Wichita St.
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.4#53
Expected Predictive Rating+14.4#32
Pace68.3#211
Improvement-0.2#188

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#133
First Shot-2.7#261
After Offensive Rebound+3.9#8
Layup/Dunks-3.2#288
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#159
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#181
Freethrows+0.6#140
Improvement-0.3#218

Defense
Total Defense+7.2#25
First Shot+4.4#52
After Offensive Rebounds+2.8#40
Layups/Dunks-0.2#200
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#195
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#43
Freethrows+0.5#163
Improvement+0.1#161
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.8% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 1.7% 4.1% 0.8%
Top 6 Seed 4.8% 10.1% 3.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 34.7% 53.2% 28.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 30.4% 49.3% 24.0%
Average Seed 9.3 8.8 9.6
.500 or above 95.2% 98.9% 93.9%
.500 or above in Conference 77.0% 82.5% 75.1%
Conference Champion 5.3% 8.3% 4.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.4% 0.9%
First Four9.1% 10.4% 8.7%
First Round29.7% 47.3% 23.7%
Second Round14.3% 24.3% 10.9%
Sweet Sixteen4.2% 7.7% 3.0%
Elite Eight1.6% 2.8% 1.2%
Final Four0.6% 0.9% 0.5%
Championship Game0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oklahoma St. (Away) - 25.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 22 - 6
Quad 23 - 25 - 8
Quad 39 - 214 - 11
Quad 47 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 149   Jacksonville St. W 60-57 83%     1 - 0 +1.3 -6.5 +8.1
  Nov 13, 2021 157   South Alabama W 64-58 84%     2 - 0 +3.6 -7.5 +11.2
  Nov 16, 2021 155   Tarleton St. W 65-51 84%     3 - 0 +11.7 -2.3 +14.9
  Nov 19, 2021 4   Arizona L 78-82 OT 18%     3 - 1 +13.9 -1.4 +16.1
  Nov 21, 2021 147   UNLV W 74-73 75%     4 - 1 +2.5 +1.9 +0.5
  Nov 26, 2021 132   @ Missouri W 61-55 62%     5 - 1 +11.3 -6.2 +17.6
  Dec 01, 2021 32   @ Oklahoma St. L 63-70 26%    
  Dec 05, 2021 91   Kansas St. W 65-60 70%    
  Dec 11, 2021 250   Norfolk St. W 76-60 93%    
  Dec 14, 2021 315   Alcorn St. W 75-55 97%    
  Dec 18, 2021 108   North Texas W 63-56 75%    
  Dec 22, 2021 242   Prairie View W 80-64 93%    
  Dec 29, 2021 178   @ East Carolina W 71-65 72%    
  Jan 01, 2022 23   Memphis L 68-70 41%    
  Jan 08, 2022 7   @ Houston L 57-69 13%    
  Jan 12, 2022 168   Tulane W 70-59 86%    
  Jan 16, 2022 55   Cincinnati W 66-63 62%    
  Jan 19, 2022 150   @ Temple W 69-65 64%    
  Jan 23, 2022 99   @ SMU W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 26, 2022 65   Central Florida W 68-64 65%    
  Jan 29, 2022 168   @ Tulane W 67-62 69%    
  Feb 01, 2022 142   Tulsa W 71-61 80%    
  Feb 05, 2022 99   SMU W 73-66 72%    
  Feb 08, 2022 65   @ Central Florida L 65-67 43%    
  Feb 12, 2022 225   South Florida W 64-50 89%    
  Feb 17, 2022 55   @ Cincinnati L 63-66 40%    
  Feb 20, 2022 7   Houston L 60-66 29%    
  Feb 27, 2022 23   @ Memphis L 65-73 22%    
  Mar 02, 2022 142   @ Tulsa W 68-64 63%    
  Mar 05, 2022 178   East Carolina W 74-62 87%    
Projected Record 20 - 10 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.8 1.4 0.4 0.0 5.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 1.9 5.0 4.4 1.9 0.2 13.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.4 5.1 7.4 4.5 1.1 0.0 19.6 3rd
4th 0.2 1.3 6.3 6.6 3.4 0.5 0.0 18.3 4th
5th 0.2 1.7 5.9 5.4 2.0 0.2 15.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 5.0 4.5 1.4 0.1 12.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.7 2.9 0.6 0.0 6.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.9 1.8 0.6 0.0 4.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.0 0.2 0.1 2.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.7 6.0 10.4 12.5 14.6 14.3 12.9 10.4 6.6 3.7 1.6 0.4 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 89.3% 1.4    1.0 0.4 0.0
15-3 47.7% 1.8    1.0 0.7 0.1
14-4 17.9% 1.2    0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0
13-5 4.3% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.3% 5.3 2.8 1.9 0.5 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 4.5% 95.5% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.4% 100.0% 21.4% 78.6% 3.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.6% 100.0% 34.6% 65.4% 4.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 3.7% 98.2% 19.1% 79.1% 6.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 97.8%
14-4 6.6% 91.7% 15.5% 76.2% 8.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.6 90.2%
13-5 10.4% 74.6% 11.9% 62.8% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.8 1.8 2.0 0.4 0.0 2.6 71.2%
12-6 12.9% 49.7% 7.4% 42.3% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.9 2.3 1.0 0.0 6.5 45.7%
11-7 14.3% 32.6% 4.7% 27.9% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 2.1 1.3 0.0 9.7 29.3%
10-8 14.6% 19.6% 3.5% 16.1% 11.3 0.1 0.3 1.4 1.1 0.1 11.7 16.6%
9-9 12.5% 7.4% 1.9% 5.5% 11.4 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 11.5 5.6%
8-10 10.4% 1.9% 0.9% 1.0% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 10.2 1.0%
7-11 6.0% 1.4% 1.4% 12.3 0.1 0.0 5.9
6-12 3.7% 2.2% 2.2% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7
5-13 1.8% 1.8
4-14 0.7% 2.7% 2.7% 15.0 0.0 0.7
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 34.7% 6.3% 28.5% 9.3 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.9 2.5 3.1 4.8 5.6 8.9 4.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 65.3 30.4%