Kennesaw St.
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.2#277
Expected Predictive Rating-8.8#296
Pace71.1#129
Improvement+0.1#161

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#310
First Shot-3.4#278
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#280
Layup/Dunks-6.0#339
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#134
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#215
Freethrows+3.3#22
Improvement+1.1#75

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#208
First Shot-1.4#228
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#150
Layups/Dunks-0.7#216
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#228
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#109
Freethrows-2.0#289
Improvement-1.0#279
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 3.7% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 12.7% 20.6% 6.4%
.500 or above in Conference 38.5% 45.6% 32.9%
Conference Champion 2.4% 3.4% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 8.9% 6.2% 11.0%
First Four1.8% 1.9% 1.7%
First Round2.1% 2.8% 1.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mercer (Home) - 44.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 62 - 12
Quad 47 - 59 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 58   @ Iowa St. L 73-84 7%     0 - 1 -0.2 -3.0 +4.4
  Nov 11, 2021 83   @ Creighton L 44-51 8%     0 - 2 +2.4 -21.6 +23.6
  Nov 19, 2021 66   Belmont L 78-97 16%     0 - 3 -14.7 +2.3 -16.1
  Nov 23, 2021 87   @ Wake Forest L 61-92 8%     0 - 4 -21.8 -10.5 -9.7
  Nov 28, 2021 348   Charleston Southern W 89-52 86%     1 - 4 +19.3 +0.1 +16.3
  Dec 01, 2021 196   Mercer L 68-70 44%    
  Dec 05, 2021 118   @ Wofford L 62-74 12%    
  Dec 18, 2021 241   @ Samford L 73-78 32%    
  Dec 22, 2021 105   @ Nebraska L 66-79 11%    
  Jan 05, 2022 259   Jacksonville W 64-62 58%    
  Jan 08, 2022 174   @ Liberty L 59-68 21%    
  Jan 11, 2022 191   Florida Gulf Coast L 73-75 44%    
  Jan 15, 2022 270   @ Stetson L 67-70 39%    
  Jan 18, 2022 287   @ North Florida L 71-73 42%    
  Jan 22, 2022 220   @ Lipscomb L 68-75 27%    
  Jan 27, 2022 147   Jacksonville St. L 65-70 35%    
  Jan 29, 2022 307   North Alabama W 72-67 67%    
  Feb 03, 2022 161   @ Eastern Kentucky L 73-83 20%    
  Feb 05, 2022 177   @ Bellarmine L 64-73 22%    
  Feb 09, 2022 340   Central Arkansas W 78-68 81%    
  Feb 12, 2022 287   North Florida W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 16, 2022 191   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 70-78 25%    
  Feb 19, 2022 259   @ Jacksonville L 61-65 38%    
  Feb 23, 2022 270   Stetson W 70-67 60%    
  Feb 26, 2022 174   Liberty L 62-65 41%    
Projected Record 9 - 16 7 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.4 1st
2nd 0.6 1.5 1.1 0.4 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.6 2.5 2.0 0.3 0.0 5.5 3rd
4th 0.4 2.9 2.8 0.6 0.0 6.8 4th
5th 0.3 2.4 4.6 1.2 0.1 8.5 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 5.1 2.0 0.1 9.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 5.6 3.9 0.3 11.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 5.7 5.6 0.7 13.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 4.8 5.8 1.2 0.0 12.9 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 4.4 5.0 1.6 0.1 12.2 10th
11th 0.2 1.1 3.2 3.8 1.4 0.1 9.8 11th
12th 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.5 12th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.7 5.7 9.8 12.5 15.0 14.7 12.5 10.4 7.2 4.5 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 100.0% 0.4    0.3 0.1
13-3 65.5% 0.8    0.5 0.2 0.1
12-4 34.8% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2
11-5 7.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.4% 28.6% 28.6% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-3 1.2% 21.8% 21.8% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.9
12-4 2.2% 14.7% 14.7% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.9
11-5 4.5% 8.0% 8.0% 15.8 0.1 0.3 4.1
10-6 7.2% 5.7% 5.7% 15.9 0.0 0.4 6.8
9-7 10.4% 5.0% 5.0% 15.9 0.0 0.5 9.8
8-8 12.5% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.4 12.2
7-9 14.7% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.4 14.3
6-10 15.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 14.8
5-11 12.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 12.4
4-12 9.8% 9.8
3-13 5.7% 5.7
2-14 2.7% 2.7
1-15 1.0% 1.0
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.1 0.1 0.4 2.4 97.0 0.0%