IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Hawaii
Big West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+3.7	#107
Expected Predictive Rating	+2.0	#132

Pace	66.8	#244
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.3	#171

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.0	#66

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	25.4%	26.1%	14.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	12.5	12.5	13.4

.500 or above	93.7%	94.6%	81.0%
.500 or above in Conference	92.4%	93.0%	83.3%
Conference Champion	31.5%	32.7%	15.0%
Last Place in Conference	0.5%	0.4%	1.1%

First Four	0.2%	0.1%	0.6%
First Round	25.3%	26.1%	14.9%
Second Round	3.9%	4.1%	1.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.8%	0.8%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: East Texas A&M (Home) - 93.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	1 - 2	1 - 3
Quad 3	5 - 3	6 - 7
Quad 4	15 - 2	21 - 9

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2025	41	@ Oregon	L	59-60	15%	0 - 1			+13.9	-9.0	+23.0
Nov 10, 2025	334	East Texas A&M	W	74-58	93%
Nov 13, 2025	365	Mississippi Valley	W	87-57	99.9%
Nov 15, 2025	236	Manhattan	W	76-65	83%
Nov 16, 2025	260	Utah Tech	W	73-61	84%
Nov 21, 2025	74	Arizona St.	L	69-70	50%
Nov 29, 2025	315	North Dakota	W	78-63	91%
Dec 05, 2025	218	UC Davis	W	71-61	81%
Dec 07, 2025	342	Cal St. Fullerton	W	76-59	93%
Dec 14, 2025	162	UTEP	W	72-64	72%
Jan 01, 2026	280	@ UC Riverside	W	71-64	71%
Jan 03, 2026	143	@ UC San Diego	W	67-66	51%
Jan 11, 2026	108	UC Irvine	W	69-66	59%
Jan 15, 2026	273	@ Cal Poly	W	79-72	70%
Jan 17, 2026	123	@ UC Santa Barbara	L	67-68	44%
Jan 23, 2026	249	Cal St. Bakersfield	W	72-61	83%
Jan 25, 2026	225	Cal St. Northridge	W	77-67	81%
Jan 29, 2026	108	@ UC Irvine	L	66-69	39%
Jan 31, 2026	278	@ Long Beach St.	W	67-60	71%
Feb 08, 2026	143	UC San Diego	W	70-64	69%
Feb 12, 2026	249	@ Cal St. Bakersfield	W	69-64	67%
Feb 14, 2026	225	@ Cal St. Northridge	W	74-70	64%
Feb 20, 2026	273	Cal Poly	W	82-69	87%
Feb 22, 2026	123	UC Santa Barbara	W	70-65	64%
Feb 26, 2026	218	@ UC Davis	W	68-64	62%
Feb 28, 2026	342	@ Cal St. Fullerton	W	73-62	81%
Mar 06, 2026	280	UC Riverside	W	74-61	85%
Mar 08, 2026	278	Long Beach St.	W	70-57	85%
Projected Record						20 - 8	14 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big West Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.2	1.1	3.3	7.2	7.2	7.0	4.4	1.1		31.5	1st
2nd												0.0	0.5	2.4	5.6	7.9	4.8	2.1	0.3				23.7	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.5	2.8	6.0	5.3	1.7	0.5						16.8	3rd
4th											0.5	2.4	4.0	2.4	1.0	0.1							10.5	4th
5th										0.3	2.1	2.7	1.2	0.3									6.7	5th
6th									0.2	1.3	2.2	0.6	0.0										4.3	6th
7th								0.3	0.8	1.0	0.6	0.1											2.8	7th
8th							0.2	0.5	1.0	0.2	0.0												1.9	8th
9th						0.2	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0													1.1	9th
10th					0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1															0.4	10th
11th				0.1	0.1	0.2	0.0																0.4	11th

Total				0.1	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.3	2.1	2.9	5.5	6.3	8.5	11.2	13.0	13.1	12.5	9.4	7.3	4.4	1.1			Total

Big West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	1.1		1.1
19-1	100.0%	4.4		4.3	0.1
18-2	95.3%	7.0		6.0	1.0
17-3	77.2%	7.2		5.0	2.0	0.2
16-4	57.6%	7.2		4.4	2.5	0.3
15-5	25.6%	3.3		1.3	1.6	0.4	0.0
14-6	8.2%	1.1		0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1
13-7	1.4%	0.2			0.0	0.1
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	31.5%	31.5		22.4	7.7	1.3	0.1

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	1.1%		93.1%	89.7%	3.4%	8.0			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1					0.1		33.3%
19-1	4.4%		56.1%	56.1%		11.3					0.0					0.1	0.3	0.8	1.2	0.1				1.9
18-2	7.3%		56.9%	56.9%		11.8										0.0	0.1	1.1	2.5	0.5				3.2
17-3	9.4%		40.7%	40.7%		12.4											0.0	0.4	1.6	1.5	0.3			5.6
16-4	12.5%		38.2%	38.2%		12.7												0.0	1.9	2.3	0.5	0.1		7.7
15-5	13.1%		28.8%	28.8%		13.3													0.6	1.6	1.4	0.2		9.3
14-6	13.0%		20.4%	20.4%		13.5													0.3	0.9	1.2	0.2		10.4
13-7	11.2%		11.3%	11.3%		14.1													0.1	0.2	0.6	0.2	0.2	9.9
12-8	8.5%		9.8%	9.8%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	7.7
11-9	6.3%		4.8%	4.8%		15.1															0.1	0.1	0.1	6.0
10-10	5.5%		4.8%	4.8%		15.0															0.1	0.1	0.1	5.2
9-11	2.9%																							2.9
8-12	2.1%																							2.1
7-13	1.3%																							1.3
6-14	0.7%																							0.7
5-15	0.4%																							0.4
4-16	0.1%																							0.1
3-17	0.1%																							0.1
2-18
1-19
0-20

Total	100%		25.4%	25.3%	0.0%	12.5			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2		0.1	0.2	0.5	2.5	8.3	7.2	4.4	1.2	0.4	74.6		0.1%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.6%	100.0%	6.3		6.2	6.2	12.5	12.5	31.1		6.2	6.2	12.5	6.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.1%	50.0%	11.0											50.0