UCLA
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.9#31
Expected Predictive Rating+11.9#48
Pace63.3#322
Improvement+1.3#89

Offense
Total Offense+7.7#34
First Shot+7.7#21
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#179
Layup/Dunks+1.3#131
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#41
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#149
Freethrows+2.2#67
Improvement+2.3#30

Defense
Total Defense+6.3#35
First Shot+5.7#33
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#153
Layups/Dunks+3.1#70
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#82
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#245
Freethrows+2.9#34
Improvement-0.9#263
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.4% 1.0% 0.2%
Top 2 Seed 1.4% 3.1% 0.9%
Top 4 Seed 10.6% 19.0% 8.0%
Top 6 Seed 29.6% 45.7% 24.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 74.6% 87.9% 70.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 74.1% 87.5% 70.1%
Average Seed 7.1 6.4 7.4
.500 or above 94.6% 98.6% 93.4%
.500 or above in Conference 82.5% 88.2% 80.8%
Conference Champion 2.1% 3.1% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four5.9% 3.3% 6.7%
First Round71.9% 86.4% 67.5%
Second Round45.9% 59.1% 41.9%
Sweet Sixteen16.9% 24.2% 14.7%
Elite Eight6.1% 9.2% 5.1%
Final Four2.3% 3.9% 1.8%
Championship Game0.8% 1.5% 0.5%
National Champion0.2% 0.5% 0.1%

Next Game: Gonzaga (Neutral) - 23.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 73 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 25 - 9
Quad 25 - 211 - 12
Quad 33 - 014 - 12
Quad 47 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 236 Eastern Washington W 80-74 96%     1 - 0 -1.2 +0.5 -1.8
  Fri, Nov 7 311 Pepperdine W 74-63 98%     2 - 0 -0.3 +6.1 -5.2
  Mon, Nov 10 317 West Georgia W 83-62 98%     3 - 0 +9.2 +10.9 -0.1
  Fri, Nov 14 5 Arizona L 65-69 25%     3 - 1 +17.0 +4.8 +12.0
  Tue, Nov 18 276 Sacramento St. W 79-48 97%     4 - 1 +21.9 +1.7 +19.9
  Fri, Nov 21 261 Presbyterian W 86-46 97%     5 - 1 +31.5 +14.1 +19.1
  Tue, Nov 25 72 California L 72-80 72%     5 - 2 -0.2 +1.6 -1.7
  Wed, Dec 3 51 @Washington W 82-80 51%     6 - 2 1 - 0 +15.6 +21.2 -5.4
  Sat, Dec 6 83 Oregon W 74-63 83%     7 - 2 2 - 0 +14.9 +13.9 +2.7
  Sat, Dec 13 4 Gonzaga L 70-78 23%    
  Wed, Dec 17 60 Arizona St. W 77-69 77%    
  Fri, Dec 19 250 Cal Poly W 89-67 98%    
  Tue, Dec 23 255 UC Riverside W 82-60 98%    
  Sat, Jan 3 23 @Iowa L 66-70 35%    
  Tue, Jan 6 40 @Wisconsin L 74-75 47%    
  Sat, Jan 10 93 Maryland W 77-66 85%    
  Wed, Jan 14 111 @Penn St. W 78-71 75%    
  Sat, Jan 17 29 @Ohio St. L 72-75 39%    
  Tue, Jan 20 7 Purdue L 69-73 37%    
  Sat, Jan 24 61 Northwestern W 76-68 77%    
  Wed, Jan 28 83 @Oregon W 73-69 64%    
  Sat, Jan 31 22 Indiana W 73-71 56%    
  Tue, Feb 3 126 Rutgers W 76-62 90%    
  Sat, Feb 7 51 Washington W 75-69 72%    
  Sat, Feb 14 1 @Michigan L 66-82 8%    
  Tue, Feb 17 13 @Michigan St. L 63-71 25%    
  Sat, Feb 21 11 Illinois L 73-75 43%    
  Tue, Feb 24 36 USC W 77-73 65%    
  Sat, Feb 28 102 @Minnesota W 69-63 72%    
  Tue, Mar 3 30 Nebraska W 73-70 60%    
  Sat, Mar 7 36 @USC L 74-76 43%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.0 2.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 6.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 3.4 3.7 1.5 0.2 0.0 9.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.8 5.2 1.8 0.2 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.4 6.0 2.2 0.2 0.0 12.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.2 6.1 3.0 0.3 0.0 11.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.8 3.9 0.6 0.0 10.5 7th
8th 0.4 3.4 4.5 0.9 0.0 9.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 4.3 1.6 0.1 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 3.0 2.2 0.3 0.0 6.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.2 0.6 0.0 4.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 1.8 0.6 0.0 3.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.6 0.0 2.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.1 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 16th
17th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.6 5.1 8.1 11.8 13.8 15.1 14.3 11.7 7.9 4.7 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 90.4% 0.2    0.1 0.0
18-2 68.7% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1
17-3 34.4% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1
16-4 10.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
15-5 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 100.0% 25.0% 75.0% 1.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.7% 100.0% 14.7% 85.3% 2.7 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 2.3% 100.0% 10.6% 89.4% 3.4 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 4.7% 100.0% 5.6% 94.4% 4.2 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.6 1.2 0.5 0.1 100.0%
15-5 7.9% 100.0% 4.6% 95.4% 5.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.8 2.4 1.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 11.7% 99.5% 3.5% 96.1% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.6 3.2 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 99.5%
13-7 14.3% 98.2% 1.9% 96.3% 7.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.0 4.0 3.1 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 98.1%
12-8 15.1% 91.7% 1.2% 90.5% 8.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.1 3.8 3.0 1.6 0.4 0.0 1.3 91.6%
11-9 13.8% 79.2% 0.6% 78.6% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.5 3.0 2.6 1.4 0.0 2.9 79.1%
10-10 11.8% 53.5% 0.2% 53.3% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.9 2.1 0.1 5.5 53.4%
9-11 8.1% 22.1% 0.1% 21.9% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.3 22.0%
8-12 5.1% 4.7% 4.7% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 4.9 4.7%
7-13 2.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.6% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.6 0.6%
6-14 1.1% 1.1
5-15 0.4% 0.4
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 74.6% 2.0% 72.6% 7.1 0.4 1.0 3.1 6.1 8.5 10.5 12.0 11.4 9.2 7.0 5.1 0.3 0.0 25.4 74.1%