Idaho St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#252
Expected Predictive Rating-7.7#290
Pace61.9#340
Improvement-3.0#336

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#255
First Shot-6.6#340
After Offensive Rebound+3.5#31
Layup/Dunks-4.6#319
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#176
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#269
Freethrows+1.1#113
Improvement+1.6#67

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#230
First Shot-0.7#195
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#258
Layups/Dunks+2.3#100
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#92
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#277
Freethrows-1.5#274
Improvement-4.6#364
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.5% 6.2% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 22.5% 28.4% 12.1%
.500 or above in Conference 46.4% 51.2% 38.1%
Conference Champion 5.2% 6.4% 3.1%
Last Place in Conference 12.2% 10.4% 15.3%
First Four2.0% 1.9% 2.2%
First Round4.7% 5.5% 3.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oral Roberts (Home) - 63.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 62 - 9
Quad 49 - 711 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 51   @ Arizona St. L 48-55 6%     0 - 1 +5.8 -15.8 +21.3
  Nov 07, 2024 106   @ USC L 69-75 13%     0 - 2 +1.1 +3.0 -2.2
  Nov 16, 2024 312   @ San Diego W 78-66 51%     1 - 2 +6.9 +0.1 +5.8
  Nov 18, 2024 307   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 61-62 48%     1 - 3 -5.5 -4.3 -1.3
  Nov 20, 2024 18   @ UCLA L 70-84 3%     1 - 4 +3.6 +17.1 -15.1
  Dec 04, 2024 224   @ South Dakota L 80-94 33%     1 - 5 -14.5 +5.5 -20.6
  Dec 07, 2024 261   Oral Roberts W 72-68 64%    
  Dec 18, 2024 184   Utah Valley L 67-68 47%    
  Jan 02, 2025 301   @ Northern Arizona L 67-68 48%    
  Jan 04, 2025 180   @ Northern Colorado L 68-75 26%    
  Jan 11, 2025 210   Weber St. W 67-66 51%    
  Jan 16, 2025 122   Montana St. L 65-69 35%    
  Jan 18, 2025 190   Montana L 68-69 47%    
  Jan 23, 2025 320   @ Sacramento St. W 63-62 54%    
  Jan 25, 2025 256   @ Portland St. L 70-73 41%    
  Jan 30, 2025 239   Eastern Washington W 73-71 58%    
  Feb 01, 2025 265   Idaho W 70-66 64%    
  Feb 03, 2025 180   Northern Colorado L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 08, 2025 210   @ Weber St. L 63-69 31%    
  Feb 13, 2025 190   @ Montana L 65-72 28%    
  Feb 15, 2025 122   @ Montana St. L 62-72 18%    
  Feb 20, 2025 256   Portland St. W 73-70 62%    
  Feb 22, 2025 320   Sacramento St. W 66-59 73%    
  Feb 27, 2025 265   @ Idaho L 67-69 43%    
  Mar 01, 2025 239   @ Eastern Washington L 70-74 37%    
  Mar 03, 2025 301   Northern Arizona W 70-65 68%    
Projected Record 10 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.1 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 8.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.4 2.1 0.5 0.0 9.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.1 2.4 0.3 0.0 10.9 4th
5th 0.3 2.9 5.8 2.7 0.3 0.0 12.0 5th
6th 0.2 2.8 6.2 3.2 0.4 0.0 12.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.9 3.3 0.4 0.0 12.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 2.6 5.0 3.2 0.4 0.0 11.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.3 3.9 2.5 0.4 0.0 9.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.2 2.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 7.4 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.0 4.9 7.9 10.3 12.5 13.2 12.5 11.0 9.0 6.2 3.9 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 98.9% 0.4    0.3 0.0
15-3 89.5% 1.0    0.8 0.2 0.0
14-4 65.9% 1.5    0.9 0.5 0.1
13-5 33.7% 1.3    0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 12.2% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.2% 5.2 2.9 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 40.3% 40.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 38.0% 38.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 1.1% 25.2% 25.2% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8
14-4 2.2% 22.1% 22.1% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.8
13-5 3.9% 17.8% 17.8% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 3.2
12-6 6.2% 12.2% 12.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 5.5
11-7 9.0% 10.1% 10.1% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.6 8.1
10-8 11.0% 7.6% 7.6% 15.9 0.1 0.7 10.1
9-9 12.5% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.0 0.6 11.8
8-10 13.2% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.3 12.9
7-11 12.5% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 12.3
6-12 10.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.3
5-13 7.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.9
4-14 4.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.8
3-15 3.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 2.9
2-16 1.3% 1.3
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.2 94.5 0.0%