Lindenwood
Ohio Valley
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.3#354
Expected Predictive Rating-13.5#344
Pace68.1#208
Improvement+0.6#146

Offense
Total Offense-7.5#355
First Shot-5.3#318
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#302
Layup/Dunks+0.9#148
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#171
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#338
Freethrows-0.4#209
Improvement-0.5#228

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#340
First Shot-4.3#315
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#283
Layups/Dunks-0.2#172
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#105
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.5#358
Freethrows+2.3#59
Improvement+1.1#84
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 2.6% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 3.6% 25.7% 3.5%
.500 or above in Conference 13.9% 41.4% 13.9%
Conference Champion 0.7% 3.3% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 42.9% 19.1% 43.0%
First Four0.8% 1.3% 0.8%
First Round0.4% 1.3% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi (Away) - 0.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 48 - 158 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 41   @ Oklahoma L 60-93 1%     0 - 1 -18.6 -9.0 -8.1
  Nov 14, 2024 344   New Orleans L 74-82 46%     0 - 2 -20.2 -6.9 -13.0
  Nov 15, 2024 275   @ Robert Morris L 53-67 17%     0 - 3 -17.2 -13.2 -5.6
  Nov 17, 2024 336   Stonehill W 75-74 38%     1 - 3 -9.2 +1.4 -10.5
  Nov 21, 2024 247   @ Valparaiso L 64-77 14%     1 - 4 -14.5 -13.1 -1.0
  Nov 27, 2024 63   @ Missouri L 61-81 2%     1 - 5 -7.9 -10.2 +3.0
  Dec 07, 2024 26   @ Mississippi L 57-87 0.3%   
  Dec 14, 2024 356   IU Indianapolis W 73-70 61%    
  Dec 19, 2024 330   Tennessee Tech L 70-71 49%    
  Dec 21, 2024 324   Western Illinois L 67-68 45%    
  Jan 02, 2025 316   @ Eastern Illinois L 64-72 24%    
  Jan 04, 2025 273   @ SIU Edwardsville L 63-73 18%    
  Jan 09, 2025 318   Tennessee St. L 74-75 45%    
  Jan 11, 2025 328   Tennessee Martin L 70-71 47%    
  Jan 16, 2025 293   @ Southern Indiana L 67-76 19%    
  Jan 18, 2025 266   @ Morehead St. L 63-73 18%    
  Jan 23, 2025 295   Southeast Missouri St. L 70-73 38%    
  Jan 25, 2025 233   Arkansas Little Rock L 67-73 29%    
  Jan 30, 2025 273   SIU Edwardsville L 66-70 35%    
  Feb 01, 2025 316   Eastern Illinois L 67-69 44%    
  Feb 06, 2025 328   @ Tennessee Martin L 67-74 27%    
  Feb 08, 2025 318   @ Tennessee St. L 71-78 25%    
  Feb 13, 2025 266   Morehead St. L 66-70 35%    
  Feb 15, 2025 293   Southern Indiana L 70-73 38%    
  Feb 20, 2025 233   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 64-76 14%    
  Feb 22, 2025 295   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 67-76 21%    
  Feb 25, 2025 324   @ Western Illinois L 64-71 26%    
  Mar 01, 2025 330   @ Tennessee Tech L 67-74 28%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 2.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.7 2.1 0.3 0.0 5.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 3.1 3.1 0.5 7.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 3.6 4.0 1.2 0.0 9.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.5 5.3 1.8 0.1 13.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.4 6.1 5.9 2.3 0.2 0.0 18.8 10th
11th 0.7 2.6 5.6 8.1 8.1 5.4 2.0 0.3 0.0 32.7 11th
Total 0.7 2.6 5.7 9.0 11.7 13.0 13.4 12.1 9.8 8.1 5.5 3.7 2.4 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 93.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-5 61.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1
14-6 34.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 9.8% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.0% 26.1% 26.1% 16.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 20.8% 20.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.3% 22.6% 22.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.2
14-6 0.7% 19.2% 19.2% 16.0 0.1 0.6
13-7 1.2% 10.8% 10.8% 16.0 0.1 1.1
12-8 2.4% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2 2.3
11-9 3.7% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.2 3.5
10-10 5.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 5.4
9-11 8.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 8.0
8-12 9.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.7
7-13 12.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.1
6-14 13.4% 13.4
5-15 13.0% 13.0
4-16 11.7% 11.7
3-17 9.0% 9.0
2-18 5.7% 5.7
1-19 2.6% 2.6
0-20 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 99.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%