Harvard
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#199
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#246
Pace64.2#315
Improvement-0.7#224

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#213
First Shot+1.1#144
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#339
Layup/Dunks-0.6#205
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#26
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#150
Freethrows-2.8#322
Improvement-1.8#309

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#197
First Shot-4.1#310
After Offensive Rebounds+3.2#17
Layups/Dunks-3.3#293
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#187
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#252
Freethrows+1.0#121
Improvement+1.1#104
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.2% 5.6% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.7 15.3
.500 or above 24.1% 28.5% 10.6%
.500 or above in Conference 50.2% 52.9% 42.0%
Conference Champion 4.7% 5.3% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 13.6% 12.2% 18.0%
First Four0.6% 0.5% 1.2%
First Round5.0% 5.4% 3.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Holy Cross (Home) - 75.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 63 - 11
Quad 48 - 512 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sun, Nov 9 334 New Hampshire W 86-75 85%     1 - 0 -2.7 +8.3 -11.0
  Tue, Nov 11 208 Northeastern L 60-77 64%     1 - 1 -23.2 -10.7 -13.3
  Sat, Nov 15 332 @Army W 75-52 68%     2 - 1 +15.6 +6.6 +11.3
  Sun, Nov 16 156 @Marist W 56-54 29%     3 - 1 +5.2 -3.8 +9.2
  Wed, Nov 19 103 @Penn St. L 80-84 18%     3 - 2 +3.2 +15.6 -12.8
  Sat, Nov 22 289 Boston University L 74-75 66%     3 - 3 -7.9 +0.9 -9.0
  Wed, Nov 26 148 @Boston College L 60-73 27%     3 - 4 -9.3 -3.3 -7.0
  Sat, Nov 29 298 Bryant W 56-53 77%     4 - 4 -7.4 -9.1 +2.3
  Wed, Dec 3 152 @Massachusetts L 71-78 28%     4 - 5 -3.5 -1.9 -1.3
  Sat, Dec 6 151 @Furman L 69-79 28%     4 - 6 -6.4 -1.3 -5.4
  Sat, Dec 20 290 Holy Cross W 72-65 76%    
  Tue, Dec 23 16 @St. John's L 62-85 2%    
  Sun, Dec 28 181 @Colgate L 68-72 34%    
  Mon, Jan 5 246 Dartmouth W 75-70 69%    
  Sat, Jan 10 137 @Columbia L 68-75 25%    
  Sat, Jan 17 261 Princeton W 71-65 71%    
  Mon, Jan 19 255 Penn W 76-70 70%    
  Sat, Jan 24 163 Cornell W 80-79 52%    
  Fri, Jan 30 218 @Brown L 64-66 42%    
  Sat, Jan 31 79 @Yale L 67-80 12%    
  Sat, Feb 7 246 @Dartmouth L 72-73 47%    
  Fri, Feb 13 218 Brown W 67-63 64%    
  Sat, Feb 14 79 Yale L 70-77 27%    
  Sat, Feb 21 163 @Cornell L 77-82 31%    
  Fri, Feb 27 261 @Princeton L 67-68 50%    
  Sat, Feb 28 255 @Penn L 73-74 49%    
  Sat, Mar 7 137 Columbia L 71-72 46%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.7 1st
2nd 0.2 2.6 5.0 3.9 1.2 0.2 13.2 2nd
3rd 0.4 4.3 7.7 3.8 0.6 16.9 3rd
4th 0.3 4.9 8.9 3.4 0.3 17.8 4th
5th 0.3 4.2 8.8 3.1 0.1 16.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.0 7.1 2.7 0.1 13.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.2 2.4 0.1 10.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 2.1 3.0 1.3 0.0 7.2 8th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.4 5.9 9.8 14.0 16.8 16.6 14.0 9.6 5.9 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
12-2 84.5% 0.9    0.7 0.2
11-3 58.6% 1.7    0.9 0.8 0.1
10-4 23.2% 1.4    0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0
9-5 4.7% 0.5    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 4.7% 4.7 2.1 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0
13-1 0.2% 40.7% 40.7% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-2 1.0% 28.1% 28.1% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
11-3 2.9% 17.6% 17.6% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 2.4
10-4 5.9% 17.6% 17.6% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 4.9
9-5 9.6% 12.9% 12.9% 14.8 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.1 8.3
8-6 14.0% 9.1% 9.1% 15.4 0.0 0.7 0.6 12.7
7-7 16.6% 4.2% 4.2% 15.8 0.1 0.6 15.9
6-8 16.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 16.8
5-9 14.0% 14.0
4-10 9.8% 9.8
3-11 5.9% 5.9
2-12 2.4% 2.4
1-13 0.8% 0.8
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.2% 5.2% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.5 1.1 2.2 1.3 94.8 0.0%