Lindenwood
Ohio Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -5.6 260
Expected Predictive Rating -4.9 246
Pace 79.5 9
Improvement -1.6 250

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 304 D C+ D C- C+
Defense C 193 C- C- C+ C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 29 C- 57% 199 +3.3 74
2 Pt. Jumpers 49% 64 F+ 30% 357 -1.2 246
Three Pointers 33% 332 F 28% 359 -7.2 352
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 154 D- -5.2 338
1st FG Attempt D 0.92 326
Second Chance C 30.7% 176 B- 1.09 84 C+ 0.33 121
Turnovers D 19.3% 324
Freethrows C 0.31 164 D- 67% 336 C- 0.21 217
Total Offense D -5.0 304

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 50% 148 C 11.3% 200
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 102 D+ 6.8% 291
Three Pointers C+ 87% 129 C+ 0.8% 147
Total C 55% 189 D 6.8% 301

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% 8 C- 60% 232 +5.8 346
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 257 B+ 33% 19 -1.9 40
Three Pointers 35% 331 C 34% 194 -2.9 64
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.9 329 C +0.0 178
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 215
Second Chance D+ 32.3% 261 C- 1.05 232 C- 0.34 256
Turnovers C+ 17.5% 142
Freethrows D+ 0.33 268 B- 70% 82 C- 0.23 239
Total Defense C -0.6 193

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 96 C- 9.2% 240
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 18% 49 A+ 12.2% 5
Three Pointers D 89% 325 C- 0.6% 225
Total C+ 53% 121 B- 6.7% 91

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.5 32 16.7 83
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 32 0.21 302
Improvement -1.7 #269 +0.0 #191

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 285 261 232
Conference Record 11 - 9 12 - 8 13 - 7
Conference Finish 6 5 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8% 10% 6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 89% 98% 80%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 2% 3%
First Round7% 9% 4%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Tennessee Tech (Away) - 52.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 415 - 816 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 18 @Texas Tech L 60 - 98 1% -19  9% 0 - 1 F+ -17 F -11 F+ F+ C- C- -3 B- B+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 23 @Saint Louis L 66 - 109 2% -22  0% 0 - 2 F -24 F+ -8 B- B+ F F+ -9 F F A+
 Fri, Nov 14 258 Charleston Southern W 83 - 77 50% -6  18% 1 - 2 C +1 D+ -3 C+ D D B- +3 D+ B+ B
 Sun, Nov 16 307 @Alabama A&M L 65 - 74 50% -2  27% 1 - 3 F+ -15 F -10 F C+ F D+ -4 F F+ B-
 Thu, Nov 20 37 @Indiana L 53 - 73 3% -14  0% 1 - 4 C- -3 F -16 F B- F+ A+ +13 A+ D+ D
 Mon, Nov 24 360 UMKC W 80 - 67 89% +6  69% 2 - 4 D+ -6 D- -7 C F D+ C +0 D+ B A+
 Tue, Dec 2 319 @Northern Illinois W 99 - 64 56% +22  94% 3 - 4 A+ +28 A+ +17 F A+ A- A +9 C- A+ B
 Sat, Dec 6 320 @Eastern Illinois W 82 - 74 56% -1  43% 4 - 4 1 - 0 C +1 B- +5 D A B D+ -5 B F F
 Thu, Dec 18 362 Western Illinois W 92 - 76 91% +13  97% 5 - 4 2 - 0 C- -5 C +1 C- A- D+ D- -7 F+ F+ D
 Tue, Dec 23 202 @Missouri St. L 65 - 70 28% -5  15% 5 - 5 C- -4 F+ -9 F D- A B +4 B D- F
 Thu, Jan 1 286 Morehead St. W 77 - 64 67% +6  96% 6 - 5 3 - 0 C+ +3 D -5 A F C A- +8 B+ C C+
 Sat, Jan 3 341 Southern Indiana W 83 - 80 81% +5  88% 7 - 5 4 - 0 D- -12 C +1 F+ A+ C- F -13 F D+ B
 Tue, Jan 6 248 @SIU Edwardsville L 62 - 66 36% -2  23% 7 - 6 4 - 1 D+ -6 F+ -10 F A D- B +4 C+ C B+
 Sat, Jan 10 299 Arkansas Little Rock L 74 - 82 70% -5  10% 7 - 7 4 - 2 F -19 D -5 D+ B- F F -14 F F C
 Thu, Jan 15 227 @Southeast Missouri St. W 88 - 76 31% +17  98% 8 - 7 5 - 2 B+ +11 C+ +3 D+ A+ D A- +7 B+ F C
 Sat, Jan 17 217 @Tennessee Martin L 55 - 69 30% -10  2% 8 - 8 5 - 3 D- -14 F -18 F C- F B +4 D+ C B
 Thu, Jan 22 314 Tennessee Tech W 89 - 68 74% +19  97% 9 - 8 6 - 3 B +9 C -0 B- A+ F A- +7 A B+ B-
 Sat, Jan 24 247 Tennessee St. L 86 - 96 58% -5  9% 9 - 9 6 - 4 F+ -18 D+ -4 D+ C- D+ F -13 F C- B+
 Thu, Jan 29 341 @Southern Indiana W 73 - 60 63% +8  90% 10 - 9 7 - 4 C+ +4 F -11 F D+ F+ A+ +14 A D- A+
 Sat, Jan 31 286 @Morehead St. W 79 - 78 44% -2  30% 11 - 9 8 - 4 C- -3 D+ -3 B- C- F C+ +0 C+ B+ F
 Tue, Feb 3 248 SIU Edwardsville L 72 - 78 58% +4  79% 11 - 10 8 - 5 D- -14 D -6 D+ C- F+ D- -8 F C+ B
 Thu, Feb 5 299 @Arkansas Little Rock W 79 - 74 47% +0  49% 12 - 10 9 - 5 C +0 B- +4 F+ B- B D+ -3 B+ F F
 Thu, Feb 12 217 Tennessee Martin W 75 - 74 52% -0  47% 13 - 10 10 - 5 D+ -5 C +1 A+ D- F D -6 F C- B+
 Sat, Feb 14 227 Southeast Missouri St. L 61 - 73 54% -2  33% 13 - 11 10 - 6 F -19 F -17 F F A- C -1 C A+ C-
 Thu, Feb 19 247 @Tennessee St. L 80 - 89 35% +2  48% 13 - 12 10 - 7 D -11 D- -7 D C- F C- -2 B F C-
 Sat, Feb 21 314 @Tennessee Tech W 78 - 77 53%
 Thu, Feb 26 320 Eastern Illinois W 75 - 67 76%
 Sat, Feb 28 362 @Western Illinois W 79 - 70 81%
Totals 15 - 13 12 - 8 -6 D -5 C D- C+ C -1 F D- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C- F+ F D- 45% 49% 33% C+ D C B- C+ D C D- C- C C- B+ C C 47% 18% 35% D C- D+ C- C- C+ D+ B- C-
1.02 57% 30% 28% -5 0 0.92 31% 1.1 .33 19% .31 67% .21 1.10 60% 33% 34% 0 +1 1.04 32% 1.1 .34 17% .33 70% .22
Nov
4		 Texas Tech F F+ F F F 32% 30% 38% C+ F+ C- F F+ C- A+ C- A+ C- B C+ D- B 28% 15% 57% D+ B- F+ A+ B+ F D- A D+
0.78 47% 25% 25% -13 -2 0.74 23% 0.5 .13 18% .42 65% .27 1.28 56% 40% 41% +5 0 1.12 42% 0.7 .29 9% .33 65% .22
Nov
10		 Saint Louis F+ B+ D- F+ B- 42% 27% 31% C B- C+ A+ B+ F A+ F C+ F+ F A+ F F 58% 2% 40% F+ F F F F A+ F C+ F
0.81 60% 31% 27% -5 -1 0.92 28% 1.1 .31 30% .46 54% .25 1.35 76% 0% 50% +19 +4 1.48 48% 1.7 .83 25% .51 71% .36
Nov
14		 Charleston Southern D+ D+ C+ B C+ 40% 32% 28% D+ C+ C- F D D A+ D+ A- B- F F A- C- 41% 4% 55% F+ D+ B A B+ B C D+ C-
1.06 52% 39% 38% -1 -1 0.98 27% 0.8 .23 14% .46 68% .31 0.99 70% 50% 29% +1 +2 1.09 25% 0.7 .18 20% .26 69% .18
Nov
16		 Alabama A&M F A- C+ F F 43% 17% 40% C F D+ B+ C+ F B+ F C D+ D- A+ F F 36% 20% 44% D F D F F+ B- F D+ F
0.96 70% 38% 16% -6 +1 0.91 29% 1.1 .32 21% .39 62% .24 1.09 63% 22% 40% +2 0 1.07 28% 1.3 .34 19% .46 76% .35
Nov
20		 Indiana F F F F F 40% 30% 30% C F A D- B- F+ B+ A- A- A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 36% 18% 46% A- A+ B- F D+ D F+ A- D+
0.75 19% 25% 13% -29 -1 0.42 37% 0.9 .35 20% .35 80% .28 1.03 39% 33% 30% -10 0 0.82 28% 1.3 .35 11% .40 72% .29
Nov
24		 UMKC D- B- F C+ C- 60% 13% 27% A- C D F F D+ A+ B A+ C D A+ C- C- 54% 26% 20% F+ D+ A C B A+ F F F
1.06 65% 14% 36% +1 +2 1.10 31% 0.5 .14 19% .44 74% .32 0.89 60% 17% 33% -5 0 0.93 21% 0.9 .18 25% .46 77% .35
Dec
2		 Northern Illinois A+ F F C F 59% 13% 28% B+ F A+ A+ A+ A- A+ C A A A+ F F C 57% 9% 35% F C- D A+ A+ B F A+ D-
1.33 47% 29% 33% -8 +2 0.91 50% 1.7 .83 13% .44 71% .31 0.86 38% 50% 44% -5 +3 0.98 35% 0.3 .09 24% .53 50% .27
Dec
6		 Eastern Illinois B- B F F D- 53% 14% 33% B D B- A+ A B B+ C+ B+ D+ B- A+ A+ A 61% 27% 12% F B F F F F C- B- C
1.14 67% 29% 18% -5 +2 0.96 38% 1.4 .53 17% .39 78% .30 1.03 50% 19% 14% -14 +1 0.76 33% 1.2 .40 13% .29 72% .21
Dec
18		 Western Illinois C C F+ A- C- 52% 19% 29% C C- B B A- D+ A+ F A D- F+ A+ A+ D+ 62% 15% 24% F F+ B F F+ D F A+ D
1.21 63% 30% 40% +4 +1 1.12 39% 1.3 .49 16% .53 56% .30 1.00 62% 13% 23% -5 +2 0.96 21% 1.5 .32 15% .43 54% .23
Dec
23		 Missouri St. F+ B+ C F F 29% 27% 44% B- F C- F D- A A+ F B B F A+ A+ A- 36% 20% 44% D- B C F D- F D A+ B
0.94 71% 38% 14% -9 -1 0.81 31% 0.8 .24 13% .52 58% .30 1.02 78% 10% 23% -6 0 0.90 33% 1.3 .43 13% .38 52% .20
Jan
1		 Morehead St. D C+ A+ A A- 55% 8% 37% A A F F F C B F D- A- D+ B+ A+ A- 40% 24% 36% D+ B+ B D- C C+ B A B+
1.11 61% 75% 42% +9 +3 1.25 15% 0.4 .06 14% .37 50% .19 0.92 60% 33% 22% -7 0 0.88 31% 1.0 .31 19% .27 67% .18
Jan
3		 Southern Indiana C D+ F C- F 70% 19% 11% A- F+ A+ A+ A+ C- F C+ F F F D- B+ F 46% 21% 32% D- F D- C D+ B A- F C-
1.16 54% 10% 33% -8 +2 0.91 46% 1.5 .69 17% .20 75% .15 1.12 69% 42% 28% +3 0 1.09 33% 0.8 .27 20% .24 86% .21
Jan
6		 SIU Edwardsville F+ D- F F F 43% 23% 34% B- F B- A+ A D- D- F F B C+ A+ F C 32% 36% 32% B C+ B- D C B+ F D F
0.89 48% 17% 11% -21 0 0.60 36% 1.3 .44 19% .26 67% .18 0.95 53% 24% 40% -4 -2 0.89 26% 1.1 .29 21% .40 73% .29
Jan
10		 Arkansas Little Rock D B- A+ D- D+ 43% 12% 45% C+ D+ C- A- B- F C- A C F F D B F 42% 34% 25% C- F F B- F C C- F F
1.08 67% 50% 32% +4 +1 1.12 34% 1.1 .38 23% .27 79% .21 1.19 77% 39% 31% +7 -1 1.13 47% 0.9 .43 19% .25 86% .22
Jan
15		 Southeast Missouri St. C+ C F D- D- 61% 4% 35% A+ D+ B+ A+ A+ D A+ F A- A- A+ A- C+ A 50% 12% 38% F+ B+ D+ F F C F+ C+ D
1.08 57% 0% 29% -5 +4 1.00 35% 1.5 .51 20% .53 66% .35 0.93 41% 29% 32% -11 +2 0.84 31% 1.4 .44 17% .39 65% .25
Jan
17		 Tennessee Martin F F D+ F F 18% 47% 36% F F D C+ C- F A+ F+ A+ B D B- C D 35% 26% 39% B D+ C+ C- C B A+ F+ A-
0.77 50% 33% 13% -15 -5 0.62 29% 1.0 .29 24% .50 63% .31 0.97 63% 36% 33% +1 -1 1.02 34% 0.9 .31 24% .20 73% .15
Jan
22		 Tennessee Tech C A D F C- 61% 6% 33% A+ B- B A+ A+ F B+ B+ A- A- A+ C- A- A+ 51% 27% 22% D+ A D- A+ B+ B- F C+ F
1.17 71% 33% 24% +2 +3 1.14 37% 1.7 .63 24% .34 80% .27 0.89 36% 38% 27% -13 0 0.76 35% 0.7 .23 21% .50 73% .36
Jan
24		 Tennessee St. D+ D+ B B+ C- 38% 28% 34% F D+ F+ A C- D+ D+ A+ B+ F D F F F 56% 23% 21% F F C D+ C- B+ A+ B+ A+
1.10 55% 47% 39% +4 -1 1.08 24% 1.3 .31 20% .35 91% .32 1.23 63% 64% 46% +12 +1 1.29 31% 1.1 .34 19% .16 70% .11
Jan
29		 Southern Indiana F A F F F 44% 35% 21% F F C D- D+ F+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ D B- A+ 49% 19% 32% F A F B- D- A+ F B+ D
0.94 70% 17% 18% -7 -1 0.85 33% 0.9 .29 19% .43 78% .34 0.77 23% 40% 29% -19 +1 0.66 41% 0.8 .31 27% .39 59% .23
Jan
31		 Morehead St. D+ A+ F A+ B 30% 20% 50% D- B- F+ A- C- F A+ D+ A+ C+ D- C+ A+ C+ 41% 33% 27% B- C+ A C B+ F F D+ F
1.09 77% 0% 45% +6 -1 1.14 29% 1.1 .32 22% .51 69% .35 1.08 65% 38% 23% -2 -1 0.96 26% 0.9 .23 12% .47 77% .36
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
3		 SIU Edwardsville D D D+ D+ D+ 40% 31% 29% D+ D+ A F C- F+ C F F+ D- F A+ F F 47% 27% 27% F+ F C+ C+ C+ B F C+ F+
0.99 50% 35% 31% -5 -1 0.89 42% 0.7 .29 19% .32 58% .19 1.07 70% 8% 54% +5 0 1.12 27% 1.0 .27 21% .36 67% .24
Feb
5		 Arkansas Little Rock B- F F A+ F+ 45% 25% 29% D F+ B C B- B A D B+ D+ B- F A+ A 34% 26% 40% D B+ F+ F F F F+ F+ F
1.17 48% 23% 53% 0 0 1.02 41% 0.9 .38 16% .37 67% .25 1.09 56% 43% 19% -8 -1 0.83 36% 1.4 .51 13% .31 72% .22
Feb
12		 Tennessee Martin C A+ D+ D+ A+ 59% 13% 28% A+ A+ D+ F D- F D- A D+ D F A+ F F 42% 11% 47% F F B- D C- B+ F A+ C
1.08 78% 33% 31% +10 +2 1.26 31% 0.8 .23 25% .27 79% .21 1.07 68% 0% 43% +6 +2 1.18 33% 1.0 .33 25% .40 52% .21
Feb
14		 Southeast Missouri St. F F A F F 46% 23% 31% C- F F C F A- C+ F F C F A+ A+ C+ 55% 15% 30% F+ C C+ A+ A+ C- F D+ F
0.84 42% 50% 19% -12 0 0.79 17% 1.1 .20 14% .40 56% .22 1.01 69% 0% 21% -5 +2 0.96 26% 0.6 .15 17% .66 70% .46
Feb
19		 Tennessee St. D- D+ D- A- D 49% 22% 29% D+ D D+ C+ C- F B D+ B- C- C B- A+ B 38% 38% 25% B B F F F C- F B F
1.01 56% 36% 40% +1 +1 1.06 28% 1.1 .31 24% .41 72% .30 1.12 57% 33% 21% -7 -2 0.84 41% 1.4 .57 15% .46 71% .33



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 3.3 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.3 13.5 13.7 3rd
4th 6.7 15.3 22.0 4th
5th 0.1 3.4 32.6 1.2 37.3 5th
6th 2.0 15.4 5.5 22.9 6th
7th 0.5 0.5 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 2.6 18.8 45.1 33.5 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 33.5% 12.9% 12.9% 15.5 0.0 0.1 1.9 2.3 29.2
12-8 45.1% 6.5% 6.5% 15.9 0.0 0.4 2.6 42.2
11-9 18.8% 4.5% 4.5% 15.9 0.1 0.8 18.0
10-10 2.6% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.1 2.5
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 8.2% 8.2% 0.0% 15.7 91.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.3% 100.0% 15.5 0.1 2.2 44.5 53.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 5.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 9.7%
Lose Out 1.2%