Charlotte
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#183
Expected Predictive Rating-3.7#224
Pace60.9#357
Improvement-0.9#240

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#142
First Shot+0.7#160
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#169
Layup/Dunks+0.2#185
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#283
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#76
Freethrows-0.8#235
Improvement-1.3#282

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#251
First Shot-0.2#169
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#327
Layups/Dunks+0.8#145
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#187
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#239
Freethrows+0.0#177
Improvement+0.4#153
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.4% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.8 14.3
.500 or above 20.8% 29.0% 11.3%
.500 or above in Conference 37.4% 49.3% 23.7%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.8% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 7.6% 4.0% 11.8%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round1.1% 1.4% 0.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Temple (Home) - 53.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 61 - 8
Quad 33 - 74 - 15
Quad 410 - 313 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 201 Indiana St. W 92-76 65%     1 - 0 +10.5 +19.1 -8.4
  Fri, Nov 7 285 Tennessee Tech W 70-65 77%     2 - 0 -4.6 -2.9 -1.3
  Tue, Nov 11 140 Davidson L 55-62 50%     2 - 1 -8.6 -7.2 -2.9
  Sun, Nov 16 74 @Virginia Tech L 76-84 13%     2 - 2 +2.7 +12.0 -9.8
  Fri, Nov 21 228 @Appalachian St. L 63-65 48%     2 - 3 -3.1 +6.7 -10.3
  Thu, Nov 27 82 Illinois St. L 69-79 21%     2 - 4 -3.1 +3.1 -6.8
  Fri, Nov 28 104 Richmond L 66-71 28%     2 - 5 -0.5 +0.0 -0.9
  Tue, Dec 2 301 N.C. A&T W 74-57 80%     3 - 5 +6.3 +2.2 +5.3
  Sun, Dec 7 33 Utah St. L 53-79 13%     3 - 6 -15.5 -11.3 -6.3
  Sun, Dec 14 169 @College of Charleston L 67-74 35%     3 - 7 -4.6 -3.4 -1.4
  Thu, Dec 18 321 Lafayette W 81-67 84%     4 - 7 +1.5 +17.1 -13.0
  Sun, Dec 21 200 Illinois-Chicago W 88-76 OT 64%     5 - 7 +6.6 +10.5 -4.2
  Wed, Dec 31 151 Temple W 72-71 53%    
  Sat, Jan 3 98 Wichita St. L 66-70 34%    
  Wed, Jan 7 287 @Texas San Antonio W 71-69 57%    
  Sun, Jan 11 231 @Rice L 68-69 49%    
  Wed, Jan 14 92 Tulsa L 71-76 33%    
  Sun, Jan 18 271 @East Carolina W 70-69 55%    
  Sun, Jan 25 194 Tulane W 72-69 63%    
  Wed, Jan 28 151 @Temple L 69-74 31%    
  Sat, Jan 31 231 Rice W 72-66 69%    
  Wed, Feb 4 98 @Wichita St. L 63-73 18%    
  Sun, Feb 8 72 @Memphis L 64-76 13%    
  Sun, Feb 15 287 Texas San Antonio W 74-66 77%    
  Wed, Feb 18 92 @Tulsa L 68-79 16%    
  Sat, Feb 21 271 East Carolina W 73-66 75%    
  Wed, Feb 25 146 North Texas W 64-63 51%    
  Sun, Mar 1 114 @Florida Atlantic L 69-77 23%    
  Wed, Mar 4 107 UAB L 71-74 40%    
  Sun, Mar 8 79 @South Florida L 69-81 15%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.3 1.7 0.5 0.0 3.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.6 2.8 1.0 0.1 5.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.8 1.9 0.1 0.0 7.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.3 3.7 0.4 9.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 4.2 5.5 1.1 0.0 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.7 6.4 2.2 0.1 12.9 8th
9th 0.3 3.1 7.0 3.2 0.2 13.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.9 3.6 0.5 12.3 10th
11th 0.1 1.4 4.3 3.1 0.5 0.0 9.5 11th
12th 0.1 1.1 3.0 2.3 0.4 0.0 7.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.8 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.7 5.6 9.3 13.0 15.4 15.4 13.6 10.5 6.6 3.9 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 93.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 85.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 60.9% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 20.3% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 6.3% 6.3% 12.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.7% 7.4% 7.4% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.9% 7.9% 7.9% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.8
12-6 3.9% 4.9% 4.9% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.7
11-7 6.6% 3.0% 3.0% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.4
10-8 10.5% 1.8% 1.8% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.3
9-9 13.6% 1.1% 1.1% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.4
8-10 15.4% 0.5% 0.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 15.3
7-11 15.4% 0.3% 0.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 15.4
6-12 13.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.9
5-13 9.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.3
4-14 5.6% 5.6
3-15 2.7% 2.7
2-16 1.0% 1.0
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 14.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 98.9 0.0%