Georgetown
Big East
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#186
Expected Predictive Rating-4.1#244
Pace71.2#101
Improvement+0.6#113

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#149
First Shot+0.1#179
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#129
Layup/Dunks-4.0#330
2 Pt Jumpshots+8.2#2
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#322
Freethrows+0.1#174
Improvement-0.2#227

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#233
First Shot-0.5#191
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#290
Layups/Dunks-0.3#191
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#165
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#313
Freethrows+3.0#15
Improvement+0.8#68
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 98.1% 91.3% 98.6%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Connecticut (Home) - 7.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 70 - 7
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 10
Quad 20 - 81 - 18
Quad 31 - 42 - 22
Quad 45 - 27 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2022 345   Coppin St. W 99-89 OT 90%     1 - 0 -4.7 -1.9 -4.8
  Nov 12, 2022 362   Green Bay W 92-58 95%     2 - 0 +14.0 +14.9 +1.3
  Nov 15, 2022 50   Northwestern L 63-75 22%     2 - 1 -4.8 -2.2 -3.0
  Nov 18, 2022 91   Loyola Marymount L 66-84 27%     2 - 2 -12.6 -4.3 -8.1
  Nov 20, 2022 230   La Salle W 69-62 60%     3 - 2 +3.4 -8.4 +11.5
  Nov 23, 2022 236   American L 70-74 71%     3 - 3 -10.5 -7.2 -3.4
  Nov 26, 2022 217   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 79-70 66%     4 - 3 +4.0 -1.6 +5.5
  Nov 30, 2022 53   @ Texas Tech L 65-79 11%     4 - 4 -1.4 -2.3 +1.2
  Dec 03, 2022 229   South Carolina L 71-74 OT 69%     4 - 5 -9.1 -3.0 -6.2
  Dec 07, 2022 151   Siena W 75-68 54%     5 - 5 +5.1 +6.7 -1.1
  Dec 10, 2022 75   @ Syracuse L 64-83 16%     5 - 6 -9.3 -3.0 -7.1
  Dec 16, 2022 19   Xavier L 89-102 13%     5 - 7 0 - 1 -1.9 +9.5 -10.1
  Dec 20, 2022 6   @ Connecticut L 73-84 4%     5 - 8 0 - 2 +9.0 +8.5 +0.6
  Dec 29, 2022 124   @ DePaul L 76-83 28%     5 - 9 0 - 3 -1.7 +3.1 -4.7
  Jan 01, 2023 86   Butler L 51-80 35%     5 - 10 0 - 4 -26.0 -16.4 -11.0
  Jan 04, 2023 62   Villanova L 57-73 26%     5 - 11 0 - 5 -10.3 -11.3 +0.2
  Jan 07, 2023 8   @ Marquette L 73-95 4%     5 - 12 0 - 6 -3.3 +2.4 -4.6
  Jan 10, 2023 41   Seton Hall L 51-66 20%     5 - 13 0 - 7 -7.0 -10.0 +1.6
  Jan 16, 2023 62   @ Villanova L 73-77 13%     5 - 14 0 - 8 +7.2 +7.6 -0.6
  Jan 21, 2023 19   @ Xavier L 82-95 6%     5 - 15 0 - 9 +3.6 +8.5 -4.0
  Jan 24, 2023 124   DePaul W 81-76 47%     6 - 15 1 - 9 +4.8 +7.0 -2.2
  Jan 29, 2023 72   @ St. John's L 73-75 15%     6 - 16 1 - 10 +8.3 +4.8 +3.5
  Feb 01, 2023 11   Creighton L 53-63 11%     6 - 17 1 - 11 +2.7 -11.0 +13.2
  Feb 04, 2023 6   Connecticut L 66-81 8%    
  Feb 08, 2023 25   @ Providence L 65-82 6%    
  Feb 11, 2023 8   Marquette L 72-86 10%    
  Feb 14, 2023 41   @ Seton Hall L 62-76 8%    
  Feb 19, 2023 86   @ Butler L 66-75 18%    
  Feb 22, 2023 72   St. John's L 76-82 30%    
  Feb 26, 2023 25   Providence L 68-79 15%    
  Mar 01, 2023 11   @ Creighton L 63-82 4%    
Projected Record 7 - 24 2 - 18





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 8th
9th 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.1 9th
10th 3.4 3.1 0.4 0.0 6.9 10th
11th 35.2 38.9 15.8 2.0 0.0 0.0 91.8 11th
Total 35.2 38.9 19.1 5.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 0.0% 0.0
6-14 0.1% 0.1
5-15 1.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.1
4-16 5.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.6
3-17 19.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 19.1
2-18 38.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.1 38.8
1-19 35.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 35.1
0-20
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 35.2% 0.1% 16.0 0.1