IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Indiana St.
Missouri Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.3	#216
Expected Predictive Rating	-11.2	#338

Pace	78.9	#13
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.3	#149

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.6	#306

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.4%	3.5%	1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.7	13.5	14.1

.500 or above	24.3%	35.9%	15.7%
.500 or above in Conference	27.1%	34.6%	21.6%
Conference Champion	2.0%	2.9%	1.4%
Last Place in Conference	20.4%	15.0%	24.3%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.3%
First Round	2.3%	3.4%	1.4%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: SIU Edwardsville (Away) - 42.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 6
Quad 3	4 - 8	5 - 15
Quad 4	7 - 4	12 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	173	@ Charlotte	L	76-92	31%	0 - 1			-14.2	+3.2	-17.6
Nov 10, 2025	236	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	74-76	42%
Nov 14, 2025	3	@ Duke	L	64-91	1%
Nov 19, 2025	185	Louisiana Tech	W	74-73	56%
Nov 22, 2025	221	Ball St.	W	80-77	62%
Nov 26, 2025	185	@ Louisiana Tech	L	71-76	34%
Nov 28, 2025	342	Alcorn St.	W	80-73	73%
Dec 07, 2025	309	Southern Indiana	W	82-75	73%
Dec 14, 2025	214	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	79-82	39%
Dec 18, 2025	109	Bradley	L	74-78	38%
Dec 21, 2025	111	@ Illinois St.	L	74-83	21%
Dec 29, 2025	108	Belmont	L	81-85	38%
Jan 01, 2026	106	@ Northern Iowa	L	70-80	20%
Jan 04, 2026	136	@ Drake	L	68-75	27%
Jan 10, 2026	239	Evansville	W	78-74	63%
Jan 14, 2026	111	Illinois St.	L	77-80	39%
Jan 17, 2026	122	@ Murray St.	L	76-84	24%
Jan 21, 2026	109	@ Bradley	L	71-81	21%
Jan 24, 2026	136	Drake	L	71-72	46%
Jan 27, 2026	139	@ Illinois-Chicago	L	76-83	28%
Jan 31, 2026	285	Valparaiso	W	81-75	70%
Feb 03, 2026	239	@ Evansville	L	75-77	43%
Feb 09, 2026	140	Southern Illinois	L	78-79	47%
Feb 12, 2026	122	Murray St.	L	79-81	42%
Feb 15, 2026	285	@ Valparaiso	W	79-78	50%
Feb 18, 2026	106	Northern Iowa	L	73-77	37%
Feb 21, 2026	108	@ Belmont	L	78-88	21%
Feb 25, 2026	140	@ Southern Illinois	L	75-82	28%
Mar 01, 2026	139	Illinois-Chicago	L	79-80	47%
Projected Record						11 - 18	7 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Missouri Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0		2.0	1st
2nd												0.0	0.4	1.0	1.1	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0				3.1	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.0	0.6	1.5	1.5	0.6	0.1	0.0						4.3	3rd
4th										0.0	0.6	2.0	2.1	0.7	0.1								5.5	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	0.8	2.8	2.6	0.9	0.1									7.3	5th
6th								0.1	1.1	3.4	3.3	1.0	0.1										8.9	6th
7th						0.0	0.2	1.3	3.8	3.8	1.2	0.1											10.4	7th
8th					0.0	0.4	2.1	4.7	4.2	1.4	0.1												13.0	8th
9th			0.0	0.1	1.0	3.1	5.3	4.3	1.3	0.1													15.1	9th
10th		0.0	0.6	2.0	4.3	5.0	3.3	0.9	0.1	0.0													16.1	10th
11th	0.4	1.7	3.3	3.9	3.0	1.5	0.4	0.0	0.0														14.2	11th

Total	0.4	1.7	3.8	5.9	8.3	10.0	11.1	11.4	10.6	9.6	8.1	6.2	4.9	3.3	2.1	1.2	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0			Total

Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
18-2	97.5%	0.1		0.1	0.0
17-3	88.3%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
16-4	74.5%	0.5		0.3	0.2	0.0
15-5	44.5%	0.5		0.3	0.2	0.1
14-6	16.8%	0.3		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	3.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.2%	0.0					0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	2.0%	2.0		1.2	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%													0.0		0.0
19-1	0.1%																	0.0	0.0					0.0
18-2	0.1%		42.5%	42.5%		12.1												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
17-3	0.3%		30.1%	30.1%		12.2												0.0	0.1	0.0				0.2
16-4	0.7%		22.2%	22.2%		12.4												0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.6
15-5	1.2%		15.7%	15.7%		12.7												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		1.0
14-6	2.1%		13.7%	13.7%		13.0													0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		1.8
13-7	3.3%		10.3%	10.3%		13.3													0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		3.0
12-8	4.9%		6.4%	6.4%		13.7													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1		4.6
11-9	6.2%		5.2%	5.2%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	5.9
10-10	8.1%		2.8%	2.8%		14.8													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	7.9
9-11	9.6%		1.4%	1.4%		15.5														0.0		0.0	0.1	9.4
8-12	10.6%		0.8%	0.8%		15.9																0.0	0.1	10.5
7-13	11.4%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	11.3
6-14	11.1%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	11.1
5-15	10.0%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.0
4-16	8.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.3
3-17	5.9%																							5.9
2-18	3.8%																							3.8
1-19	1.7%																							1.7
0-20	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		2.4%	2.4%	0.0%	13.7								0.0		0.0		0.0	0.5	0.6	0.5	0.4	0.4	97.6		0.0%