Evansville
Missouri Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -7.8 294
Results Rating -8.2 300
Consistency 0.17 265
Pace 67.4 214
Improvement -2.9 291

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 311 C- D D D+ D-
Defense C- 247 D+ C- C C+ B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 29% 355 B- 62% 82 -3.9 316
2 Pt. Jumpers 44% 111 C 39% 159 +2.4 59
Three Pointers 44% 122 D+ 32% 269 +0.2 169
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.4 333 C +0.1 172
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 210
Second Chance F+ 22.2% 350 B- 1.08 102 D 0.24 324
Turnovers from Steals F+ 11.7% 341
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 195
Turnovers D 19.1% 317
Freethrows D+ 0.27 284 C 72% 194 D+ 0.20 270
Total Offense D -5.4 311

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 52% 111 B- 9.0% 71
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 30% 118 B 3.1% 50
Three Pointers C 85% 170 B- 0.5% 77
Total C+ 58% 132 A- 3.7% 18

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 305 C- 60% 237 -1.9 110
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 111 D+ 40% 265 +1.1 281
Three Pointers 44% 93 D- 38% 323 +3.9 334
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.5 80 D +3.5 316
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 278
Second Chance C- 32.1% 255 C 1.03 175 C- 0.33 236
Turnovers from Steals D 7.9% 302
Other Turnovers A- 9.0% 22
Turnovers C 16.9% 174
Freethrows B- 0.28 97 C- 74% 262 C+ 0.20 111
Total Defense C- -2.4 247

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 188 C 11.0% 171
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 31% 289 B+ 8.2% 39
Three Pointers D 89% 328 C- 0.7% 201
Total D+ 60% 283 C 5.9% 152

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.3 281 16.4 35
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.10 352 0.20 286
Consistency 0.14 286 0.12 190
Improvement +0.1 174 -3.0 320

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 313 296 275
Results Rating Rank 320 290 267
Conference Record 2 - 18 2 - 18 4 - 16
Conference Finish 11 11 10
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 95% 71% 96%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Belmont (Away) - 3.7% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 100 - 12
Quad 33 - 103 - 22
Quad 42 - 35 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 7 @Purdue L 51 - 82 1% -18  7% 0 - 1 D+ -7 F+ -8 F A+ B- C- -2 C- B+ C-
 Wed, Nov 12 167 Middle Tennessee L 72 - 77 33% -8  4% 0 - 2 D -8 D- -7 C+ D- D+ C- -2 D A+ C
 Tue, Nov 18 180 Texas Arlington L 76 - 84 36% -3  27% 0 - 3 D- -12 B- +4 C A+ C- F -16 F F A+
 Fri, Nov 21 158 Oregon St. W 73 - 69 23% +4  82% 1 - 3 C+ +4 C +0 C- C+ D- B +4 A+ F B-
 Sun, Nov 23 79 Akron L 59 - 97 8% -13  3% 1 - 4 F -30 F -15 F+ B+ F F -15 F+ F B-
 Mon, Nov 24 151 College of Charleston L 59 - 78 22% -12  2% 1 - 5 F -19 F -15 F F C D+ -4 F+ C+ C
 Wed, Dec 3 312 Ball St. W 64 - 52 66% +1  51% 2 - 5 C -0 F -12 D F+ F+ A+ +12 B A A-
 Sat, Dec 6 146 @Western Kentucky L 79 - 80 14% -3  43% 2 - 6 C+ +3 C+ +3 B+ C D- C -1 D- B+ A
 Sat, Dec 13 90 @Notre Dame L 58 - 82 7% -11  1% 2 - 7 F+ -15 F -10 C+ D F D -6 F+ A- B-
 Tue, Dec 16 68 Belmont L 78 - 83 11% -7  0% 2 - 8 0 - 1 C +1 D+ -4 C F+ C+ B +5 A- A+ C
 Sun, Dec 21 194 Drake L 65 - 66 39% -2  38% 2 - 9 0 - 2 D+ -6 F+ -10 F B+ F+ B +4 C- C+ A-
 Mon, Dec 29 113 @Bradley L 68 - 76 10% +2  61% 2 - 10 0 - 3 C- -2 D+ -3 D- C+ B+ C+ +1 B- A F
 Thu, Jan 1 101 @Illinois St. L 47 - 73 8% -14  9% 2 - 11 0 - 4 F -18 F -24 F F F B+ +6 C+ A F+
 Sun, Jan 4 93 Northern Iowa L 48 - 62 16% -12  0% 2 - 12 0 - 5 D -11 F -17 D+ F F B +5 D B+ A+
 Wed, Jan 7 122 Murray St. L 69 - 79 23% -4  20% 2 - 13 0 - 6 D -10 F -11 C+ F F C+ +1 B C+ D-
 Sat, Jan 10 212 @Indiana St. W 72 - 69 22% +0  46% 3 - 13 1 - 6 C+ +3 D -5 B+ F F A- +8 A+ D- D-
 Tue, Jan 13 113 Bradley L 90 - 94 OT 22% +3  55% 3 - 14 1 - 7 C- -4 B +7 A C- C- F -11 D- B F
 Tue, Jan 20 107 @Illinois-Chicago L 49 - 76 9% -13  11% 3 - 15 1 - 8 F -20 F -19 F F F C- -2 D C- F+
 Wed, Jan 28 194 @Drake L 78 - 82 20% +6  88% 3 - 16 1 - 9 C- -3 B- +5 A+ F D+ F+ -9 D+ B- F+
 Sat, Jan 31 93 @Northern Iowa L 55 - 71 7% -16  5% 3 - 17 1 - 10 D+ -7 C- -1 C C A F -10 D- F A
 Tue, Feb 3 212 Indiana St. L 63 - 84 42% -15  1% 3 - 18 1 - 11 F -27 D- -8 D+ D- C- F -21 F F F+
 Fri, Feb 6 149 @Valparaiso L 63 - 70 OT 15% -1  25% 3 - 19 1 - 12 C- -4 F+ -9 C F D+ B+ +5 A+ F A
 Mon, Feb 9 101 Illinois St. W 88 - 80 18% +9  82% 4 - 19 2 - 12 B +10 A+ +20 A+ D+ A+ F -10 F+ A+ F
 Thu, Feb 12 124 @Southern Illinois L 60 - 86 11% -15  8% 4 - 20 2 - 13 F -20 D -6 C+ F D- F -15 F F C-
 Wed, Feb 18 107 Illinois-Chicago L 46 - 84 20% -16  0% 4 - 21 2 - 14 F -37 F -23 F F D+ F -17 F C A
 Sat, Feb 21 122 @Murray St. L 75 - 88 11% -1  42% 4 - 22 2 - 15 D+ -7 D+ -3 B+ D C D+ -4 C- B+ F
 Wed, Feb 25 68 @Belmont L 67 - 86 4%
 Sat, Feb 28 149 Valparaiso L 67 - 72 31%
 Sun, Mar 1 124 Southern Illinois L 65 - 72 24%
Totals 5 - 24 3 - 17 -8 D -5 A C D- C- -2 D+ C D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D B- C D+ C 29% 44% 44% D- C- F+ B- D D D+ C D+ C- C- D+ D- D 34% 22% 44% B- D+ C- C C- C B- C- C+
1.01 62% 39% 32% 0 -1 0.99 22% 1.1 .24 19% .27 72% .20 1.12 60% 40% 38% +4 -1 1.08 32% 1.0 .33 17% .28 74% .20
Nov
4		 Purdue F+ C- F F F 17% 33% 50% D- F A+ C- A+ B- F F F C- D+ B+ F C- 27% 23% 50% B- C- C A B+ C- C F D+
0.83 56% 24% 15% -19 -3 0.58 42% 1.0 .42 16% .08 50% .04 1.33 69% 36% 46% +12 -1 1.23 38% 1.0 .38 11% .29 81% .24
Nov
12		 Middle Tennessee D- B- A F B- 44% 31% 25% D- C+ D- D+ D- D+ A D- B+ C- F F A+ F+ 27% 31% 42% A D B A+ A+ C D+ A C+
1.01 62% 47% 25% +1 -1 1.02 19% 1.0 .19 17% .41 71% .29 1.08 73% 65% 26% +7 -2 1.13 26% 0.6 .15 15% .28 59% .17
Nov
18		 Texas Arlington B- A F D- C 35% 26% 39% C C C- A+ A+ C- A+ C- A+ F F F F F 33% 28% 38% A F F F F A+ F F F
1.11 69% 25% 28% -3 -1 0.93 26% 2.0 .53 18% .55 71% .39 1.23 69% 64% 47% +18 -1 1.36 56% 1.3 .72 31% .50 83% .42
Nov
21		 Oregon St. C A F D C 31% 29% 40% F C- B+ D C+ D- A+ A- A+ B A F A+ A+ 41% 17% 41% D+ A+ F F F B- D- F+ F
1.08 69% 25% 29% -3 -2 0.93 38% 0.9 .34 18% .63 80% .50 1.02 42% 63% 16% -14 +1 0.76 39% 1.5 .58 19% .42 83% .35
Nov
23		 Akron F B- A F D- 30% 26% 44% D- F+ D- A+ B+ F A+ F A+ F F F C- F+ 42% 8% 50% D- F+ F F F B- F B- F
0.84 62% 45% 21% -6 -1 0.88 27% 1.6 .42 26% .44 65% .29 1.39 76% 50% 36% +10 +2 1.26 40% 2.1 .84 17% .47 74% .35
Nov
24		 College of Charleston F D- C F F 47% 21% 32% B+ F F A+ F C A- B- A- D+ B+ D F F 31% 20% 49% C+ F+ B- C- C+ C C- C- C-
0.84 52% 36% 18% -11 +1 0.81 6% 2.0 .11 14% .30 72% .22 1.11 53% 40% 42% +5 -1 1.10 27% 1.1 .30 17% .36 76% .27
Dec
3		 Ball St. F A+ A- F D+ 26% 23% 51% D D F+ D- F+ F+ A- C- B+ A+ B+ A B B- 31% 25% 44% A- B B A+ A A- C+ C- C+
0.95 75% 45% 25% -1 -1 0.98 26% 0.9 .24 22% .35 78% .27 0.77 47% 25% 29% -10 -1 0.79 22% 0.4 .10 21% .26 71% .19
Dec
6		 Western Kentucky C+ A- D A+ A 12% 33% 56% F B+ C+ D+ C D- C F F+ C A- B F F+ 45% 24% 31% C D- D- A+ B+ A F+ C+ D-
1.08 67% 35% 45% +9 -3 1.13 31% 0.8 .26 21% .40 57% .22 1.10 44% 31% 53% +1 0 1.04 38% 0.6 .24 19% .39 74% .29
Dec
13		 Notre Dame F B- F+ B- B- 28% 22% 50% C- C+ C- F D F D- F F D A+ F+ F F 25% 29% 45% A F+ B A- A- B- C C- C
0.87 62% 30% 35% 0 -1 1.00 22% 0.8 .17 20% .24 62% .15 1.23 38% 47% 57% +13 -2 1.24 29% 0.8 .24 18% .31 71% .22
Dec
16		 Belmont D+ F D A- C 24% 19% 57% C- C F+ D F+ C+ A+ A A+ B B+ A+ F A 50% 13% 37% C- A- A A+ A+ C F D+ F
1.02 38% 30% 39% -2 -1 0.96 24% 0.9 .22 17% .38 83% .32 1.09 56% 14% 45% +2 +2 1.09 21% 1.0 .21 18% .40 72% .29
Dec
21		 Drake F+ F+ C+ F F 22% 36% 42% F F C- A+ B+ F+ A+ B- A+ B C D+ C- C- 35% 18% 47% D+ C- C B C+ A- A+ A+ A+
0.99 50% 38% 26% -7 -3 0.82 29% 1.3 .37 18% .41 73% .30 1.01 59% 44% 35% +2 0 1.06 26% 1.0 .26 18% .21 45% .09
Dec
29		 Bradley D+ C- C+ D D+ 17% 47% 36% F D- D A+ C+ B+ F C- F C+ F A+ D+ C 26% 39% 35% A+ B- C A+ A F C- F+ D
0.99 56% 40% 32% -1 -5 0.91 25% 1.3 .33 16% .24 71% .17 1.10 79% 24% 37% +1 -3 0.98 28% 0.6 .18 7% .33 81% .27
Jan
1		 Illinois St. F D- F C- F 21% 38% 40% F F D F F F D+ C D+ B+ C- D+ B- C+ 36% 23% 42% C+ C+ A+ D- A F+ D+ A C+
0.66 50% 17% 32% -11 -4 0.72 22% 0.6 .14 32% .27 69% .19 1.02 63% 42% 32% +1 0 1.04 15% 1.2 .18 13% .30 63% .19
Jan
4		 Northern Iowa F A+ C- F D+ 42% 26% 33% C- D+ F B F F C+ D+ C B A+ D+ F F+ 30% 21% 49% A- D C+ A+ B+ A+ C+ A- B-
0.75 72% 36% 7% -8 0 0.86 7% 1.0 .07 24% .27 69% .18 0.97 46% 44% 48% +8 -1 1.16 21% 0.8 .17 25% .23 64% .15
Jan
7		 Murray St. F A+ A+ F B 41% 35% 24% D- C+ F F F F B C+ B C+ C+ F A B 40% 17% 42% C B A- F+ C+ D- F A D
0.97 76% 50% 8% +3 -2 1.04 16% 0.4 .06 21% .34 74% .25 1.11 57% 56% 27% -2 +1 1.00 27% 1.3 .35 13% .43 67% .29
Jan
10		 Indiana St. D D+ B- A+ A- 38% 23% 39% C B+ F A+ F F F A+ F A- B+ D+ A+ A+ 47% 13% 40% C+ A+ F C+ D- D- D+ D+ D+
1.00 52% 46% 45% +7 0 1.14 7% 2.0 .14 21% .07 100% .07 0.96 54% 43% 18% -11 +2 0.84 33% 1.0 .33 15% .28 71% .20
Jan
13		 Bradley B A B+ A+ A+ 20% 36% 44% F A D B+ C- C- A+ C+ A+ F D+ F B F+ 40% 28% 32% B- D- D+ A+ B F D- D+ D-
1.18 70% 44% 45% +12 -3 1.20 25% 1.1 .28 20% .51 74% .38 1.24 63% 59% 32% +7 -1 1.13 29% 0.8 .24 8% .37 77% .29
Jan
20		 Illinois-Chicago F F B F F 25% 11% 64% C F D F F F D- A C- C- F F+ A+ F+ 43% 29% 27% B D B- D- C- F+ D+ A+ B-
0.73 45% 40% 25% -12 0 0.80 31% 0.5 .17 28% .25 83% .21 1.13 73% 47% 21% +4 -1 1.08 33% 1.2 .39 13% .34 60% .21
Jan
28		 Drake B- A+ B+ A+ A+ 23% 37% 40% F A+ F F F D+ F F F F+ F F C D- 18% 22% 60% B+ D+ D+ A B- F+ F D F
1.17 83% 42% 52% +18 -3 1.33 18% 0.6 .11 16% .21 58% .13 1.23 75% 50% 33% +5 -2 1.09 28% 0.9 .25 10% .63 74% .47
Jan
31		 Northern Iowa C- B A+ F B- 17% 30% 52% F C D- A+ C A F A+ F F F F B F 31% 16% 53% B D- F F F A A+ D- A+
0.95 63% 50% 25% -3 -3 0.91 19% 1.2 .23 14% .14 86% .12 1.22 87% 50% 31% +8 0 1.18 28% 1.7 .48 19% .08 75% .06
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
3		 Indiana St. D- D- A+ F C+ 17% 40% 43% F D+ D- D+ D- C- A- F+ B- F D- C+ F F 37% 15% 48% A F F F+ F F+ A A+ A+
1.01 50% 58% 25% +1 -4 0.96 26% 0.9 .23 16% .32 65% .21 1.34 68% 38% 48% +14 +1 1.31 37% 1.2 .43 14% .17 56% .09
Feb
6		 Valparaiso F+ F+ F A+ C+ 35% 25% 39% D+ C F+ F F D+ F F F B+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 23% 38% 40% A A+ F F F A A F B
0.91 50% 23% 45% 0 -1 1.00 24% 0.6 .13 19% .20 64% .12 1.01 55% 22% 26% -11 -3 0.73 43% 1.6 .69 20% .27 80% .22
Feb
9		 Illinois St. A+ D+ A A+ A+ 30% 30% 40% D+ A+ F A+ D+ A+ B- A+ A F F A F F 29% 20% 52% C+ F+ A+ A+ A+ F B C- B
1.33 53% 47% 65% +20 -2 1.38 8% 2.5 .21 11% .32 84% .27 1.21 81% 27% 41% +10 -1 1.21 16% 0.4 .06 11% .24 71% .17
Feb
12		 Southern Illinois D B+ A- C- B 21% 25% 55% D- C+ D- F F D- F B+ F F F A+ D- F+ 42% 13% 45% F F F D- F C- A+ F B+
0.88 64% 46% 31% +1 -2 1.00 23% 0.6 .14 22% .08 75% .06 1.26 74% 29% 36% +7 +1 1.18 43% 1.1 .47 16% .19 82% .16
Feb
18		 Illinois-Chicago F A+ F F F 21% 19% 60% D F F A+ F D+ F F F F D- C+ F F 28% 22% 50% B F F+ B+ C A A+ F A+
0.71 80% 11% 18% -15 -1 0.70 16% 1.3 .22 22% .16 63% .10 1.30 64% 36% 60% +21 -1 1.42 41% 0.9 .38 23% .10 80% .08
Feb
21		 Murray St. D+ A D+ B+ A- 29% 25% 46% D B+ F A+ D C F A+ F D+ C+ A+ F C- 29% 10% 61% C- C- B+ C+ B+ F F+ F F
1.04 69% 36% 38% +6 -1 1.11 7% 4.0 .27 17% .10 83% .08 1.22 57% 20% 40% +3 +1 1.10 27% 1.1 .30 11% .41 92% .37



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 20.5 8.3 0.4 29.2 10th
11th 50.8 19.3 0.7 70.8 11th
Total 50.8 39.8 9.0 0.4 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15 0.4% 0.4
4-16 9.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.0
3-17 39.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 39.8
2-18 50.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 50.8
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 44.8%