Hawaii
Big West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.1#125
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#121
Pace64.8#287
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#149
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#118
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.7% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.9% 29.7% 18.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 11.7 12.8
.500 or above 87.8% 97.4% 87.0%
.500 or above in Conference 85.4% 94.8% 84.6%
Conference Champion 22.9% 37.5% 21.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.2% 1.0%
First Four0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round18.9% 29.4% 18.0%
Second Round2.5% 5.8% 2.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 1.5% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon (Away) - 8.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 34 - 45 - 7
Quad 414 - 320 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2025 28   @ Oregon L 62-77 8%    
  Nov 10, 2025 332   East Texas A&M W 74-59 92%    
  Nov 13, 2025 365   Mississippi Valley W 88-59 99.7%   
  Nov 15, 2025 239   Manhattan W 75-66 81%    
  Nov 16, 2025 269   Utah Tech W 73-62 83%    
  Nov 21, 2025 75   Arizona St. L 69-71 42%    
  Nov 29, 2025 316   North Dakota W 78-64 89%    
  Dec 05, 2025 241   UC Davis W 71-62 80%    
  Dec 07, 2025 340   Cal St. Fullerton W 75-60 91%    
  Dec 14, 2025 166   UTEP W 71-65 69%    
  Jan 01, 2026 271   @ UC Riverside W 71-66 66%    
  Jan 03, 2026 142   @ UC San Diego L 66-68 44%    
  Jan 11, 2026 105   UC Irvine W 69-68 54%    
  Jan 15, 2026 272   @ Cal Poly W 79-74 66%    
  Jan 17, 2026 121   @ UC Santa Barbara L 66-69 39%    
  Jan 23, 2026 250   Cal St. Bakersfield W 73-63 80%    
  Jan 25, 2026 183   Cal St. Northridge W 77-70 71%    
  Jan 29, 2026 105   @ UC Irvine L 66-71 34%    
  Jan 31, 2026 264   @ Long Beach St. W 68-63 65%    
  Feb 08, 2026 142   UC San Diego W 69-65 64%    
  Feb 12, 2026 250   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 70-66 62%    
  Feb 14, 2026 183   @ Cal St. Northridge W 74-73 52%    
  Feb 20, 2026 272   Cal Poly W 82-71 81%    
  Feb 22, 2026 121   UC Santa Barbara W 69-66 58%    
  Feb 26, 2026 241   @ UC Davis W 68-65 61%    
  Feb 28, 2026 340   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 72-63 79%    
  Mar 06, 2026 271   UC Riverside W 74-63 81%    
  Mar 08, 2026 264   Long Beach St. W 71-60 81%    
Projected Record 19 - 9 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.9 2.8 5.3 5.9 4.5 2.5 0.8 22.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.9 6.1 4.2 1.7 0.2 19.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.9 5.1 4.7 2.2 0.4 0.0 16.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.1 4.8 3.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 12.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.0 3.7 1.9 0.4 0.0 9.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 7.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.0 0.8 0.1 5.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.3 0.5 0.1 3.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.4 2.5 3.7 5.4 7.4 8.8 10.1 10.9 11.4 11.2 9.9 7.6 4.7 2.5 0.8 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.8    0.8
19-1 100.0% 2.5    2.4 0.1
18-2 95.7% 4.5    4.1 0.5
17-3 77.8% 5.9    4.3 1.6 0.1
16-4 53.1% 5.3    3.0 1.9 0.3 0.0
15-5 25.2% 2.8    1.1 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-6 7.9% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 22.9% 22.9 15.8 5.7 1.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.8% 68.1% 64.5% 3.6% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 10.2%
19-1 2.5% 58.8% 57.5% 1.2% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.0 2.8%
18-2 4.7% 51.9% 51.7% 0.2% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.3 0.4 0.0 2.3 0.4%
17-3 7.6% 41.8% 41.8% 12.3 0.0 0.4 1.6 0.9 0.2 4.4
16-4 9.9% 35.0% 35.0% 12.7 0.0 0.1 1.4 1.4 0.5 0.0 6.4
15-5 11.2% 26.9% 26.9% 13.2 0.0 0.7 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 8.2
14-6 11.4% 18.4% 18.4% 13.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 9.3
13-7 10.9% 12.0% 12.0% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 9.6
12-8 10.1% 6.6% 6.6% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 9.4
11-9 8.8% 5.0% 5.0% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 8.4
10-10 7.4% 2.0% 2.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.2
9-11 5.4% 0.9% 0.9% 17.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.4
8-12 3.7% 0.7% 0.7% 19.0 0.0 0.0 3.7
7-13 2.5% 2.5
6-14 1.4% 1.4
5-15 0.9% 0.9
4-16 0.4% 0.4
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 18.9% 18.8% 0.1% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 2.2 6.0 5.5 3.2 1.2 0.3 81.1 0.1%