New Haven
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.4#340
Expected Predictive Rating-10.1#317
Pace63.4#330
Improvement-0.7#227

Offense
Total Offense-8.7#355
First Shot-4.5#305
After Offensive Rebound-4.2#356
Layup/Dunks+0.4#166
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#78
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#299
Freethrows-3.2#331
Improvement+0.5#133

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#267
First Shot-3.6#304
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#115
Layups/Dunks-0.4#193
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#209
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#287
Freethrows-0.3#200
Improvement-1.2#275
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 10.4% 38.1% 10.3%
.500 or above in Conference 55.2% 85.7% 55.1%
Conference Champion 6.5% 14.3% 6.5%
Last Place in Conference 10.6% 0.0% 10.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vanderbilt (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 30 - 50 - 8
Quad 410 - 1010 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 7 @Connecticut L 55-79 0.4%    0 - 1 +0.4 -1.9 +1.1
  Fri, Nov 7 142 Columbia L 53-71 18%     0 - 2 -19.8 -16.8 -4.2
  Sat, Nov 8 126 Penn St. L 43-87 16%     0 - 3 -44.7 -26.8 -23.4
  Mon, Nov 10 304 @Umass Lowell W 73-67 27%     1 - 3 +1.0 -1.6 +2.7
  Sat, Nov 15 346 Delaware St. W 65-52 64%     2 - 3 -2.1 -8.0 +6.6
  Tue, Nov 18 54 @Seton Hall L 45-68 2%     2 - 4 -10.5 -12.3 -1.2
  Sat, Dec 6 156 @Boston College L 63-67 9%     2 - 5 -0.7 +2.4 -3.6
  Wed, Dec 10 353 @NJIT L 64-70 46%     2 - 6 -16.3 -6.9 -9.7
  Mon, Dec 22 193 @Fordham L 47-65 13%     2 - 7 -17.1 -18.9 +0.0
  Mon, Dec 29 9 @Vanderbilt L 54-89 0.1%   
  Fri, Jan 2 338 @Stonehill L 61-64 38%    
  Sun, Jan 4 278 @Central Connecticut St. L 60-68 23%    
  Thu, Jan 8 312 @Le Moyne L 69-75 30%    
  Sat, Jan 10 357 Fairleigh Dickinson W 72-66 71%    
  Sat, Jan 17 295 Wagner L 66-67 45%    
  Mon, Jan 19 336 @Chicago St. L 67-71 37%    
  Fri, Jan 23 318 Mercyhurst W 63-62 54%    
  Sun, Jan 25 361 St. Francis (PA) W 71-64 74%    
  Thu, Jan 29 318 @Mercyhurst L 60-65 32%    
  Sat, Jan 31 361 @St. Francis (PA) W 68-67 54%    
  Thu, Feb 5 206 @LIU Brooklyn L 64-75 15%    
  Sat, Feb 7 336 Chicago St. W 70-68 58%    
  Thu, Feb 12 278 Central Connecticut St. L 63-65 43%    
  Sat, Feb 14 206 LIU Brooklyn L 67-72 32%    
  Thu, Feb 19 338 Stonehill W 64-61 59%    
  Sat, Feb 21 357 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 70-69 51%    
  Thu, Feb 26 295 @Wagner L 63-70 26%    
  Sat, Feb 28 312 Le Moyne W 72-71 52%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.7 2.0 1.3 0.5 0.2 6.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 3.2 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 8.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 4.7 3.1 0.7 0.1 10.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 5.7 3.6 0.7 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 5.6 4.6 0.8 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 5.2 5.3 0.9 0.0 12.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.3 5.6 1.4 0.0 12.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 3.6 5.2 1.7 0.1 11.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.2 3.4 1.4 0.1 9.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.9 1.7 0.5 0.1 5.9 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.1 5.8 8.3 12.0 13.8 13.9 12.9 10.4 7.7 5.2 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.2 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
15-1 98.1% 0.5    0.5 0.0
14-2 86.6% 1.3    1.0 0.2 0.0
13-3 68.6% 2.0    1.1 0.8 0.1 0.0
12-4 33.5% 1.7    0.6 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0
11-5 8.7% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 6.5% 6.5 3.5 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 0.2
15-1 0.5% 0.5
14-2 1.5% 1.5
13-3 3.0% 3.0
12-4 5.2% 5.2
11-5 7.7% 7.7
10-6 10.4% 10.4
9-7 12.9% 12.9
8-8 13.9% 13.9
7-9 13.8% 13.8
6-10 12.0% 12.0
5-11 8.3% 8.3
4-12 5.8% 5.8
3-13 3.1% 3.1
2-14 1.4% 1.4
1-15 0.4% 0.4
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%