Morehead St.
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#133
Expected Predictive Rating+5.0#112
Pace63.7#307
Improvement+2.4#32

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#138
First Shot+3.5#81
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#307
Layup/Dunks-0.7#189
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#51
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#88
Freethrows-1.5#273
Improvement+1.0#79

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#126
First Shot-0.8#202
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#62
Layups/Dunks-0.7#214
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#349
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#219
Freethrows+5.7#1
Improvement+1.4#62
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.8% 16.8% 13.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.5 14.1
.500 or above 93.2% 96.2% 85.4%
.500 or above in Conference 96.9% 97.7% 95.0%
Conference Champion 16.9% 18.9% 11.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round15.7% 16.8% 12.9%
Second Round2.1% 2.3% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.5% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Southern (Home) - 72.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 31 - 7
Quad 33 - 24 - 8
Quad 415 - 319 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 21   @ Auburn L 54-77 9%     0 - 1 -6.0 -10.5 +4.2
  Nov 12, 2021 52   @ UAB L 71-85 19%     0 - 2 -2.3 +4.0 -6.2
  Nov 21, 2021 38   @ Mississippi St. L 46-66 14%     0 - 3 -6.2 -12.9 +3.8
  Nov 26, 2021 231   @ Arkansas St. W 75-51 60%     1 - 3 +23.7 +5.6 +19.2
  Nov 27, 2021 215   UMKC W 70-62 67%     2 - 3 +5.7 +6.3 +0.6
  Dec 01, 2021 180   Georgia Southern W 67-61 72%    
  Dec 06, 2021 283   Presbyterian W 68-56 87%    
  Dec 11, 2021 123   @ East Tennessee St. L 63-67 37%    
  Dec 15, 2021 37   @ Xavier L 61-73 14%    
  Dec 21, 2021 336   @ IUPUI W 67-56 85%    
  Dec 29, 2021 346   Eastern Illinois W 76-57 96%    
  Jan 01, 2022 319   Tennessee St. W 78-64 90%    
  Jan 06, 2022 261   @ Tennessee Tech W 72-67 66%    
  Jan 08, 2022 263   @ Austin Peay W 69-64 66%    
  Jan 12, 2022 345   Tennessee Martin W 79-60 95%    
  Jan 15, 2022 319   @ Tennessee St. W 75-67 77%    
  Jan 20, 2022 66   Belmont L 70-72 42%    
  Jan 22, 2022 328   SIU Edwardsville W 75-59 92%    
  Jan 27, 2022 304   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 75-68 74%    
  Jan 29, 2022 89   @ Murray St. L 61-68 27%    
  Feb 03, 2022 261   Tennessee Tech W 75-64 82%    
  Feb 05, 2022 263   Austin Peay W 72-61 82%    
  Feb 10, 2022 66   @ Belmont L 67-75 24%    
  Feb 12, 2022 89   Murray St. L 64-65 47%    
  Feb 16, 2022 345   @ Tennessee Martin W 76-63 87%    
  Feb 19, 2022 304   Southeast Missouri St. W 78-65 87%    
  Feb 24, 2022 346   @ Eastern Illinois W 73-60 88%    
  Feb 26, 2022 328   @ SIU Edwardsville W 72-62 80%    
Projected Record 18 - 10 13 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.2 4.4 6.7 3.6 0.9 16.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.2 4.5 9.7 8.4 2.0 26.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.5 6.0 10.4 12.0 6.6 1.0 37.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 3.4 4.0 2.3 0.6 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 1.9 1.8 0.5 0.0 5.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.2 1.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 3.8 6.8 10.7 13.9 17.3 17.5 13.7 8.7 3.6 0.9 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.9    0.9
17-1 100.0% 3.6    3.3 0.3
16-2 76.8% 6.7    3.8 2.8 0.2
15-3 31.8% 4.4    1.4 2.2 0.7
14-4 6.7% 1.2    0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0
13-5 1.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 16.9% 16.9 9.6 5.9 1.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.9% 59.8% 57.5% 2.3% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 5.4%
17-1 3.6% 43.7% 42.6% 1.1% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.0 1.9%
16-2 8.7% 33.5% 33.5% 13.1 0.0 0.6 1.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.8
15-3 13.7% 25.6% 25.6% 13.5 0.4 1.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 10.2
14-4 17.5% 17.1% 17.1% 14.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 0.8 0.1 14.5
13-5 17.3% 12.7% 12.7% 14.3 0.3 1.0 0.8 0.1 15.1
12-6 13.9% 8.0% 8.0% 14.7 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 12.8
11-7 10.7% 4.5% 4.5% 15.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 10.2
10-8 6.8% 5.0% 5.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 6.5
9-9 3.8% 2.4% 2.4% 15.6 0.0 0.1 3.7
8-10 1.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 1.9
7-11 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8
6-12 0.3% 0.3
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 15.8% 15.7% 0.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.7 4.7 5.2 2.9 0.8 84.2 0.1%