Brown
Ivy League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#226
Expected Predictive Rating-5.5#252
Pace67.3#233
Improvement-1.6#299

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#292
First Shot-3.4#279
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#227
Layup/Dunks-0.4#181
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#97
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#323
Freethrows+1.1#102
Improvement-4.0#356

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#135
First Shot+1.3#136
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#203
Layups/Dunks+0.9#155
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#232
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#171
Freethrows+0.8#145
Improvement+2.3#15
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 4.6% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 18.4% 26.8% 10.4%
.500 or above in Conference 44.1% 50.3% 38.3%
Conference Champion 5.3% 6.2% 4.5%
Last Place in Conference 13.0% 10.3% 15.6%
First Four0.6% 0.4% 0.6%
First Round3.6% 4.4% 2.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Away) - 48.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 33 - 64 - 12
Quad 47 - 411 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 44   @ North Carolina L 87-94 7%     0 - 1 +6.1 +16.0 -9.9
  Nov 14, 2021 348   Central Connecticut St. W 75-57 90%     1 - 1 +0.8 -2.7 +4.6
  Nov 19, 2021 87   Creighton L 57-78 19%     1 - 2 -14.9 -15.1 +1.0
  Nov 20, 2021 211   Bradley W 65-62 46%     2 - 2 +0.8 -0.4 +1.5
  Nov 22, 2021 75   Colorado L 52-54 17%     2 - 3 +4.8 -15.2 +19.9
  Nov 26, 2021 229   Bryant L 59-65 62%     2 - 4 -12.3 -18.5 +6.3
  Nov 28, 2021 276   @ Quinnipiac W 71-70 49%    
  Dec 01, 2021 208   @ Umass Lowell L 66-70 35%    
  Dec 05, 2021 311   Sacred Heart W 72-64 77%    
  Dec 07, 2021 238   @ Merrimack L 58-60 41%    
  Dec 10, 2021 107   Vermont L 60-64 34%    
  Dec 22, 2021 72   @ Rhode Island L 59-72 12%    
  Dec 30, 2021 53   @ Maryland L 58-73 8%    
  Jan 02, 2022 196   @ Penn L 65-70 34%    
  Jan 07, 2022 136   @ Harvard L 63-72 21%    
  Jan 08, 2022 242   @ Dartmouth L 64-66 44%    
  Jan 15, 2022 146   @ Princeton L 63-71 25%    
  Jan 17, 2022 113   Yale L 65-69 35%    
  Jan 22, 2022 323   @ Columbia W 71-67 63%    
  Jan 29, 2022 217   Cornell W 75-73 59%    
  Feb 04, 2022 136   Harvard L 66-69 41%    
  Feb 05, 2022 242   Dartmouth W 67-63 63%    
  Feb 12, 2022 217   @ Cornell L 72-76 37%    
  Feb 18, 2022 146   Princeton L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 19, 2022 196   Penn W 68-67 55%    
  Feb 26, 2022 323   Columbia W 74-64 80%    
  Mar 05, 2022 113   @ Yale L 62-72 19%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 1.8 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 5.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 3.8 2.5 0.6 0.1 8.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.3 5.9 3.5 0.5 0.0 12.3 3rd
4th 0.1 2.9 8.1 4.1 0.4 0.0 15.6 4th
5th 0.2 3.5 8.6 4.6 0.4 17.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.3 8.0 4.8 0.5 18.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 4.6 6.5 2.9 0.3 0.0 15.6 7th
8th 0.2 1.2 2.3 2.3 0.9 0.1 7.1 8th
Total 0.2 1.3 3.5 7.5 12.0 14.5 16.8 15.6 12.0 8.4 4.8 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
12-2 94.1% 0.8    0.7 0.1
11-3 73.6% 1.7    1.1 0.6 0.0
10-4 36.8% 1.8    0.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
9-5 9.0% 0.8    0.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 5.3% 5.3 2.5 1.9 0.7 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.2% 100.0% 100.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-2 0.9% 88.2% 88.2% 14.6 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1
11-3 2.4% 61.3% 61.3% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.9
10-4 4.8% 22.5% 22.5% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 3.7
9-5 8.4% 3.6% 3.6% 15.8 0.1 0.3 8.1
8-6 12.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.0
7-7 15.6% 15.6
6-8 16.8% 16.8
5-9 14.5% 14.5
4-10 12.0% 12.0
3-11 7.5% 7.5
2-12 3.5% 3.5
1-13 1.3% 1.3
0-14 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 1.3 96.2 0.0%