Georgetown
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.4#99
Expected Predictive Rating+8.2#73
Pace70.0#167
Improvement-1.9#303

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#90
First Shot+1.1#142
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#40
Layup/Dunks+2.2#97
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#165
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#310
Freethrows+3.0#28
Improvement+0.4#142

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#120
First Shot+0.9#136
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#129
Layups/Dunks+5.5#28
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#329
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#248
Freethrows-0.4#213
Improvement-2.3#325
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 9.7% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.2% 9.0% 2.8%
Average Seed 10.1 9.9 10.2
.500 or above 38.7% 58.5% 33.0%
.500 or above in Conference 13.2% 25.9% 9.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 16.5% 7.4% 19.1%
First Four2.0% 3.9% 1.5%
First Round3.4% 7.1% 2.3%
Second Round1.0% 2.3% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. John's (Home) - 22.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 10
Quad 25 - 57 - 15
Quad 32 - 29 - 17
Quad 46 - 015 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 360 Morgan St. W 87-70 98%     1 - 0 -1.5 -2.3 -0.4
  Fri, Nov 7 94 @Maryland W 70-60 37%     2 - 0 +18.9 +2.4 +16.6
  Wed, Nov 12 363 Binghamton W 83-70 98%     3 - 0 -5.9 +3.8 -9.1
  Sat, Nov 15 40 Clemson W 79-74 35%     4 - 0 +14.2 +11.2 +3.1
  Sat, Nov 22 295 Wagner W 92-75 92%     5 - 0 +6.9 +9.3 -3.5
  Thu, Nov 27 68 Dayton L 79-84 OT 40%     5 - 1 +3.1 +5.5 -2.1
  Fri, Nov 28 35 Miami (FL) L 65-78 23%     5 - 2 +0.2 +4.1 -4.8
  Wed, Dec 3 292 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 90-81 92%     6 - 2 -1.1 +15.1 -15.8
  Sun, Dec 7 21 @North Carolina L 61-81 11%     6 - 3 -1.0 -3.3 +2.8
  Sat, Dec 13 297 St. Peter's W 76-68 OT 92%     7 - 3 -2.3 -1.0 -1.4
  Wed, Dec 17 105 @Marquette W 78-69 42%     8 - 3 1 - 0 +16.4 +16.9 +0.3
  Sat, Dec 20 97 Xavier L 77-80 61%     8 - 4 1 - 1 -0.5 +1.4 -1.7
  Mon, Dec 22 364 Coppin St. W 97-67 99%     9 - 4 +7.8 +11.1 -4.3
  Wed, Dec 31 19 St. John's L 74-82 22%    
  Tue, Jan 6 115 @DePaul L 72-73 47%    
  Sat, Jan 10 54 Seton Hall L 69-70 46%    
  Tue, Jan 13 36 @Creighton L 69-80 16%    
  Sat, Jan 17 7 Connecticut L 65-78 11%    
  Wed, Jan 21 32 @Villanova L 64-76 14%    
  Sat, Jan 24 78 @Providence L 80-85 34%    
  Wed, Jan 28 115 DePaul W 75-70 68%    
  Sat, Jan 31 50 @Butler L 74-82 24%    
  Wed, Feb 4 36 Creighton L 72-77 33%    
  Sat, Feb 7 32 Villanova L 67-73 30%    
  Sat, Feb 14 7 @Connecticut L 62-81 4%    
  Wed, Feb 18 50 Butler L 77-79 43%    
  Sat, Feb 21 54 @Seton Hall L 66-73 26%    
  Tue, Feb 24 105 Marquette W 78-74 64%    
  Sat, Feb 28 97 @Xavier L 75-78 39%    
  Tue, Mar 3 19 @St. John's L 71-85 11%    
  Sat, Mar 7 78 Providence W 83-82 55%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.8 1.7 0.3 0.0 6.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.7 2.6 0.5 0.0 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.4 7.0 3.3 0.5 0.0 16.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 5.6 8.2 3.5 0.5 0.0 19.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.2 5.5 7.5 3.3 0.4 0.0 18.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.4 5.0 5.6 2.5 0.3 0.0 15.0 10th
11th 0.3 1.5 3.0 3.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 9.1 11th
Total 0.3 1.6 4.5 9.2 13.4 16.6 16.7 14.2 10.3 6.6 3.7 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 33.3% 0.0    0.0
15-5 16.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 1.3% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 93.3% 6.7% 86.7% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 92.9%
14-6 0.3% 88.8% 5.0% 83.8% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 88.2%
13-7 0.7% 74.8% 2.9% 71.9% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 74.0%
12-8 1.8% 55.7% 2.4% 53.3% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.8 54.6%
11-9 3.7% 33.5% 2.0% 31.6% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.0 2.5 32.2%
10-10 6.6% 15.5% 1.5% 14.0% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.0 5.6 14.2%
9-11 10.3% 3.2% 0.5% 2.7% 11.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 10.0 2.7%
8-12 14.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 11.3 0.1 0.0 14.2 0.2%
7-13 16.7% 0.2% 0.2% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.7
6-14 16.6% 0.1% 0.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 16.6
5-15 13.4% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 13.4
4-16 9.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.2
3-17 4.5% 4.5
2-18 1.6% 1.6
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20
Total 100% 4.6% 0.4% 4.2% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.4 4.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%