Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.5#357
Expected Predictive Rating-20.9#362
Pace70.0#171
Improvement+1.2#108

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#331
First Shot-6.5#346
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#156
Layup/Dunks-6.1#345
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#264
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#34
Freethrows-4.4#359
Improvement-0.5#212

Defense
Total Defense-8.4#359
First Shot-10.7#365
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#34
Layups/Dunks-3.8#310
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#172
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.2#363
Freethrows+0.9#121
Improvement+1.6#67
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 2.6% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.3% 3.4% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 25.9% 43.9% 25.6%
Conference Champion 1.5% 5.0% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 30.4% 19.2% 30.6%
First Four1.8% 2.6% 1.8%
First Round0.6% 0.5% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Minnesota (Away) - 1.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 30 - 7
Quad 46 - 166 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 3 @Iowa St. L 50-88 0.2%    0 - 1 -12.8 -10.2 -2.3
  Sat, Nov 8 297 @St. Peter's L 83-93 17%     0 - 2 -14.3 +5.3 -19.0
  Wed, Nov 12 41 @Texas L 58-93 1%     0 - 3 -19.8 -11.8 -6.5
  Sat, Nov 15 353 @NJIT L 81-93 34%     0 - 4 -22.3 -0.8 -20.5
  Mon, Nov 24 302 East Texas A&M L 65-70 36%     0 - 5 -16.0 -8.6 -7.6
  Wed, Nov 26 331 Army L 73-81 45%     0 - 6 -21.3 -2.7 -19.1
  Tue, Dec 2 78 @Providence L 64-94 2%     0 - 7 -19.9 -2.9 -19.0
  Wed, Dec 10 193 @Fordham L 54-75 8%     0 - 8 -20.1 -12.9 -8.7
  Mon, Dec 22 156 @Boston College L 61-72 6%     0 - 9 -7.7 +2.2 -11.7
  Mon, Dec 29 96 @Minnesota L 58-81 1%    
  Fri, Jan 2 318 @Mercyhurst L 66-74 22%    
  Sun, Jan 4 361 @St. Francis (PA) L 75-77 43%    
  Thu, Jan 8 336 Chicago St. L 76-77 47%    
  Sat, Jan 10 340 @New Haven L 66-72 29%    
  Sat, Jan 17 206 LIU Brooklyn L 73-82 21%    
  Mon, Jan 19 295 Wagner L 72-76 34%    
  Fri, Jan 23 278 @Central Connecticut St. L 66-77 15%    
  Sun, Jan 25 312 Le Moyne L 78-81 40%    
  Thu, Jan 29 338 @Stonehill L 67-73 28%    
  Sat, Jan 31 295 @Wagner L 69-79 17%    
  Thu, Feb 5 338 Stonehill L 69-70 48%    
  Sat, Feb 7 318 Mercyhurst L 69-71 42%    
  Thu, Feb 12 361 St. Francis (PA) W 78-74 63%    
  Sat, Feb 14 278 Central Connecticut St. L 69-74 32%    
  Thu, Feb 19 336 @Chicago St. L 73-80 27%    
  Sat, Feb 21 340 New Haven L 69-70 49%    
  Thu, Feb 26 312 @Le Moyne L 75-84 22%    
  Sat, Feb 28 206 @LIU Brooklyn L 70-85 10%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 2.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 3.1 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 4.1 2.2 0.3 7.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.6 3.9 0.5 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.1 5.5 1.0 0.0 12.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 5.8 6.5 1.6 0.1 15.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.9 7.1 6.6 2.1 0.1 19.4 9th
10th 0.6 2.4 5.4 6.6 4.3 1.2 0.1 20.6 10th
Total 0.6 2.4 6.0 9.7 13.0 14.6 14.9 12.9 10.1 6.9 4.3 2.3 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 86.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
13-3 70.7% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
12-4 34.9% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-5 11.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 40.0% 40.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.2% 19.3% 19.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 0.5% 15.9% 15.9% 16.0 0.1 0.5
12-4 1.4% 11.3% 11.3% 16.0 0.2 1.3
11-5 2.3% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 0.2 2.2
10-6 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.2 4.1
9-7 6.9% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.2 6.7
8-8 10.1% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.3 9.8
7-9 12.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 12.7
6-10 14.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 14.7
5-11 14.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 14.5
4-12 13.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 12.9
3-13 9.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.6
2-14 6.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.0
1-15 2.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.4
0-16 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 16.0 1.8 98.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%