Northwestern St.
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#297
Expected Predictive Rating-5.8#262
Pace65.6#275
Improvement-0.9#238

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#285
First Shot-4.6#302
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#159
Layup/Dunks-3.6#296
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#12
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#237
Freethrows-4.2#351
Improvement-0.6#234

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#269
First Shot-4.5#318
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#75
Layups/Dunks-0.9#199
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#291
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#208
Freethrows-1.6#276
Improvement-0.2#203
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 2.1% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.3 15.5
.500 or above 13.1% 18.1% 5.8%
.500 or above in Conference 49.3% 60.3% 33.3%
Conference Champion 1.5% 2.3% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.6% 1.3% 7.0%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
First Round1.5% 1.9% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston Christian (Away) - 59.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 31 - 51 - 11
Quad 410 - 711 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 24   @ Texas Tech L 65-86 2%     0 - 1 -4.0 +1.0 -5.6
  Nov 11, 2024 41   @ Oklahoma L 57-73 3%     0 - 2 -1.6 -7.9 +5.9
  Nov 16, 2024 168   @ Rice L 75-77 OT 19%     0 - 3 +0.3 +4.0 -3.6
  Nov 22, 2024 332   Louisiana Monroe L 63-65 71%     0 - 4 -14.8 -10.5 -4.4
  Nov 24, 2024 214   North Alabama W 71-58 44%     1 - 4 +7.4 +2.9 +6.0
  Nov 29, 2024 47   @ LSU L 53-77 4%     1 - 5 -10.7 -13.0 +2.2
  Dec 05, 2024 314   @ Incarnate Word W 72-70 43%     2 - 5 1 - 0 -3.4 +1.6 -4.7
  Dec 07, 2024 351   @ Houston Christian W 72-69 59%    
  Dec 14, 2024 109   @ California L 67-81 10%    
  Dec 29, 2024 34   @ Texas L 57-80 2%    
  Jan 04, 2025 223   Nicholls St. L 68-69 47%    
  Jan 06, 2025 95   McNeese St. L 63-73 19%    
  Jan 11, 2025 355   Texas A&M - Commerce W 72-63 80%    
  Jan 13, 2025 215   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 68-75 25%    
  Jan 18, 2025 227   SE Louisiana L 67-68 48%    
  Jan 20, 2025 344   New Orleans W 77-69 76%    
  Jan 25, 2025 197   @ Stephen F. Austin L 59-67 22%    
  Jan 27, 2025 280   @ Lamar L 68-72 36%    
  Feb 01, 2025 355   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 69-66 61%    
  Feb 03, 2025 166   UT Rio Grande Valley L 73-77 37%    
  Feb 08, 2025 95   @ McNeese St. L 60-76 8%    
  Feb 10, 2025 223   @ Nicholls St. L 65-72 28%    
  Feb 15, 2025 197   Stephen F. Austin L 62-64 41%    
  Feb 17, 2025 280   Lamar W 71-69 57%    
  Feb 22, 2025 344   @ New Orleans W 74-72 57%    
  Feb 24, 2025 227   @ SE Louisiana L 64-71 28%    
  Mar 01, 2025 351   Houston Christian W 75-66 77%    
  Mar 03, 2025 314   @ Incarnate Word L 72-74 44%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.2 1.0 1.7 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.2 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 7.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.9 4.1 2.1 0.4 0.0 10.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.8 2.4 0.3 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.9 3.3 0.5 0.0 13.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.9 6.1 3.7 0.6 0.0 13.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.9 3.9 0.7 0.0 13.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.8 3.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 11.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.9 2.0 0.3 0.0 7.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 4.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 4.2 6.6 10.0 12.7 14.1 13.7 12.0 9.1 6.6 4.0 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 95.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 73.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 43.0% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1
15-5 18.6% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 4.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 10.0% 10.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 47.8% 47.8% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.4% 20.5% 20.5% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-4 1.1% 16.4% 16.4% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
15-5 2.3% 13.2% 13.2% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.0
14-6 4.0% 7.7% 7.7% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 3.7
13-7 6.6% 4.5% 4.5% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 6.3
12-8 9.1% 2.0% 2.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 8.9
11-9 12.0% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.9
10-10 13.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.6
9-11 14.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.0
8-12 12.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.7
7-13 10.0% 10.0
6-14 6.6% 6.6
5-15 4.2% 4.2
4-16 2.0% 2.0
3-17 0.8% 0.8
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 98.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%