Santa Clara
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.6#86
Expected Predictive Rating+7.6#81
Pace71.4#129
Improvement-9.0#365

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#79
First Shot-1.0#196
After Offensive Rebound+5.0#4
Layup/Dunks+3.1#72
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#230
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#140
Freethrows-4.6#360
Improvement-5.0#365

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#101
First Shot+3.8#64
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#276
Layups/Dunks-0.5#201
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#112
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#21
Freethrows-2.1#313
Improvement-4.0#355
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 5.7% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.0% 2.5% 1.1%
Average Seed 10.8 10.8 10.9
.500 or above 95.0% 97.8% 90.3%
.500 or above in Conference 83.3% 89.9% 72.4%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 0.6%
First Four1.5% 1.9% 0.9%
First Round3.7% 4.7% 2.2%
Second Round1.1% 1.4% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon St. (Away) - 62.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 5
Quad 24 - 35 - 8
Quad 39 - 313 - 11
Quad 46 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 70 McNeese St. W 79-67 57%     1 - 0 +16.9 +12.1 +5.2
  Mon, Nov 10 97 @Xavier W 87-68 43%     2 - 0 +27.5 +17.1 +10.0
  Sat, Nov 15 89 Nevada W 98-83 63%     3 - 0 +18.2 +24.9 -6.7
  Tue, Nov 18 175 Idaho St. W 64-55 84%     4 - 0 +4.9 -6.2 +11.9
  Fri, Nov 21 314 Louisiana W 80-43 95%     5 - 0 +25.1 +9.3 +17.7
  Thu, Nov 27 37 Saint Louis L 70-71 26%     5 - 1 +12.1 +2.6 +9.5
  Fri, Nov 28 96 Minnesota W 86-75 53%     6 - 1 +16.8 +20.9 -3.5
  Wed, Dec 3 251 Utah Tech W 90-80 91%     7 - 1 +1.8 +5.6 -4.6
  Sat, Dec 6 66 @New Mexico L 71-98 33%     7 - 2 -15.8 +2.7 -17.8
  Sat, Dec 13 71 Arizona St. L 79-82 45%     7 - 3 +4.8 +5.0 +0.0
  Wed, Dec 17 146 North Texas W 63-60 71%     8 - 3 +4.0 -2.6 +6.7
  Sat, Dec 20 270 Loyola Chicago L 78-80 88%     8 - 4 -7.9 +2.5 -10.5
  Sun, Dec 28 154 @Oregon St. W 74-71 62%    
  Tue, Dec 30 256 @Portland W 82-73 80%    
  Fri, Jan 2 262 Pepperdine W 80-65 92%    
  Sun, Jan 4 260 San Diego W 87-72 92%    
  Thu, Jan 8 6 @Gonzaga L 71-89 5%    
  Sat, Jan 10 123 Loyola Marymount W 75-68 75%    
  Wed, Jan 14 138 Pacific W 78-70 77%    
  Sat, Jan 17 44 St. Mary's L 72-74 43%    
  Sat, Jan 24 260 @San Diego W 84-75 80%    
  Wed, Jan 28 95 San Francisco W 76-72 63%    
  Sat, Jan 31 123 @Loyola Marymount W 72-71 55%    
  Wed, Feb 4 138 @Pacific W 75-73 57%    
  Sat, Feb 7 149 @Washington St. W 78-75 61%    
  Wed, Feb 11 112 Seattle W 77-71 71%    
  Sat, Feb 14 6 Gonzaga L 74-86 14%    
  Sat, Feb 21 95 @San Francisco L 73-75 42%    
  Wed, Feb 25 44 @St. Mary's L 69-77 23%    
  Sat, Feb 28 154 Oregon St. W 77-68 80%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.4 5.1 2.4 0.4 16.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 6.1 9.4 5.7 1.4 0.1 24.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 5.9 8.6 3.2 0.5 0.0 19.2 4th
5th 0.6 4.2 6.8 2.4 0.2 14.1 5th
6th 0.2 2.5 5.1 1.9 0.1 9.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 3.6 1.8 0.1 0.0 6.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.2 1.4 0.1 4.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.4 4.7 8.2 12.3 15.9 17.6 15.3 11.6 6.6 2.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 50.4% 0.4    0.1 0.3 0.0
15-3 15.0% 0.4    0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 2.2% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 77.3% 25.0% 52.3% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 69.7%
16-2 0.8% 48.0% 14.1% 33.9% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 39.4%
15-3 2.9% 30.1% 11.8% 18.3% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.0 2.0 20.8%
14-4 6.6% 14.9% 7.0% 7.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.1 5.6 8.5%
13-5 11.6% 7.9% 5.1% 2.9% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.1 10.7 3.0%
12-6 15.3% 3.9% 2.9% 1.0% 11.2 0.0 0.5 0.1 14.7 1.0%
11-7 17.6% 2.3% 2.1% 0.2% 11.3 0.0 0.3 0.1 17.2 0.2%
10-8 15.9% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 11.5 0.1 0.1 15.7 0.0%
9-9 12.3% 0.5% 0.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 12.2
8-10 8.2% 0.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 8.2
7-11 4.7% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 4.7
6-12 2.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 2.4
5-13 1.0% 1.0
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.6% 2.7% 1.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 3.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 95.4 2.0%