Idaho St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -5.7 265
Results Rating -5.9 253
Consistency 0.16 258
Pace 64.4 289
Improvement -7.2 358

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 176 C C+ C- C B-
Defense D 316 D C D D D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 184 C- 55% 256 -1.1 224
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 273 C 39% 156 -1.9 277
Three Pointers 46% 77 C+ 35% 137 +3.2 74
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.7 91 C -0.4 185
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 161
Second Chance C+ 32.5% 107 C- 1.01 224 C+ 0.33 142
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.6% 295
Other Turnovers B- 6.7% 109
Turnovers C- 17.3% 224
Freethrows C 0.31 169 C+ 73% 159 C 0.23 158
Total Offense C -0.4 176

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D 40% 300 D+ 12.8% 296
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 172 C+ 4.4% 141
Three Pointers D 78% 307 B+ 0.2% 28
Total C- 52% 252 C 5.7% 205


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 82 D+ 62% 285 +4.0 312
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 228 F 47% 363 +1.1 282
Three Pointers 38% 257 C 34% 211 -1.0 139
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 259 D +3.5 317
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 321
Second Chance C+ 29.1% 139 D+ 1.08 265 C 0.31 199
Turnovers from Steals D- 7.0% 336
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 169
Turnovers D 14.3% 323
Freethrows D+ 0.33 271 F 77% 356 D 0.26 311
Total Defense D -5.2 316

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 143 C+ 11.9% 130
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 169 C+ 5.7% 111
Three Pointers B 79% 62 B+ 1.9% 34
Total B- 51% 92 B- 6.9% 74

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.3 347 16.7 59
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 338 0.19 270
Consistency 0.11 70 0.17 360
Improvement -4.1 342 -3.1 320

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 266 265 265
Results Rating Rank 254 253 252
Conference Record 5 - 13 5 - 13 5 - 13
Conference Finish 9 9 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 34 - 104 - 15
Quad 46 - 510 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 226 @San Diego W 71 - 68 32% +7  78% 1 - 0 C+ +2 C +2 D+ C B C+ +1 C+ C+ D
 Sun, Nov 9 48 @San Diego St. L 57 - 73 4% -11  0% 1 - 1 C -2 C- -1 A- D+ F C- -3 F A+ B+
 Sat, Nov 15 120 @Seattle L 74 - 83 14% -9  1% 1 - 2 C- -3 A+ +17 B+ A+ C- F -21 F F B-
 Tue, Nov 18 45 @Santa Clara L 55 - 64 3% -5  2% 1 - 3 B- +7 F -11 C- F F A+ +17 A+ B+ D-
 Wed, Nov 26 112 Sam Houston St. L 81 - 84 19% -1  29% 1 - 4 C +0 B- +4 A F F C- -3 C F B-
 Fri, Nov 28 173 Cal St. Northridge W 82 - 50 32% +18  82% 2 - 4 A+ +31 C +1 B- A D- A+ +28 A+ B+ B
 Wed, Dec 3 363 @UMKC W 68 - 59 83% +0  26% 3 - 4 D+ -7 C- -1 D- B D- D+ -4 D- C B+
 Sat, Dec 6 254 Denver W 93 - 79 60% +6  81% 4 - 4 B- +6 A- +11 A- B A D+ -5 C F C+
 Wed, Dec 10 98 @Utah Valley L 69 - 73 10% +1  40% 4 - 5 C+ +4 C- -0 B- F B- B +5 C+ B+ A
 Sun, Dec 21 176 UC Davis L 83 - 93 44% -8  2% 4 - 6 D- -14 A +12 A+ C+ B F -27 F F+ F
 Thu, Jan 1 275 Sacramento St. W 97 - 84 65% +10  93% 5 - 6 1 - 0 C+ +3 C+ +3 B+ D A C -1 B- F C
 Sat, Jan 3 158 Portland St. L 87 - 93 OT 39% +5  75% 5 - 7 1 - 1 D -9 A- +10 A+ D+ A F -18 F A+ F
 Thu, Jan 8 156 @Northern Colorado L 72 - 85 20% -11  1% 5 - 8 1 - 2 D -10 C+ +3 C- C F+ F -13 F B F
 Sat, Jan 10 317 @Northern Arizona W 81 - 79 54% +2  60% 6 - 8 2 - 2 C- -5 B +7 A- B+ F F -12 B- F C
 Thu, Jan 15 159 Idaho W 76 - 68 39% -2  15% 7 - 8 3 - 2 B- +5 C+ +4 A F B- B- +2 A F D
 Sat, Jan 17 178 Eastern Washington L 66 - 84 44% -15  0% 7 - 9 3 - 3 F -22 F -12 F B- A F -11 F A+ C-
 Thu, Jan 22 140 @Montana St. L 62 - 74 18% -5  4% 7 - 10 3 - 4 D+ -8 D+ -4 D+ B+ B- D -5 C+ F F
 Sat, Jan 24 199 @Montana L 60 - 69 26% -8  1% 7 - 11 3 - 5 D+ -8 F -11 F B- F B- +3 C A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 31 210 @Weber St. L 79 - 81 28% +4  86% 7 - 12 3 - 6 C- -2 B- +4 A F C- D -6 C- F+ C
 Mon, Feb 2 158 @Portland St. L 65 - 88 20% -13  4% 7 - 13 3 - 7 F -20 B- +4 C- A+ F F -27 F F F
 Thu, Feb 5 317 Northern Arizona L 73 - 79 75% -4  15% 7 - 14 3 - 8 F -19 C+ +2 B- B- A F -22 F A F
 Sat, Feb 7 156 Northern Colorado L 61 - 69 38% -3  24% 7 - 15 3 - 9 D -11 F -12 F B- B- C+ +1 C F B+
 Thu, Feb 12 178 @Eastern Washington L 75 - 88 24% -7  24% 7 - 16 3 - 10 D -11 C+ +3 D A- F+ F -15 F B F
 Sat, Feb 14 159 @Idaho L 69 - 99 20% -25  0% 7 - 17 3 - 11 F -27 D- -7 F B C+ F -19 F F C+
 Thu, Feb 19 199 Montana W 73 - 69 47% -2  30% 8 - 17 4 - 11 C -1 C- -1 B+ F D- C+ +0 D+ A- C+
 Sat, Feb 21 140 Montana St. W 91 - 76 36% +14  87% 9 - 17 5 - 11 B+ +13 A- +11 A+ A+ D C+ +1 C A F
 Sat, Feb 28 210 Weber St. L 73 - 83 50% -8  14% 9 - 18 5 - 12 F+ -16 D -6 F C- A+ F -10 F+ D- D-
 Mon, Mar 2 275 @Sacramento St. L 65 - 83 42% -13  7% 9 - 19 5 - 13 F -22 F -13 F F C- F+ -9 F A+ D
 Sat, Mar 7 317 Northern Arizona W 73 - 65 65% +13  100% 10 - 19 C- -2 D -6 F A+ C- B +4 C+ A D-
 Sun, Mar 8 158 Portland St. L 78 - 85 28% -4  4% 10 - 20 D+ -7 C+ +3 C A B F+ -10 D+ A F
Totals 10 - 20 5 - 13 -6 C +0 D C B- D -5 C+ C+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C- C C+ C 38% 29% 46% B- C C+ C- C+ C- C C+ C D D+ F C D 42% 19% 38% D+ D C+ D+ C D D+ F D
1.08 55% 39% 35% 0 +1 1.02 32% 1.0 .33 17% .31 73% .23 1.16 62% 47% 34% +3 0 1.10 29% 1.1 .31 14% .33 77% .24
Nov
7		 San Diego C F A B+ D 46% 9% 46% A- D+ B+ F C B C+ F D+ C+ A F F B- 49% 16% 35% F C+ F+ A+ C+ D D+ B- C-
1.12 48% 50% 38% -1 +2 1.04 41% 0.8 .34 16% .36 63% .22 1.07 46% 50% 41% 0 +1 1.04 34% 0.8 .26 16% .26 71% .19
Nov
9		 San Diego St. C- A F C B+ 40% 12% 49% A- A- B+ F D+ F C+ C- C+ C- F B D F 46% 20% 35% F F A A+ A+ B+ A C A
0.92 65% 20% 33% 0 +1 1.05 35% 0.7 .23 31% .33 71% .23 1.18 90% 33% 38% +16 +1 1.35 24% 0.6 .14 19% .24 75% .18
Nov
15		 Seattle A+ D+ F A+ B 49% 9% 42% A B+ A+ B- A+ C- B- B B F D F F F 43% 14% 43% D F D F F B- B F C+
1.19 50% 25% 42% 0 +2 1.07 48% 1.0 .48 21% .32 75% .24 1.33 63% 83% 53% +20 +1 1.45 29% 1.5 .43 19% .26 77% .20
Nov
18		 Santa Clara F A+ F F+ C- 30% 15% 55% D+ C- F+ F F F B C B A+ A+ F A+ A+ 47% 6% 47% F A+ D- A+ B+ D- F B F
0.86 75% 17% 27% -4 0 0.95 23% 0.7 .16 25% .37 72% .27 1.00 39% 67% 17% -19 +2 0.69 43% 0.8 .36 12% .36 70% .25
Nov
26		 Sam Houston St. B- A+ A+ C A 34% 11% 55% B A B- F F F A+ A A+ C- B+ F C C 38% 19% 43% C+ C F D+ F B- F F F
1.12 77% 50% 33% +7 +1 1.18 32% 0.6 .18 23% .74 78% .58 1.16 50% 56% 35% +1 0 1.04 52% 1.1 .55 18% .47 79% .37
Nov
28		 Cal St. Northridge C F A+ C B 25% 22% 53% D B- D+ A+ A D- C+ B B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 21% 26% 53% A+ A+ B- A- B+ B C- F D-
1.09 46% 73% 33% +4 -1 1.08 25% 1.9 .46 19% .31 79% .24 0.66 25% 13% 20% -25 -2 0.49 30% 0.9 .26 20% .31 79% .25
Dec
3		 UMKC C- A+ F F F+ 37% 11% 52% C+ D- A- D+ B D- D+ B+ C D+ C F A+ D- 43% 26% 31% D+ D- D+ B C B+ F F F
1.12 76% 20% 25% -2 +1 1.00 45% 1.0 .45 20% .25 75% .18 0.97 56% 55% 23% -2 0 0.98 29% 0.8 .23 21% .34 75% .25
Dec
6		 Denver A- F A+ A+ A- 38% 8% 55% B A- B C+ B A D+ A C D+ C- F A C+ 40% 23% 36% F+ C D F F C+ F B- F
1.38 45% 50% 52% +11 +2 1.26 39% 1.2 .45 9% .29 78% .23 1.18 58% 55% 29% +1 0 1.04 33% 1.4 .47 15% .47 74% .35
Dec
10		 Utah Valley C- F A+ A- C+ 45% 10% 45% B+ B- D- F F B- D C- D B F D- A+ C 44% 16% 40% B- C+ D- A+ B+ A D+ F F
1.01 43% 60% 39% -1 +2 1.04 24% 0.8 .18 19% .31 71% .22 1.06 75% 43% 22% +1 +1 1.07 41% 0.8 .31 25% .33 82% .27
Dec
21		 UC Davis A C A+ A+ A+ 35% 8% 58% B- A+ B D+ C+ B A+ B- A+ F F F A+ F 45% 25% 29% C- F C F F+ F D F F
1.26 57% 67% 48% +14 +1 1.33 37% 0.9 .33 17% .60 76% .46 1.41 91% 54% 27% +16 0 1.33 26% 1.3 .35 9% .38 91% .35
Jan
1		 Sacramento St. C+ F C+ A+ A- 37% 12% 51% C- B+ F+ B D A A- C- B C A+ F B+ B- 37% 31% 31% B- B- C F F C F B F
1.20 48% 43% 48% +8 +1 1.19 26% 1.2 .32 12% .38 70% .27 1.04 35% 53% 29% -6 -1 0.87 26% 1.5 .38 15% .54 73% .39
Jan
3		 Portland St. A- B- B- A+ A+ 35% 10% 56% B A+ B F D+ A A+ F B+ F F F C- F 45% 17% 38% D+ F A A+ A+ F F F F
1.18 61% 40% 41% +7 +1 1.19 33% 0.7 .24 14% .47 67% .31 1.26 75% 67% 35% +13 +1 1.30 22% 0.5 .11 11% .40 85% .33
Jan
8		 Northern Colorado C+ B D+ F D+ 53% 17% 30% B- C- B+ F C F+ A D+ A- F F F F F 27% 10% 63% C- F B B- B F D+ C+ C-
1.11 64% 38% 14% -6 +2 0.94 33% 0.9 .31 15% .42 74% .31 1.31 71% 60% 42% +14 +1 1.31 23% 1.0 .23 12% .26 73% .19
Jan
10		 Northern Arizona B A A+ C A 41% 20% 39% D+ A- A+ D- B+ F A+ A+ A+ F C+ B A+ B+ 60% 14% 26% F B- F F F C F F F
1.26 72% 67% 35% +12 0 1.27 48% 1.0 .48 22% .42 81% .34 1.23 56% 33% 27% -5 +2 0.98 38% 1.6 .62 17% .49 77% .38
Jan
15		 Idaho C+ F A+ A+ A 39% 25% 36% C+ A C- F F B- A A- A+ B- D- F A+ A+ 38% 13% 49% D+ A A- F F D F A F
1.14 41% 64% 50% +9 -1 1.18 23% 0.6 .13 13% .43 80% .35 1.02 65% 50% 14% -11 +1 0.82 23% 2.0 .46 13% .54 65% .35
Jan
17		 Eastern Washington F F A+ F F 41% 13% 46% C+ F C+ B B- A B- A+ A F B+ F F F 38% 33% 29% A F A A+ A+ C- F F F
0.98 42% 67% 19% -13 +1 0.78 33% 1.3 .42 12% .35 90% .32 1.24 50% 50% 67% +15 -2 1.29 24% 0.3 .08 18% .61 82% .50
Jan
22		 Montana St. D+ C- D- F D- 44% 7% 49% A- D+ C+ A+ B+ B- A F C+ D A D F C+ 35% 22% 43% D C+ F D F F A- B- A-
0.99 55% 33% 27% -7 +2 0.93 31% 1.3 .41 14% .34 61% .21 1.18 44% 45% 41% +1 0 1.04 34% 1.2 .40 10% .18 70% .12
Jan
24		 Montana F F F D+ F 31% 21% 48% C- F D+ A+ B- F C- D- D B- D+ D+ B C+ 46% 13% 41% F+ C B+ A+ A+ F+ A+ F A+
0.89 40% 30% 30% -10 -1 0.81 28% 1.3 .35 19% .28 67% .18 1.03 64% 43% 32% +2 +2 1.09 16% 0.4 .06 16% .16 89% .14
Jan
31		 Weber St. B- C A+ A+ A 47% 12% 41% B+ A F F F C- D- A D+ D A C F D+ 40% 22% 38% B+ C- D- D- F+ C D+ F D-
1.17 63% 67% 43% +11 +2 1.27 19% 0.4 .08 16% .27 80% .21 1.20 45% 36% 47% +2 0 1.06 36% 1.1 .39 16% .36 80% .28
Feb
2		 Portland St. B- C F D+ D 51% 14% 35% A- C- A+ C+ A+ F A+ C A+ F B- F F F 54% 20% 26% D F C- F F F D+ F D-
1.05 58% 0% 31% -7 +2 0.92 47% 1.1 .50 24% .58 74% .43 1.42 52% 60% 54% +9 +1 1.22 31% 1.3 .41 6% .33 79% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Northern Arizona C+ A- D D+ C+ 52% 7% 41% A- B- F A+ B- A C+ B B- F F F F F 38% 21% 40% C- F A+ F A F C- F+ D+
1.23 70% 33% 33% +5 +3 1.18 24% 1.8 .43 12% .31 75% .23 1.33 72% 60% 47% +18 0 1.38 9% 1.5 .14 8% .28 73% .20
Feb
7		 Northern Colorado F F F C F 44% 19% 37% C F D+ A+ B- B- D- F F C+ D D+ C- C- 41% 24% 35% B C B F F B+ A F B+
0.94 39% 20% 32% -13 +1 0.77 24% 1.4 .34 11% .28 69% .19 1.07 65% 42% 35% +4 0 1.10 23% 1.7 .38 20% .15 88% .14
Feb
12		 Eastern Washington C+ A- F F D 39% 15% 46% C D A+ D A- F+ A+ B+ A+ F F D C+ F 45% 18% 37% D F A+ F B F F F F
1.14 69% 33% 26% -2 +1 1.00 45% 1.1 .48 20% .57 80% .45 1.34 77% 44% 33% +9 +1 1.22 22% 1.4 .30 9% .43 92% .40
Feb
14		 Idaho D- F C- F F 30% 23% 46% C F C A B C+ D- A+ C F F F F F 44% 9% 46% F F F+ F F C+ C B+ C+
0.95 35% 38% 27% -12 -1 0.77 26% 1.3 .33 14% .29 89% .26 1.36 71% 60% 48% +17 +2 1.41 34% 1.3 .45 17% .30 67% .20
Feb
19		 Montana C- D- A+ A B+ 49% 16% 35% A- B+ C F F D- C+ A+ B C+ A- D+ F D- 28% 28% 44% A D+ B A+ A- C+ F B F
1.08 52% 63% 39% +3 +1 1.12 29% 0.6 .18 18% .30 82% .25 1.02 50% 42% 47% +8 -2 1.14 18% 0.8 .14 21% .41 73% .30
Feb
21		 Montana St. A- A+ F B A+ 49% 9% 42% A- A+ B A+ A+ D B- A+ A- C+ C+ C+ D- C+ 37% 27% 37% C- C A+ B- A F F D- F
1.26 81% 20% 36% +11 +2 1.28 35% 1.7 .60 18% .29 88% .25 1.05 56% 38% 39% +2 -1 1.04 18% 1.0 .18 11% .42 78% .33
Feb
28		 Weber St. D F C- D+ F 47% 19% 33% C+ F B F C- A+ D- D+ D- F C+ F F F+ 53% 14% 33% D- F+ C+ F D- D- C F+ D+
1.07 44% 36% 32% -8 +1 0.88 33% 0.9 .29 9% .27 71% .19 1.22 56% 57% 41% +5 +2 1.16 30% 1.2 .37 13% .32 79% .25
Mar
2		 Sacramento St. F C- A F F 37% 8% 56% C+ F F+ D- F C- B C- B F+ F C- F F 46% 21% 33% F+ F A+ A+ A+ D D C- D
0.93 58% 50% 21% -10 +2 0.85 26% 1.0 .26 17% .36 71% .26 1.19 75% 36% 41% +11 +1 1.25 15% 0.8 .12 13% .38 78% .30
Mar
7		 Northern Arizona D D- F B F 43% 27% 30% D- F A+ C+ A+ C- A+ F B+ B D- A+ A+ B+ 56% 8% 36% F C+ A+ C+ A D- D- D- F+
1.10 53% 17% 38% -6 0 0.89 48% 1.2 .55 17% .49 52% .25 0.98 64% 25% 22% -4 +3 1.00 14% 1.0 .14 14% .31 72% .23
Mar
8		 Portland St. C+ C- C D+ C- 39% 16% 45% B- C D+ A+ A B A+ F+ B+ F+ F+ A+ F+ D 49% 23% 28% C D+ A+ B+ A F F B- F
1.06 55% 38% 30% -4 +1 0.96 26% 1.7 .43 16% .45 68% .31 1.16 65% 18% 38% +1 0 1.04 20% 0.9 .17 5% .69 67% .46



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%