UCLA
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +14.4 34
Expected Predictive Rating +13.7 41
Pace 63.9 309
Improvement +3.0 64

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ #39 B B B+ B D-
Defense B #38 B B- B+ C+ B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 292 64% 62 -0.3 185
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 31 40% 121 +3.9 28
Three Pointers 36% 287 40% 7 +0.9 143
1st FG Attempt 1.11 56 +4.6 56
Second Chance 33.1% 105 1.16 38 0.38 50
Turnovers 13.6% 22
Freethrows 0.34 75 77% 43 0.26 41
Total Offense +8.2 39

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% 330 57% 162 +4.1 51
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 158 39% 232 -0.5 228
Three Pointers 47% 31 28% 14 +0.7 155
1st FG Attempt 0.93 51 +4.3 51
Second Chance 29.6% 138 0.93 58 0.28 81
Turnovers 19.9% 38
Freethrows 0.29 145 73% 231 0.21 152
Total Defense +6.1 38

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -1.4 334 -0.5 84
Shot Type Accuracy +6.0 28 -3.8 50
Possession Length 17.1 144 19.0 358
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 124 0.13 55
Improvement +1.8 #94 +1.2 #118

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.5% 2.7% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 5.2% 17.7% 4.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 77.5% 94.4% 75.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 77.3% 94.3% 75.7%
Average Seed 8.9 8.0 9.0
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 97.7% 100.0% 97.5%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four10.7% 3.7% 11.4%
First Round72.8% 92.9% 70.8%
Second Round36.3% 53.8% 34.6%
Sweet Sixteen8.8% 14.5% 8.2%
Elite Eight3.3% 5.8% 3.0%
Final Four1.1% 2.3% 0.9%
Championship Game0.2% 0.6% 0.2%
National Champion0.1% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Michigan (Away) - 9.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 24 - 10
Quad 25 - 29 - 12
Quad 34 - 013 - 12
Quad 48 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 227 Eastern Washington W 80 - 74 96% +7  84% 1 - 0 C -1 C- -2 C D+ A C+ +1 F A A-
 Fri, Nov 7 292 Pepperdine W 74 - 63 98% +10  87% 2 - 0 C +0 B- +4 C- A- C+ C- -2 A- F C+
 Mon, Nov 10 321 West Georgia W 83 - 62 99% +11  97% 3 - 0 B +8 B +7 B C+ D+ B- +3 F B A+
 Fri, Nov 14 2 Arizona L 65 - 69 16% +1  60% 3 - 1 A +21 B- +5 A+ D F A+ +16 A C- A+
 Tue, Nov 18 257 Sacramento St. W 79 - 48 97% +19  99% 4 - 1 A +23 D+ -3 C- A F A+ +25 A+ B B
 Fri, Nov 21 271 Presbyterian W 86 - 46 98% +24  99% 5 - 1 A+ +31 A- +10 A+ A+ D+ A+ +22 A+ A+ A
 Tue, Nov 25 72 California L 72 - 80 73% -2  43% 5 - 2 C -0 C -0 C- B+ C+ C -0 C- A+ D-
 Wed, Dec 3 45 @Washington W 82 - 80 48% +3  65% 6 - 2 1 - 0 A- +17 A+ +19 A+ A+ A C- -2 D+ F A+
 Sat, Dec 6 79 Oregon W 74 - 63 83% +8  92% 7 - 2 2 - 0 A- +15 A +12 B+ A B B +5 A+ F C+
 Sat, Dec 13 13 Gonzaga L 72 - 82 34% -2  32% 7 - 3 B +9 A- +10 A+ C A C- -2 D+ A+ D+
 Wed, Dec 17 74 Arizona St. W 90 - 77 82% +9  98% 8 - 3 A +18 A+ +14 A D+ A+ B- +3 A+ C- C
 Fri, Dec 19 267 Cal Poly W 108 - 87 97% +7  67% 9 - 3 B+ +12 A+ +15 A+ D A+ D -5 F C A+
 Tue, Dec 23 295 UC Riverside W 97 - 65 98% +14  88% 10 - 3 A +21 B +7 C- A+ B A +11 C A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 22 @Iowa L 61 - 74 30% -10  1% 10 - 4 2 - 1 B- +7 C+ +2 B- F B+ B- +3 D A+ A+
 Tue, Jan 6 38 @Wisconsin L 72 - 80 41% -12  1% 10 - 5 2 - 2 B +9 C+ +2 C- B B- B+ +7 B C D+
 Sat, Jan 10 112 Maryland W 67 - 55 89% +9  80% 11 - 5 3 - 2 B+ +13 D+ -4 F+ C A+ A+ +17 A+ F B
 Wed, Jan 14 113 @Penn St. W 71 - 60 78% +3  72% 12 - 5 4 - 2 A- +17 B+ +8 D- A+ F A +12 B A+ A
 Sat, Jan 17 39 @Ohio St. L 74 - 86 41% -9  0% 12 - 6 4 - 3 C+ +5 A +13 B B- A+ F+ -10 B F C+
 Tue, Jan 20 9 Purdue W 69 - 67 38% -2  24% 13 - 6 5 - 3 A +19 A +13 A+ F C+ B+ +7 A+ D+ C+
 Sat, Jan 24 64 Northwestern W 71 - 64 80% +9  90% 14 - 6 6 - 3 B+ +12 B- +4 A C B A- +9 A- A+ B-
 Wed, Jan 28 79 @Oregon W 73 - 57 65% +11  94% 15 - 6 7 - 3 A+ +26 A +13 D- A+ A+ A+ +16 B+ A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 31 36 Indiana L 97 - 98 2OT 62% +0  53% 15 - 7 7 - 4 B +10 B- +5 D+ A+ A+ B +5 A C+ D+
 Tue, Feb 3 119 Rutgers W 98 - 66 91% +14  92% 16 - 7 8 - 4 A+ +32 A+ +33 A+ A+ A+ B- +3 C- A C-
 Sat, Feb 7 45 Washington W 77 - 73 70% -0  38% 17 - 7 9 - 4 B+ +13 A- +10 C A+ A B- +3 C+ D+ A
 Sat, Feb 14 1 @Michigan L 69 - 84 9%
 Tue, Feb 17 10 @Michigan St. L 65 - 73 22%
 Sat, Feb 21 6 Illinois L 72 - 77 34%
 Tue, Feb 24 46 USC W 77 - 71 71%
 Sat, Feb 28 73 @Minnesota W 70 - 66 63%
 Tue, Mar 3 12 Nebraska L 71 - 72 45%
 Sat, Mar 7 46 @USC W 74 - 73 50%
Totals 20 - 11 12 - 8 +14 B+ +8 B B B+ B +6 B B- B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ B C+ A A- 35% 30% 36% D- B B- B+ B B+ B- B B B C C- A- B 32% 21% 47% B- B C+ B B- B+ C+ C- C+
1.20 64% 40% 40% +6 -1 1.11 33% 1.2 .38 14% .34 77% .26 1.00 57% 39% 28% -4 -1 0.93 30% 0.9 .28 20% .29 73% .25
Nov
3		 Eastern Washington C- B- A- C B- 33% 28% 40% F C C D- D+ A F F F C+ F D B+ F 38% 15% 48% D- F A+ B- A A- B A+ A-
1.13 63% 50% 35% +6 -1 1.10 33% 1.0 .33 11% .16 60% .10 1.05 89% 43% 30% +10 +1 1.23 21% 1.0 .21 23% .26 64% .16
Nov
7		 Pepperdine B- C A+ F C- 38% 16% 47% D+ C- A- B- A- C+ A+ C- A+ C- B B A+ A 35% 13% 52% D- A- F F F C+ B- F D
1.18 59% 71% 24% -2 +1 1.00 41% 1.2 .47 16% .49 73% .36 1.00 50% 33% 25% -10 +1 0.83 42% 1.1 .47 19% .26 100% .26
Nov
10		 West Georgia B B- A+ B+ B+ 44% 26% 30% F+ B A+ F C+ D+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ D F F 18% 32% 50% B F B+ C+ B A+ B A+ A+
1.27 63% 55% 38% +9 0 1.19 48% 0.7 .33 17% .48 88% .42 0.95 25% 43% 50% +8 -3 1.11 26% 1.0 .26 26% .23 45% .10
Nov
14		 Arizona B- B- C- A+ A+ 18% 51% 31% F A+ B F D F F A D- A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 48% 17% 35% F+ A B D- C- A+ A C A
0.96 56% 35% 56% +8 -5 1.08 27% 0.4 .12 24% .16 75% .12 1.02 68% 25% 25% -2 +1 1.00 37% 1.1 .40 22% .29 73% .21
Nov
18		 Sacramento St. D+ B- C D- C 42% 24% 34% D- C- C A+ A F A+ F A- A+ A A+ A+ A+ 26% 28% 47% B- A+ C A B B F A+ F
1.12 62% 42% 29% 0 0 1.02 33% 1.5 .52 21% .43 67% .29 0.68 42% 23% 9% -26 -2 0.47 28% 0.9 .26 18% .52 63% .33
Nov
21		 Presbyterian A- A+ F A+ A+ 61% 15% 24% A- A+ D A+ A+ D+ A+ C- A A+ F A A+ A+ 26% 33% 41% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A B C+ B
1.28 75% 29% 45% +13 +2 1.33 26% 1.8 .48 16% .43 67% .28 0.68 75% 27% 11% -14 -2 0.70 23% 0.6 .14 25% .30 67% .20
Nov
25		 California C C D- D C 33% 29% 38% F+ C- B+ B+ B+ C+ A F B C A+ B F C- 38% 23% 38% C- C- A- A+ A+ D- C- C+ C
1.02 56% 31% 29% -6 -2 0.87 33% 1.1 .36 16% .39 57% .22 1.13 45% 33% 55% +6 0 1.13 21% 0.7 .15 11% .35 77% .27
Dec
3		 Washington A+ A+ A- A+ A+ 20% 39% 41% F A+ B- A+ A+ A A+ C+ A+ C- F+ F+ C+ D+ 34% 24% 42% C- D+ F F F A+ B+ B- B+
1.26 78% 44% 47% +15 -4 1.24 30% 1.6 .48 11% .41 71% .29 1.23 71% 50% 33% +7 -1 1.14 52% 1.4 .74 23% .24 75% .18
Dec
6		 Oregon A C+ C A+ A 20% 45% 34% F B+ A+ C- A B A+ A+ A+ B A+ A+ A- A+ 27% 16% 57% B A+ F+ D- F C+ F C+ F
1.22 56% 40% 47% +7 -4 1.07 47% 0.9 .41 15% .41 86% .35 1.04 33% 29% 28% -13 0 0.75 43% 1.3 .54 18% .48 71% .34
Dec
13		 Gonzaga A- A- B- A+ A+ 30% 38% 32% D A+ D+ B+ C A B+ A+ A C- F C- F F+ 28% 41% 30% A+ D+ B- A+ A+ D+ F A F
1.10 64% 39% 47% +8 -3 1.13 20% 1.0 .20 15% .34 79% .27 1.25 85% 42% 43% +13 -3 1.22 34% 0.5 .17 12% .56 63% .35
Dec
17		 Arizona St. A+ F F A+ A 31% 24% 44% D+ A C D- D+ A+ B+ A A B- F D- A+ A+ 35% 21% 44% B- A+ C+ D+ C- C F+ F F
1.27 41% 23% 58% +7 -1 1.15 31% 0.9 .29 11% .35 82% .29 1.09 72% 45% 9% -10 0 0.81 31% 1.3 .40 16% .43 96% .42
Dec
19		 Cal Poly A+ A D- A+ A+ 51% 5% 44% A A+ F A+ D A+ A+ A+ A+ D F A+ F F 34% 2% 64% D+ F C+ D+ C A+ F F F
1.37 72% 33% 44% +14 +3 1.35 16% 1.8 .28 10% .41 90% .37 1.11 69% 0% 43% +12 +2 1.30 29% 1.0 .29 31% .40 95% .38
Dec
23		 UC Riverside B A- C D+ C 33% 33% 33% F C- C+ A+ A+ B B+ A+ A+ A F+ C A+ C- 45% 28% 28% B- C C A+ A+ A+ F B- F
1.24 68% 42% 32% +4 -2 1.05 32% 1.5 .47 13% .38 85% .32 0.83 67% 38% 23% 0 0 1.00 28% 0.1 .03 28% .41 70% .29
Jan
3		 Iowa C+ C A+ F B 40% 33% 27% D- B- A F F B+ F+ D- F+ B- F F C- F 16% 26% 58% A+ D F A+ A+ A+ F F F
0.98 58% 56% 23% +2 -2 1.02 36% 0.3 .12 19% .24 67% .16 1.19 83% 80% 36% +17 -2 1.32 42% 0.5 .19 23% .54 85% .46
Jan
6		 Wisconsin C+ A+ B- F C+ 32% 38% 30% F+ C- C+ A B B- A+ F A- B+ A+ F C+ B- 27% 17% 56% A- B A+ F C D+ F B F+
1.01 82% 45% 6% -2 -3 0.92 26% 1.2 .31 14% .37 65% .24 1.12 46% 75% 33% +3 0 1.06 19% 1.8 .34 11% .43 74% .32
Jan
10		 Maryland D+ C C- F F+ 35% 30% 35% F+ F+ F A+ C A+ A+ D A+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ 29% 23% 48% B+ A+ F D F B A- A+ A+
1.02 56% 36% 25% -6 -2 0.87 15% 1.8 .27 9% .45 67% .30 0.84 50% 18% 9% -25 -1 0.50 45% 1.2 .55 20% .29 60% .17
Jan
14		 Penn St. B+ F F C+ D- 18% 18% 64% D- D- A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ A D- F A+ B 36% 17% 48% B- B A A+ A+ A D+ F F
1.18 43% 29% 36% -2 -1 0.95 42% 1.7 .73 23% .46 100% .46 1.00 67% 71% 20% -1 0 1.00 22% 0.7 .15 20% .35 94% .33
Jan
17		 Ohio St. A A- D+ A+ A 17% 47% 36% F B B+ D+ B- A+ B+ B+ A- F+ F D- B+ C+ 23% 34% 43% A+ B F F F C+ F F+ F
1.18 67% 36% 42% +5 -5 1.02 36% 0.9 .33 8% .33 79% .26 1.38 82% 50% 30% +7 -3 1.11 48% 1.4 .68 16% .48 84% .40
Jan
20		 Purdue A A+ A- A+ A+ 31% 27% 42% C+ A+ D+ F F C+ F C- F B+ A+ F A A+ 28% 21% 51% C+ A+ D+ C- D+ C+ A+ F A+
1.18 87% 46% 45% +18 -1 1.35 19% 0.5 .10 17% .06 67% .04 1.15 46% 60% 29% -2 -1 0.96 39% 1.2 .48 14% .14 86% .12
Jan
24		 Northwestern B- B B+ A+ A+ 33% 33% 35% D- A D- A- C B A F C A- A- B- C A- 33% 23% 44% B- A- A- A+ A+ B- D+ F F+
1.11 63% 44% 41% +7 -2 1.12 25% 1.1 .28 16% .39 52% .20 1.00 50% 36% 33% -3 -1 0.94 24% 0.6 .15 14% .36 85% .31
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Oregon A B- F C D 29% 41% 31% F D- B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ B- A- 31% 12% 57% C B+ A A+ A+ C- A+ B+ A+
1.19 57% 25% 33% -6 -3 0.84 32% 1.6 .51 6% .40 87% .35 0.93 56% 17% 31% -5 +1 0.92 28% 0.5 .13 16% .17 67% .12
Jan
31		 Indiana B- F C C C- 33% 38% 29% D- D+ C A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B C A+ B A 33% 16% 51% A- A A+ F C+ D+ F D+ F
1.09 38% 38% 33% -7 -3 0.83 27% 1.8 .50 11% .43 88% .38 1.11 62% 30% 31% -2 0 0.98 19% 1.6 .31 12% .49 82% .40
Feb
3		 Rutgers A+ A- A- A+ A+ 33% 33% 33% F+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ A B- B F B- D+ 26% 33% 41% B C- B A A C- D+ A+ B+
1.55 67% 44% 61% +19 -2 1.35 34% 1.4 .48 3% .29 89% .26 1.05 50% 53% 32% +2 -2 1.00 31% 0.9 .28 14% .37 55% .20
Feb
7		 Washington A- F D A+ C+ 34% 34% 32% D+ C A+ B A+ A A+ A+ A+ B- C F A- B- 42% 23% 35% D C+ C- D+ D+ A D A+ C
1.17 38% 31% 47% -3 -2 0.91 39% 1.1 .42 11% .49 79% .39 1.11 60% 55% 29% +2 0 1.06 38% 1.2 .45 20% .34 67% .23



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.0 1.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 3.8 0.5 5.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 7.6 3.7 0.1 12.7 5th
6th 1.0 10.8 10.3 0.7 22.8 6th
7th 0.2 7.9 14.5 2.5 0.0 25.1 7th
8th 1.7 10.4 3.4 0.1 15.6 8th
9th 0.1 4.2 4.4 0.2 8.9 9th
10th 0.7 3.7 0.6 4.9 10th
11th 1.2 1.0 0.0 2.1 11th
12th 0.4 0.4 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 2.3 10.8 24.3 30.2 21.6 8.8 1.8 0.2 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 31.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.3% 0.0    0.0
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.2% 100.0% 2.9% 97.1% 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 100.0%
15-5 1.8% 100.0% 4.6% 95.4% 6.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 8.8% 99.3% 1.9% 97.3% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.9 2.5 1.1 0.2 0.1 99.2%
13-7 21.6% 95.2% 1.4% 93.8% 8.2 0.0 0.3 1.1 3.7 6.8 6.0 2.4 0.3 1.0 95.1%
12-8 30.2% 85.7% 0.7% 85.0% 9.2 0.1 0.3 1.5 4.8 8.3 8.2 2.8 4.3 85.6%
11-9 24.3% 67.9% 0.6% 67.3% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.3 6.0 5.6 0.0 7.8 67.7%
10-10 10.8% 33.8% 0.1% 33.7% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.4 0.1 7.1 33.7%
9-11 2.3% 8.0% 8.0% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.1 8.0%
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 77.5% 0.9% 76.6% 8.9 22.5 77.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%