Lindenwood
Ohio Valley
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.2#352
Expected Predictive Rating-13.4#347
Pace68.3#176
Improvement-1.1#303

Offense
Total Offense-8.6#355
First Shot-6.7#343
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#311
Layup/Dunks-5.0#346
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#74
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#232
Freethrows-2.6#338
Improvement-0.4#261

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#311
First Shot-3.8#299
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#267
Layups/Dunks-3.2#297
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#11
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#332
Freethrows+1.0#106
Improvement-0.7#290
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 70.4% 56.8% 87.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Illinois (Home) - 55.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 40 - 8
Quad 46 - 137 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 68   @ Dayton L 46-73 2%     0 - 1 -16.1 -17.9 +0.6
  Nov 13, 2022 46   @ Missouri L 53-82 2%     0 - 2 -16.2 -21.4 +6.7
  Nov 18, 2022 357   Lamar L 71-73 59%     0 - 3 -17.5 -11.0 -6.5
  Nov 19, 2022 339   @ McNeese St. W 78-60 32%     1 - 3 +9.7 -1.3 +11.1
  Nov 20, 2022 260   Western Carolina L 88-90 OT 23%     1 - 4 -7.4 -0.1 -6.9
  Nov 23, 2022 283   Idaho St. W 77-76 OT 35%     2 - 4 -8.3 -7.9 -0.5
  Nov 25, 2022 17   @ Illinois L 59-92 1%     2 - 5 -16.1 -9.5 -3.6
  Dec 03, 2022 259   @ UMKC L 47-61 16%     2 - 6 -16.4 -21.5 +4.0
  Dec 20, 2022 81   @ BYU L 61-90 3%     2 - 7 -19.7 -5.8 -13.2
  Dec 22, 2022 211   @ Utah Tech L 64-95 10%     2 - 8 -30.3 -11.8 -16.4
  Dec 29, 2022 343   @ Eastern Illinois L 54-55 34%     2 - 9 0 - 1 -10.0 -22.6 +12.6
  Dec 31, 2022 303   Tennessee Tech W 82-64 39%     3 - 9 1 - 1 +7.5 +1.6 +5.7
  Jan 04, 2023 332   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 67-62 29%     4 - 9 2 - 1 -2.4 -7.3 +5.2
  Jan 07, 2023 321   Tennessee St. L 57-60 45%     4 - 10 2 - 2 -14.9 -21.5 +6.5
  Jan 12, 2023 251   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 71-94 15%     4 - 11 2 - 3 -25.0 -7.0 -16.5
  Jan 14, 2023 238   @ SIU Edwardsville L 58-68 13%     4 - 12 2 - 4 -11.2 -10.3 -1.3
  Jan 19, 2023 270   Southern Indiana L 65-81 32%     4 - 13 2 - 5 -24.3 -5.8 -20.5
  Jan 21, 2023 278   Morehead St. L 63-72 34%     4 - 14 2 - 6 -17.9 -2.5 -17.1
  Jan 26, 2023 296   @ Tennessee Martin L 59-66 20%     4 - 15 2 - 7 -11.5 -17.3 +6.0
  Jan 28, 2023 321   @ Tennessee St. L 66-83 26%     4 - 16 2 - 8 -23.4 -7.1 -17.4
  Feb 02, 2023 343   Eastern Illinois W 68-67 56%    
  Feb 04, 2023 296   Tennessee Martin L 70-73 39%    
  Feb 09, 2023 238   SIU Edwardsville L 64-71 27%    
  Feb 11, 2023 270   @ Southern Indiana L 67-77 16%    
  Feb 16, 2023 303   @ Tennessee Tech L 64-72 21%    
  Feb 18, 2023 278   @ Morehead St. L 61-71 17%    
  Feb 23, 2023 251   Southeast Missouri St. L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 25, 2023 332   Arkansas Little Rock L 73-74 50%    
Projected Record 7 - 21 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 1.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.0 0.8 0.0 6.3 7th
8th 0.3 4.7 7.5 2.7 0.1 15.3 8th
9th 0.5 7.3 13.3 5.1 0.4 0.0 26.7 9th
10th 5.2 16.9 20.2 7.5 0.7 0.0 50.5 10th
Total 5.2 17.4 27.8 25.8 15.4 6.4 1.6 0.3 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0% 0.0
9-9 0.3% 0.3
8-10 1.6% 1.6
7-11 6.4% 6.4
6-12 15.4% 15.4
5-13 25.8% 25.8
4-14 27.8% 27.8
3-15 17.4% 17.4
2-16 5.2% 5.2
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.2%