Brown
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#164
Expected Predictive Rating-2.6#207
Pace64.1#312
Improvement+1.7#75

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#157
First Shot-1.0#205
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#88
Layup/Dunks-3.0#274
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#183
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#73
Freethrows-1.6#269
Improvement+1.2#94

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#209
First Shot+1.1#136
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#322
Layups/Dunks-3.8#314
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#262
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#31
Freethrows+0.6#141
Improvement+0.6#131
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.4% 12.4% 9.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.7 14.2
.500 or above 69.1% 85.2% 59.4%
.500 or above in Conference 67.7% 73.3% 64.3%
Conference Champion 12.1% 14.9% 10.3%
Last Place in Conference 5.1% 3.6% 5.9%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round10.3% 12.4% 9.1%
Second Round0.7% 1.1% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rhode Island (Home) - 37.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 45 - 8
Quad 49 - 414 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 302   @ Siena L 71-72 OT 64%     0 - 1 -5.3 -4.7 -0.6
  Nov 10, 2024 211   Maine L 67-69 68%     0 - 2 -7.4 -3.4 -4.0
  Nov 15, 2024 350   New Hampshire W 76-58 91%     1 - 2 +2.4 +1.5 +1.6
  Nov 16, 2024 326   Holy Cross L 65-73 86%     1 - 3 -20.3 -11.9 -8.9
  Nov 17, 2024 269   Sacred Heart W 89-70 79%     2 - 3 +10.0 +15.9 -4.9
  Nov 23, 2024 345   @ Canisius W 83-76 79%     3 - 3 -2.2 +14.9 -16.2
  Nov 27, 2024 327   Stony Brook W 77-54 86%     4 - 3 +10.7 +2.6 +9.5
  Dec 03, 2024 183   @ Vermont W 60-53 40%     5 - 3 +8.9 +5.0 +5.6
  Dec 06, 2024 176   @ Bryant W 76-75 40%     6 - 3 +3.2 +2.6 +0.5
  Dec 10, 2024 91   Rhode Island L 73-76 38%    
  Dec 22, 2024 7   @ Kansas L 61-83 2%    
  Dec 31, 2024 9   @ Kentucky L 66-87 3%    
  Jan 11, 2025 107   @ Yale L 69-77 24%    
  Jan 18, 2025 241   Harvard W 72-65 73%    
  Jan 20, 2025 149   @ Cornell L 74-78 35%    
  Jan 25, 2025 319   Dartmouth W 76-65 85%    
  Jan 31, 2025 279   @ Penn W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 01, 2025 108   @ Princeton L 69-76 25%    
  Feb 08, 2025 192   @ Columbia L 73-75 43%    
  Feb 14, 2025 108   Princeton L 72-73 45%    
  Feb 15, 2025 279   Penn W 75-66 79%    
  Feb 21, 2025 192   Columbia W 76-72 64%    
  Feb 22, 2025 149   Cornell W 77-75 56%    
  Feb 28, 2025 241   @ Harvard W 69-68 52%    
  Mar 01, 2025 319   @ Dartmouth W 73-68 68%    
  Mar 08, 2025 107   Yale L 72-74 45%    
Projected Record 14 - 12 8 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.9 3.4 4.2 2.6 0.8 0.2 12.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 6.3 5.5 1.9 0.1 15.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.6 8.5 6.3 1.2 0.0 18.7 3rd
4th 0.2 3.0 9.0 5.8 0.9 0.0 18.9 4th
5th 0.2 2.7 7.5 4.7 0.7 15.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.2 2.8 0.3 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.8 1.5 0.2 0.0 6.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.3 8th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.4 5.5 9.6 13.6 16.6 16.8 14.3 10.2 6.1 2.7 0.8 0.2 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
13-1 100.0% 0.8    0.7 0.0
12-2 95.4% 2.6    2.2 0.4 0.0
11-3 68.3% 4.2    2.4 1.6 0.2
10-4 33.5% 3.4    0.9 1.7 0.7 0.1
9-5 6.6% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 12.1% 12.1 6.4 4.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.2% 45.5% 45.5% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-1 0.8% 42.0% 42.0% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
12-2 2.7% 35.8% 35.8% 13.1 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.7
11-3 6.1% 26.4% 26.4% 13.3 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 4.5
10-4 10.2% 21.2% 21.2% 13.8 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.4 0.0 8.0
9-5 14.3% 16.8% 16.8% 14.2 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.9 0.0 11.9
8-6 16.8% 12.3% 12.3% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.2 14.8
7-7 16.6% 4.4% 4.4% 15.1 0.1 0.5 0.1 15.8
6-8 13.6% 0.3% 0.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.5
5-9 9.6% 9.6
4-10 5.5% 5.5
3-11 2.4% 2.4
2-12 0.9% 0.9
1-13 0.2% 0.2
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.4% 10.4% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.7 2.6 3.7 3.0 0.4 89.6 0.0%