East Texas A&M
Southland
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.0#302
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#186
Pace73.8#65
Improvement+0.3#163

Offense
Total Offense-5.7#324
First Shot-4.5#306
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#256
Layup/Dunks-2.7#274
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#187
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#171
Freethrows-2.1#307
Improvement+0.9#108

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#243
First Shot-3.7#306
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#81
Layups/Dunks-6.7#356
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#68
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#180
Freethrows+1.3#91
Improvement-0.7#238
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.1 15.3
.500 or above 8.0% 16.6% 5.0%
.500 or above in Conference 17.5% 31.8% 12.4%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 26.0% 13.6% 30.4%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stephen F. Austin (Home) - 26.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 62 - 12
Quad 410 - 711 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 66 @New Mexico L 54-76 5%     0 - 1 -10.8 -17.8 +9.0
  Sun, Nov 9 109 @Hawaii L 74-100 9%     0 - 2 -19.2 +2.1 -18.8
  Fri, Nov 14 231 @Rice L 64-71 26%     0 - 3 -8.4 -5.8 -2.9
  Mon, Nov 24 357 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 70-65 64%     1 - 3 -6.5 -6.5 +0.2
  Tue, Nov 25 331 Army W 84-67 59%     2 - 3 +6.7 +7.6 -0.6
  Fri, Dec 5 7 @Connecticut L 59-83 1%     2 - 4 +0.4 +3.2 -4.3
  Sun, Dec 7 282 Central Arkansas W 75-68 56%     3 - 4 -2.5 -5.3 +2.4
  Fri, Dec 12 70 @McNeese St. L 66-102 5%     3 - 5 0 - 1 -25.1 -8.5 -12.6
  Mon, Dec 15 266 @SE Louisiana W 70-69 31%     4 - 5 1 - 1 -1.7 +4.0 -5.6
  Sun, Dec 21 43 @Texas A&M L 77-118 3%     4 - 6 -26.2 -2.1 -17.3
  Mon, Dec 29 132 Stephen F. Austin L 69-76 26%    
  Wed, Dec 31 253 Lamar W 70-69 51%    
  Sat, Jan 3 234 @Nicholls St. L 71-78 27%    
  Mon, Jan 5 241 @New Orleans L 75-81 28%    
  Sat, Jan 10 191 UT Rio Grande Valley L 74-77 40%    
  Mon, Jan 12 218 TX A&M Corpus Christi L 70-71 44%    
  Sat, Jan 17 279 @Houston Christian L 70-75 33%    
  Mon, Jan 19 162 @Incarnate Word L 68-79 16%    
  Sat, Jan 24 273 @Northwestern St. L 71-76 32%    
  Mon, Jan 26 253 @Lamar L 66-72 30%    
  Sat, Jan 31 234 Nicholls St. L 74-75 47%    
  Mon, Feb 2 241 New Orleans L 77-78 49%    
  Sat, Feb 7 273 Northwestern St. W 74-73 53%    
  Mon, Feb 9 132 @Stephen F. Austin L 66-79 13%    
  Sat, Feb 14 70 McNeese St. L 66-79 12%    
  Mon, Feb 16 266 SE Louisiana W 71-70 53%    
  Sat, Feb 21 162 Incarnate Word L 71-76 34%    
  Mon, Feb 23 279 Houston Christian W 73-72 55%    
  Sat, Feb 28 191 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 71-80 21%    
  Mon, Mar 2 218 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 67-74 25%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 8 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 2.6 2.0 0.5 0.0 5.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.3 2.7 0.6 0.1 7.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.5 4.1 0.9 0.1 9.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.4 5.2 1.5 0.1 10.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.4 5.9 2.4 0.2 0.0 12.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 3.6 6.0 3.4 0.4 0.0 14.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.1 5.6 3.5 0.6 0.0 15.2 11th
12th 0.2 1.1 2.9 4.9 4.6 2.7 0.5 0.0 16.9 12th
Total 0.2 1.1 3.1 6.2 9.3 12.4 14.0 13.9 12.3 9.9 7.0 4.9 2.9 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-4 62.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-5 21.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-6 13.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-7 3.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3 0.0% 0.0
18-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-5 0.1% 3.0% 3.0% 14.0 0.0 0.1
16-6 0.3% 10.8% 10.8% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-7 0.7% 5.5% 5.5% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
14-8 1.6% 3.7% 3.7% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6
13-9 2.9% 1.8% 1.8% 15.5 0.0 0.0 2.8
12-10 4.9% 1.0% 1.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 4.8
11-11 7.0% 0.6% 0.6% 15.5 0.0 0.0 7.0
10-12 9.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.9
9-13 12.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.3
8-14 13.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.9
7-15 14.0% 14.0
6-16 12.4% 12.4
5-17 9.3% 9.3
4-18 6.2% 6.2
3-19 3.1% 3.1
2-20 1.1% 1.1
1-21 0.2% 0.2
0-22
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%