Wisconsin
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.0#48
Expected Predictive Rating+9.1#67
Pace73.2#79
Improvement-2.5#322

Offense
Total Offense+6.0#57
First Shot+4.3#73
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#73
Layup/Dunks-0.4#196
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#346
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.4#27
Freethrows+1.7#90
Improvement-3.1#352

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#50
First Shot+2.6#92
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#31
Layups/Dunks+2.4#92
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#226
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#249
Freethrows+2.0#66
Improvement+0.5#138
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 3.4% 3.5% 1.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 30.7% 30.9% 16.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 30.4% 30.6% 16.0%
Average Seed 8.8 8.8 9.2
.500 or above 72.8% 73.2% 41.5%
.500 or above in Conference 42.0% 42.2% 27.5%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 1.1% 3.6%
First Four6.9% 7.0% 5.1%
First Round27.3% 27.4% 14.3%
Second Round13.7% 13.8% 6.8%
Sweet Sixteen3.4% 3.4% 0.7%
Elite Eight1.2% 1.2% 0.2%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Michigan (Home) - 98.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 12
Quad 24 - 38 - 14
Quad 34 - 011 - 15
Quad 46 - 018 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 231 Campbell W 96-64 94%     1 - 0 +24.8 +19.1 +5.2
  Fri, Nov 7 325 Northern Illinois W 97-72 98%     2 - 0 +12.2 +12.1 -1.2
  Tue, Nov 11 306 Ball St. W 86-55 97%     3 - 0 +19.8 +10.9 +9.6
  Mon, Nov 17 248 SIU Edwardsville W 94-69 95%     4 - 0 +17.1 +24.7 -6.3
  Fri, Nov 21 9 BYU L 70-98 21%     4 - 1 -8.5 +1.3 -8.0
  Thu, Nov 27 79 Providence W 104-83 64%     5 - 1 +28.2 +16.5 +8.6
  Fri, Nov 28 55 TCU L 63-74 54%     5 - 2 -1.1 -5.9 +5.4
  Wed, Dec 3 61 Northwestern W 85-73 69%     6 - 2 1 - 0 +18.0 +14.8 +3.3
  Sat, Dec 6 105 Marquette W 96-76 82%     7 - 2 +21.4 +14.6 +4.6
  Wed, Dec 10 25 @Nebraska L 60-90 25%     7 - 3 1 - 1 -12.0 -4.4 -7.7
  Fri, Dec 19 35 Villanova L 66-76 OT 41%     7 - 4 +3.2 +0.0 +3.1
  Mon, Dec 22 322 Central Michigan W 88-64 99%    
  Tue, Dec 30 222 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 88-70 95%    
  Sat, Jan 3 6 Purdue L 72-80 23%    
  Tue, Jan 6 29 UCLA L 75-76 50%    
  Sat, Jan 10 1 @Michigan L 71-90 4%    
  Tue, Jan 13 98 @Minnesota W 73-70 60%    
  Sat, Jan 17 144 Rutgers W 81-68 88%    
  Thu, Jan 22 106 @Penn St. W 82-78 63%    
  Sun, Jan 25 39 USC W 81-80 55%    
  Wed, Jan 28 98 Minnesota W 76-67 78%    
  Sat, Jan 31 31 Ohio St. W 79-78 51%    
  Sat, Feb 7 26 @Indiana L 73-80 27%    
  Tue, Feb 10 12 @Illinois L 75-85 19%    
  Fri, Feb 13 14 Michigan St. L 71-75 37%    
  Tue, Feb 17 31 @Ohio St. L 75-81 30%    
  Sun, Feb 22 18 Iowa L 71-74 40%    
  Wed, Feb 25 64 @Oregon L 77-78 47%    
  Sat, Feb 28 49 @Washington L 76-78 41%    
  Wed, Mar 4 92 Maryland W 82-74 77%    
  Sat, Mar 7 6 @Purdue L 69-83 11%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 1.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 2.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.8 1.9 0.3 0.0 4.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 3.0 0.8 0.1 5.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 3.9 1.9 0.2 7.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.9 4.0 0.6 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.3 2.9 5.4 1.7 0.1 10.3 9th
10th 0.1 1.7 5.9 3.2 0.3 11.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 4.9 4.7 0.7 0.0 11.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.4 1.5 0.0 10.6 12th
13th 0.2 1.9 4.8 2.3 0.2 9.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.9 3.3 2.5 0.3 0.0 7.0 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.0 0.4 0.0 4.5 15th
16th 0.1 0.9 1.4 0.5 0.0 3.0 16th
17th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.4 17th
18th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 4.6 8.1 12.1 14.8 15.7 14.5 11.8 7.8 4.6 2.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 55.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 13.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 2.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.3% 100.0% 7.9% 92.1% 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.8% 100.0% 4.5% 95.5% 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 2.3% 99.0% 2.6% 96.4% 6.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.0%
13-7 4.6% 95.8% 1.9% 93.9% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.2 95.7%
12-8 7.8% 88.7% 0.9% 87.8% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.9 1.9 1.3 0.3 0.9 88.6%
11-9 11.8% 69.5% 0.6% 68.9% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.2 2.8 1.5 0.0 3.6 69.3%
10-10 14.5% 39.4% 0.2% 39.2% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.7 2.9 0.1 8.8 39.3%
9-11 15.7% 12.2% 0.1% 12.1% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 0.2 13.8 12.1%
8-12 14.8% 1.4% 0.1% 1.4% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 14.6 1.4%
7-13 12.1% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 12.1 0.1%
6-14 8.1% 8.1
5-15 4.6% 4.6
4-16 1.9% 1.9
3-17 0.6% 0.6
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 30.7% 0.4% 30.3% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.9 3.6 5.2 5.7 6.3 6.2 0.3 0.0 69.3 30.4%