Hawaii
Big West
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#186
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#227
Pace67.8#225
Improvement+0.2#148

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#127
First Shot-1.0#202
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#52
Layup/Dunks-1.0#201
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#286
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#216
Freethrows+3.6#19
Improvement+1.6#38

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#263
First Shot-4.6#312
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#67
Layups/Dunks-4.5#311
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#280
Freethrows-2.0#290
Improvement-1.3#299
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.6% 9.4% 6.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.0 14.6
.500 or above 47.1% 69.1% 43.0%
.500 or above in Conference 60.6% 72.5% 58.3%
Conference Champion 5.6% 9.2% 4.9%
Last Place in Conference 4.0% 2.6% 4.2%
First Four0.7% 0.3% 0.8%
First Round6.3% 9.2% 5.7%
Second Round0.6% 0.8% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Santa Clara (Away) - 15.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 33 - 64 - 10
Quad 49 - 413 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2021 179   Northern Colorado L 78-81 60%     0 - 1 -6.7 -2.3 -4.3
  Nov 13, 2021 189   Pacific W 73-61 62%     1 - 1 +7.8 +0.2 +7.7
  Nov 25, 2021 254   Illinois-Chicago W 88-80 64%     2 - 1 +3.1 +16.2 -12.8
  Nov 26, 2021 157   South Alabama L 69-72 43%     2 - 2 -2.4 -1.2 -1.3
  Nov 30, 2021 79   @ Santa Clara L 71-82 16%    
  Dec 23, 2021 75   Vanderbilt L 67-75 23%    
  Dec 31, 2021 211   UC Davis W 76-72 64%    
  Jan 02, 2022 138   UC Riverside L 66-67 50%    
  Jan 06, 2022 208   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 70-72 42%    
  Jan 08, 2022 291   @ Long Beach St. W 80-77 61%    
  Jan 14, 2022 69   UC Irvine L 65-70 32%    
  Jan 16, 2022 193   UC San Diego W 73-70 61%    
  Jan 20, 2022 204   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 66-68 43%    
  Jan 22, 2022 314   @ Cal Poly W 70-65 65%    
  Jan 28, 2022 273   Cal St. Northridge W 72-64 75%    
  Jan 30, 2022 119   UC Santa Barbara L 69-70 46%    
  Feb 03, 2022 138   @ UC Riverside L 64-70 29%    
  Feb 05, 2022 211   @ UC Davis L 73-75 43%    
  Feb 11, 2022 291   Long Beach St. W 83-74 79%    
  Feb 13, 2022 208   Cal St. Fullerton W 73-69 63%    
  Feb 17, 2022 193   @ UC San Diego L 70-73 41%    
  Feb 19, 2022 69   @ UC Irvine L 62-73 16%    
  Feb 25, 2022 314   Cal Poly W 73-62 82%    
  Feb 27, 2022 204   Cal St. Bakersfield W 69-65 63%    
  Mar 04, 2022 119   @ UC Santa Barbara L 66-73 27%    
  Mar 05, 2022 273   @ Cal St. Northridge W 69-67 56%    
Projected Record 13 - 13 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 5.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.0 2.9 1.5 0.3 0.0 10.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 3.4 4.4 2.8 0.9 0.1 12.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 4.2 5.1 2.2 0.3 0.0 13.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 4.4 4.9 1.9 0.2 13.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.5 4.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 12.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.8 3.9 1.4 0.2 10.9 7th
8th 0.2 1.4 3.2 3.2 1.2 0.1 9.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.2 2.4 0.7 0.1 6.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.0 4.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.5 5.1 7.5 9.1 11.2 11.7 11.7 10.9 9.1 6.6 5.1 3.2 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
18-2 93.7% 0.6    0.5 0.1
17-3 79.9% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
16-4 51.9% 1.7    1.0 0.6 0.1
15-5 26.3% 1.3    0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0
14-6 7.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.6% 5.6 3.2 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 33.3% 33.3% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.6% 47.6% 47.6% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
17-3 1.4% 36.0% 36.0% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.9
16-4 3.2% 21.4% 21.4% 13.6 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 2.5
15-5 5.1% 16.1% 16.1% 13.9 0.3 0.4 0.2 4.3
14-6 6.6% 12.3% 12.3% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 5.8
13-7 9.1% 9.5% 9.5% 14.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 8.2
12-8 10.9% 8.1% 8.1% 15.2 0.1 0.5 0.3 10.1
11-9 11.7% 5.4% 5.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 11.1
10-10 11.7% 3.2% 3.2% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 11.4
9-11 11.2% 3.0% 3.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 10.9
8-12 9.1% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 9.0
7-13 7.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 7.4
6-14 5.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.1
5-15 3.5% 3.5
4-16 1.8% 1.8
3-17 0.8% 0.8
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.6 2.2 1.4 93.4 0.0%