Harvard
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -0.3 164
Expected Predictive Rating -0.8 171
Pace 60.5 355
Improvement +5.5 15

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 192 B- D D+ D+ C+
Defense C 149 C C C- B- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 124 C 58% 172 +1.2 133
2 Pt. Jumpers 34% 223 C 39% 143 -0.5 206
Three Pointers 41% 184 B 37% 55 +1.8 118
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.4 135 B- +2.0 103
1st FG Attempt B- 1.07 105
Second Chance D 26.2% 299 C- 0.98 259 D 0.26 305
Turnovers D+ 18.5% 290
Freethrows D- 0.25 340 A 81% 2 D+ 0.20 252
Total Offense C- -1.0 192

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D+ 44% 264 C+ 10.4% 142
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 35% 53 C+ 4.3% 128
Three Pointers A- 94% 9 D- 1.6% 327
Total C+ 59% 104 C 5.7% 199

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 91 C 57% 158 +1.8 239
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 268 C 38% 200 -1.0 112
Three Pointers 40% 220 C+ 33% 118 -1.3 123
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 281 C+ -1.1 135
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 161
Second Chance C 30.5% 184 C 1.01 156 C 0.31 174
Turnovers C- 16.4% 202
Freethrows B- 0.27 80 C- 73% 230 B- 0.20 92
Total Defense C +0.7 149

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 126 C 10.9% 178
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 178 B 7.3% 61
Three Pointers C+ 82% 121 D+ 0.5% 266
Total C+ 53% 128 C+ 6.1% 139

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.6 310 18.6 338
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 287 0.15 88
Improvement +2.0 #94 +3.5 #30

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 194 163 136
Conference Record 7 - 7 9 - 5 11 - 3
Conference Finish 4 2 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14% 17% 12%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.8 14.3
.500 or above 94% 100% 90%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 10% 20% 4%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round14% 17% 12%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Cornell (Away) - 35.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 1
Quad 20 - 21 - 3
Quad 35 - 66 - 9
Quad 410 - 416 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sun, Nov 9 344 New Hampshire W 86 - 75 92% -6  14% 1 - 0 C- -5 B- +5 A+ F B- F+ -10 F C C+
 Tue, Nov 11 289 Northeastern L 60 - 77 83% -9  22% 1 - 1 F -27 F -20 F F+ F F+ -9 C D+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 336 @Army W 75 - 52 79% +9  95% 2 - 1 B+ +14 C+ +2 B+ F F A+ +15 B+ C+ A+
 Sun, Nov 16 184 @Marist W 56 - 54 43% +1  47% 3 - 1 C+ +4 D- -8 D D+ F A+ +11 B A A+
 Wed, Nov 19 115 @Penn St. L 80 - 84 27% -2  31% 3 - 2 C+ +2 A +13 A A+ D+ F -11 D D F+
 Sat, Nov 22 256 Boston University L 74 - 75 69% +2  68% 3 - 3 D+ -6 C- -1 B+ C- F D -5 F C- A
 Wed, Nov 26 135 @Boston College L 60 - 73 32% -9  1% 3 - 4 D -8 D -5 D+ C- C D+ -5 F A+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 354 Bryant W 56 - 53 93% +2  52% 4 - 4 D- -14 F -16 D- F F+ B- +3 A- D F
 Wed, Dec 3 182 @Massachusetts L 71 - 78 42% -10  0% 4 - 5 D+ -5 D- -7 D D+ C- B- +2 F A+ B-
 Sat, Dec 6 181 @Furman L 69 - 79 42% -7  6% 4 - 6 D -8 D+ -3 C+ F+ B- D -6 F F A-
 Sat, Dec 20 326 Holy Cross W 81 - 53 89% +16  94% 5 - 6 B+ +14 A- +10 A- A+ F A +8 A+ D F
 Tue, Dec 23 20 @St. John's L 59 - 85 4% -10  30% 5 - 7 D+ -5 D+ -3 B+ F C- C- -3 D- C- A-
 Sun, Dec 28 237 @Colgate W 78 - 69 54% +2  61% 6 - 7 B- +8 C+ +3 A+ F C+ B+ +5 B- C+ B-
 Mon, Jan 5 255 Dartmouth L 68 - 76 78% -3  3% 6 - 8 0 - 1 F+ -16 D -5 F A+ C F -12 F F D
 Sat, Jan 10 197 @Columbia W 79 - 54 46% +13  99% 7 - 8 1 - 1 A+ +26 A+ +16 A+ C+ D+ A+ +14 A+ B B-
 Sat, Jan 17 250 Princeton W 87 - 80 OT 77% -7  13% 8 - 8 2 - 1 C -1 A- +10 B D- A+ F -11 B- F F
 Mon, Jan 19 172 Penn W 64 - 63 63% +1  55% 9 - 8 3 - 1 C- -3 D -5 C+ D- D- B- +2 C+ A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 24 148 Cornell L 79 - 86 59% +2  55% 9 - 9 3 - 2 D -10 C +1 D+ A- C+ F -11 C- D C-
 Fri, Jan 30 268 @Brown W 69 - 59 61% +5  80% 10 - 9 4 - 2 B- +7 B +7 A+ F F C+ +2 B+ F F+
 Sat, Jan 31 81 @Yale W 67 - 65 17% +3  68% 11 - 9 5 - 2 B+ +12 B +6 B+ F C+ B+ +7 B+ A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 255 @Dartmouth W 71 - 58 58% +6  95% 12 - 9 6 - 2 B +11 C +1 B F D+ A +11 A A+ F
 Fri, Feb 13 268 Brown W 56 - 53 80% +5  81% 13 - 9 7 - 2 D+ -6 F -12 D- C+ F B+ +7 A F+ B
 Sat, Feb 14 81 Yale L 75 - 76 OT 34% +4  86% 13 - 10 7 - 3 C+ +3 C+ +2 C+ D- B C+ +1 A+ F C
 Sat, Feb 21 148 @Cornell L 78 - 82 36%
 Fri, Feb 27 250 @Princeton W 67 - 65 56%
 Sat, Feb 28 172 @Penn L 68 - 70 41%
 Fri, Mar 6 197 Columbia W 72 - 67 67%
Totals 15 - 12 9 - 5 +0 C- -1 B+ B- C+ C +1 B A D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C C B B- 40% 34% 41% C+ B- D C- D D+ D- A D+ C C C C+ C+ 42% 18% 40% D+ C C C C C- B- C- B-
1.07 58% 39% 37% +2 0 1.07 26% 1.0 .26 19% .25 81% .20 1.08 57% 38% 33% -1 +1 1.01 31% 1.0 .31 16% .27 73% .18
Nov
9		 New Hampshire B- C+ A+ A+ A+ 53% 17% 30% B A+ F F F B- D+ A C F+ D A+ F F 43% 19% 38% C+ F A F C C+ A F B-
1.23 61% 56% 50% +12 +2 1.28 19% 0.6 .11 13% .29 83% .25 1.07 61% 20% 45% +4 +1 1.11 17% 1.4 .23 20% .18 90% .16
Nov
11		 Northeastern F C- F D F 36% 19% 45% D+ F D F F+ F A+ A+ A+ F+ C+ A+ F C- 41% 20% 39% C+ C D C- D+ F F A D-
0.90 60% 13% 32% -6 0 0.90 28% 0.8 .22 27% .49 83% .41 1.16 57% 10% 45% +1 0 1.04 30% 1.1 .33 12% .39 61% .24
Nov
15		 Army C+ A A- A A 35% 26% 40% D B+ D F F F A A A+ A+ D+ F A+ B+ 38% 13% 49% C+ B+ D B+ C+ A+ C A+ B
1.18 73% 45% 41% +11 -1 1.23 26% 0.9 .22 19% .43 82% .35 0.82 59% 50% 18% -10 +1 0.84 32% 0.8 .26 25% .25 58% .15
Nov
16		 Marist D- F F A+ F+ 49% 13% 38% A D D C D+ F A+ A A+ A+ A+ D C+ B+ 42% 19% 40% F B C A+ A A+ F+ A+ C-
0.89 37% 20% 40% -9 +2 0.87 25% 1.0 .25 24% .48 78% .37 0.86 40% 44% 32% -8 0 0.88 26% 0.7 .17 24% .31 67% .21
Nov
19		 Penn St. A A D A+ A 38% 13% 49% B- A A- A+ A+ D+ F+ A+ C- F F A- A D+ 51% 12% 37% F+ D F A+ D F+ F A- F+
1.25 72% 33% 43% +12 +1 1.28 38% 1.6 .58 20% .16 100% .16 1.32 76% 33% 28% +5 +2 1.16 45% 0.9 .41 11% .44 68% .30
Nov
22		 Boston University C- A+ F B- B+ 40% 18% 42% C+ B+ F A+ C- F F B+ F D F F F F 38% 16% 47% C- F A+ F C- A A+ A+ A+
1.16 80% 33% 38% +11 0 1.24 17% 1.8 .30 17% .17 78% .13 1.17 71% 71% 52% +23 +1 1.49 18% 1.7 .29 23% .16 50% .08
Nov
26		 Boston College D F A+ F C- 41% 33% 26% D D+ D- A C- C F A+ F D+ D B- F F 31% 15% 54% D F A+ A+ A+ F A+ F B
0.93 41% 56% 21% -6 -1 0.87 21% 1.1 .24 15% .11 83% .09 1.13 63% 38% 39% +6 0 1.13 21% 0.7 .15 11% .17 90% .16
Nov
29		 Bryant F F A+ B+ F+ 59% 10% 31% A- D- C F F F+ F A+ F B- A+ A+ C A 40% 8% 52% D A- D+ D- D F A+ F A
0.96 41% 60% 40% -5 +3 0.98 35% 0.5 .18 17% .04 100% .04 0.91 32% 0% 32% -15 +2 0.75 30% 1.1 .33 17% .15 86% .12
Dec
3		 Massachusetts D- D+ A+ F D 42% 27% 31% D D B- F D+ C- F A F B- D C F F 45% 27% 29% C+ F A A+ A+ B- D+ C D+
0.97 57% 60% 18% -2 -1 0.96 32% 0.8 .24 18% .25 80% .20 1.07 64% 38% 50% +9 0 1.20 24% 0.7 .17 21% .36 67% .24
Dec
6		 Furman D+ D+ B- A B 35% 38% 27% F C+ F+ D F+ B- D- F F D F F A+ F 41% 11% 48% D+ F B F F A- F F F
1.01 53% 43% 40% +2 -3 1.02 23% 0.9 .20 13% .19 55% .10 1.16 83% 100% 24% +10 +1 1.25 26% 1.5 .39 23% .38 80% .31
Dec
20		 Holy Cross A- B- A A+ B+ 62% 13% 26% A A- A- A+ A+ F B- A B+ A B A- A+ A+ 23% 23% 54% C A+ F+ C+ D F A+ D+ A
1.32 66% 50% 42% +9 +3 1.26 36% 1.8 .64 18% .30 80% .24 0.87 50% 33% 21% -13 -1 0.73 27% 0.9 .24 11% .17 78% .13
Dec
23		 St. John's D+ A+ D- F A- 35% 27% 38% D+ B+ F F F C- F+ A+ D C- B- F F D 57% 2% 42% F D- F A C- A- A- D- B
0.87 82% 31% 22% 0 -1 1.00 19% 0.3 .06 22% .21 82% .17 1.25 53% 100% 41% +3 +4 1.15 47% 1.0 .47 18% .32 78% .25
Dec
28		 Colgate C+ C- F A+ A+ 38% 20% 42% C A+ F A F C+ F A+ F B+ D- A+ A- B+ 48% 20% 31% F B- A F C+ B- A F B+
1.13 57% 27% 57% +12 0 1.25 13% 1.3 .17 15% .10 83% .09 1.00 65% 18% 29% -3 +1 0.98 19% 1.3 .25 17% .18 80% .14
Jan
5		 Dartmouth D F C+ F F 49% 9% 42% A- F B- A+ A+ C C- B- C F D+ F F F 35% 21% 44% C+ F D F F D F A+ F
1.06 46% 40% 23% -13 +2 0.81 33% 1.4 .45 13% .27 73% .20 1.19 60% 56% 42% +10 0 1.21 28% 1.4 .40 17% .55 59% .32
Jan
10		 Columbia A+ B- C+ A+ A+ 50% 11% 39% A A+ A F+ C+ D+ F A+ C- A+ A- B- A+ A+ 54% 20% 26% C- A+ D A B B- B F D+
1.31 61% 40% 56% +14 +2 1.35 38% 0.8 .31 15% .21 100% .21 0.90 48% 33% 17% -13 +1 0.78 39% 0.7 .28 23% .24 91% .22
Jan
17		 Princeton A- D B- A+ B 48% 13% 39% B B B F D- A+ A- A+ A+ F A F B B 37% 10% 53% D- B- F F F F D- D+ F+
1.29 54% 43% 43% +4 +2 1.13 33% 0.7 .23 7% .37 83% .30 1.18 44% 60% 31% -5 +1 0.94 41% 1.3 .51 12% .37 77% .28
Jan
19		 Penn D B F C- C 47% 10% 43% A- C+ D F+ D- D- F F F B- B+ F B- B- 40% 21% 38% D- C+ C+ A+ A+ C+ C F+ D+
1.03 67% 20% 32% +1 +2 1.08 26% 0.8 .19 19% .16 50% .08 1.01 47% 50% 33% -2 0 0.98 29% 0.5 .15 18% .33 76% .25
Jan
24		 Cornell C D F B- D 42% 8% 50% B D+ D+ A+ A- C+ C- A+ B- F B F F C- 47% 9% 45% D+ C- C+ F D C- F F F
1.21 55% 25% 38% 0 +2 1.06 27% 1.8 .47 14% .32 83% .27 1.31 55% 75% 43% +7 +2 1.21 30% 1.4 .41 17% .48 81% .39
Jan
30		 Brown B C+ A+ B+ A+ 44% 9% 47% A A+ F C+ F F A+ A+ A+ C+ C F+ A+ A- 44% 16% 40% D+ B+ C- F F F+ F A+ C
1.13 60% 100% 38% +9 +2 1.24 11% 1.0 .11 23% .62 93% .58 0.97 55% 43% 17% -11 +1 0.82 29% 1.5 .44 16% .33 53% .18
Jan
31		 Yale B B+ D+ A+ A 36% 26% 38% D+ B+ D- F F C+ A A+ A+ B+ A+ F+ F+ A- 48% 13% 40% F+ B+ A- A+ A+ F A+ D- A
1.16 67% 36% 44% +8 -1 1.17 23% 0.7 .15 14% .36 83% .30 1.12 43% 50% 42% -1 +2 1.04 27% 0.9 .24 10% .21 82% .17
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Dartmouth C B A+ C B 37% 17% 46% C- B F F F D+ B+ A+ A+ A A- A+ B A+ 44% 8% 48% F A A+ A+ A+ F A F B-
1.10 65% 50% 33% +4 0 1.11 18% 0.8 .14 14% .33 89% .29 0.90 48% 0% 32% -9 +2 0.88 16% 0.5 .08 14% .23 92% .22
Feb
13		 Brown F D+ F D+ D 37% 24% 39% D+ D- C+ C+ C+ F B F C- B+ C- F+ A+ A+ 47% 16% 38% D+ A D+ F F+ B D- A+ C-
0.91 53% 30% 31% -5 -1 0.90 31% 1.0 .31 24% .38 61% .23 0.86 57% 43% 6% -16 +1 0.73 30% 1.3 .39 23% .31 60% .19
Feb
14		 Yale C+ A+ B F B- 37% 28% 35% D C+ D- C- D- B F A+ F C+ A+ A D+ A+ 32% 25% 43% A- A+ C- F F C D+ F F+
1.14 76% 44% 25% +4 -1 1.07 23% 1.0 .23 12% .14 88% .12 1.16 41% 31% 39% -4 -1 0.92 34% 1.5 .51 15% .36 85% .31



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.0 5.0 4.1 10.1 1st
2nd 0.1 10.9 34.5 19.9 2.7 68.1 2nd
3rd 1.9 12.0 1.5 15.4 3rd
4th 3.6 2.1 5.7 4th
5th 0.7 0.7 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 6.4 24.9 37.0 24.9 6.8 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 60.6% 4.1    1.3 2.8
10-4 20.0% 5.0    0.7 4.0 0.3
9-5 2.7% 1.0    0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2
8-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 10.1% 10.1 2.1 7.1 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 6.8% 20.3% 20.3% 13.0 0.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.4
10-4 24.9% 17.7% 17.7% 13.7 0.1 1.6 2.4 0.4 20.5
9-5 37.0% 14.9% 14.9% 14.2 0.0 0.7 2.9 1.8 0.0 31.5
8-6 24.9% 10.7% 10.7% 14.7 0.0 0.7 1.8 0.1 22.3
7-7 6.4% 2.9% 2.9% 15.4 0.1 0.1 6.3
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 14.2% 14.2% 0.0% 14.0 85.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.4% 100.0% 13.0 15.3 67.5 17.0 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.9%
Lose Out 4.4%