East Texas A&M
Southland
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -8.3 304
Expected Predictive Rating -5.7 258
Pace 71.7 98
Improvement +1.7 124

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 344 D+ F+ D+ F+ C+
Defense C 194 D+ D+ C C D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 250 C- 57% 201 -1.7 248
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 260 D 34% 314 -2.2 290
Three Pointers 47% 54 D 31% 306 +0.8 152
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 142 D -3.4 299
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 280
Second Chance D- 23.4% 343 D- 0.88 343 F+ 0.21 356
Turnovers D+ 18.2% 274
Freethrows F+ 0.24 347 F+ 66% 343 F+ 0.16 358
Total Offense D- -7.5 344

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B- 53% 100 C- 11.7% 222
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A- 43% 15 B 3.2% 59
Three Pointers C- 83% 217 D 1.5% 310
Total B 62% 54 C 5.5% 172

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 24 C+ 56% 139 +3.1 285
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 319 B- 36% 96 -2.1 33
Three Pointers 39% 244 D- 38% 344 +1.5 261
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.0 347 C- +1.4 236
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 260
Second Chance C- 31.4% 220 D+ 1.09 272 D+ 0.34 258
Turnovers C 17.2% 164
Freethrows C- 0.32 223 B 70% 62 C 0.22 193
Total Defense C -0.7 194

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 314 C 11.2% 168
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 216 D 2.4% 313
Three Pointers D 88% 303 D- 0.0% 350
Total D 62% 320 C 5.4% 191

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.2 149 16.7 84
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 216 0.19 250
Improvement -0.3 #199 +2.0 #76

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 317 301 275
Conference Record 6 - 16 7 - 15 9 - 13
Conference Finish 11 9 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 17% 3% 35%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Incarnate Word (Home) - 54.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 31 - 52 - 12
Quad 49 - 811 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 45 @New Mexico L 54 - 76 3% -16  1% 0 - 1 D+ -7 F -19 F+ D- F A+ +13 A+ F A
 Sun, Nov 9 117 @Hawaii L 74 - 100 10% -17  3% 0 - 2 F -20 C- -2 B- D D F -16 F F C-
 Fri, Nov 14 233 @Rice L 64 - 71 24% -2  41% 0 - 3 D+ -8 F -10 C- F F C+ +2 F C- A+
 Mon, Nov 24 329 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 70 - 65 49% -5  26% 1 - 3 C- -3 D -6 C D- F+ B- +3 F D A+
 Tue, Nov 25 336 Army W 84 - 67 63% +10  73% 2 - 3 B- +5 C+ +3 A- F+ D- B- +2 C B C+
 Fri, Dec 5 9 @Connecticut L 59 - 83 1% -13  0% 2 - 4 C -1 C- -1 A- F+ C C- -2 B- B- F
 Sun, Dec 7 180 Central Arkansas W 75 - 68 35% +1  48% 3 - 4 C+ +3 D- -7 F B+ C+ A +10 C A+ C
 Fri, Dec 12 83 @McNeese St. L 66 - 102 5% -26  0% 3 - 5 0 - 1 F -26 F -12 D+ F F+ F+ -10 F F A+
 Mon, Dec 15 281 @SE Louisiana W 70 - 69 34% -1  41% 4 - 5 1 - 1 C- -3 C+ +2 B- F C+ D -5 D- B F
 Sun, Dec 21 35 @Texas A&M L 77 - 118 2% -22  1% 4 - 6 F -24 D+ -4 F D+ C+ F -13 F F B-
 Mon, Dec 29 98 Stephen F. Austin L 48 - 75 16% -6  14% 4 - 7 1 - 2 F -25 F -21 D+ F F D -6 C D- C+
 Wed, Dec 31 207 Lamar L 62 - 69 40% +0  38% 4 - 8 1 - 3 D- -13 F -12 F A F C -1 A F D
 Sat, Jan 3 265 @Nicholls St. L 58 - 80 30% -12  0% 4 - 9 1 - 4 F -25 F -22 F F F C -1 D+ D B+
 Mon, Jan 5 209 @New Orleans L 73 - 83 21% -8  0% 4 - 10 1 - 5 D -10 D -5 C- F B- D -5 C- A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 150 UT Rio Grande Valley W 77 - 69 30% +9  87% 5 - 10 2 - 5 B- +5 B +6 A- A+ D+ C -0 D- B- C+
 Mon, Jan 12 199 TX A&M Corpus Christi L 50 - 61 39% -5  5% 5 - 11 2 - 6 F+ -16 F -23 F D+ C- B+ +6 A- F A
 Sat, Jan 17 294 @Houston Christian L 70 - 81 36% +3  71% 5 - 12 2 - 7 F+ -16 D- -6 C F D- F+ -9 F+ F B+
 Mon, Jan 19 275 @Incarnate Word W 80 - 58 33% +11  83% 6 - 12 3 - 7 A +18 A +13 B+ A A+ A +8 A+ F+ F
 Tue, Jan 27 207 @Lamar L 61 - 82 21% -7  4% 6 - 13 3 - 8 F -21 F -12 F B- A- F+ -10 F F+ B+
 Sat, Jan 31 265 Nicholls St. L 68 - 72 52% -6  8% 6 - 14 3 - 9 D- -13 F -12 F+ F C+ C -1 C- D- C
 Mon, Feb 2 209 New Orleans L 85 - 94 41% -11  0% 6 - 15 3 - 10 F+ -15 D+ -4 C D B- F -10 F A+ D
 Wed, Feb 4 280 @Northwestern St. W 74 - 68 33% +0  42% 7 - 15 4 - 10 C+ +2 B- +5 B D- C C- -2 F B+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 280 Northwestern St. W 52 - 48 56% +6  91% 8 - 15 5 - 10 D+ -6 F -25 F F B A+ +20 A+ F A
 Mon, Feb 9 98 @Stephen F. Austin L 70 - 74 7% -2  29% 8 - 16 5 - 11 C+ +4 C+ +3 A+ F F C+ +1 C+ C+ B-
 Sat, Feb 14 83 McNeese St. L 54 - 97 13% -18  3% 8 - 17 5 - 12 F -39 F -18 F F B F -22 F D+ F
 Mon, Feb 16 281 SE Louisiana W 70 - 53 56% +12  86% 9 - 17 6 - 12 B- +7 D+ -4 C+ D B- A+ +12 A+ B D-
 Sat, Feb 21 275 Incarnate Word W 73 - 72 55%
 Mon, Feb 23 294 Houston Christian W 70 - 68 58%
 Sat, Feb 28 150 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 65 - 77 14%
 Mon, Mar 2 199 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 64 - 73 20%
Totals 10 - 20 7 - 15 -8 D- -8 F D C+ C -1 D F+ F+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- C- D D D 36% 30% 47% C+ D+ D- D- F+ D+ F+ F+ F+ C C+ B- D- C- 45% 16% 39% D- D+ C- D+ D+ C C- B C
0.98 57% 34% 31% -3 0 0.96 23% 0.9 .21 18% .24 66% .16 1.10 56% 36% 38% +1 +1 1.07 31% 1.1 .34 17% .32 70% .17
Nov
5		 New Mexico F A+ D+ F F 25% 20% 55% C F+ C F D- F F F F A+ A A+ F+ A+ 51% 16% 33% C- A+ C+ F F A F+ A+ C
0.70 71% 36% 17% -11 -1 0.78 26% 0.6 .17 27% .20 64% .12 0.99 46% 13% 41% -6 +2 0.92 30% 1.4 .43 19% .37 61% .23
Nov
9		 Hawaii C- C+ F B C+ 46% 11% 43% A- B- D+ D- D D A+ C A+ F D- B- F F 56% 13% 31% D- F F F F C- F B F
0.96 57% 0% 35% -4 +2 0.98 24% 0.9 .21 18% .50 69% .35 1.29 68% 33% 43% +9 +2 1.24 38% 1.5 .58 18% .85 69% .58
Nov
14		 Rice F B+ A- F C 33% 37% 31% D C- F C- F F F F F C+ A B- F F 44% 13% 42% F F C- C C- A+ C- F D-
0.97 69% 44% 27% +2 -2 1.02 21% 1.0 .21 21% .25 62% .15 1.07 45% 33% 53% +5 +1 1.16 38% 0.9 .34 27% .31 80% .25
Nov
24		 Fairleigh Dickinson D B F A+ C 29% 17% 54% C- C C- F D- F+ F F F B- D- B D F 40% 7% 53% F F D- C D A+ F+ A+ C
1.05 67% 11% 43% +5 0 1.12 27% 0.7 .19 19% .17 56% .09 0.97 65% 33% 35% +3 +2 1.12 37% 0.9 .33 30% .34 56% .19
Nov
25		 Army C+ A+ F A- B+ 32% 8% 60% B A- F A- F+ D- B A A- B- C A+ B C+ 42% 2% 56% F C C+ B+ B C+ F C+ F
1.22 75% 25% 40% +10 +1 1.24 20% 1.3 .27 17% .39 82% .32 0.97 55% 0% 30% -6 +3 0.96 28% 0.8 .23 19% .36 70% .25
Dec
5		 Connecticut C- B D+ B+ A 29% 25% 46% D A- D F F+ C F B F C- D- A+ A B+ 60% 15% 25% F+ B- C- B+ B- F A- F B
0.90 57% 33% 36% 0 -1 1.00 21% 0.6 .12 20% .23 75% .17 1.26 70% 25% 29% +3 +2 1.13 38% 1.0 .38 9% .23 79% .18
Dec
7		 Central Arkansas D- B- F F F 29% 10% 60% C F F+ A+ B+ C+ A+ B A+ A D+ A+ A+ B 61% 4% 35% F C A+ C+ A+ C B- A+ A+
1.01 64% 20% 24% -9 +1 0.85 19% 2.1 .42 19% .41 76% .31 0.91 63% 0% 25% -3 +4 1.04 11% 1.0 .11 16% .24 33% .08
Dec
12		 McNeese St. F C A+ F D 40% 12% 48% B D+ F+ F F F+ F F F F+ C B+ F F 58% 6% 36% F F F+ D F A+ F D F
0.84 57% 50% 24% -6 +1 0.92 27% 0.8 .22 28% .28 56% .16 1.29 58% 33% 58% +13 +3 1.34 41% 1.1 .45 20% .38 79% .30
Dec
15		 SE Louisiana C+ F A+ A+ B 30% 26% 43% D B- F F F C+ D- A C- D B+ C F D- 39% 27% 33% C D- B- A- B F C+ F C-
1.08 43% 50% 45% +6 -1 1.11 20% 0.8 .17 19% .32 82% .27 1.07 50% 36% 41% 0 -1 1.00 25% 0.8 .19 11% .30 76% .23
Dec
21		 Texas A&M D+ D+ F+ F F 35% 19% 46% C+ F B- F D+ C+ A+ B- A+ F F C+ F F 47% 16% 38% B- F B- F F B- A+ A+ A+
0.92 53% 30% 24% -10 0 0.81 31% 0.7 .21 19% .47 75% .35 1.41 87% 40% 46% +20 +1 1.45 32% 1.8 .58 17% .22 53% .11
Dec
29		 Stephen F. Austin F F D- A- D+ 30% 26% 45% D- D+ F F F F C- F F D A+ F D C 25% 27% 47% B- C F+ C- D- C+ F+ D F+
0.74 36% 33% 38% -5 -1 0.89 19% 0.3 .05 22% .28 29% .08 1.16 38% 50% 38% +1 -2 1.00 38% 1.0 .38 14% .30 71% .21
Dec
31		 Lamar F D F F F 29% 16% 56% C F D+ A+ A F F+ A+ C+ C A+ C- A+ A+ 45% 29% 25% F A D+ F F D F+ C+ D-
0.93 54% 14% 28% -10 0 0.82 27% 1.7 .45 24% .32 88% .28 1.04 39% 40% 23% -12 -1 0.76 36% 1.4 .51 14% .30 71% .21
Jan
3		 Nicholls St. F A D F F 47% 6% 47% A- F D F F F F F F C C+ A+ D- C- 38% 8% 55% F+ D+ F A+ D B+ F C+ D-
0.79 73% 33% 14% -8 +2 0.91 30% 0.8 .24 33% .22 64% .14 1.08 55% 0% 38% -1 +2 1.04 39% 0.8 .32 19% .37 64% .23
Jan
5		 New Orleans D F C- A+ D 41% 9% 50% B C- F F F B- F+ A+ D+ D B- F B C 40% 15% 44% F+ C- F A+ A+ F F C+ F
1.03 27% 40% 44% -5 +2 0.96 26% 0.5 .14 14% .30 83% .25 1.17 52% 63% 30% -1 +1 1.02 44% 0.4 .20 13% .48 73% .36
Jan
10		 UT Rio Grande Valley B A- D+ A- A- 33% 13% 54% B A- B A+ A+ D+ F F F C C+ A+ F D 47% 4% 49% F D- C B+ B- C+ C- A- C
1.17 69% 33% 38% +7 +1 1.17 36% 1.4 .50 18% .24 62% .15 1.05 57% 0% 42% +3 +3 1.14 28% 0.9 .25 18% .24 69% .17
Jan
12		 TX A&M Corpus Christi F F+ C F F 48% 16% 36% B- F C F+ D+ C- C F F+ B+ A D- A+ B+ 36% 32% 32% A A- C+ F F A F C F
0.75 50% 38% 0% -22 +1 0.60 29% 0.8 .24 21% .42 59% .25 0.91 44% 43% 21% -10 -2 0.80 28% 1.4 .41 22% .46 67% .31
Jan
17		 Houston Christian D- B- F B+ C 38% 15% 48% C- C D+ F F D- C+ F F+ F+ B+ B- F F+ 43% 13% 43% F+ F+ F+ F F B+ F B- F
1.02 67% 29% 39% +6 +1 1.15 30% 0.6 .18 20% .29 50% .15 1.18 50% 33% 45% +3 +1 1.11 35% 1.1 .38 20% .55 67% .37
Jan
19		 Incarnate Word A B A B+ B 51% 9% 40% B+ B+ C A+ A A+ F+ D+ F+ A A+ D A+ A+ 39% 24% 37% C- A+ D F+ F+ F D+ F F
1.33 65% 50% 39% +8 +2 1.22 32% 1.6 .52 10% .31 71% .22 0.96 37% 42% 17% -17 0 0.67 35% 1.1 .38 10% .29 88% .26
Jan
27		 Lamar F F F+ F F 50% 13% 37% A- F C- A+ B- A- F F F F+ D D+ F F 34% 24% 42% F F F C+ F+ B+ D+ A C
0.90 46% 29% 16% -17 +2 0.71 28% 1.3 .37 13% .29 47% .14 1.21 59% 42% 48% +10 -1 1.20 44% 0.9 .42 19% .26 64% .16
Jan
31		 Nicholls St. F F+ D C F+ 33% 17% 50% D+ F+ C F F C+ C+ D+ C C D- D+ B+ D+ 36% 28% 36% A- C- B+ F D- C F D+ F
0.98 53% 33% 35% -2 0 0.98 35% 0.4 .14 20% .36 75% .27 1.04 65% 38% 29% 0 -1 1.00 20% 1.7 .33 16% .43 68% .29
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
2		 New Orleans D+ D A+ D C 39% 16% 45% C+ C F A+ D B- A+ B- A+ F D B- F F 51% 27% 22% D+ F B+ A+ A+ D F D+ F
1.09 50% 63% 30% -2 +1 1.00 18% 1.7 .29 14% .55 76% .42 1.20 62% 36% 73% +14 0 1.29 29% 0.1 .03 17% .55 78% .43
Feb
4		 Northwestern St. B- C+ F A+ B- 43% 6% 51% A- B F A+ D- C F A+ F C- C+ F F F 40% 25% 35% D+ F A+ F B+ F B+ A+ A+
1.17 62% 0% 44% +7 +2 1.20 15% 2.0 .31 17% .19 90% .17 1.08 53% 58% 41% +7 0 1.15 13% 1.5 .19 13% .25 50% .13
Feb
7		 Northwestern St. F F F F F 42% 12% 46% B F D F F B B- D- C A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 37% 31% 33% C+ A+ F F+ F A C+ F+ C
0.78 41% 17% 25% -16 +1 0.73 29% 0.1 .04 15% .37 67% .25 0.72 17% 27% 25% -23 -1 0.53 34% 1.3 .43 23% .29 80% .23
Feb
9		 Stephen F. Austin C+ A+ B- B A+ 32% 15% 53% C+ A+ F C- F F D D D C+ C- A+ D B- 47% 22% 31% F C+ D B+ C+ B- F C+ F
1.05 87% 43% 36% +11 0 1.26 8% 1.0 .08 21% .25 69% .17 1.11 58% 18% 38% -2 0 0.98 36% 0.8 .31 15% .35 65% .23
Feb
14		 McNeese St. F A F F F 28% 17% 55% C- F F B- F B F A+ F+ F D- D F F 38% 15% 47% C- F A F D+ F B A- B+
0.79 69% 25% 19% -11 0 0.79 18% 1.2 .21 22% .26 86% .23 1.42 65% 44% 46% +12 +1 1.28 28% 1.3 .38 6% .25 69% .17
Feb
16		 SE Louisiana D+ C+ A+ F C+ 39% 22% 39% C+ C+ F A+ D B- B F F A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ 42% 13% 44% F A+ A D+ B D- C A- B-
1.03 61% 60% 28% +2 0 1.07 19% 1.5 .29 18% .41 52% .22 0.78 27% 14% 30% -19 +1 0.67 20% 1.0 .20 15% .31 61% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.1 5th
6th 0.3 0.3 6th
7th 4.4 5.3 0.8 10.5 7th
8th 3.6 24.0 5.2 0.1 32.9 8th
9th 19.8 7.2 0.2 27.2 9th
10th 2.8 12.6 0.3 15.6 10th
11th 7.4 2.0 9.4 11th
12th 3.9 0.1 4.0 12th
Total 14.1 38.1 35.9 10.7 1.2 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
10-12 1.2% 1.2
9-13 10.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.7
8-14 35.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 35.9
7-15 38.1% 38.1
6-16 14.1% 14.1
5-17
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 14.1%