Georgetown
Big East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.4#98
Expected Predictive Rating+3.2#122
Pace70.5#142
Improvement+4.1#11

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#103
First Shot-1.3#215
After Offensive Rebound+3.9#21
Layup/Dunks+4.1#55
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#227
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#233
Freethrows-2.8#319
Improvement+1.6#65

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#95
First Shot+3.4#81
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#230
Layups/Dunks+3.5#72
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#308
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#197
Freethrows+1.9#71
Improvement+2.5#26
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 6.1% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.0% 5.0% 1.7%
Average Seed 10.0 9.9 10.3
.500 or above 47.4% 62.8% 37.9%
.500 or above in Conference 18.5% 23.5% 15.4%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 23.5% 19.2% 26.2%
First Four1.2% 1.8% 0.8%
First Round3.0% 5.1% 1.8%
Second Round1.1% 1.9% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Syracuse (Away) - 38.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 9
Quad 23 - 55 - 15
Quad 33 - 28 - 17
Quad 48 - 016 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 251   Lehigh W 85-77 89%     1 - 0 +0.1 +2.3 -2.6
  Nov 09, 2024 283   Fairfield W 69-57 91%     2 - 0 +2.6 -7.6 +10.4
  Nov 16, 2024 80   Notre Dame L 63-84 56%     2 - 1 -17.1 -3.3 -15.7
  Nov 20, 2024 254   Mount St. Mary's W 79-51 89%     3 - 1 +19.9 +4.5 +15.3
  Nov 23, 2024 339   St. Francis (PA) W 82-65 95%     4 - 1 +3.3 +1.2 +1.8
  Nov 26, 2024 300   Wagner W 66-41 92%     5 - 1 +14.7 +3.1 +15.6
  Nov 30, 2024 237   Albany W 100-68 87%     6 - 1 +24.9 +14.2 +7.9
  Dec 02, 2024 296   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 86-62 92%     7 - 1 +14.1 -4.7 +15.8
  Dec 06, 2024 45   @ West Virginia L 60-73 21%     7 - 2 +0.9 -2.4 +2.7
  Dec 14, 2024 96   @ Syracuse L 76-79 38%    
  Dec 18, 2024 40   Creighton L 73-76 38%    
  Dec 22, 2024 116   @ Seton Hall L 62-63 48%    
  Dec 28, 2024 363   Coppin St. W 82-54 99.5%   
  Jan 03, 2025 68   Xavier L 75-76 49%    
  Jan 07, 2025 12   @ Marquette L 67-80 12%    
  Jan 11, 2025 11   Connecticut L 70-77 26%    
  Jan 14, 2025 20   @ St. John's L 69-81 13%    
  Jan 17, 2025 97   DePaul W 75-72 60%    
  Jan 20, 2025 56   @ Villanova L 67-74 26%    
  Jan 25, 2025 79   @ Providence L 66-71 33%    
  Jan 28, 2025 20   St. John's L 72-78 29%    
  Jan 31, 2025 54   Butler L 74-75 45%    
  Feb 04, 2025 68   @ Xavier L 72-78 29%    
  Feb 08, 2025 116   Seton Hall W 65-60 68%    
  Feb 15, 2025 54   @ Butler L 71-78 26%    
  Feb 19, 2025 79   Providence W 69-68 55%    
  Feb 23, 2025 40   @ Creighton L 70-79 20%    
  Feb 26, 2025 11   @ Connecticut L 67-80 12%    
  Mar 01, 2025 12   Marquette L 70-77 27%    
  Mar 04, 2025 56   Villanova L 70-71 45%    
  Mar 08, 2025 97   @ DePaul L 72-75 39%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 2.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 4.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.6 1.9 0.4 0.0 6.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 3.7 3.0 0.8 0.0 8.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.8 5.0 3.8 0.9 0.0 11.6 7th
8th 0.2 2.2 6.0 4.8 1.3 0.0 14.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 3.3 6.4 5.2 1.3 0.1 17.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.4 4.2 6.3 4.1 1.2 0.1 17.6 10th
11th 0.2 1.0 2.7 4.4 4.2 2.2 0.6 0.1 15.3 11th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.9 5.9 9.0 12.0 13.5 14.4 12.4 10.0 7.3 5.2 3.0 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 80.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 65.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 46.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 16.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 3.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 97.1% 13.0% 84.1% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.7%
15-5 0.3% 83.1% 6.3% 76.9% 8.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 82.0%
14-6 0.9% 71.3% 10.4% 60.9% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 68.0%
13-7 1.7% 42.9% 6.1% 36.9% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.0 39.3%
12-8 3.0% 24.3% 3.2% 21.1% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.0 2.3 21.8%
11-9 5.2% 11.8% 2.5% 9.3% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 4.6 9.6%
10-10 7.3% 4.4% 1.4% 3.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 6.9 3.0%
9-11 10.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.9 0.5%
8-12 12.4% 0.5% 0.5% 11.5 0.0 0.0 12.4
7-13 14.4% 0.3% 0.3% 11.7 0.0 0.0 14.4
6-14 13.5% 0.2% 0.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.5
5-15 12.0% 0.1% 0.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 12.0
4-16 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.0
3-17 5.9% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 5.9
2-18 2.9% 2.9
1-19 1.0% 1.0
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.8% 0.8% 2.9% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.0 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.2 3.0%