Idaho St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#288
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#121
Pace65.3#273
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#304
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#268
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.0% 6.9% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 14.5 15.1
.500 or above 17.5% 34.5% 12.9%
.500 or above in Conference 30.3% 44.3% 26.5%
Conference Champion 3.6% 6.8% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 26.0% 16.2% 28.6%
First Four1.2% 1.5% 1.1%
First Round3.7% 6.7% 2.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego (Away) - 21.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 82 - 12
Quad 48 - 710 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2025 180   @ San Diego L 69-77 21%    
  Nov 09, 2025 36   @ San Diego St. L 54-77 2%    
  Nov 15, 2025 127   @ Seattle L 60-72 14%    
  Nov 18, 2025 97   @ Santa Clara L 63-78 9%    
  Nov 26, 2025 200   Sam Houston St. L 67-72 34%    
  Nov 28, 2025 183   Cal St. Northridge L 71-76 32%    
  Dec 03, 2025 298   @ UMKC L 62-65 41%    
  Dec 06, 2025 327   Denver W 74-68 68%    
  Dec 10, 2025 118   @ Utah Valley L 62-75 14%    
  Dec 21, 2025 241   UC Davis W 67-66 52%    
  Jan 01, 2026 274   Sacramento St. W 67-65 56%    
  Jan 03, 2026 199   Portland St. L 67-69 45%    
  Jan 08, 2026 184   @ Northern Colorado L 67-75 24%    
  Jan 10, 2026 263   @ Northern Arizona L 67-71 35%    
  Jan 14, 2026 206   @ Idaho L 67-74 27%    
  Jan 17, 2026 207   Eastern Washington L 69-70 45%    
  Jan 22, 2026 210   @ Montana St. L 64-71 28%    
  Jan 24, 2026 192   @ Montana L 65-73 26%    
  Jan 31, 2026 283   @ Weber St. L 65-68 40%    
  Feb 02, 2026 199   @ Portland St. L 64-72 27%    
  Feb 05, 2026 263   Northern Arizona W 70-68 55%    
  Feb 07, 2026 184   Northern Colorado L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 12, 2026 207   @ Eastern Washington L 66-73 27%    
  Feb 14, 2026 206   @ Idaho L 67-74 27%    
  Feb 19, 2026 192   Montana L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 21, 2026 210   Montana St. L 67-68 45%    
  Feb 28, 2026 283   Weber St. W 68-65 58%    
  Mar 02, 2026 274   @ Sacramento St. L 64-68 37%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 3.6 1st
2nd 0.2 1.2 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.3 1.7 2.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.5 1.5 0.2 7.4 4th
5th 0.2 2.2 4.0 1.7 0.2 0.0 8.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.9 2.2 0.2 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.6 2.6 0.3 11.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.5 5.5 3.0 0.4 13.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.9 5.3 2.6 0.4 0.0 16.0 9th
10th 0.8 2.6 4.2 5.2 4.0 1.6 0.3 18.5 10th
Total 0.8 2.6 4.6 7.6 9.9 10.8 11.4 11.7 10.4 8.8 7.2 5.5 3.7 2.5 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 98.5% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 87.1% 0.7    0.6 0.1
14-4 63.2% 0.9    0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 42.1% 1.1    0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-6 11.9% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.6% 3.6 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 43.3% 43.3% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.3% 42.4% 42.4% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.8% 31.0% 31.0% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
14-4 1.4% 25.0% 25.0% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.1
13-5 2.5% 19.6% 19.6% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 2.0
12-6 3.7% 15.2% 15.2% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 3.1
11-7 5.5% 9.4% 9.4% 16.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 5.0
10-8 7.2% 7.0% 7.0% 17.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 6.7
9-9 8.8% 5.2% 5.2% 17.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 8.3
8-10 10.4% 2.9% 2.9% 17.2 0.0 0.3 10.1
7-11 11.7% 1.3% 1.3% 16.5 0.0 0.2 11.5
6-12 11.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.3
5-13 10.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.7
4-14 9.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.9
3-15 7.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.6
2-16 4.6% 4.6
1-17 2.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.6
0-18 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.3 1.6 96.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%