Kennesaw St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +0.3 #151
Expected Predictive Rating -1.6 #187
Pace 79.9 #10
Improvement +2.2 #68

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #151 C B+ C C B+
Defense #171 B F C D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #89 1.19 #142 +2.8 #93
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #315 0.75 #172 -2.4 #292
Three Pointers 44% #130 0.90 #291 -0.9 #213
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #192 -0.5 #192
Freethrows 21.1 #29 71% #213 15.1 #50
Second Chance 33.4% #105 1.01 #226 0.34 #138
Turnovers 17.2% #211
Total Offense +0.4 #151

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #36 0.98 #23 +0.4 #170
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #220 0.62 #35 +1.8 #70
Three Pointers 36% #296 1.06 #240 +1.5 #137
1st FG Attempt 0.94 #80 +3.7 #79
Freethrows 25.8 #363 78% #344 20.0 #365
Second Chance 30.3% #162 1.01 #154 0.31 #159
Turnovers 15.4% #258
Total Defense -0.1 #171

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.3% #54 1.4% #293
Shot Type Make % Effect -3.3% #223 -8.3% #54
Possession Length 15.0 #26 17.0 #140
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #149 0.20 #255
Improvement -1.0 #261 +3.2 #17

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.2% 11.4% 7.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.3 13.8
.500 or above 69.7% 85.6% 64.5%
.500 or above in Conference 61.8% 80.2% 55.8%
Conference Champion 6.8% 16.6% 3.6%
Last Place in Conference 3.8% 0.9% 4.8%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round8.2% 11.4% 7.1%
Second Round0.6% 1.0% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Liberty (Away) - 24.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 35 - 66 - 10
Quad 410 - 316 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 343 @Florida A&M W 92-72 81%     9.4   1 - 0 +11.0 +4.5 +3.9
  Sun, Nov 16 82 South Florida L 89-108 36%     -9.3   1 - 1 -15.0 +6.7 -19.4
  Mon, Nov 24 264 Rice W 89-84 OT 73%     -1.3   2 - 1 -0.9 +1.5 -3.1
  Tue, Nov 25 306 Oral Roberts L 83-91 80%     0.5   2 - 2 -16.6 -1.9 -13.9
  Wed, Nov 26 193 @Florida Gulf Coast W 102-100 OT 48%     0.4   3 - 2 +2.9 +6.7 -4.2
  Tue, Dec 2 336 Jackson St. W 88-73 91%     9.4   4 - 2 +0.7 +6.0 -5.9
  Sat, Dec 6 315 Georgia St. W 92-69 88%     16.3   5 - 2 +10.7 -0.7 +7.5
  Wed, Dec 17 136 @Middle Tennessee L 67-68 35%     -7.0   5 - 3 0 - 1 +3.2 -2.4 +5.6
  Sun, Dec 21 14 Alabama L 81-92 6%     -17.6   5 - 4 +7.1 +4.0 +4.4
  Fri, Jan 2 105 @Liberty L 74-81 24%    
  Sun, Jan 4 297 @Delaware W 77-72 68%    
  Wed, Jan 7 225 Missouri St. W 75-68 75%    
  Sat, Jan 10 215 Jacksonville St. W 77-70 73%    
  Wed, Jan 14 186 Florida International W 87-82 67%    
  Sat, Jan 17 154 @Western Kentucky L 83-86 39%    
  Wed, Jan 21 124 @Sam Houston St. L 82-87 32%    
  Sat, Jan 24 175 @Louisiana Tech L 70-72 44%    
  Wed, Jan 28 154 Western Kentucky W 86-83 61%    
  Sat, Jan 31 125 New Mexico St. W 77-76 53%    
  Sat, Feb 7 215 @Jacksonville St. W 74-73 52%    
  Thu, Feb 12 136 Middle Tennessee W 78-76 57%    
  Sat, Feb 14 124 Sam Houston St. W 85-84 55%    
  Wed, Feb 18 225 @Missouri St. W 72-71 53%    
  Sat, Feb 21 175 Louisiana Tech W 73-69 65%    
  Thu, Feb 26 105 Liberty L 77-78 45%    
  Sat, Feb 28 297 Delaware W 80-69 84%    
  Thu, Mar 5 207 @UTEP W 76-75 52%    
  Sat, Mar 7 125 @New Mexico St. L 74-79 33%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 2.0 1.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 6.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.9 3.3 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 8.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.9 4.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 10.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.7 4.9 1.9 0.2 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.5 3.1 5.8 2.2 0.3 11.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.6 2.6 0.2 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 4.9 3.3 0.4 10.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.7 3.6 0.6 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 2.9 3.3 0.7 0.0 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.2 2.4 1.0 0.1 6.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 1.7 0.6 0.1 4.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.9 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.3 4.9 7.0 9.9 11.8 13.4 13.3 11.9 9.5 6.6 3.8 2.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 94.7% 0.2    0.2
17-3 95.2% 1.0    0.8 0.2
16-4 78.7% 1.6    1.2 0.4 0.0
15-5 52.4% 2.0    0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0
14-6 23.1% 1.5    0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2
13-7 5.1% 0.5    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.8% 6.8 3.6 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 1.0% 26.9% 26.9% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.8
16-4 2.0% 29.7% 29.7% 12.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.4
15-5 3.8% 21.7% 21.7% 13.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.0
14-6 6.6% 17.3% 17.3% 13.2 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 5.5
13-7 9.5% 13.7% 13.7% 13.5 0.0 0.7 0.5 0.1 8.2
12-8 11.9% 12.1% 12.1% 13.7 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.1 10.5
11-9 13.3% 8.6% 8.6% 14.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 12.1
10-10 13.4% 4.2% 4.2% 14.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 12.9
9-11 11.8% 3.5% 3.5% 15.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 11.4
8-12 9.9% 2.3% 2.3% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 9.7
7-13 7.0% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.0
6-14 4.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 4.9
5-15 2.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.3
4-16 1.4% 1.4
3-17 0.6% 0.6
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 8.2% 8.2% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.8 3.1 2.8 1.1 0.3 91.8 0.0%