Charlotte
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#205
Expected Predictive Rating-4.4#237
Pace60.4#354
Improvement-3.0#341

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#188
First Shot+0.6#159
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#244
Layup/Dunks+3.9#57
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#337
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#292
Freethrows+3.4#41
Improvement-4.5#362

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#220
First Shot+1.9#119
After Offensive Rebounds-3.5#351
Layups/Dunks-3.6#302
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#34
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#108
Freethrows+1.2#107
Improvement+1.5#58
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.4% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 12.8 13.6
.500 or above 24.1% 39.3% 18.3%
.500 or above in Conference 25.7% 33.7% 22.8%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 17.3% 11.4% 19.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.8% 1.4% 0.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Davidson (Away) - 27.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 51 - 7
Quad 34 - 75 - 14
Quad 47 - 312 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 248   Presbyterian W 88-79 71%     1 - 0 +1.4 +23.6 -21.0
  Nov 09, 2024 52   @ Utah St. L 74-103 9%     1 - 1 -16.3 +7.1 -23.5
  Nov 13, 2024 186   Richmond W 65-48 58%     2 - 1 +12.8 -2.3 +16.6
  Nov 19, 2024 221   Gardner-Webb W 60-54 66%     3 - 1 -0.2 -9.7 +10.0
  Nov 23, 2024 342   LIU Brooklyn L 76-79 87%     3 - 2 -17.5 +0.0 -17.6
  Nov 27, 2024 135   East Tennessee St. L 55-75 48%     3 - 3 -21.6 -15.6 -7.2
  Dec 10, 2024 134   @ Davidson L 66-72 27%    
  Dec 14, 2024 230   @ Georgia St. L 68-69 46%    
  Dec 17, 2024 349   West Georgia W 74-60 90%    
  Dec 22, 2024 162   @ Hawaii L 63-68 34%    
  Dec 31, 2024 220   Tulane W 70-66 65%    
  Jan 04, 2025 168   @ Rice L 63-67 34%    
  Jan 08, 2025 92   Florida Atlantic L 71-76 33%    
  Jan 11, 2025 225   @ Tulsa L 68-69 45%    
  Jan 14, 2025 94   @ Wichita St. L 62-73 17%    
  Jan 19, 2025 32   Memphis L 66-78 14%    
  Jan 22, 2025 148   South Florida W 69-68 51%    
  Jan 29, 2025 118   @ Temple L 65-73 24%    
  Feb 01, 2025 124   @ UAB L 69-76 26%    
  Feb 04, 2025 94   Wichita St. L 65-70 34%    
  Feb 08, 2025 168   Rice W 66-64 56%    
  Feb 10, 2025 92   @ Florida Atlantic L 68-79 17%    
  Feb 15, 2025 159   East Carolina W 65-64 53%    
  Feb 19, 2025 118   Temple L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 26, 2025 220   @ Tulane L 67-69 44%    
  Mar 02, 2025 159   @ East Carolina L 62-67 33%    
  Mar 06, 2025 77   @ North Texas L 53-65 14%    
  Mar 09, 2025 249   Texas San Antonio W 75-69 69%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.1 0.6 0.1 4.7 4th
5th 0.2 1.8 2.8 1.0 0.1 5.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 4.0 1.7 0.1 0.0 7.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.5 2.8 0.3 0.0 8.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.0 4.4 0.7 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 3.2 5.4 1.5 0.1 10.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.9 2.8 0.2 12.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.8 3.7 0.4 0.0 12.6 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 2.8 5.1 3.5 0.5 0.0 12.6 12th
13th 0.3 1.2 3.0 3.5 1.9 0.4 0.0 10.3 13th
Total 0.3 1.3 3.7 6.6 9.8 12.7 14.0 13.7 12.2 9.6 6.7 4.8 2.6 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 77.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 36.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 28.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 8.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 15.9% 15.9% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.5% 7.7% 7.7% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.2% 6.5% 6.5% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2
12-6 2.6% 4.8% 4.8% 12.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.5
11-7 4.8% 3.2% 3.2% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.6
10-8 6.7% 1.7% 1.7% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.6
9-9 9.6% 0.9% 0.9% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.5
8-10 12.2% 0.6% 0.6% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.1
7-11 13.7% 0.3% 0.3% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.7
6-12 14.0% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 13.9
5-13 12.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.7
4-14 9.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.8
3-15 6.6% 6.6
2-16 3.7% 3.7
1-17 1.3% 1.3
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 99.2 0.0%