New Haven
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -10.6 325
Expected Predictive Rating -9.8 319
Pace 60.8 351
Improvement +2.0 107

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F+ 354 D F+ D D- C-
Defense C- 226 C- C C- C+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 230 C 59% 141 -0.7 204
2 Pt. Jumpers 40% 157 D+ 35% 286 -0.1 183
Three Pointers 41% 181 F+ 29% 350 -3.3 292
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 237 D -3.6 307
1st FG Attempt D 0.94 303
Second Chance F+ 22.0% 351 D 0.94 301 F+ 0.21 355
Turnovers D 19.2% 317
Freethrows D- 0.25 335 C 72% 208 D- 0.18 341
Total Offense F+ -9.0 354

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D 41% 297 C 10.7% 161
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 24% 183 B+ 2.1% 22
Three Pointers A- 94% 13 B 0.3% 42
Total C- 53% 240 B 4.5% 60

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 132 C- 59% 216 +1.7 235
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 292 C 38% 172 -1.5 76
Three Pointers 43% 122 C- 35% 245 +1.7 274
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 279 C- +1.3 232
1st FG Attempt C- 1.06 243
Second Chance B- 28.0% 86 D 1.12 304 C 0.31 190
Turnovers C- 16.1% 222
Freethrows B- 0.27 73 D- 75% 331 C+ 0.20 117
Total Defense C- -1.6 226

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 95 D 7.6% 315
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 19% 63 D- 1.6% 340
Three Pointers B- 81% 92 D+ 0.6% 239
Total C+ 53% 123 D 3.6% 326

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 20.2 363 16.6 59
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 324 0.17 185
Improvement +0.8 #141 +1.2 #120

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 340 326 311
Conference Record 7 - 9 9 - 7 11 - 5
Conference Finish 7 5 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 94% 100% 91%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Fairleigh Dickinson (Away) - 40.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 30 - 40 - 7
Quad 411 - 1011 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 9 @Connecticut L 55 - 79 1% -12  0% 0 - 1 C -1 D- -6 B+ F B+ B +4 B C B
 Fri, Nov 7 197 Columbia L 53 - 71 30% -16  0% 0 - 2 F -23 F -22 F D- F C- -2 F A+ B+
 Sat, Nov 8 115 Penn St. L 43 - 87 16% -18  14% 0 - 3 F -44 F -30 F F F F -20 D+ F F
 Mon, Nov 10 310 @Umass Lowell W 73 - 67 32% -1  42% 1 - 3 C +0 D+ -4 C+ C- F B +4 A+ F D
 Sat, Nov 15 361 Delaware St. W 65 - 52 81% +7  92% 2 - 3 D+ -7 F -12 D+ F+ F B+ +6 B+ C D-
 Tue, Nov 18 56 @Seton Hall L 45 - 68 2% -14  0% 2 - 4 D -10 F -13 D- D- C+ C +0 D- A- C
 Sat, Dec 6 135 @Boston College L 63 - 67 9% +3  73% 2 - 5 C +1 C +1 C D C- C -1 F A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 10 315 @NJIT L 64 - 70 34% -4  4% 2 - 6 D- -12 F+ -9 F D A- D+ -3 F A D+
 Mon, Dec 22 158 @Fordham L 47 - 65 11% -5  37% 2 - 7 F+ -15 F -19 D F F C+ +2 D D- A+
 Mon, Dec 29 14 @Vanderbilt L 53 - 96 1% -24  0% 2 - 8 F -21 F -12 D+ F C+ F -10 F D+ C
 Fri, Jan 2 345 @Stonehill W 70 - 55 46% +5  53% 3 - 8 1 - 0 B- +5 C +0 B D C B+ +6 B+ D D-
 Sun, Jan 4 292 @Central Connecticut St. L 61 - 72 28% -10  0% 3 - 9 1 - 1 F+ -15 D- -6 F+ A F F -11 F D D+
 Thu, Jan 8 296 @Le Moyne L 47 - 73 28% -16  4% 3 - 10 1 - 2 F -31 F -23 F F F F -11 F+ D- F
 Sat, Jan 10 329 Fairleigh Dickinson W 65 - 55 63% +10  96% 4 - 10 2 - 2 C- -4 F+ -9 B F+ D B+ +6 A A F+
 Sat, Jan 17 324 Wagner W 80 - 74 61% +8  97% 5 - 10 3 - 2 D+ -7 A- +10 A+ F C- F -16 F F A+
 Mon, Jan 19 351 @Chicago St. W 62 - 56 51% -3  18% 6 - 10 4 - 2 C- -5 D- -7 D- C F B +4 D- A+ C+
 Fri, Jan 23 301 Mercyhurst L 57 - 61 51% +0  43% 6 - 11 4 - 3 F+ -15 F -11 C+ F+ F D -5 F B+ C-
 Thu, Jan 29 301 @Mercyhurst L 51 - 70 29% -13  1% 6 - 12 4 - 4 F -24 F -17 F F A- F+ -9 A- F F
 Sat, Jan 31 355 @St. Francis (PA) W 81 - 69 54% +5  77% 7 - 12 5 - 4 C +0 C+ +3 B F B+ C- -2 C D+ F+
 Thu, Feb 5 214 @LIU Brooklyn L 55 - 60 16% -7  3% 7 - 13 5 - 5 D+ -5 F -12 D+ F B A- +7 A C- C
 Sat, Feb 7 351 Chicago St. L 57 - 63 72% -6  7% 7 - 14 5 - 6 F -23 F -17 D- F C D- -7 F A+ F
 Thu, Feb 12 292 Central Connecticut St. L 76 - 81 49% -6  10% 7 - 15 5 - 7 F+ -15 D -5 F+ B+ D- F -10 F A+ A
 Sat, Feb 14 214 LIU Brooklyn W 55 - 52 32% +10  99% 8 - 15 6 - 7 C- -3 F -14 F B- A- A+ +12 A+ D- A-
 Thu, Feb 19 345 Stonehill W 64 - 51 69% +6  96% 9 - 15 7 - 7 C- -3 F+ -8 D+ F+ F+ A- +7 B+ B- F
 Sat, Feb 21 329 @Fairleigh Dickinson L 61 - 64 41%
 Tue, Feb 24 355 St. Francis (PA) W 73 - 66 75%
 Thu, Feb 26 324 @Wagner L 64 - 67 38%
 Sat, Feb 28 296 Le Moyne W 67 - 66 50%
Totals 11 - 17 9 - 9 -11 F+ -9 B+ D C- C- -2 F+ C D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F+ C D+ F+ D 37% 40% 41% C- D F+ D F+ D D- C D- C- C- C C- C- 40% 17% 43% D+ C- B- D C C- B- D- C+
0.96 59% 35% 29% -4 0 0.94 22% 0.9 .21 19% .25 72% .18 1.11 59% 38% 35% +1 +1 1.06 28% 1.1 .31 16% .27 75% .19
Nov
3		 Connecticut D- B A+ F A 39% 33% 29% D B+ F F F B+ F F F B B+ F C- A- 47% 6% 47% F+ B B+ F+ C B D- F F
0.83 58% 50% 21% -2 -2 0.96 12% 0.5 .06 17% .25 43% .11 1.19 55% 67% 36% +2 +2 1.11 32% 1.3 .42 18% .37 85% .31
Nov
7		 Columbia F F F F F 41% 22% 37% C- F F+ D+ D- F C A B- C- F B- F F 52% 14% 34% D F B+ A+ A+ B+ C A- C+
0.81 45% 18% 22% -16 0 0.69 21% 0.9 .19 18% .30 81% .24 1.08 70% 33% 47% +12 +2 1.30 31% 0.6 .19 24% .28 64% .18
Nov
8		 Penn St. F F+ B F F 36% 18% 46% C F F+ F F F D F F+ F A F F C- 49% 10% 41% F D+ F F F F B C B
0.69 50% 43% 22% -10 0 0.82 20% 1.0 .20 31% .19 63% .12 1.40 48% 80% 43% +5 +2 1.16 40% 1.6 .63 10% .28 75% .21
Nov
10		 Umass Lowell D+ C B- A- B- 45% 24% 31% D+ C+ C- C- C- F C F D+ B A+ D+ A+ A+ 35% 15% 50% C- A+ D+ F F D F F F
1.07 59% 42% 40% +4 0 1.10 30% 1.1 .33 20% .28 67% .18 0.98 29% 43% 25% -16 +1 0.71 33% 1.5 .51 18% .48 78% .37
Nov
15		 Delaware St. F A+ C F C- 35% 20% 45% D D+ D+ F F+ F A- B A B+ F A+ A+ B+ 30% 36% 34% C+ B+ A F C D- A+ C- A
0.98 79% 38% 28% +3 0 1.08 29% 0.9 .25 26% .41 75% .31 0.79 63% 16% 22% -13 -3 0.72 15% 1.2 .18 17% .18 70% .13
Nov
18		 Seton Hall F D F D D 28% 28% 43% F D- F A+ D- C+ F F F C D- A+ F F+ 41% 18% 41% C- D- A+ D- A- C A+ F A+
0.73 46% 23% 30% -10 -2 0.78 15% 1.2 .18 23% .17 63% .10 1.10 65% 22% 40% +4 0 1.10 23% 1.1 .27 16% .19 80% .15
Dec
6		 Boston College C D A+ F B- 23% 34% 43% F C C+ F D C- A+ A+ A+ C C D F F 18% 28% 55% A F D A+ A+ A+ F F F
1.01 50% 53% 26% -2 -3 0.93 28% 0.7 .19 16% .46 83% .38 1.08 57% 45% 45% +11 -2 1.20 33% 0.5 .15 24% .49 74% .36
Dec
10		 NJIT F+ D+ F+ F F 47% 25% 27% C- F C F+ D A- D+ F F D+ F F A- F 30% 19% 51% D+ F A A+ A D+ F C- F
0.96 54% 29% 20% -10 0 0.82 34% 0.9 .30 11% .32 58% .19 1.05 69% 63% 27% +3 0 1.07 19% 0.7 .13 17% .56 71% .40
Dec
22		 Fordham F A+ F F D 26% 30% 44% D D F F F F F F F C+ F D A D- 40% 27% 33% B- D C+ F D- A+ A- D- B+
0.74 85% 13% 27% -5 -2 0.88 17% 0.3 .06 24% .04 50% .02 1.03 68% 46% 25% +2 -1 1.04 33% 1.2 .41 24% .17 75% .12
Dec
29		 Vanderbilt F C+ D- F D- 48% 24% 28% B D+ F D- F C+ F D+ F F F A+ F F 56% 7% 37% F F F+ B D+ C A+ F A
0.77 58% 31% 13% -11 0 0.81 14% 0.8 .11 19% .13 71% .09 1.40 75% 25% 43% +14 +3 1.35 39% 1.1 .43 13% .20 92% .18
Jan
2		 Stonehill C C+ F A+ B+ 36% 23% 42% D+ B F A+ D C F D F B+ A- A+ A+ A 55% 10% 35% F B+ C+ F D D- C F+ C-
1.06 58% 25% 45% +4 0 1.09 13% 1.8 .23 12% .16 67% .10 0.83 44% 20% 24% -15 +3 0.78 26% 1.1 .29 18% .22 75% .17
Jan
4		 Central Connecticut St. D- C- D- F F+ 37% 12% 51% C F+ A- B+ A F F F F F C+ F+ F F 29% 23% 48% D- F C+ F D D+ A+ A- A+
1.04 56% 33% 28% -6 +1 0.92 40% 1.1 .46 19% .06 67% .04 1.23 57% 45% 48% +11 -1 1.23 25% 1.3 .32 15% .14 71% .10
Jan
8		 Le Moyne F D F F F 33% 19% 49% C- F F F F F A F D- F F B- A- F 37% 14% 49% C- F+ D D- D- F F A D-
0.77 50% 13% 29% -11 0 0.79 22% 0.8 .16 21% .39 47% .19 1.19 88% 33% 29% +6 +1 1.16 29% 1.1 .32 13% .45 63% .28
Jan
10		 Fairleigh Dickinson F+ A+ F C B 46% 18% 36% B- B F A+ F+ D A+ F B- B+ B- A+ A+ A+ 35% 6% 58% F A B+ A+ A F+ D- D+ D-
1.04 78% 29% 36% +8 +1 1.21 13% 1.3 .17 18% .51 54% .27 0.88 53% 0% 21% -15 +2 0.75 26% 0.6 .17 14% .34 72% .24
Jan
17		 Wagner A- A F A+ A+ 28% 15% 57% D A+ F F F C- F A+ D+ F F D- F F 36% 20% 44% C- F F B+ F A+ A+ C- A
1.32 69% 14% 58% +20 0 1.41 21% 0.4 .08 15% .27 93% .25 1.22 69% 44% 45% +12 0 1.27 50% 0.9 .46 28% .16 71% .11
Jan
19		 Chicago St. D- C F D F+ 41% 3% 56% B+ D- A F C F C A+ A B C D+ C D 48% 26% 26% F D- B- A+ A+ C+ A+ C A
1.06 63% 0% 32% -1 +3 1.05 46% 0.8 .39 29% .34 100% .34 0.95 55% 42% 33% -1 0 1.00 26% 0.5 .13 17% .16 75% .12
Jan
23		 Mercyhurst F A A- F B- 44% 23% 33% D+ C+ F C- F+ F C+ C- C D C+ D F F+ 48% 24% 28% F F A+ F B+ C- A- F C+
0.97 71% 44% 23% +1 0 1.05 24% 1.0 .24 24% .38 71% .27 1.04 55% 45% 38% +2 0 1.07 12% 1.7 .20 15% .14 100% .14
Jan
29		 Mercyhurst F D- A+ F F 38% 31% 31% F F F C- F A- A- F C F+ A+ C+ D+ A 35% 35% 29% C A- C- F F F D- F F
0.84 50% 54% 8% -10 -1 0.79 18% 1.0 .18 15% .44 61% .27 1.15 28% 39% 33% -11 -2 0.76 27% 1.9 .51 7% .26 87% .23
Jan
31		 St. Francis (PA) C+ A+ F A+ B+ 36% 20% 43% D B F C F B+ A+ A- A+ C- D- A+ B- B- 44% 18% 38% F C B F D+ F+ D- B- D
1.22 81% 0% 53% +13 0 1.27 19% 1.2 .22 15% .48 78% .37 1.04 64% 11% 32% -4 +1 0.96 23% 1.3 .29 15% .32 67% .21
Feb
5		 LIU Brooklyn F C- A+ F D+ 52% 22% 26% C D+ F F F B D- F F+ A- B C A+ A+ 37% 22% 41% C+ A C C- C- C B- F D+
0.87 54% 60% 17% -4 +1 0.96 13% 0.8 .10 16% .28 60% .17 0.95 53% 40% 21% -9 0 0.83 34% 1.0 .34 21% .26 77% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Chicago St. F F+ F B- F+ 34% 5% 61% B- D- F A+ F C F F F D- B- F D+ F 26% 43% 30% A F A+ A+ A+ F C- D- D+
0.97 53% 0% 37% -1 +2 1.05 10% 1.7 .16 19% .25 67% .17 1.07 50% 55% 36% +6 -4 1.07 19% 0.3 .06 8% .28 80% .22
Feb
12		 Central Connecticut St. D D- B F F+ 50% 19% 31% C F+ D- A+ B+ D- A+ A+ A+ F F D F F 30% 35% 35% C+ F A A+ A+ A F B+ F
1.10 50% 44% 27% -6 +1 0.92 26% 1.6 .42 16% .38 95% .36 1.17 79% 44% 56% +20 -2 1.37 19% 0.6 .12 22% .41 73% .30
Feb
14		 LIU Brooklyn F F F F F 48% 14% 39% B- F D- A+ B- A- A+ C- A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 49% 26% 26% C- A+ B F D- A- A+ F A-
0.89 38% 17% 18% -22 +2 0.61 28% 1.4 .38 15% .47 68% .32 0.84 57% 25% 8% -14 0 0.74 31% 1.3 .41 24% .17 75% .13
Feb
19		 Stonehill F+ C A- F D 55% 18% 27% B+ D+ B- F F+ F+ F+ B D A- A+ F+ B- A- 42% 18% 40% C- B+ A+ F B- F B- A+ A-
0.98 57% 44% 21% -5 +2 0.96 31% 0.6 .19 15% .22 75% .16 0.78 29% 44% 30% -14 +1 0.76 18% 1.1 .21 15% .20 45% .09



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.3 1.5 1.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 11.1 5.2 16.5 3rd
4th 0.3 17.2 13.2 30.6 4th
5th 4.4 16.9 1.3 22.6 5th
6th 1.5 17.8 3.3 22.6 6th
7th 2.9 1.9 4.8 7th
8th 1.1 1.1 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 5.6 24.3 37.6 25.9 6.7 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 6.7% 6.7
10-6 25.9% 25.9
9-7 37.6% 37.6
8-8 24.3% 24.3
7-9 5.6% 5.6
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 6.7%
Lose Out 5.6%