Harvard
Ivy League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.1#135
Expected Predictive Rating+1.6#153
Pace71.3#123
Improvement+1.0#86

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#158
First Shot+4.5#52
After Offensive Rebound-3.9#347
Layup/Dunks-1.4#223
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#297
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.9#8
Freethrows-0.7#231
Improvement+0.6#109

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#117
First Shot+0.4#158
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#97
Layups/Dunks+0.8#167
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#232
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#125
Freethrows-1.1#248
Improvement+0.4#135
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 24.9% 30.2% 20.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.4 13.9
.500 or above 87.8% 94.5% 82.5%
.500 or above in Conference 84.9% 88.3% 82.3%
Conference Champion 32.0% 37.9% 27.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 0.8% 1.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round24.9% 30.1% 20.7%
Second Round3.8% 5.2% 2.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 1.2% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rhode Island (Home) - 44.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 35 - 46 - 7
Quad 49 - 215 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 106   @ Iona L 87-90 OT 31%     0 - 1 +4.2 +2.0 +2.8
  Nov 17, 2021 297   @ Albany W 60-53 73%     1 - 1 +2.7 -6.1 +9.5
  Nov 22, 2021 306   @ Siena L 69-72 76%     1 - 2 -8.1 -8.3 +0.3
  Nov 24, 2021 113   Colgate W 89-84 OT 56%     2 - 2 +5.5 +0.9 +4.0
  Nov 27, 2021 149   Northeastern W 77-57 65%     3 - 2 +18.2 +6.7 +11.3
  Dec 01, 2021 73   Rhode Island L 69-71 44%    
  Dec 04, 2021 117   @ Massachusetts L 78-82 35%    
  Dec 19, 2021 342   Holy Cross W 81-63 96%    
  Dec 21, 2021 312   Howard W 84-70 90%    
  Dec 29, 2021 9   @ Kansas L 67-85 5%    
  Jan 02, 2022 150   Princeton W 74-70 65%    
  Jan 07, 2022 216   Brown W 72-64 75%    
  Jan 09, 2022 124   Yale W 73-71 59%    
  Jan 15, 2022 335   @ Columbia W 78-67 84%    
  Jan 17, 2022 232   @ Dartmouth W 67-65 59%    
  Jan 22, 2022 188   @ Cornell W 78-77 52%    
  Jan 28, 2022 192   Penn W 75-69 72%    
  Feb 04, 2022 216   @ Brown W 69-67 55%    
  Feb 05, 2022 124   @ Yale L 70-74 38%    
  Feb 12, 2022 192   @ Penn W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 18, 2022 335   Columbia W 81-64 93%    
  Feb 19, 2022 188   Cornell W 81-75 72%    
  Feb 26, 2022 150   @ Princeton L 71-73 44%    
  Mar 05, 2022 232   Dartmouth W 70-62 77%    
Projected Record 15 - 9 9 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.6 6.8 10.3 8.1 4.1 1.1 32.0 1st
2nd 0.1 2.0 8.4 7.9 2.7 0.4 21.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.5 7.2 5.9 1.1 0.0 15.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 5.8 4.9 0.5 0.0 12.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.8 3.8 0.5 8.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.6 2.2 2.6 0.4 5.9 6th
7th 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.2 0.3 3.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 8th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.0 4.1 7.7 11.6 14.5 16.4 15.8 13.0 8.5 4.1 1.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 1.1    1.1
13-1 100.0% 4.1    4.0 0.0
12-2 95.7% 8.1    7.0 1.1 0.0
11-3 79.1% 10.3    6.2 3.8 0.3
10-4 43.0% 6.8    2.1 3.4 1.2 0.1
9-5 9.5% 1.6    0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 32.0% 32.0 20.6 8.8 2.2 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 1.1% 100.0% 100.0% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1
13-1 4.1% 99.8% 99.8% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 1.0 0.1 0.0
12-2 8.5% 90.2% 90.2% 13.5 0.0 0.8 2.9 3.4 0.6 0.0 0.8
11-3 13.0% 62.2% 62.2% 14.0 0.3 1.8 3.8 2.1 0.1 4.9
10-4 15.8% 23.1% 23.1% 14.5 0.3 1.5 1.6 0.2 12.2
9-5 16.4% 1.9% 1.9% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 16.1
8-6 14.5% 14.5
7-7 11.6% 11.6
6-8 7.7% 7.7
5-9 4.1% 4.1
4-10 2.0% 2.0
3-11 1.0% 1.0
2-12 0.3% 0.3
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14
Total 100% 24.9% 24.9% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 2.3 7.2 9.8 4.6 0.4 75.1 0.0%