Brown
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -6.1 268
Expected Predictive Rating -8.5 304
Pace 65.9 253
Improvement +2.5 90

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 341 D C F+ D- B-
Defense C+ 134 C C+ C+ D C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 87 D+ 53% 292 +0.1 174
2 Pt. Jumpers 37% 192 D- 31% 349 -2.5 297
Three Pointers 41% 191 D 30% 320 -2.5 265
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.7 97 D- -5.3 340
1st FG Attempt D 0.92 321
Second Chance C- 28.0% 250 B- 1.08 100 C 0.30 191
Turnovers F+ 20.6% 346
Freethrows D- 0.26 328 D+ 69% 280 D- 0.18 337
Total Offense D- -7.4 341

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots A- 63% 15 D 13.6% 321
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 37% 39 C 5.0% 184
Three Pointers C+ 87% 139 C- 1.1% 236
Total A- 67% 19 D 7.1% 319

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 177 C+ 57% 148 -0.3 166
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 173 D- 44% 343 +1.2 289
Three Pointers 41% 191 B- 32% 82 -1.6 114
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 168 C+ -0.7 151
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 152
Second Chance C 30.6% 187 B- 0.97 88 C+ 0.30 130
Turnovers C+ 17.9% 116
Freethrows D+ 0.34 286 D+ 74% 294 D 0.25 298
Total Defense C+ +1.3 134

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 232 C 11.2% 166
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 204 C+ 5.9% 106
Three Pointers C 84% 190 B- 1.3% 85
Total C 56% 179 C+ 6.1% 140

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.6 205 17.4 205
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 239 0.21 309
Improvement +1.7 #102 +0.7 #146

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 291 267 242
Conference Record 3 - 11 4 - 10 5 - 9
Conference Finish 8 8 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 89% 66% 97%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Columbia (Away) - 26.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 47 - 78 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 192 Siena L 46 - 62 46% -12  6% 0 - 1 F -21 F -30 F F F A +8 A C A-
 Sun, Nov 9 229 Vermont L 84 - 89 2OT 53% +3  63% 0 - 2 D- -12 D- -7 C+ F D- D+ -4 A- C- F+
 Wed, Nov 12 256 @Boston University L 77 - 90 36% -14  0% 0 - 3 F+ -15 C+ +3 D A D F -20 F F B-
 Fri, Nov 14 257 Hampton L 63 - 72 59% -4  20% 0 - 4 F+ -17 F+ -8 A- B- F F -10 C+ F C
 Tue, Nov 18 326 Holy Cross W 68 - 49 77% +12  96% 1 - 4 B- +5 D -5 C- B+ F A+ +13 B A- A
 Thu, Nov 20 216 @Stony Brook L 70 - 80 29% -9  8% 1 - 5 D -10 C- -1 B B F+ F+ -9 D F F+
 Sun, Nov 23 346 @Maine W 58 - 53 64% +8  99% 2 - 5 C- -5 F -14 F C+ F A +10 D+ B+ B+
 Wed, Nov 26 344 @New Hampshire W 59 - 47 63% +5  87% 3 - 5 C+ +2 F -15 D D+ F A+ +18 A+ C+ B
 Tue, Dec 2 113 @Rhode Island L 56 - 66 13% -4  14% 3 - 6 C- -4 F -11 F C- C B+ +7 A D- C
 Fri, Dec 5 354 Bryant W 75 - 56 85% +12  98% 4 - 6 C+ +2 D -6 D+ C- C A +8 C- A+ C-
 Tue, Dec 9 64 @Providence L 79 - 86 6% -6  0% 4 - 7 C+ +5 C- -1 D+ C B- A- +7 B+ A- A-
 Mon, Jan 5 81 Yale L 53 - 70 17% -3  43% 4 - 8 0 - 1 D- -13 F -25 F D- F+ A+ +12 B B A+
 Sat, Jan 10 172 @Penn L 73 - 81 22% -1  35% 4 - 9 0 - 2 D+ -6 C+ +2 C B- C F+ -8 F+ A F+
 Sat, Jan 17 197 Columbia W 86 - 80 OT 46% -1  35% 5 - 9 1 - 2 C +1 C+ +3 B- D C+ C- -3 A F F+
 Mon, Jan 19 148 Cornell L 67 - 89 37% -13  1% 5 - 10 1 - 3 F -25 F -17 D F F D- -7 D- C+ F+
 Sat, Jan 24 250 @Princeton L 53 - 63 35% -1  35% 5 - 11 1 - 4 D- -12 F -19 F A- D B+ +6 A+ B- F
 Fri, Jan 30 164 Harvard L 59 - 69 39% -5  4% 5 - 12 1 - 5 D- -13 F+ -8 F A C D -6 F A+ A
 Sat, Jan 31 255 Dartmouth L 70 - 77 OT 59% -4  18% 5 - 13 1 - 6 F+ -15 F -14 F B F C -1 C+ B+ C-
 Fri, Feb 6 81 @Yale L 69 - 81 8% -1  37% 5 - 14 1 - 7 C- -2 C- -1 D+ C C+ C- -2 F A+ B-
 Fri, Feb 13 164 @Harvard L 53 - 56 20% -5  7% 5 - 15 1 - 8 C -0 F -13 F B+ F A+ +13 A D A+
 Sat, Feb 14 255 @Dartmouth W 79 - 76 36% -3  31% 6 - 15 2 - 8 C +1 C +1 A+ B F C -0 F+ B+ A-
 Fri, Feb 20 250 Princeton W 80 - 71 57% +5  80% 7 - 15 3 - 8 C +1 B +7 A+ D F D -5 D- C- B+
 Fri, Feb 27 197 @Columbia L 66 - 73 26%
 Sat, Feb 28 148 @Cornell L 75 - 84 19%
 Fri, Mar 6 172 Penn L 68 - 70 42%
Totals 8 - 17 4 - 10 -6 D- -7 D- D- B- C+ +1 D D+ D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- D+ D- D D- 42% 37% 41% B- D C- B- C F+ D- D+ D- C+ C+ D- B- C+ 39% 21% 41% C C C B- C+ C+ D+ D+ D
0.98 53% 31% 30% -5 +1 0.92 28% 1.1 .30 21% .26 69% .18 1.07 57% 44% 32% -1 0 1.01 31% 1.0 .30 18% .34 74% .19
Nov
7		 Siena F F F F F 37% 18% 45% B- F D+ F F F F A D- A D+ B+ A+ A 40% 36% 23% B A F A+ C A- F A- F
0.69 47% 22% 17% -18 0 0.67 29% 0.4 .12 24% .20 80% .16 0.93 63% 35% 9% -8 -2 0.83 38% 0.7 .28 21% .42 68% .29
Nov
9		 Vermont D- D- D+ A C 44% 15% 42% A- C+ D F F D- B- F D- D+ A- D B+ A- 33% 21% 45% B- A- C- C- C- F+ D+ F F
1.03 52% 33% 42% +2 +1 1.08 22% 0.7 .16 16% .35 54% .19 1.09 50% 43% 30% -4 0 0.92 26% 1.0 .26 12% .31 86% .27
Nov
12		 Boston University C+ A+ F D+ D 31% 19% 50% C- D C- A+ A D A+ A+ A+ F F B+ F F 36% 13% 51% D+ F F F F B- F F F
1.20 73% 22% 33% +1 0 1.04 29% 1.6 .45 14% .42 83% .35 1.41 75% 33% 48% +16 +1 1.36 41% 1.8 .73 20% .37 89% .33
Nov
14		 Hampton F+ B+ F B+ B+ 50% 10% 40% A A- B C- B- F D F F+ F A+ F A+ B- 43% 32% 25% C- C+ F C F C F F+ F
0.99 70% 25% 38% +7 +2 1.20 33% 1.0 .33 30% .34 60% .20 1.13 37% 64% 18% -7 -1 0.86 53% 0.9 .47 19% .54 79% .43
Nov
18		 Holy Cross D B C- C- C- 32% 11% 57% C+ C- C A+ B+ F D A+ C- A+ A A- C A- 35% 20% 46% D- B D+ A+ A- A B A+ A+
1.11 67% 40% 33% +2 +1 1.09 29% 1.5 .43 20% .22 82% .18 0.80 44% 33% 33% -6 0 0.89 24% 0.4 .11 21% .23 45% .10
Nov
20		 Stony Brook C- F A+ A+ B 42% 22% 36% C B B- B B F+ F F F F+ C- A+ F D+ 53% 16% 31% F+ D D F F F+ F C+ F+
1.05 48% 55% 44% +5 0 1.12 35% 1.0 .35 19% .20 55% .11 1.20 56% 25% 44% +1 +2 1.08 32% 1.3 .41 13% .35 70% .24
Nov
23		 Maine F D+ F F F 39% 28% 33% D- F D- A+ C+ F C B+ B- A F D+ A- F+ 23% 34% 43% A+ D+ C A+ B+ B+ A+ A+ A+
0.88 56% 23% 20% -12 -1 0.76 31% 1.3 .41 24% .32 75% .24 0.80 80% 40% 26% +1 -3 0.98 19% 0.7 .13 24% .22 55% .12
Nov
26		 New Hampshire F D+ A+ F D- 48% 13% 39% B+ D F A+ D+ F D F F+ A+ A+ D A A+ 40% 9% 51% D+ A+ C+ C+ C+ B A+ F A+
0.90 55% 67% 22% -5 +2 0.96 19% 1.3 .26 20% .29 67% .19 0.72 29% 40% 26% -18 +2 0.70 24% 0.9 .22 21% .08 100% .08
Dec
2		 Rhode Island F F F D- F 52% 27% 21% C- F A+ F C- C D+ A- C B+ C- B+ A+ A+ 44% 20% 36% C+ A C- F+ D- C D- C D-
0.85 40% 15% 30% -17 0 0.69 43% 0.7 .30 21% .33 76% .25 1.00 60% 33% 19% -8 +1 0.87 34% 1.1 .37 20% .42 73% .30
Dec
5		 Bryant D F F A+ D+ 48% 13% 38% C+ D+ D+ C C- C D+ F F A C+ F A+ C- 33% 10% 57% C- C- A+ A+ A+ C- A+ F A+
1.11 32% 14% 60% -1 +2 1.04 32% 1.0 .32 13% .27 56% .15 0.83 53% 80% 24% -6 +1 0.92 17% 0.5 .08 21% .13 86% .11
Dec
9		 Providence C- D- F B- D- 47% 21% 33% B D+ F+ A+ C B- B- B- B- A- D+ A+ C+ B+ 42% 15% 44% C- B+ C+ A A- A- C+ F D+
1.04 48% 25% 37% -6 +1 0.91 21% 1.4 .28 13% .30 75% .23 1.13 65% 25% 33% +1 +1 1.05 34% 0.9 .32 18% .34 86% .29
Jan
5		 Yale F F F F F 41% 15% 44% B F C- F D- F+ F F F A+ B- F A- B+ 47% 19% 34% C- B B+ C B A+ D A+ B
0.76 41% 25% 21% -18 +1 0.69 27% 0.8 .23 19% .18 60% .11 1.01 55% 56% 31% 0 +1 1.04 28% 1.2 .34 22% .37 60% .22
Jan
10		 Penn C+ C+ F C C- 48% 19% 33% B- C D+ A+ B- C D C+ D+ F+ A+ F F F 31% 40% 29% A F+ D A+ A F+ F F+ F
1.08 62% 30% 33% 0 +1 1.04 27% 1.2 .33 16% .21 67% .14 1.20 40% 58% 50% +9 -3 1.15 34% 0.5 .19 13% .49 76% .37
Jan
17		 Columbia C+ A+ D- F C+ 58% 18% 24% A- B- C- F D C+ A+ A- A+ C- B+ B- A- A+ 47% 16% 36% C- A D- F F F+ F+ A+ C
1.18 76% 33% 8% 0 +2 1.06 28% 0.8 .22 12% .53 79% .42 1.09 50% 33% 30% -7 +1 0.91 40% 1.2 .50 18% .35 57% .20
Jan
19		 Cornell F C F C D- 52% 15% 33% B D F F F F F A+ D- D- F+ A- F D- 44% 6% 50% D D- A- F C+ F+ D- B- D
0.95 59% 25% 35% -1 +2 1.04 16% 0.4 .06 21% .20 100% .20 1.26 70% 33% 42% +11 +2 1.29 25% 1.4 .34 14% .35 71% .25
Jan
24		 Princeton F F F F F 39% 29% 33% D- F C+ A+ A- D F+ C- D- B+ A+ B- A A+ 28% 24% 48% A- A+ C- A- B- F F+ F F
0.83 47% 29% 6% -20 -1 0.59 30% 1.4 .43 16% .24 69% .17 0.99 31% 36% 27% -13 -1 0.74 28% 0.8 .23 11% .39 100% .39
Jan
30		 Harvard F+ C- B F F 44% 16% 40% C+ F C- A+ A C B+ F D+ D C- F D+ F 44% 9% 47% F F A+ C- A+ A F F F
0.97 55% 43% 17% -11 +1 0.82 29% 1.5 .44 16% .33 53% .18 1.13 60% 100% 38% +9 +2 1.24 11% 1.0 .11 23% .62 93% .58
Jan
31		 Dartmouth F F A+ C F 52% 5% 43% A F A+ D- B F C+ C C+ C C- F A+ B- 35% 12% 53% D C+ A+ F B+ C- F F F
0.94 28% 67% 33% -15 +3 0.79 41% 0.9 .35 20% .28 71% .20 1.03 59% 67% 27% -2 +1 1.00 13% 1.5 .19 19% .46 86% .40
Feb
6		 Yale C- D F C D- 44% 11% 44% A- D+ F A+ C C+ F A+ D- C- F F F F 33% 14% 53% C F A+ A+ A+ B- F A+ F+
1.06 54% 17% 33% -5 +2 0.96 18% 1.7 .30 14% .16 89% .14 1.24 71% 67% 52% +23 0 1.49 20% 0.0 .00 17% .52 61% .31
Feb
13		 Harvard F C B F F 47% 16% 38% B- F C A+ B+ F B F C- A+ B A- B A 37% 24% 39% B+ A D- C- D A+ F A+ D
0.86 57% 43% 6% -16 +1 0.73 30% 1.3 .39 23% .31 60% .19 0.91 53% 30% 31% -5 -1 0.90 31% 1.0 .31 24% .38 61% .23
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
14		 Dartmouth C A+ B+ A- A+ 41% 18% 41% C A+ D A+ B F B- F F+ C F F C+ F 21% 14% 64% B- F+ A+ F B+ A- F F F
1.10 76% 44% 38% +11 +1 1.25 24% 1.4 .34 22% .30 47% .14 1.06 78% 67% 33% +8 0 1.17 12% 1.7 .19 24% .49 81% .40
Feb
20		 Princeton B A+ A A+ A+ 48% 14% 39% B A+ F+ B- D F A F+ B D B F F+ F+ 33% 14% 53% C- D- F A+ C- B+ F C- F
1.25 81% 50% 41% +17 +2 1.39 21% 1.2 .25 19% .38 65% .25 1.11 50% 50% 39% +3 0 1.09 40% 0.7 .29 20% .57 76% .43



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 1.0 4th
5th 2.7 1.2 3.9 5th
6th 0.4 8.9 0.2 9.5 6th
7th 19.8 5.6 0.0 25.3 7th
8th 36.3 23.4 0.5 60.2 8th
Total 36.3 43.6 17.7 2.4 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8 2.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 2.3
5-9 17.7% 17.7
4-10 43.6% 43.6
3-11 36.3% 36.3
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.9% 1.8% 16.0 1.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%
Lose Out 36.3%