LSU
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.9#27
Expected Predictive Rating+12.1#47
Pace72.8#100
Improvement-1.0#258

Offense
Total Offense+7.9#36
First Shot+8.8#16
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#225
Layup/Dunks+10.1#3
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#265
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#250
Freethrows+2.4#65
Improvement-1.4#296

Defense
Total Defense+6.0#35
First Shot+3.9#66
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#66
Layups/Dunks+4.6#49
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#329
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#204
Freethrows+2.9#41
Improvement+0.3#156
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Top 2 Seed 2.6% 3.0% 0.8%
Top 4 Seed 13.0% 14.5% 6.6%
Top 6 Seed 30.7% 33.7% 18.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 70.9% 74.0% 58.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 69.6% 72.7% 57.3%
Average Seed 6.9 6.8 7.5
.500 or above 96.7% 98.0% 91.6%
.500 or above in Conference 62.8% 65.2% 53.4%
Conference Champion 5.5% 6.0% 3.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.4% 2.0% 4.1%
First Four5.8% 5.7% 6.5%
First Round68.4% 71.5% 55.6%
Second Round44.9% 47.6% 33.9%
Sweet Sixteen17.9% 19.5% 11.6%
Elite Eight6.8% 7.5% 3.9%
Final Four2.5% 2.8% 1.3%
Championship Game0.9% 1.0% 0.5%
National Champion0.3% 0.3% 0.2%

Next Game: Boston College (Away) - 80.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 36 - 9
Quad 25 - 210 - 10
Quad 34 - 015 - 11
Quad 47 - 022 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 199 Tarleton St. W 96-60 95%     1 - 0 +30.5 +23.3 +8.2
  Mon, Nov 10 212 New Orleans W 93-58 96%     2 - 0 +28.8 +13.9 +13.6
  Thu, Nov 13 217 Florida International W 98-81 96%     3 - 0 +10.6 +13.4 -4.6
  Tue, Nov 18 333 Alcorn St. W 107-81 99%     4 - 0 +12.8 +24.2 -12.4
  Fri, Nov 21 253 Nebraska Omaha W 99-73 97%     5 - 0 +18.1 +10.4 +5.2
  Fri, Nov 28 114 Drake W 71-62 84%     6 - 0 +12.3 +1.8 +10.8
  Sat, Nov 29 118 DePaul W 96-63 84%     7 - 0 +36.2 +26.5 +10.1
  Wed, Dec 3 133 @Boston College W 76-67 80%    
  Sun, Dec 7 29 Texas Tech W 77-76 50%    
  Sat, Dec 13 38 SMU W 81-80 56%    
  Fri, Dec 19 243 SE Louisiana W 83-62 98%    
  Mon, Dec 22 324 Prairie View W 91-65 99%    
  Mon, Dec 29 232 Southern Miss W 87-66 98%    
  Sat, Jan 3 40 @Texas A&M L 80-81 46%    
  Tue, Jan 6 91 South Carolina W 80-69 85%    
  Sat, Jan 10 13 @Vanderbilt L 79-86 26%    
  Wed, Jan 14 17 Kentucky L 79-80 49%    
  Sat, Jan 17 35 Missouri W 81-77 65%    
  Tue, Jan 20 14 @Florida L 75-82 27%    
  Sat, Jan 24 25 @Arkansas L 78-81 38%    
  Wed, Jan 28 87 Mississippi St. W 83-72 83%    
  Sat, Jan 31 91 @South Carolina W 77-72 68%    
  Sat, Feb 7 21 Georgia W 87-86 55%    
  Tue, Feb 10 25 Arkansas W 81-78 60%    
  Sat, Feb 14 16 @Tennessee L 73-79 29%    
  Tue, Feb 17 37 @Texas L 77-79 44%    
  Sat, Feb 21 11 Alabama L 86-88 43%    
  Wed, Feb 25 58 @Mississippi W 76-75 55%    
  Sat, Feb 28 42 Oklahoma W 82-77 68%    
  Tue, Mar 3 23 @Auburn L 77-81 36%    
  Sat, Mar 7 40 Texas A&M W 83-78 67%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.8 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 5.5 1st
2nd 0.2 1.6 3.1 1.7 0.4 0.0 7.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 3.6 2.1 0.4 0.0 7.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.6 3.2 0.5 0.0 7.7 4th
5th 0.1 2.5 4.3 1.1 0.1 8.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.8 2.1 0.2 8.0 6th
7th 0.2 3.5 4.5 0.4 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 4.9 1.5 0.0 8.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.9 3.1 0.2 7.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 2.0 4.3 0.9 0.0 7.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 3.7 2.0 0.1 6.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 2.6 2.8 0.3 6.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.5 0.7 0.0 4.8 13th
14th 0.1 0.8 1.8 0.9 0.1 3.6 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 2.2 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.1 16th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.2 4.3 7.0 9.7 12.6 13.6 14.0 11.9 9.8 6.7 4.0 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 95.9% 0.7    0.6 0.1 0.0
15-3 77.4% 1.5    1.0 0.5 0.1
14-4 46.0% 1.8    0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.9% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.5% 5.5 2.7 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 100.0% 33.3% 66.7% 1.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.7% 100.0% 22.9% 77.1% 2.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 2.0% 100.0% 19.2% 80.8% 2.8 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 4.0% 100.0% 15.3% 84.7% 3.6 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 6.7% 100.0% 12.7% 87.3% 4.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.0 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
12-6 9.8% 99.7% 7.8% 91.9% 5.5 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.7 2.6 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.6%
11-7 11.9% 98.5% 5.2% 93.4% 6.4 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.1 2.9 3.1 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.2 98.5%
10-8 14.0% 94.4% 3.0% 91.4% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.0 3.3 3.4 2.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.8 94.2%
9-9 13.6% 84.2% 2.1% 82.1% 8.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 2.7 3.2 2.2 0.7 2.2 83.8%
8-10 12.6% 59.8% 1.0% 58.8% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 2.5 2.0 0.1 5.1 59.4%
7-11 9.7% 30.7% 0.6% 30.1% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.5 0.1 6.7 30.3%
6-12 7.0% 9.5% 0.2% 9.3% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.0 6.3 9.3%
5-13 4.3% 1.4% 0.1% 1.3% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.2 1.3%
4-14 2.2% 0.2% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 2.2
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 70.9% 4.4% 66.6% 6.9 0.7 1.9 4.2 6.2 8.3 9.5 10.3 9.4 8.3 6.9 5.0 0.2 29.1 69.6%