Wisconsin
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +11.8 #44
Expected Predictive Rating +11.3 #54
Pace 74.2 #61
Improvement -0.3 #190

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #62 B+ B+ C A B
Defense #41 B- B- A- C B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #252 1.30 #50 +0.9 #141
2 Pt. Jumpers 12% #335 0.94 #16 -2.1 #280
Three Pointers 52% #15 1.03 #170 +6.2 #25
1st FG Attempt 1.12 #60 +5.0 #61
Freethrows 20.2 #60 75% #123 15.1 #49
Second Chance 29.8% #217 1.11 #107 0.33 #150
Turnovers 13.0% #16
Total Offense +5.8 #62

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #230 1.04 #51 +3.1 #80
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #75 0.86 #315 -2.7 #340
Three Pointers 39% #237 0.93 #81 +2.6 #90
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #88 +3.0 #90
Freethrows 16.2 #135 68% #40 11.1 #278
Second Chance 22.3% #7 1.11 #264 0.25 #33
Turnovers 17.0% #158
Total Defense +5.9 #41

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.8% #72 -1.1% #83
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 7.8% #67 -4.9% #102
Possession Length 14.6 #13 17.9 #277
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 #59 0.13 #48
Improvement -2.4 #321 +2.1 #59

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.5% 2.3% 0.5%
Top 6 Seed 4.1% 12.0% 3.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 38.3% 65.6% 37.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 38.1% 65.4% 36.8%
Average Seed 8.9 8.3 9.0
.500 or above 83.3% 94.7% 82.7%
.500 or above in Conference 49.5% 73.5% 48.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.1% 0.4%
First Four9.5% 11.3% 9.4%
First Round34.0% 60.6% 32.8%
Second Round17.1% 34.3% 16.2%
Sweet Sixteen4.1% 9.9% 3.8%
Elite Eight1.4% 3.2% 1.3%
Final Four0.4% 1.0% 0.3%
Championship Game0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Michigan (Away) - 4.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 91 - 9
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 12
Quad 25 - 28 - 14
Quad 34 - 012 - 14
Quad 46 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 209 Campbell W 96-64 94%     8.3   1 - 0 +26.1 +17.7 +7.9
  Fri, Nov 7 328 Northern Illinois W 97-72 98%     19.2   2 - 0 +11.8 +13.3 -2.8
  Tue, Nov 11 318 Ball St. W 86-55 98%     19.4   3 - 0 +18.7 +9.8 +9.7
  Mon, Nov 17 262 SIU Edwardsville W 94-69 96%     12.1   4 - 0 +16.2 +25.4 -7.9
  Fri, Nov 21 10 BYU L 70-98 22%     -12.2   4 - 1 -8.2 +1.8 -8.2
  Thu, Nov 27 67 Providence W 104-83 63%     14.0   5 - 1 +29.5 +17.7 +8.7
  Fri, Nov 28 45 TCU L 63-74 50%     -10.5   5 - 2 +0.8 -5.9 +7.3
  Wed, Dec 3 64 Northwestern W 85-73 72%     16.1   6 - 2 1 - 0 +17.7 +13.9 +3.9
  Sat, Dec 6 107 Marquette W 96-76 83%     12.4   7 - 2 +21.4 +14.6 +4.7
  Wed, Dec 10 23 @Nebraska L 60-90 25%     -13.6   7 - 3 1 - 1 -11.3 -2.6 -8.9
  Fri, Dec 19 28 Villanova L 66-76 OT 39%     -6.8   7 - 4 +4.7 +1.4 +3.1
  Mon, Dec 22 326 Central Michigan W 88-61 98%     14.7   8 - 4 +13.9 +12.5 +2.6
  Tue, Dec 30 200 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 80-60 94%     14.5   9 - 4 +14.5 -1.9 +15.2
  Sat, Jan 3 3 Purdue L 73-89 21%     -8.0   9 - 5 1 - 2 +4.2 +6.0 -1.4
  Tue, Jan 6 37 UCLA W 80-72 56%     11.6   10 - 5 2 - 2 +18.1 +9.4 +8.5
  Sat, Jan 10 1 @Michigan L 73-91 5%    
  Tue, Jan 13 77 @Minnesota W 72-71 55%    
  Sat, Jan 17 131 Rutgers W 81-68 89%    
  Thu, Jan 22 110 @Penn St. W 80-76 66%    
  Sun, Jan 25 47 USC W 82-78 63%    
  Wed, Jan 28 77 Minnesota W 75-68 76%    
  Sat, Jan 31 34 Ohio St. W 79-78 54%    
  Sat, Feb 7 27 @Indiana L 75-81 28%    
  Tue, Feb 10 9 @Illinois L 73-84 15%    
  Fri, Feb 13 14 Michigan St. L 71-74 38%    
  Tue, Feb 17 34 @Ohio St. L 76-81 33%    
  Sun, Feb 22 21 Iowa L 72-73 45%    
  Wed, Feb 25 58 @Oregon L 77-78 48%    
  Sat, Feb 28 51 @Washington L 76-78 44%    
  Wed, Mar 4 102 Maryland W 81-71 81%    
  Sat, Mar 7 3 @Purdue L 69-83 10%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.1 0.2 2.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.2 0.4 0.1 5.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.0 1.1 0.1 8.2 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 5.3 2.3 0.1 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 5.5 4.2 0.5 11.2 8th
9th 0.3 3.8 6.4 1.5 0.0 12.0 9th
10th 0.1 2.0 6.7 3.1 0.2 12.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 4.9 4.8 0.5 0.0 10.9 11th
12th 0.2 3.0 5.2 1.3 0.0 9.7 12th
13th 0.0 1.3 4.1 2.1 0.1 7.6 13th
14th 0.5 2.1 1.9 0.2 4.6 14th
15th 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.3 0.0 2.5 15th
16th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.2 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.1 5.1 10.0 14.6 17.9 17.8 14.3 9.4 5.0 2.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 33.3% 0.0    0.0
16-4 10.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 0.8% 0.0    0.0
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 100.0% 10.3% 89.7% 4.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.7% 100.0% 1.5% 98.5% 5.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 2.2% 99.1% 2.0% 97.1% 6.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 99.1%
13-7 5.0% 97.4% 1.7% 95.7% 7.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.1 97.4%
12-8 9.4% 89.6% 0.7% 88.9% 8.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.3 2.2 1.5 0.4 0.0 1.0 89.6%
11-9 14.3% 74.9% 0.4% 74.5% 9.3 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.0 3.0 3.2 1.8 0.0 3.6 74.8%
10-10 17.8% 46.3% 0.2% 46.1% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.4 4.1 0.1 9.6 46.2%
9-11 17.9% 14.8% 0.1% 14.8% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.0 0.2 15.2 14.8%
8-12 14.6% 2.6% 2.6% 11.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 14.2 2.6%
7-13 10.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 9.9 0.1%
6-14 5.1% 5.1
5-15 2.1% 2.1
4-16 0.6% 0.6
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 38.3% 0.3% 38.0% 8.9 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.3 4.3 6.2 7.3 7.7 8.5 0.3 0.0 61.7 38.1%