East Texas A&M
Southland
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.9#332
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#121
Pace67.1#225
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.5#345
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#292
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.8% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.2 14.5 14.9
.500 or above 8.9% 27.3% 8.1%
.500 or above in Conference 16.4% 33.7% 15.6%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.5% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 36.1% 18.4% 36.9%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.8% 1.8% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Mexico (Away) - 4.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 71 - 12
Quad 48 - 99 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2025 94   @ New Mexico L 64-82 4%    
  Nov 10, 2025 125   @ Hawaii L 59-74 8%    
  Nov 14, 2025 171   @ Rice L 62-74 14%    
  Nov 24, 2025 348   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 69-70 46%    
  Nov 25, 2025 343   Army W 70-69 54%    
  Dec 05, 2025 4   @ Connecticut L 50-84 0.2%   
  Dec 07, 2025 360   Central Arkansas W 71-64 74%    
  Dec 12, 2025 104   @ McNeese St. L 58-75 7%    
  Dec 15, 2025 259   @ SE Louisiana L 64-72 25%    
  Dec 21, 2025 40   @ Texas A&M L 56-81 1%    
  Dec 29, 2025 215   Stephen F. Austin L 64-68 36%    
  Dec 31, 2025 218   Lamar L 63-67 37%    
  Jan 03, 2026 232   @ Nicholls St. L 64-73 22%    
  Jan 05, 2026 268   @ New Orleans L 68-75 27%    
  Jan 10, 2026 257   UT Rio Grande Valley L 71-73 44%    
  Jan 12, 2026 224   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 66-69 39%    
  Jan 17, 2026 285   @ Houston Christian L 63-69 30%    
  Jan 19, 2026 233   @ Incarnate Word L 64-73 23%    
  Jan 24, 2026 252   @ Northwestern St. L 61-69 25%    
  Jan 26, 2026 218   @ Lamar L 60-70 21%    
  Jan 31, 2026 232   Nicholls St. L 67-70 41%    
  Feb 02, 2026 268   New Orleans L 71-72 45%    
  Feb 07, 2026 252   Northwestern St. L 64-66 43%    
  Feb 09, 2026 215   @ Stephen F. Austin L 61-71 21%    
  Feb 14, 2026 104   McNeese St. L 61-72 18%    
  Feb 16, 2026 259   SE Louisiana L 67-69 45%    
  Feb 21, 2026 233   Incarnate Word L 67-70 41%    
  Feb 23, 2026 285   Houston Christian L 65-66 49%    
  Feb 28, 2026 257   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 68-76 26%    
  Mar 02, 2026 224   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 63-72 22%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 7 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.2 0.9 0.1 5.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.9 1.1 0.1 6.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.5 1.3 0.2 8.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 3.0 3.9 1.8 0.2 10.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.8 4.6 2.0 0.4 0.0 12.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.4 3.5 5.6 4.5 2.0 0.3 0.0 17.7 11th
12th 1.3 3.3 5.4 6.6 5.8 3.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 27.6 12th
Total 1.3 3.3 5.8 8.1 9.7 11.1 10.7 10.2 9.2 7.9 6.5 5.1 4.0 2.8 1.9 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
20-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-3 85.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
18-4 62.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
17-5 38.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-6 18.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-7 8.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1
14-8 1.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
20-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-3 0.1% 23.8% 23.8% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-4 0.2% 20.9% 20.9% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-5 0.4% 16.5% 16.5% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
16-6 0.7% 17.3% 17.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6
15-7 1.2% 11.5% 11.5% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.1
14-8 1.9% 8.0% 8.0% 17.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.7
13-9 2.8% 4.0% 4.0% 18.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.7
12-10 4.0% 0.9% 0.9% 17.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9
11-11 5.1% 0.8% 0.8% 17.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.1
10-12 6.5% 0.9% 0.9% 17.3 0.1 6.4
9-13 7.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.9
8-14 9.2% 9.2
7-15 10.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.2
6-16 10.7% 10.7
5-17 11.1% 11.1
4-18 9.7% 9.7
3-19 8.1% 8.1
2-20 5.8% 5.8
1-21 3.3% 3.3
0-22 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 16.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 99.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%