Charlotte
Conference USA
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#198
Expected Predictive Rating+1.5#154
Pace61.2#340
Improvement-3.3#353

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#178
First Shot+3.2#92
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#342
Layup/Dunks+5.5#29
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#351
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#84
Freethrows-0.7#230
Improvement-0.9#276

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#230
First Shot-2.9#273
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#92
Layups/Dunks-5.5#330
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#58
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#189
Freethrows+0.6#156
Improvement-2.4#341
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 3.3% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.6 14.2
.500 or above 48.3% 65.0% 40.3%
.500 or above in Conference 47.1% 55.9% 42.9%
Conference Champion 2.3% 3.3% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 6.8% 4.4% 8.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round2.2% 3.2% 1.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Davidson (Home) - 32.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 35 - 86 - 13
Quad 49 - 415 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 132   Monmouth W 68-66 46%     1 - 0 +1.3 -2.8 +4.2
  Nov 12, 2021 334   South Carolina Upstate W 76-64 88%     2 - 0 -2.6 -0.3 -1.6
  Nov 18, 2021 172   @ Appalachian St. W 67-66 33%     3 - 0 +3.8 +1.2 +2.6
  Nov 22, 2021 116   Toledo L 86-98 31%     3 - 1 -8.7 +13.4 -22.4
  Nov 23, 2021 168   Drexel L 55-67 44%     3 - 2 -12.1 -12.5 -1.2
  Nov 30, 2021 84   Davidson L 63-68 32%    
  Dec 04, 2021 266   George Washington W 69-62 73%    
  Dec 07, 2021 25   @ Arkansas L 62-80 5%    
  Dec 11, 2021 201   @ Valparaiso L 63-66 39%    
  Dec 17, 2021 87   Wake Forest L 65-73 23%    
  Dec 20, 2021 351   Maryland Eastern Shore W 72-55 94%    
  Dec 22, 2021 301   Western Carolina W 75-66 80%    
  Dec 30, 2021 222   @ Florida Atlantic L 68-70 41%    
  Jan 01, 2022 225   @ Florida International L 63-65 44%    
  Jan 08, 2022 234   Old Dominion W 64-59 66%    
  Jan 13, 2022 160   UTEP W 64-63 53%    
  Jan 15, 2022 299   Texas San Antonio W 75-66 78%    
  Jan 20, 2022 107   @ North Texas L 55-64 22%    
  Jan 22, 2022 170   @ Rice L 69-74 34%    
  Jan 29, 2022 234   @ Old Dominion L 61-62 46%    
  Feb 03, 2022 126   Western Kentucky L 67-68 46%    
  Feb 05, 2022 114   Marshall L 74-76 43%    
  Feb 10, 2022 108   Louisiana Tech L 68-71 40%    
  Feb 13, 2022 181   @ Middle Tennessee L 64-68 37%    
  Feb 17, 2022 126   @ Western Kentucky L 64-71 25%    
  Feb 19, 2022 114   @ Marshall L 71-79 24%    
  Feb 24, 2022 225   Florida International W 66-62 64%    
  Feb 26, 2022 222   Florida Atlantic W 71-67 63%    
  Mar 02, 2022 181   Middle Tennessee W 67-65 57%    
  Mar 05, 2022 246   @ Southern Miss L 64-65 49%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.2 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.0 6.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 3.4 2.1 0.6 0.0 7.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.6 2.8 0.4 0.0 7.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.7 4.2 0.9 0.0 9.2 6th
7th 0.1 2.6 4.9 1.7 0.1 0.0 9.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 4.8 2.7 0.2 9.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.5 4.0 0.4 0.0 9.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.2 4.2 1.0 0.0 8.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 2.2 3.9 1.5 0.1 8.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.8 1.9 0.2 0.0 7.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.3 1.6 0.3 0.0 5.9 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.2 0.9 0.2 3.7 14th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.9 5.0 8.2 10.1 12.1 12.9 12.5 11.3 8.6 6.4 4.5 2.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 86.7% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-3 57.1% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.0
14-4 26.0% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 9.5% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.5%
16-2 0.5% 24.4% 24.4% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.0% 14.3% 14.3% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
14-4 2.2% 12.1% 12.1% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.9
13-5 4.5% 10.2% 10.2% 13.8 0.1 0.3 0.0 4.1
12-6 6.4% 5.1% 5.1% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 6.1
11-7 8.6% 3.2% 3.2% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 8.3
10-8 11.3% 2.0% 2.0% 14.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.1
9-9 12.5% 1.5% 1.5% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.3
8-10 12.9% 0.9% 0.9% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.7
7-11 12.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.0
6-12 10.1% 0.3% 0.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 10.1
5-13 8.2% 8.2
4-14 5.0% 5.0
3-15 2.9% 2.9
2-16 1.3% 1.3
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.1 97.8 0.0%