McNeese St.
Southland
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.2#327
Expected Predictive Rating-8.4#293
Pace80.9#9
Improvement+1.8#45

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#339
First Shot-5.7#326
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#227
Layup/Dunks+1.2#125
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#225
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#296
Freethrows-1.9#294
Improvement+1.0#77

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#292
First Shot+2.8#90
After Offensive Rebounds-6.6#358
Layups/Dunks+0.1#197
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#130
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#30
Freethrows-3.4#333
Improvement+0.8#100
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.6% 14.9% 7.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 13.0% 30.8% 10.7%
.500 or above in Conference 59.3% 71.1% 57.7%
Conference Champion 8.2% 12.7% 7.6%
Last Place in Conference 10.4% 5.3% 11.0%
First Four8.0% 12.5% 7.4%
First Round4.0% 7.6% 3.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seattle (Away) - 11.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 49 - 810 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 100   @ SMU L 62-86 6%     0 - 1 -16.1 -16.8 +4.1
  Nov 11, 2021 90   @ TCU L 61-77 5%     0 - 2 -7.0 -13.8 +8.6
  Nov 18, 2021 10   @ LSU L 46-85 1%     0 - 3 -19.8 -21.8 +5.5
  Nov 26, 2021 332   St. Francis Brooklyn W 71-59 53%     1 - 3 +0.9 -8.3 +9.2
  Nov 27, 2021 241   Samford L 75-83 27%     1 - 4 -12.0 -13.6 +2.9
  Dec 01, 2021 176   @ Seattle L 70-83 12%    
  Dec 04, 2021 78   @ Wyoming L 65-85 3%    
  Dec 08, 2021 183   @ Louisiana L 73-85 13%    
  Dec 16, 2021 160   @ UTEP L 64-78 10%    
  Dec 21, 2021 91   @ Kansas St. L 60-79 4%    
  Jan 06, 2022 274   New Orleans L 80-84 35%    
  Jan 15, 2022 353   Houston Baptist W 82-73 79%    
  Jan 20, 2022 318   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 73-77 35%    
  Jan 22, 2022 350   @ Incarnate Word W 75-73 56%    
  Jan 27, 2022 235   Nicholls St. L 75-79 37%    
  Jan 29, 2022 274   New Orleans L 81-82 46%    
  Feb 03, 2022 326   SE Louisiana W 77-74 61%    
  Feb 05, 2022 343   Northwestern St. W 82-76 70%    
  Feb 10, 2022 326   @ SE Louisiana L 74-77 40%    
  Feb 12, 2022 343   @ Northwestern St. W 80-79 50%    
  Feb 17, 2022 235   @ Nicholls St. L 72-82 20%    
  Feb 19, 2022 274   @ New Orleans L 78-85 27%    
  Feb 24, 2022 318   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 76-74 56%    
  Feb 26, 2022 350   Incarnate Word W 78-70 75%    
  Mar 05, 2022 353   @ Houston Baptist W 79-76 59%    
Projected Record 9 - 16 7 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.4 1.7 2.9 2.2 0.8 0.2 8.2 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 4.1 5.0 2.1 0.3 12.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 6.1 5.9 1.6 0.1 15.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.9 7.1 7.0 1.4 0.0 17.4 4th
5th 0.2 2.6 7.3 6.0 1.1 0.0 17.2 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 6.3 4.3 0.6 0.0 13.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.3 2.9 0.4 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 1.6 2.0 1.2 0.1 5.6 8th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.0 4.2 7.9 11.9 13.9 15.2 15.3 11.8 8.4 5.1 2.5 0.8 0.2 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
13-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
12-2 87.9% 2.2    1.6 0.5 0.0
11-3 57.8% 2.9    1.4 1.3 0.3 0.0
10-4 20.4% 1.7    0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1
9-5 3.6% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 8.2% 8.2 4.5 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-1 0.8% 43.6% 43.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 0.4
12-2 2.5% 37.1% 37.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9 1.6
11-3 5.1% 26.9% 26.9% 16.0 0.1 1.3 3.7
10-4 8.4% 21.6% 21.6% 16.0 1.8 6.6
9-5 11.8% 13.2% 13.2% 16.0 0.0 1.5 10.2
8-6 15.3% 8.3% 8.3% 16.0 1.3 14.0
7-7 15.2% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.7 14.5
6-8 13.9% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 13.7
5-9 11.9% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 11.7
4-10 7.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.9
3-11 4.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 4.2
2-12 2.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.0
1-13 0.7% 0.7
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 8.5 91.4 0.0%