8#267

Defense
Total Defense+6.2#36
First Shot+3.6#70
After Offensive Rebounds+2.6#42
Layups/Dunks+2.1#103
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#225
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#98
Freethrows-0.1#189
Improvement+0.9#88
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 1.5% 2.4% 1.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.2% 24.0% 10.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 14.4% 23.0% 9.6%
Average Seed 9.2 9.0 9.3
.500 or above 62.2% 76.6% 54.0%
.500 or above in Conference 31.9% 40.0% 27.4%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.2% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 7.0% 5.2% 8.0%
First Four3.3% 5.0% 2.4%
First Round13.6% 21.6% 9.1%
Second Round6.4% 10.2% 4.3%
Sweet Sixteen2.1% 3.5% 1.3%
Elite Eight0.7% 1.2% 0.3%
Final Four0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Memphis (Home) - 36.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 33 - 9
Quad 23 - 45 - 13
Quad 35 - 210 - 15
Quad 47 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 285   New Orleans W 82-61 93%     1 - 0 +11.5 -1.2 +11.8
  Nov 12, 2021 349   Charleston Southern W 93-68 98%     2 - 0 +7.4 +1.6 +3.2
  Nov 18, 2021 62   Marquette L 72-78 48%     2 - 1 +1.6 +5.6 -4.1
  Nov 19, 2021 273   Elon W 74-56 89%     3 - 1 +11.8 -6.3 +17.3
  Nov 21, 2021 79   Boise St. L 50-60 52%     3 - 2 -3.2 -15.6 +12.1
  Nov 26, 2021 358   Mississippi Valley W 73-58 99.6%    4 - 2 -12.6 -5.0 -5.8
  Nov 30, 2021 266   Rider W 75-51 92%     5 - 2 +15.1 -1.0 +16.1
  Dec 04, 2021 23   Memphis L 66-70 36%    
  Dec 11, 2021 126   Western Kentucky W 70-65 67%    
  Dec 15, 2021 183   Middle Tennessee W 70-59 86%    
  Dec 18, 2021 113   Dayton W 66-59 73%    
  Dec 21, 2021 239   Samford W 79-65 91%    
  Dec 29, 2021 14   Florida L 63-68 31%    
  Jan 05, 2022 18   @ Tennessee L 61-71 17%    
  Jan 08, 2022 38   Mississippi St. L 63-64 49%    
  Jan 11, 2022 80   @ Texas A&M L 60-63 41%    
  Jan 15, 2022 21   Auburn L 67-71 37%    
  Jan 18, 2022 132   Missouri W 68-60 77%    
  Jan 22, 2022 38   @ Mississippi St. L 60-66 29%    
  Jan 26, 2022 24   Arkansas L 69-72 39%    
  Jan 29, 2022 91   Kansas St. W 64-60 65%    
  Feb 01, 2022 10   @ LSU L 62-74 13%    
  Feb 05, 2022 14   @ Florida L 60-71 17%    
  Feb 09, 2022 13   Alabama L 69-74 32%    
  Feb 12, 2022 132   @ Missouri W 65-63 57%    
  Feb 15, 2022 98   South Carolina W 71-66 68%    
  Feb 19, 2022 159   @ Georgia W 69-65 63%    
  Feb 23, 2022 21   @ Auburn L 64-74 21%    
  Feb 26, 2022 80   Texas A&M W 63-60 62%    
  Mar 01, 2022 12   @ Kentucky L 61-72 16%    
  Mar 05, 2022 77   Vanderbilt W 66-63 63%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 2.5 3rd
4th 0.5 1.8 0.9 0.1 3.3 4th
5th 0.3 2.1 2.4 0.6 5.4 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 3.6 1.0 0.0 6.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 4.1 1.9 0.1 8.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 5.4 3.3 0.5 11.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 5.1 5.3 1.1 0.0 12.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 1.2 5.1 5.3 1.6 0.1 13.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.9 4.6 5.7 2.0 0.1 13.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 3.7 4.6 1.5 0.1 0.0 10.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.7 2.1 2.7 1.0 0.1 6.6 13th
14th 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.2 0.5 3.7 14th
Total 0.2 0.7 1.9 4.1 7.8 11.4 13.3 14.3 14.4 11.1 8.7 5.9 3.4 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 78.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 44.9% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 16.4% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 2.9% 97.1% 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.3% 100.0% 22.7% 77.3% 4.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.7% 100.0% 0.5% 99.5% 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.7% 96.9% 6.5% 90.3% 7.3 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 96.6%
12-6 3.4% 82.9% 1.9% 81.0% 8.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 82.6%
11-7 5.9% 62.4% 3.5% 58.9% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.1 2.2 61.1%
10-8 8.7% 38.8% 2.0% 36.9% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.7 1.0 0.4 5.3 37.6%
9-9 11.1% 16.4% 0.8% 15.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 0.4 9.3 15.7%
8-10 14.4% 4.1% 0.8% 3.3% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 13.8 3.4%
7-11 14.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.9% 11.3 0.1 0.0 14.1 0.9%
6-12 13.3% 0.0% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 13.3
5-13 11.4% 11.4
4-14 7.8% 7.8
3-15 4.1% 4.1
2-16 1.9% 1.9
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 15.2% 0.9% 14.3% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.3 2.5 2.7 2.5 3.4 1.3 0.0 0.0 84.8 14.4%