Santa Clara
West Coast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.3#83
Expected Predictive Rating+4.7#111
Pace74.3#64
Improvement-2.4#316

Offense
Total Offense+4.7#59
First Shot+6.1#28
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#268
Layup/Dunks+5.6#35
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#157
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#168
Freethrows+0.1#179
Improvement-4.2#357

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#126
First Shot+5.1#41
After Offensive Rebounds-3.6#337
Layups/Dunks+2.6#84
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#311
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#98
Freethrows+2.6#40
Improvement+1.8#45
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.3% 8.6% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.8% 6.0% 1.4%
Average Seed 10.5 10.5 10.8
.500 or above 92.1% 93.0% 76.9%
.500 or above in Conference 72.3% 73.0% 60.3%
Conference Champion 2.0% 2.1% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.9% 2.2%
First Four2.6% 2.7% 0.7%
First Round6.9% 7.2% 2.4%
Second Round2.5% 2.6% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mount St. Mary's (Home) - 94.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 5
Quad 23 - 34 - 8
Quad 36 - 410 - 12
Quad 410 - 120 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 205   Cal St. Fullerton W 84-77 85%     1 - 0 +2.3 +11.4 -8.8
  Nov 12, 2021 95   Stanford W 88-72 65%     2 - 0 +18.3 +13.3 +4.5
  Nov 16, 2021 93   Nevada W 96-74 64%     3 - 0 +24.7 +13.6 +8.9
  Nov 19, 2021 302   Cal Poly W 87-57 94%     4 - 0 +19.1 +11.1 +8.0
  Nov 22, 2021 91   TCU W 85-66 52%     5 - 0 +24.7 +15.9 +8.8
  Nov 24, 2021 112   Fresno St. L 52-59 60%     5 - 1 -3.3 -10.0 +5.7
  Nov 27, 2021 73   UC Irvine L 64-69 59%     5 - 2 -1.1 -1.0 -0.2
  Nov 30, 2021 193   Hawaii W 70-58 84%     6 - 2 +7.8 -6.4 +14.2
  Dec 04, 2021 85   Louisiana Tech L 75-78 62%     6 - 3 +0.1 +1.9 -1.9
  Dec 07, 2021 293   Mount St. Mary's W 76-59 94%    
  Dec 11, 2021 121   @ California W 69-68 51%    
  Dec 14, 2021 78   @ Boise St. L 69-72 38%    
  Dec 17, 2021 301   Florida A&M W 80-63 94%    
  Dec 19, 2021 209   Montana W 78-67 85%    
  Dec 21, 2021 267   @ San Jose St. W 78-69 80%    
  Dec 30, 2021 217   @ Pacific W 73-68 69%    
  Jan 01, 2022 178   San Diego W 75-65 82%    
  Jan 06, 2022 41   St. Mary's L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 08, 2022 269   @ Portland W 82-73 80%    
  Jan 13, 2022 217   Pacific W 76-65 85%    
  Jan 15, 2022 2   Gonzaga L 78-89 16%    
  Jan 20, 2022 41   @ St. Mary's L 63-70 27%    
  Jan 27, 2022 27   BYU L 72-76 37%    
  Jan 29, 2022 42   @ San Francisco L 71-78 27%    
  Feb 03, 2022 137   Loyola Marymount W 79-72 74%    
  Feb 05, 2022 178   @ San Diego W 72-68 63%    
  Feb 12, 2022 42   San Francisco L 74-75 48%    
  Feb 17, 2022 137   @ Loyola Marymount W 76-75 54%    
  Feb 19, 2022 2   @ Gonzaga L 75-92 7%    
  Feb 24, 2022 229   @ Pepperdine W 81-74 72%    
  Feb 26, 2022 269   Portland W 85-70 91%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 9 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.7 4.1 1.9 0.3 9.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 6.3 6.9 2.1 0.1 17.2 3rd
4th 0.3 3.1 9.1 7.8 1.9 0.0 22.3 4th
5th 0.5 4.5 9.7 6.7 1.3 0.0 22.8 5th
6th 0.4 3.5 6.4 3.3 0.4 13.9 6th
7th 0.2 2.0 3.5 1.4 0.1 0.0 7.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 1.7 0.6 0.0 3.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 4.3 8.2 12.6 16.3 17.9 16.0 11.6 6.6 2.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 70.0% 0.7    0.4 0.3 0.0
13-3 28.3% 0.8    0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-4 5.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
11-5 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 97.1% 13.0% 84.1% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.7%
14-2 1.0% 80.3% 13.9% 66.4% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 77.1%
13-3 2.8% 58.0% 10.1% 47.9% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 53.3%
12-4 6.6% 32.8% 6.7% 26.1% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 0.4 0.0 4.4 28.0%
11-5 11.6% 15.5% 5.2% 10.3% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.0 9.8 10.9%
10-6 16.0% 5.8% 2.9% 2.9% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 15.1 2.9%
9-7 17.9% 2.5% 1.8% 0.7% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.5 0.7%
8-8 16.3% 1.2% 1.1% 0.0% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 16.1 0.0%
7-9 12.6% 0.7% 0.7% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.5
6-10 8.2% 0.6% 0.6% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1
5-11 4.3% 0.5% 0.5% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.2
4-12 1.8% 1.8
3-13 0.7% 0.7
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.3% 2.6% 5.6% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.4 2.7 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 91.7 5.8%