North Texas
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#147
Expected Predictive Rating+2.0#139
Pace62.4#347
Improvement+0.4#144

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#264
First Shot-3.7#282
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#170
Layup/Dunks+2.6#86
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#304
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#338
Freethrows+2.4#55
Improvement-1.4#300

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#57
First Shot+5.2#38
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#236
Layups/Dunks+3.8#53
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#184
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#34
Freethrows-3.7#348
Improvement+1.8#61
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 5.4% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.7 13.0
.500 or above 70.9% 87.7% 67.1%
.500 or above in Conference 55.6% 76.4% 50.8%
Conference Champion 3.8% 10.3% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.8% 0.9% 4.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round3.5% 5.4% 3.0%
Second Round0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Memphis (Away) - 18.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 51 - 7
Quad 35 - 56 - 13
Quad 410 - 117 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 274 Northwestern St. W 80-53 83%     1 - 0 +17.9 +15.5 +7.4
  Sun, Nov 9 290 Loyola Chicago W 64-62 78%     2 - 0 -5.0 -10.3 +5.4
  Wed, Nov 12 164 @Oregon St. L 64-66 44%     2 - 1 +0.6 -0.3 +0.7
  Fri, Nov 14 42 @St. Mary's L 49-80 10%     2 - 2 -15.9 -12.6 -4.8
  Thu, Nov 20 284 Central Arkansas W 74-56 84%     3 - 2 +8.6 +0.0 +8.9
  Tue, Nov 25 249 Eastern Washington W 79-71 OT 80%     4 - 2 +0.0 -3.6 +3.3
  Sun, Nov 30 326 Prairie View W 72-69 90%     5 - 2 -9.9 -6.7 -3.2
  Tue, Dec 2 279 Houston Christian W 77-75 83%     6 - 2 -7.3 +7.1 -14.1
  Sun, Dec 7 55 TCU L 55-65 28%     6 - 3 -3.1 -9.3 +5.8
  Sun, Dec 14 187 @South Alabama W 58-57 49%     7 - 3 +2.1 -8.3 +10.6
  Wed, Dec 17 78 Santa Clara L 60-63 27%     7 - 4 +4.5 -7.6 +11.9
  Wed, Dec 31 76 @Memphis L 61-71 19%    
  Sun, Jan 4 82 Tulsa L 67-70 39%    
  Wed, Jan 7 85 South Florida L 69-72 40%    
  Sun, Jan 11 100 @Wichita St. L 60-67 26%    
  Sun, Jan 18 199 @Tulane W 67-66 51%    
  Wed, Jan 21 295 Texas San Antonio W 71-60 85%    
  Sat, Jan 24 252 East Carolina W 69-60 80%    
  Wed, Jan 28 82 @Tulsa L 64-73 21%    
  Sat, Jan 31 115 UAB W 69-68 52%    
  Wed, Feb 4 206 @Rice W 64-63 53%    
  Sat, Feb 7 295 @Texas San Antonio W 68-63 68%    
  Thu, Feb 12 76 Memphis L 64-68 37%    
  Sun, Feb 15 148 @Temple L 67-70 39%    
  Wed, Feb 18 199 Tulane W 70-64 72%    
  Sun, Feb 22 117 Florida Atlantic W 69-68 53%    
  Wed, Feb 25 194 @Charlotte W 64-63 51%    
  Sun, Mar 1 115 @UAB L 66-71 31%    
  Wed, Mar 4 206 Rice W 67-60 73%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 3.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 5.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.4 3.4 1.1 0.1 7.4 3rd
4th 0.1 2.3 4.6 1.9 0.2 9.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 5.5 2.9 0.2 10.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.9 4.5 0.6 0.0 11.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 4.0 5.6 1.3 0.0 11.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 3.1 6.0 2.0 0.1 11.6 8th
9th 0.1 2.0 5.1 2.6 0.2 10.1 9th
10th 0.1 1.2 3.9 2.6 0.3 0.0 8.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 2.4 2.2 0.4 0.0 5.8 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.1 1.7 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.9 5.3 8.8 11.8 14.1 14.5 14.0 11.0 7.7 4.5 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 96.1% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 88.5% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
14-4 54.9% 1.3    0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 21.7% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.8% 3.8 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 12.5% 12.5% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.3% 18.4% 18.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 0.9% 16.8% 16.8% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8
14-4 2.4% 13.7% 13.7% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.1
13-5 4.5% 12.3% 12.3% 12.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 4.0
12-6 7.7% 8.4% 8.4% 12.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 7.0
11-7 11.0% 5.5% 5.5% 12.9 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 10.4
10-8 14.0% 3.8% 3.8% 13.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 13.5
9-9 14.5% 1.5% 1.5% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.3
8-10 14.1% 1.3% 1.3% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.9
7-11 11.8% 0.7% 0.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.7
6-12 8.8% 0.7% 0.7% 15.2 0.1 0.0 8.8
5-13 5.3% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 5.2
4-14 2.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.9
3-15 1.1% 1.1
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 12.9 0.1 1.2 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 96.5 0.0%