IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

New Haven
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-14.9	#362
Expected Predictive Rating	+11.4	#14

Pace	69.0	#166
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-8.1	#359

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.7	#356

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	n/a	n/a	n/a

.500 or above	8.6%	17.4%	5.4%
.500 or above in Conference	39.2%	50.4%	35.2%
Conference Champion	4.6%	7.2%	3.7%
Last Place in Conference	22.0%	14.6%	24.7%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Columbia (Home) - 26.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 4	8 - 13	8 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	4	@ Connecticut	L	55-79	0.2%	0 - 1			+0.4	-4.6	+3.8
Nov 07, 2025	255	Columbia	L	73-80	26%
Nov 08, 2025	99	Penn St.	L	65-82	6%
Nov 10, 2025	307	@ Umass Lowell	L	68-78	18%
Nov 15, 2025	339	Delaware St.	L	73-74	44%
Nov 18, 2025	100	@ Seton Hall	L	55-77	2%
Dec 06, 2025	114	@ Boston College	L	59-80	3%
Dec 10, 2025	355	@ NJIT	L	66-71	33%
Dec 22, 2025	170	@ Fordham	L	66-83	7%
Dec 29, 2025	31	@ Vanderbilt	L	59-90	0.3%
Jan 02, 2026	334	@ Stonehill	L	64-72	25%
Jan 04, 2026	310	@ Central Connecticut St.	L	61-71	20%
Jan 08, 2026	350	@ Le Moyne	L	71-77	31%
Jan 10, 2026	348	Fairleigh Dickinson	L	71-72	50%
Jan 17, 2026	344	Wagner	L	67-68	47%
Jan 19, 2026	347	@ Chicago St.	L	69-75	30%
Jan 23, 2026	361	Mercyhurst	W	68-65	59%
Jan 25, 2026	352	St. Francis (PA)	W	71-70	51%
Jan 29, 2026	361	@ Mercyhurst	L	65-68	39%
Jan 31, 2026	352	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	67-73	31%
Feb 05, 2026	289	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	61-72	18%
Feb 07, 2026	347	Chicago St.	L	72-73	49%
Feb 12, 2026	310	Central Connecticut St.	L	64-68	37%
Feb 14, 2026	289	LIU Brooklyn	L	64-69	34%
Feb 19, 2026	334	Stonehill	L	67-69	44%
Feb 21, 2026	348	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	69-75	31%
Feb 26, 2026	344	@ Wagner	L	64-71	29%
Feb 28, 2026	350	Le Moyne	W	74-73	50%
Projected Record						8 - 20	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.1	0.6	1.1	1.2	0.9	0.5	0.2		4.5	1st
2nd										0.2	1.3	2.2	1.8	0.7	0.2	0.1			6.5	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.2	2.0	3.3	2.0	0.5	0.1	0.0				8.0	3rd
4th								0.2	2.0	4.2	2.2	0.4	0.0						9.0	4th
5th							0.2	2.0	4.6	2.5	0.4	0.0							9.6	5th
6th						0.2	2.1	5.0	3.1	0.3	0.0								10.7	6th
7th				0.0	0.2	2.0	5.2	3.5	0.5	0.0									11.4	7th
8th			0.0	0.3	2.2	5.1	4.0	0.6	0.0										12.3	8th
9th		0.0	0.7	2.7	5.1	3.7	0.9	0.0											13.1	9th
10th	0.7	2.5	4.2	4.5	2.3	0.6	0.0												14.8	10th

Total	0.7	2.5	4.9	7.5	9.8	11.6	12.4	11.3	10.3	9.2	7.2	5.1	3.5	2.0	1.1	0.6	0.2			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
15-1	87.3%	0.5		0.5	0.0
14-2	77.4%	0.9		0.6	0.2	0.0
13-3	58.8%	1.2		0.7	0.4	0.0	0.0
12-4	31.6%	1.1		0.5	0.5	0.1	0.0
11-5	10.7%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
10-6	1.2%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	4.5%	4.5		2.6	1.3	0.4	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.2%																							0.2
15-1	0.6%																							0.6
14-2	1.1%																							1.1
13-3	2.0%																							2.0
12-4	3.5%																							3.5
11-5	5.1%																							5.1
10-6	7.2%																							7.2
9-7	9.2%																							9.2
8-8	10.3%																							10.3
7-9	11.3%																							11.3
6-10	12.4%																							12.4
5-11	11.6%																							11.6
4-12	9.8%																							9.8
3-13	7.5%																							7.5
2-14	4.9%																							4.9
1-15	2.5%																							2.5
0-16	0.7%																							0.7

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0																		100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.4%