Wichita St.
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.7#101
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#150
Pace65.1#299
Improvement-3.0#340

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#115
First Shot-2.6#244
After Offensive Rebound+4.9#3
Layup/Dunks-1.9#256
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#176
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#241
Freethrows+0.9#124
Improvement-0.9#252

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#103
First Shot+2.6#94
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#207
Layups/Dunks+2.3#98
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#357
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#98
Freethrows+2.1#60
Improvement-2.1#324
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.8% 12.3% 8.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.2 12.1 12.6
.500 or above 86.8% 89.0% 71.0%
.500 or above in Conference 82.8% 84.0% 74.4%
Conference Champion 14.2% 14.9% 9.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.5% 1.1%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round11.7% 12.2% 8.0%
Second Round1.8% 1.9% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Kentucky (Home) - 87.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 23 - 43 - 7
Quad 35 - 58 - 12
Quad 411 - 119 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 218 UNC Asheville W 75-58 85%     1 - 0 +10.4 +0.8 +10.2
  Sat, Nov 8 327 Prairie View W 105-62 94%     2 - 0 +30.2 +17.4 +8.9
  Thu, Nov 13 274 Loyola Chicago W 95-74 89%     3 - 0 +12.0 +22.2 -8.7
  Tue, Nov 18 54 @Boise St. L 59-62 22%     3 - 1 +9.9 -0.7 +10.3
  Sat, Nov 22 222 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75-58 86%     4 - 1 +10.3 +0.6 +10.5
  Wed, Nov 26 43 St. Mary's L 65-70 25%     4 - 2 +6.9 +0.8 +6.0
  Thu, Nov 27 91 Colorado St. L 70-76 45%     4 - 3 -0.1 +8.8 -10.0
  Fri, Nov 28 146 Western Kentucky L 70-75 64%     4 - 4 -4.0 +4.8 -9.3
  Sat, Dec 6 94 @Northern Iowa W 74-69 OT 35%     5 - 4 +13.6 +9.2 +4.3
  Sat, Dec 13 112 DePaul L 58-61 66%     5 - 5 -2.5 -6.5 +3.7
  Wed, Dec 17 220 Wofford W 84-73 86%     6 - 5 +4.4 +12.6 -7.6
  Sun, Dec 21 238 Eastern Kentucky W 78-66 88%    
  Wed, Dec 31 114 @UAB L 73-75 44%    
  Sat, Jan 3 196 @Charlotte W 70-66 64%    
  Wed, Jan 7 234 Rice W 75-63 87%    
  Sun, Jan 11 150 North Texas W 67-60 74%    
  Thu, Jan 15 117 @Florida Atlantic L 73-75 44%    
  Sun, Jan 18 86 @South Florida L 73-78 32%    
  Wed, Jan 21 258 East Carolina W 77-64 88%    
  Sat, Jan 24 74 Memphis W 71-70 51%    
  Sun, Feb 1 81 @Tulsa L 71-76 32%    
  Wed, Feb 4 196 Charlotte W 73-63 82%    
  Sun, Feb 8 193 @Tulane W 73-69 64%    
  Wed, Feb 11 86 South Florida W 76-75 54%    
  Sat, Feb 14 81 Tulsa W 74-73 53%    
  Wed, Feb 18 258 @East Carolina W 74-67 74%    
  Sat, Feb 21 147 Temple W 77-70 73%    
  Thu, Feb 26 74 @Memphis L 68-74 30%    
  Sun, Mar 1 294 @Texas San Antonio W 76-67 79%    
  Sat, Mar 7 117 Florida Atlantic W 76-72 66%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.7 4.0 1.9 0.6 0.1 14.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.6 5.9 3.1 0.7 0.0 13.9 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.4 6.7 3.1 0.3 0.0 13.8 3rd
4th 0.2 2.6 6.7 3.4 0.3 13.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 5.9 4.0 0.5 0.0 12.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.0 4.2 0.8 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.5 4.1 1.1 0.0 7.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 3.0 1.4 0.1 6.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 2.2 1.3 0.1 4.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.9 0.1 2.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.6 5.0 7.7 11.3 14.2 15.4 14.8 11.8 8.1 4.7 2.0 0.6 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
16-2 97.6% 1.9    1.7 0.2
15-3 85.5% 4.0    2.9 1.0 0.1
14-4 57.7% 4.7    2.2 2.0 0.5 0.0
13-5 21.1% 2.5    0.5 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.3% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 14.2% 14.2 7.9 4.3 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 40.9% 36.4% 4.5% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.1%
17-1 0.6% 38.3% 32.2% 6.1% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 9.0%
16-2 2.0% 32.6% 32.1% 0.5% 11.3 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.3 0.8%
15-3 4.7% 26.9% 26.8% 0.1% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.1 3.4 0.1%
14-4 8.1% 24.0% 24.0% 11.9 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.2 6.2
13-5 11.8% 19.3% 19.3% 12.1 0.3 1.6 0.4 0.0 9.5
12-6 14.8% 14.6% 14.6% 12.3 0.1 1.3 0.7 0.1 12.6
11-7 15.4% 9.5% 9.5% 12.5 0.0 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 14.0
10-8 14.2% 6.6% 6.6% 12.7 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 13.3
9-9 11.3% 4.4% 4.4% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 10.8
8-10 7.7% 3.1% 3.1% 13.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 7.5
7-11 5.0% 1.2% 1.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.9
6-12 2.6% 1.5% 1.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 2.6
5-13 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 1.2
4-14 0.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.8% 11.7% 0.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.9 6.3 2.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 88.2 0.1%