Lafayette
Patriot League
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.6#294
Expected Predictive Rating-9.1#296
Pace70.2#142
Improvement+1.7#65

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#261
First Shot+0.7#168
After Offensive Rebound-3.7#340
Layup/Dunks-1.1#214
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#296
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.8#22
Freethrows-2.5#306
Improvement+0.6#120

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#309
First Shot-5.3#323
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#139
Layups/Dunks-0.9#218
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#233
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#305
Freethrows-0.1#191
Improvement+1.0#83
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 2.7% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 9.8% 22.5% 7.6%
.500 or above in Conference 38.8% 50.4% 36.8%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.6% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 8.5% 5.4% 9.0%
First Four1.2% 1.3% 1.2%
First Round1.0% 2.0% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Delaware (Away) - 14.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 31 - 62 - 10
Quad 49 - 911 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 59   @ Syracuse L 63-97 5%     0 - 1 -23.1 -10.1 -12.0
  Nov 12, 2021 188   Cornell L 85-90 36%     0 - 2 -9.0 -0.1 -8.4
  Nov 16, 2021 206   @ Penn L 57-85 20%     0 - 3 -26.8 -15.4 -12.1
  Nov 19, 2021 8   @ Duke L 55-88 1%     0 - 4 -12.6 -9.8 -1.9
  Nov 22, 2021 102   @ Rutgers W 53-51 9%     1 - 4 +9.6 -11.3 +21.0
  Nov 29, 2021 339   @ Columbia W 73-50 60%     2 - 4 +12.9 -2.5 +16.5
  Dec 02, 2021 291   Sacred Heart L 67-74 61%     2 - 5 -17.4 -10.2 -7.6
  Dec 05, 2021 256   NJIT L 86-90 2OT 51%     2 - 6 -11.9 -0.7 -10.6
  Dec 08, 2021 155   @ Delaware L 67-78 15%    
  Dec 11, 2021 152   Princeton L 70-76 30%    
  Jan 01, 2022 116   Colgate L 73-81 23%    
  Jan 04, 2022 329   @ American W 73-72 53%    
  Jan 07, 2022 346   @ Holy Cross W 75-72 62%    
  Jan 10, 2022 108   Navy L 63-72 22%    
  Jan 13, 2022 277   @ Loyola Maryland L 67-71 35%    
  Jan 16, 2022 265   Army W 74-73 54%    
  Jan 19, 2022 346   Holy Cross W 78-69 80%    
  Jan 22, 2022 116   @ Colgate L 70-84 11%    
  Jan 26, 2022 156   Boston University L 66-71 32%    
  Jan 29, 2022 265   @ Army L 71-76 34%    
  Feb 02, 2022 329   American W 76-69 73%    
  Feb 05, 2022 309   Bucknell W 78-74 65%    
  Feb 07, 2022 108   @ Navy L 60-75 10%    
  Feb 12, 2022 316   @ Lehigh L 72-73 45%    
  Feb 16, 2022 277   Loyola Maryland W 70-68 56%    
  Feb 19, 2022 309   @ Bucknell L 75-77 43%    
  Feb 23, 2022 156   @ Boston University L 63-74 16%    
  Feb 26, 2022 316   Lehigh W 75-70 66%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.5 2.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 7.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.7 5.6 3.7 1.2 0.1 15.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 5.2 6.8 3.4 0.6 0.0 17.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 6.0 6.6 2.3 0.3 0.0 16.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 5.8 5.7 1.8 0.2 14.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.7 4.5 1.2 0.1 0.0 11.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.4 2.9 0.7 0.0 8.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.5 10th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.0 5.9 9.2 12.4 14.3 14.7 13.2 10.5 7.1 4.4 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 87.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 65.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 32.8% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 6.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 19.4% 19.4% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 15.3% 15.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 1.0% 10.4% 10.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9
13-5 2.2% 8.8% 8.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.0
12-6 4.4% 6.4% 6.4% 15.9 0.0 0.3 4.2
11-7 7.1% 3.2% 3.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 6.9
10-8 10.5% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3 10.2
9-9 13.2% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 12.9
8-10 14.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 14.5
7-11 14.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 14.2
6-12 12.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 12.4
5-13 9.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.2
4-14 5.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.8
3-15 3.0% 3.0
2-16 1.4% 1.4
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 98.3 0.0%