Drake
Missouri Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#135
Expected Predictive Rating-3.7#230
Pace64.4#309
Improvement+1.5#77

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#115
First Shot+3.8#77
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#283
Layup/Dunks-0.1#178
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#196
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#65
Freethrows+0.3#162
Improvement+4.4#3

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#182
First Shot-4.0#308
After Offensive Rebounds+3.6#12
Layups/Dunks-0.1#172
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#241
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#356
Freethrows+3.0#33
Improvement-2.8#344
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.8% 8.4% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 12.8 13.4
.500 or above 47.1% 66.1% 39.8%
.500 or above in Conference 57.3% 75.6% 50.3%
Conference Champion 5.8% 11.9% 3.4%
Last Place in Conference 4.0% 1.4% 5.0%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round5.7% 8.4% 4.7%
Second Round0.6% 1.0% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Murray St. (Away) - 27.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 42 - 6
Quad 37 - 68 - 13
Quad 47 - 315 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 270 Northern Arizona W 77-71 76%     1 - 0 +0.2 +3.0 -2.7
  Thu, Nov 6 182 Robert Morris L 79-81 OT 73%     1 - 1 -6.6 +0.0 -6.4
  Fri, Nov 14 233 SIU Edwardsville L 59-61 80%     1 - 2 -9.0 -6.4 -3.0
  Mon, Nov 17 172 @College of Charleston W 71-62 49%     2 - 2 +11.0 -0.5 +11.7
  Fri, Nov 28 35 LSU L 62-71 15%     2 - 3 +3.8 -3.7 +7.3
  Sat, Nov 29 131 Georgia Tech W 84-74 49%     3 - 3 +11.8 +21.9 -9.4
  Tue, Dec 2 354 Western Illinois W 108-57 95%     4 - 3 +34.3 +37.8 +1.4
  Fri, Dec 5 110 UAB L 69-74 54%     4 - 4 -4.2 -1.7 -2.7
  Sat, Dec 13 144 North Dakota St. L 94-99 64%     4 - 5 -7.1 +17.7 -24.7
  Thu, Dec 18 100 @Murray St. L 76-82 28%    
  Sun, Dec 21 276 @Evansville W 72-67 67%    
  Mon, Dec 29 90 Illinois St. L 71-72 46%    
  Sun, Jan 4 187 Indiana St. W 77-71 72%    
  Wed, Jan 7 117 @Bradley L 68-73 34%    
  Sat, Jan 10 85 Belmont L 75-77 43%    
  Wed, Jan 14 130 @Southern Illinois L 72-75 38%    
  Sat, Jan 17 190 @Illinois-Chicago W 74-73 52%    
  Wed, Jan 21 100 Murray St. L 78-79 49%    
  Sat, Jan 24 187 @Indiana St. W 75-74 51%    
  Wed, Jan 28 276 Evansville W 75-64 83%    
  Sat, Jan 31 117 Bradley W 71-70 55%    
  Tue, Feb 3 85 @Belmont L 72-80 23%    
  Fri, Feb 6 90 @Illinois St. L 68-75 26%    
  Mon, Feb 9 212 Valparaiso W 73-65 76%    
  Thu, Feb 12 190 Illinois-Chicago W 77-70 72%    
  Sun, Feb 15 92 @Northern Iowa L 61-68 27%    
  Wed, Feb 18 130 Southern Illinois W 75-72 59%    
  Wed, Feb 25 212 @Valparaiso W 70-68 57%    
  Sun, Mar 1 92 Northern Iowa L 64-65 46%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.7 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.3 2.7 1.5 0.4 0.1 7.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.1 3.8 1.5 0.3 0.0 9.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 3.8 4.7 1.9 0.2 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 4.1 5.5 2.1 0.2 0.0 12.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 4.3 5.9 2.3 0.2 0.0 13.9 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 4.4 5.6 2.3 0.2 0.0 13.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.5 4.0 1.7 0.2 10.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.7 2.7 1.2 0.1 0.0 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 1.5 0.5 0.1 4.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.3 5.6 7.8 10.7 12.6 13.4 12.6 10.7 8.5 5.5 3.5 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 94.0% 0.8    0.7 0.1 0.0
16-4 78.9% 1.5    1.1 0.4 0.0
15-5 48.8% 1.7    0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0
14-6 19.6% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.8% 5.8 3.2 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 45.5% 40.9% 4.5% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.7%
18-2 0.3% 37.5% 37.5% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 0.8% 25.2% 25.2% 11.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
16-4 1.9% 21.8% 21.8% 12.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.5
15-5 3.5% 17.2% 17.2% 12.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.9
14-6 5.5% 14.5% 14.5% 12.6 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 4.7
13-7 8.5% 11.1% 11.1% 12.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 7.5
12-8 10.7% 7.6% 7.6% 13.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 9.9
11-9 12.6% 6.0% 6.0% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 11.9
10-10 13.4% 3.8% 3.8% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 12.9
9-11 12.6% 2.2% 2.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 12.3
8-12 10.7% 1.3% 1.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.6
7-13 7.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 7.7
6-14 5.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 5.5
5-15 3.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.3
4-16 1.7% 1.7
3-17 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.9 1.0 0.6 0.3 94.2 0.0%