Indiana
Big Ten
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.8#34
Expected Predictive Rating+10.2#60
Pace69.8#166
Improvement-0.6#231

Offense
Total Offense+5.0#52
First Shot+6.9#22
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#284
Layup/Dunks+5.9#25
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#247
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#197
Freethrows+3.1#25
Improvement+1.3#59

Defense
Total Defense+6.8#27
First Shot+5.6#31
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#101
Layups/Dunks+3.1#75
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#157
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#57
Freethrows-1.4#265
Improvement-1.9#321
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 2.9% 3.4% 0.3%
Top 4 Seed 11.2% 12.5% 4.3%
Top 6 Seed 24.2% 26.5% 12.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 64.6% 68.3% 45.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 62.7% 66.4% 44.4%
Average Seed 7.3 7.2 8.0
.500 or above 93.0% 95.1% 82.3%
.500 or above in Conference 64.9% 69.3% 42.1%
Conference Champion 4.6% 5.3% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 1.4% 6.8%
First Four6.0% 6.4% 4.2%
First Round61.9% 65.4% 43.6%
Second Round36.9% 39.4% 24.2%
Sweet Sixteen14.5% 15.7% 8.3%
Elite Eight6.3% 6.8% 3.4%
Final Four2.2% 2.3% 1.6%
Championship Game0.9% 1.0% 0.4%
National Champion0.4% 0.5% 0.0%

Next Game: Nebraska (Home) - 83.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 35 - 8
Quad 25 - 310 - 11
Quad 35 - 114 - 12
Quad 47 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 260   Eastern Michigan W 68-62 96%     1 - 0 -2.5 -13.2 +10.3
  Nov 12, 2021 312   Northern Illinois W 85-49 97%     2 - 0 +24.6 +4.5 +18.4
  Nov 17, 2021 61   St. John's W 76-74 75%     3 - 0 +6.6 +2.8 +3.8
  Nov 21, 2021 186   Louisiana W 76-44 92%     4 - 0 +27.8 -2.8 +28.3
  Nov 23, 2021 258   Jackson St. W 70-35 96%     5 - 0 +26.6 +2.8 +26.9
  Nov 27, 2021 114   Marshall W 90-79 86%     6 - 0 +11.3 +7.9 +2.5
  Nov 30, 2021 71   @ Syracuse L 110-112 2OT 57%     6 - 1 +8.1 +8.9 -0.4
  Dec 04, 2021 107   Nebraska W 79-68 84%    
  Dec 08, 2021 29   @ Wisconsin L 62-66 37%    
  Dec 12, 2021 232   Merrimack W 70-52 95%    
  Dec 18, 2021 63   Notre Dame W 73-69 65%    
  Dec 22, 2021 197   Northern Kentucky W 75-59 93%    
  Dec 29, 2021 270   UNC Asheville W 81-60 97%    
  Jan 02, 2022 67   @ Penn St. W 65-64 56%    
  Jan 06, 2022 25   Ohio St. W 71-70 53%    
  Jan 09, 2022 94   Minnesota W 72-63 79%    
  Jan 13, 2022 19   @ Iowa L 76-82 31%    
  Jan 17, 2022 107   @ Nebraska W 76-71 65%    
  Jan 20, 2022 2   Purdue L 70-76 30%    
  Jan 23, 2022 15   Michigan L 68-69 49%    
  Jan 26, 2022 67   Penn St. W 68-61 74%    
  Jan 29, 2022 52   @ Maryland W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 05, 2022 30   Illinois W 74-71 58%    
  Feb 08, 2022 47   @ Northwestern L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 12, 2022 22   @ Michigan St. L 67-72 34%    
  Feb 15, 2022 29   Wisconsin W 65-63 59%    
  Feb 19, 2022 25   @ Ohio St. L 68-73 34%    
  Feb 24, 2022 52   Maryland W 71-65 70%    
  Feb 27, 2022 94   @ Minnesota W 69-66 61%    
  Mar 02, 2022 87   Rutgers W 70-62 78%    
  Mar 05, 2022 2   @ Purdue L 67-79 15%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 2.8 2.6 1.3 0.3 0.1 7.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.2 3.6 3.0 1.1 0.2 9.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 4.2 3.8 0.9 0.1 10.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.2 4.7 1.5 0.1 11.3 5th
6th 0.6 3.0 5.0 1.8 0.1 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.1 2.2 4.9 2.5 0.3 10.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 4.8 2.6 0.4 0.0 9.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.5 3.3 0.7 8.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 1.9 2.9 0.7 0.0 6.2 10th
11th 0.2 1.4 2.3 0.8 0.0 4.6 11th
12th 0.2 1.0 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.8 12th
13th 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.2 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.1 4.4 6.0 8.9 11.6 12.0 13.5 12.4 10.0 7.1 5.0 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 88.9% 0.5    0.4 0.1
17-3 76.0% 1.1    1.0 0.1 0.0
16-4 47.1% 1.3    0.7 0.5 0.1
15-5 24.8% 1.2    0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0
14-6 4.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.6% 4.6 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 43.1% 56.9% 1.6 0.1 0.1 100.0%
18-2 0.5% 100.0% 47.2% 52.8% 1.9 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.4% 100.0% 16.1% 83.9% 2.4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 100.0%
16-4 2.7% 100.0% 20.6% 79.4% 3.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 5.0% 100.0% 12.3% 87.7% 4.2 0.1 0.3 1.2 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 7.1% 100.0% 12.9% 87.1% 5.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 2.1 1.3 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-7 10.0% 98.6% 7.5% 91.1% 6.4 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.9 2.1 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.5%
12-8 12.4% 96.8% 6.4% 90.3% 7.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.8 2.8 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.4 96.6%
11-9 13.5% 88.8% 3.4% 85.4% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.5 2.7 3.1 2.0 1.5 0.2 1.5 88.4%
10-10 12.0% 65.7% 2.3% 63.4% 9.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.1 0.6 4.1 64.9%
9-11 11.6% 39.6% 1.1% 38.5% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 2.0 1.1 0.0 7.0 38.9%
8-12 8.9% 12.3% 0.5% 11.7% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 7.8 11.8%
7-13 6.0% 3.1% 3.1% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.8 3.1%
6-14 4.4% 1.0% 0.9% 0.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0 4.4 0.0%
5-15 2.1% 2.1
4-16 1.3% 1.3
3-17 0.6% 0.6
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 64.6% 5.2% 59.5% 7.3 0.9 2.0 3.7 4.6 6.5 6.6 8.8 8.6 7.7 6.1 6.5 2.5 0.2 35.4 62.7%