Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.9#348
Expected Predictive Rating+6.3#51
Pace71.9#87
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.7#350
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#333
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.1% 12.6% 8.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 17.4 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 23.4% 40.4% 17.9%
.500 or above in Conference 63.7% 74.5% 60.2%
Conference Champion 13.5% 19.9% 11.4%
Last Place in Conference 9.0% 5.1% 10.3%
First Four8.2% 10.1% 7.6%
First Round5.1% 7.8% 4.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Peter's (Away) - 24.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 20 - 7
Quad 411 - 1111 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 18   @ Iowa St. L 50-88 1%     0 - 1 -18.8 -12.3 -6.1
  Nov 08, 2025 302   @ St. Peter's L 62-69 25%    
  Nov 12, 2025 38   @ Texas L 59-87 1%    
  Nov 15, 2025 355   @ NJIT L 68-70 43%    
  Nov 24, 2025 332   East Texas A&M W 70-69 54%    
  Nov 26, 2025 343   Army W 73-71 58%    
  Dec 02, 2025 68   @ Providence L 63-86 2%    
  Dec 10, 2025 170   @ Fordham L 69-83 11%    
  Dec 22, 2025 114   @ Boston College L 62-80 6%    
  Dec 29, 2025 72   @ Minnesota L 56-78 3%    
  Jan 02, 2026 361   @ Mercyhurst L 67-68 50%    
  Jan 04, 2026 352   @ St. Francis (PA) L 70-73 41%    
  Jan 08, 2026 347   Chicago St. W 75-72 60%    
  Jan 10, 2026 362   @ New Haven W 72-71 50%    
  Jan 17, 2026 289   LIU Brooklyn L 66-68 43%    
  Jan 19, 2026 344   Wagner W 69-67 58%    
  Jan 23, 2026 310   @ Central Connecticut St. L 64-71 29%    
  Jan 25, 2026 350   Le Moyne W 77-74 61%    
  Jan 29, 2026 334   @ Stonehill L 67-72 35%    
  Jan 31, 2026 344   @ Wagner L 66-70 39%    
  Feb 05, 2026 334   Stonehill W 70-69 54%    
  Feb 07, 2026 361   Mercyhurst W 71-65 69%    
  Feb 12, 2026 352   St. Francis (PA) W 73-70 62%    
  Feb 14, 2026 310   Central Connecticut St. L 67-68 48%    
  Feb 19, 2026 347   @ Chicago St. L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 21, 2026 362   New Haven W 75-69 69%    
  Feb 26, 2026 350   @ Le Moyne L 74-77 42%    
  Feb 28, 2026 289   @ LIU Brooklyn L 63-71 26%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 2.5 3.3 3.1 2.0 1.0 13.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.0 4.0 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 13.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.2 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.0 13.0 3rd
4th 0.1 2.1 5.7 3.2 0.6 0.1 11.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 5.1 3.3 0.5 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 4.3 3.1 0.4 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 3.8 3.1 0.5 0.0 8.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 3.0 2.9 0.6 0.0 7.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.4 2.1 0.5 0.0 6.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.8 1.3 0.4 5.6 10th
Total 0.1 0.7 1.6 3.0 4.7 6.8 8.8 10.1 11.1 12.1 11.0 9.1 7.7 5.8 3.8 2.2 1.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 99.0% 1.0    1.0 0.1
15-1 92.1% 2.0    1.8 0.2 0.0
14-2 82.2% 3.1    2.3 0.8 0.0
13-3 57.3% 3.3    2.1 1.1 0.2 0.0
12-4 32.4% 2.5    1.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
11-5 10.2% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 13.0% 13.0 8.3 3.5 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 1.0% 41.5% 41.5% 18.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6
15-1 2.2% 35.8% 35.8% 18.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4
14-2 3.8% 26.4% 26.4% 18.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.8
13-3 5.8% 24.5% 24.5% 16.9 0.1 1.4 4.4
12-4 7.7% 18.0% 18.0% 16.7 0.0 1.4 6.3
11-5 9.1% 14.2% 14.2% 16.7 0.0 1.3 7.8
10-6 11.0% 9.3% 9.3% 16.1 1.0 10.0
9-7 12.1% 6.0% 6.0% 16.2 0.7 11.4
8-8 11.1% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.5 10.6
7-9 10.1% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.3 9.8
6-10 8.8% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 8.6
5-11 6.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 6.7
4-12 4.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.6
3-13 3.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.0
2-14 1.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.6
1-15 0.7% 0.7
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 16.9 0.0 0.5 9.2 90.9 0.0%