DePaul
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +4.3 #106
Expected Predictive Rating +3.3 #121
Pace 68.9 #202
Improvement +3.5 #19

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #166 C+ C+ C C C
Defense #67 B- C- B- B+ B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #143 1.17 #174 +0.9 #144
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #144 0.87 #56 +1.8 #85
Three Pointers 38% #235 1.02 #168 -1.1 #220
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #141 +1.6 #139
Freethrows 18.6 #109 70% #238 13.1 #147
Second Chance 27.8% #253 1.13 #87 0.31 #179
Turnovers 16.7% #180
Total Offense -0.1 #166

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #219 1.00 #32 +3.6 #67
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #39 0.74 #177 -2.1 #316
Three Pointers 36% #298 1.06 #250 +1.4 #137
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #96 +2.9 #97
Freethrows 18.9 #262 69% #61 13.0 #221
Second Chance 31.8% #232 0.88 #25 0.28 #92
Turnovers 19.4% #55
Total Defense +4.4 #67

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.1% #201 -1.6% #59
Shot Type Make Effect 3.2% #131 -4.2% #115
Possession Length 17.9 #253 17.5 #233
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #156 0.13 #49
Improvement +1.3 #84 +2.3 #48
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.7% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Average Seed 11.0 10.7 11.8
.500 or above 23.9% 32.2% 12.9%
.500 or above in Conference 6.2% 9.2% 2.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 29.5% 20.2% 41.9%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Xavier (Home) - 57.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 10
Quad 24 - 65 - 15
Quad 33 - 28 - 18
Quad 46 - 114 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 335 Chicago St. W 92-62 94%     12.5   1 - 0 +16.2 +8.6 +6.5
  Fri, Nov 7 338 Stonehill W 72-64 95%     8.3   2 - 0 -6.4 -10.0 +3.0
  Tue, Nov 11 187 Buffalo L 53-66 81%     -12.2   2 - 1 -17.8 -23.0 +4.8
  Fri, Nov 14 57 Northwestern L 79-81 42%     -3.3   2 - 2 +4.3 +11.1 -6.8
  Tue, Nov 18 362 Gardner-Webb W 93-62 97%     16.0   3 - 2 +12.1 -0.3 +8.7
  Sun, Nov 23 275 Detroit Mercy W 95-75 89%     6.0   4 - 2 +10.6 +21.4 -9.9
  Fri, Nov 28 115 Georgia Tech W 75-61 53%     0.8   5 - 2 +17.5 +8.9 +9.3
  Sat, Nov 29 38 LSU L 63-96 20%     -23.0   5 - 3 -19.9 -4.3 -16.0
  Sat, Dec 6 351 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 76-72 96%     -0.9   6 - 3 -11.8 -7.4 -4.7
  Tue, Dec 9 360 Morgan St. W 92-49 97%     24.3   7 - 3 +24.5 +12.4 +13.7
  Sat, Dec 13 90 @Wichita St. W 61-58 32%     0.5   8 - 3 +12.3 -0.6 +13.2
  Tue, Dec 16 18 @St. John's L 66-79 8%     -4.1   8 - 4 0 - 1 +7.1 +2.3 +4.8
  Sun, Dec 21 5 Connecticut L 54-72 9%     -5.4   8 - 5 0 - 2 +1.2 -7.0 +7.7
  Wed, Dec 31 34 @Villanova L 66-71 13%     2.5   8 - 6 0 - 3 +11.6 +4.4 +6.9
  Sat, Jan 3 98 Xavier W 74-72 57%    
  Tue, Jan 6 101 Georgetown W 75-73 58%    
  Sat, Jan 10 5 @Connecticut L 58-79 2%    
  Fri, Jan 16 107 Marquette W 75-72 61%    
  Tue, Jan 20 50 @Butler L 70-79 19%    
  Sat, Jan 24 54 Seton Hall L 65-67 41%    
  Wed, Jan 28 101 @Georgetown L 72-76 37%    
  Sat, Jan 31 98 @Xavier L 71-75 36%    
  Tue, Feb 3 18 St. John's L 69-79 18%    
  Sat, Feb 7 80 @Providence L 76-82 29%    
  Wed, Feb 11 39 Creighton L 69-75 31%    
  Wed, Feb 18 54 @Seton Hall L 62-70 22%    
  Sat, Feb 21 80 Providence W 79-78 50%    
  Wed, Feb 25 39 @Creighton L 66-78 14%    
  Sun, Mar 1 107 @Marquette L 72-75 39%    
  Wed, Mar 4 34 Villanova L 64-70 29%    
  Sat, Mar 7 50 Butler L 73-76 39%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 4th
5th 0.2 0.9 1.6 0.8 0.2 3.7 5th
6th 0.5 2.4 3.4 1.4 0.3 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.7 5.1 2.1 0.3 13.0 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 5.5 6.9 2.4 0.2 0.0 16.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.8 6.4 7.6 2.4 0.2 18.5 9th
10th 0.5 2.7 7.1 6.8 2.3 0.1 0.0 19.6 10th
11th 0.3 1.6 4.5 6.4 5.0 1.3 0.2 19.2 11th
Total 0.3 1.6 5.0 9.2 13.9 15.9 16.4 14.5 10.4 6.6 3.7 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5
14-6 0.1% 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-8 0.7% 21.2% 3.0% 18.2% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 18.8%
11-9 1.6% 5.6% 5.6% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.5 5.6%
10-10 3.7% 3.0% 0.5% 2.4% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.6 2.4%
9-11 6.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 11.0 0.0 6.6 0.3%
8-12 10.4% 0.4% 0.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 10.3
7-13 14.5% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 14.5
6-14 16.4% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 16.4
5-15 15.9% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 15.9
4-16 13.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.9
3-17 9.2% 9.2
2-18 5.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.0
1-19 1.6% 1.6
0-20 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.6% 0.2% 0.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.4 0.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%