IU Indianapolis
Horizon
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.4#356
Expected Predictive Rating-11.5#331
Pace67.0#235
Improvement+1.2#106

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#312
First Shot-5.1#314
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#180
Layup/Dunks-6.1#343
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#286
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#87
Freethrows-0.1#190
Improvement+0.8#116

Defense
Total Defense-8.3#360
First Shot-7.2#356
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#257
Layups/Dunks-3.0#282
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#63
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#304
Freethrows-2.3#311
Improvement+0.4#142
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.3% 1.0% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 2.3% 6.0% 1.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 61.6% 43.3% 67.3%
First Four0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Kentucky (Home) - 23.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 71 - 10
Quad 46 - 136 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 68   @ Xavier L 80-94 2%     0 - 1 -2.5 +15.6 -18.6
  Nov 14, 2024 299   Eastern Michigan L 71-74 38%     0 - 2 -13.3 -7.5 -5.7
  Nov 18, 2024 8   @ Iowa St. L 52-87 0.4%    0 - 3 -13.8 -11.6 -2.0
  Nov 22, 2024 272   Coastal Carolina L 57-71 24%     0 - 4 -20.0 -8.4 -13.8
  Nov 23, 2024 303   South Carolina St. L 62-72 28%     0 - 5 -17.4 -10.6 -7.2
  Nov 25, 2024 360   @ Alabama A&M W 88-83 43%     1 - 5 -6.7 +11.7 -18.3
  Dec 04, 2024 310   Green Bay W 84-75 40%     2 - 5 1 - 0 -1.8 +8.0 -9.4
  Dec 07, 2024 216   Northern Kentucky L 67-75 24%    
  Dec 11, 2024 150   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 68-85 6%    
  Dec 14, 2024 354   @ Lindenwood L 70-73 39%    
  Dec 21, 2024 253   @ Florida International L 68-79 15%    
  Dec 29, 2024 172   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 68-84 7%    
  Jan 01, 2025 229   Youngstown St. L 67-74 27%    
  Jan 04, 2025 259   @ Cleveland St. L 64-75 16%    
  Jan 09, 2025 298   Detroit Mercy L 70-73 39%    
  Jan 15, 2025 144   @ Oakland L 59-76 6%    
  Jan 19, 2025 259   Cleveland St. L 67-72 33%    
  Jan 22, 2025 310   @ Green Bay L 73-82 22%    
  Jan 25, 2025 150   Purdue Fort Wayne L 71-82 17%    
  Jan 30, 2025 275   @ Robert Morris L 65-75 18%    
  Feb 01, 2025 229   @ Youngstown St. L 64-77 13%    
  Feb 05, 2025 172   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 71-81 20%    
  Feb 08, 2025 136   @ Wright St. L 66-84 6%    
  Feb 12, 2025 144   Oakland L 62-73 16%    
  Feb 19, 2025 298   @ Detroit Mercy L 67-76 21%    
  Feb 23, 2025 216   @ Northern Kentucky L 64-78 11%    
  Feb 27, 2025 275   Robert Morris L 68-72 36%    
  Mar 01, 2025 136   Wright St. L 69-81 15%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 5th
6th 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.1 1.9 0.3 0.0 6.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.1 5.2 3.2 0.6 0.0 12.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 3.2 7.0 8.2 4.3 0.9 0.1 24.3 10th
11th 5.5 12.3 14.5 10.6 4.1 0.8 0.1 48.0 11th
Total 5.5 13.0 17.7 18.4 15.6 11.8 8.2 4.8 2.7 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 33.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 8.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0% 0.0
13-7 0.1% 10.5% 10.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-8 0.3% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3
11-9 0.6% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.5
10-10 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 1.3
9-11 2.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.7
8-12 4.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.8
7-13 8.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.1
6-14 11.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.8
5-15 15.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.6
4-16 18.4% 18.4
3-17 17.7% 17.7
2-18 13.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.0
1-19 5.5% 5.5
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.4%