St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.2#295
Expected Predictive Rating-7.8#284
Pace62.6#342
Improvement+2.2#59

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#318
First Shot-7.2#354
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#71
Layup/Dunks-6.7#351
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#199
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#228
Freethrows+1.3#101
Improvement-0.8#244

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#229
First Shot-1.2#220
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#234
Layups/Dunks-2.9#286
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#14
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#71
Freethrows-3.8#351
Improvement+3.0#19
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 3.6% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 25.2% 39.1% 17.5%
.500 or above in Conference 49.3% 66.9% 39.5%
Conference Champion 1.7% 3.5% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 2.2% 0.5% 3.2%
First Four1.1% 1.3% 1.0%
First Round1.9% 2.9% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairfield (Away) - 35.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 411 - 712 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 52 @Seton Hall L 50-77 4%     0 - 1 -13.9 -5.4 -12.8
  Sat, Nov 8 357 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93-83 84%     1 - 1 -7.8 +5.1 -13.5
  Wed, Nov 12 45 @Virginia Commonwealth L 61-78 4%     1 - 2 -2.9 -3.1 -0.2
  Tue, Nov 18 287 @Delaware L 70-81 36%     1 - 3 -14.6 -1.0 -14.1
  Sat, Nov 22 298 Umass Lowell W 68-66 62%     2 - 3 -8.4 -11.3 +2.9
  Sat, Nov 29 247 Dartmouth L 61-87 53%     2 - 4 -33.9 -11.0 -24.7
  Fri, Dec 5 341 Canisius W 69-57 75%     3 - 4 1 - 0 -2.2 -1.9 +0.8
  Sun, Dec 7 353 Niagara W 71-43 80%     4 - 4 2 - 0 +11.8 +2.5 +13.7
  Sat, Dec 13 96 @Georgetown L 68-76 OT 8%     4 - 5 +0.3 -2.5 +2.9
  Mon, Dec 29 279 @Fairfield L 66-70 36%    
  Fri, Jan 2 162 Marist L 61-65 36%    
  Fri, Jan 9 303 @Mount St. Mary's L 66-68 41%    
  Sun, Jan 11 267 Merrimack W 64-63 56%    
  Wed, Jan 14 157 @Quinnipiac L 66-76 17%    
  Sat, Jan 17 348 Rider W 66-58 77%    
  Mon, Jan 19 161 Iona L 70-74 36%    
  Sat, Jan 24 267 @Merrimack L 61-66 34%    
  Fri, Jan 30 303 Mount St. Mary's W 69-65 63%    
  Sun, Feb 1 348 @Rider W 63-61 57%    
  Thu, Feb 5 319 @Manhattan L 70-71 47%    
  Sat, Feb 7 174 Siena L 64-67 39%    
  Fri, Feb 13 235 @Sacred Heart L 68-74 30%    
  Sun, Feb 15 279 Fairfield W 69-67 57%    
  Fri, Feb 20 161 @Iona L 67-77 19%    
  Sun, Feb 22 174 @Siena L 61-70 21%    
  Fri, Feb 27 319 Manhattan W 73-68 68%    
  Sun, Mar 1 162 @Marist L 58-68 19%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.1 1.6 0.4 0.0 5.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 3.2 2.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 7.9 4th
5th 0.2 1.6 4.7 4.0 1.0 0.1 11.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.5 4.9 1.2 0.1 13.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 5.3 5.1 1.5 0.1 0.0 13.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 4.6 5.2 1.5 0.1 12.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.7 4.8 1.8 0.2 0.0 11.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 2.9 4.0 1.8 0.2 9.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 1.9 2.5 1.1 0.1 0.0 6.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.2 0.5 0.1 3.0 12th
13th 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 13th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.8 4.0 6.9 10.0 13.1 14.3 14.0 12.5 9.4 6.2 3.7 1.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 96.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 83.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1
16-4 55.7% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
15-5 25.3% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 5.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 12.9% 12.9% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.4% 18.2% 18.2% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
16-4 0.9% 13.2% 13.2% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8
15-5 1.9% 12.5% 12.5% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.7
14-6 3.7% 9.1% 9.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 3.4
13-7 6.2% 6.5% 6.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 5.8
12-8 9.4% 4.2% 4.2% 15.9 0.0 0.4 9.0
11-9 12.5% 3.1% 3.1% 15.9 0.0 0.4 12.1
10-10 14.0% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 13.8
9-11 14.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 14.2
8-12 13.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 13.0
7-13 10.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.0
6-14 6.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.8
5-15 4.0% 4.0
4-16 1.8% 1.8
3-17 0.6% 0.6
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 97.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%