Texas San Antonio
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -11.4 335
Expected Predictive Rating -11.2 331
Pace 71.2 110
Improvement +1.5 132

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 327 F+ D+ C- D- C
Defense D 316 D+ D- D+ B- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 238 D- 50% 347 -4.1 324
2 Pt. Jumpers 41% 141 C- 36% 249 -0.7 213
Three Pointers 43% 136 F+ 28% 352 -2.4 264
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 199 F+ -6.9 357
1st FG Attempt F+ 0.88 353
Second Chance C 30.3% 185 D- 0.89 336 D+ 0.27 266
Turnovers C- 17.3% 210
Freethrows D 0.26 323 C- 71% 228 D- 0.18 330
Total Offense D -6.4 327

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 37% 324 D+ 13.2% 300
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 24% 196 D 7.8% 324
Three Pointers D 77% 313 C- 1.0% 215
Total D 48% 322 D 6.8% 302

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 196 C- 60% 246 +0.7 203
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 333 C 38% 159 -2.1 31
Three Pointers 47% 35 C- 35% 231 +3.7 336
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.7 292 C- +1.5 245
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 248
Second Chance F+ 36.5% 350 D+ 1.08 266 D- 0.39 344
Turnovers D+ 15.6% 256
Freethrows B- 0.27 63 C+ 72% 138 B- 0.19 63
Total Defense D -5.1 316

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 305 B 14.4% 59
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 34% 317 C 4.6% 188
Three Pointers C 84% 168 C- 0.7% 213
Total D 63% 324 C+ 6.5% 108

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.0 134 16.9 115
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 131 0.25 354
Improvement +2.7 #66 -1.2 #260

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 346 332 317
Conference Record 1 - 17 2 - 16 3 - 15
Conference Finish 13 13 13
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 100% 100%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Tulsa (Away) - 1.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 32 - 92 - 16
Quad 42 - 104 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 248 SIU Edwardsville L 60 - 77 36% -3  39% 0 - 1 F -25 F -17 F F B+ D- -7 C- F C+
 Wed, Nov 12 225 @Texas St. L 69 - 80 15% -10  0% 0 - 2 D- -12 D -6 F C B D -6 A F F
 Sat, Nov 15 236 @Denver W 84 - 79 17% +4  83% 1 - 2 C+ +4 B+ +9 A D+ D D+ -4 D- A+ F+
 Mon, Nov 24 243 Abilene Christian L 50 - 61 25% -7  0% 1 - 3 F+ -15 F -17 F D+ C C+ +1 A+ F B+
 Tue, Nov 25 262 Georgia Southern W 77 - 64 29% -1  26% 2 - 3 B- +7 D -6 F D+ A A+ +13 A+ D- C+
 Sun, Nov 30 188 South Alabama L 58 - 82 27% -14  2% 2 - 4 F -29 F -20 F F+ A- F+ -8 D+ F B
 Sun, Dec 7 19 @Alabama L 55 - 97 1% -27  0% 2 - 5 F -21 F -20 F+ D- F B- +3 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 72 @Colorado L 64 - 88 3% -10  7% 2 - 6 D- -13 F -10 D- C- F C- -2 F+ A- B-
 Wed, Dec 17 53 @USC L 70 - 97 2% -10  17% 2 - 7 D- -14 C- -2 F+ A F F -11 F D- D
 Mon, Dec 22 126 Seattle L 68 - 71 15% -4  13% 2 - 8 C- -3 D -4 B+ F+ C- C+ +1 A- C- C
 Wed, Dec 31 118 @Florida Atlantic L 70 - 110 6% -27  3% 2 - 9 0 - 1 F -34 F+ -10 F D D F -19 F F C+
 Sat, Jan 3 152 @Temple L 57 - 76 9% -9  0% 2 - 10 0 - 2 F+ -16 F -15 F D+ F C- -2 B+ F B-
 Wed, Jan 7 178 Charlotte L 58 - 74 24% -9  5% 2 - 11 0 - 3 F -20 F -17 F D- B D+ -4 B+ F D+
 Sat, Jan 10 163 Tulane L 52 - 85 22% -19  5% 2 - 12 0 - 4 F -36 F -24 F F F F -13 F+ F C
 Wed, Jan 14 233 Rice L 73 - 89 33% -11  0% 2 - 13 0 - 5 F -23 C+ +2 D+ B- B- F -27 F F+ D-
 Sun, Jan 18 103 @Memphis L 69 - 95 5% -12  0% 2 - 14 0 - 6 F -18 C- -2 C+ D+ D- F -16 F B+ D
 Wed, Jan 21 138 @North Texas L 62 - 81 8% -14  0% 2 - 15 0 - 7 F+ -15 D -5 D F C+ F -11 F+ F B-
 Sat, Jan 24 152 Temple L 64 - 70 21% -0  47% 2 - 16 0 - 8 D -9 D- -7 D- C+ D C- -3 C C- C+
 Wed, Jan 28 123 UAB L 73 - 83 15% -1  25% 2 - 17 0 - 9 D -10 C- -2 F B A- F+ -8 F+ C D+
 Wed, Feb 4 57 @South Florida L 88 - 109 2% -6  13% 2 - 18 0 - 10 D -9 A+ +17 A+ A C+ F -25 F F F
 Sat, Feb 7 138 North Texas L 58 - 81 18% -10  37% 2 - 19 0 - 11 F -25 F -13 D- D- D- F -11 D F C+
 Wed, Feb 11 242 @East Carolina L 72 - 88 17% -12  9% 2 - 20 0 - 12 F+ -17 D+ -4 F+ D+ B+ F -13 C+ F F
 Sun, Feb 15 178 @Charlotte W 88 - 79 11% -4  17% 3 - 20 1 - 12 B +11 A+ +16 C A A+ D -5 D- D- C+
 Wed, Feb 18 118 Florida Atlantic L 52 - 60 14% -3  24% 3 - 21 1 - 13 D+ -8 F -20 F C+ C- A+ +12 A+ A+ D-
 Sun, Feb 22 77 @Tulsa L 68 - 90 2%
 Wed, Feb 25 242 East Carolina L 73 - 77 35%
 Sun, Mar 1 97 Wichita St. L 65 - 79 10%
 Sun, Mar 8 233 @Rice L 69 - 80 16%
Totals 4 - 24 2 - 16 -11 D -6 F F+ C D -5 F+ C- D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D- C- F+ F+ 37% 41% 43% C F+ C D- D+ C- D C- D- D C- C C- C- 38% 15% 47% D+ D+ F+ D+ D- D+ B- C+ B-
1.00 50% 36% 28% -7 0 0.88 30% 0.9 .27 17% .26 71% .18 1.16 60% 38% 35% +2 +1 1.07 36% 1.1 .39 16% .27 72% .18
Nov
7		 SIU Edwardsville F F A+ F F 33% 21% 46% C+ F C- F F B+ C+ F D D- A- C F C 46% 29% 25% D- C- D- F F C+ F A+ F
0.83 21% 50% 27% -15 0 0.72 31% 0.5 .15 12% .33 62% .20 1.06 45% 36% 42% -4 -1 0.94 33% 1.5 .50 19% .44 58% .26
Nov
12		 Texas St. D F D+ F F 48% 12% 40% B F D+ B+ C B B C B D D+ A- A+ A+ 43% 25% 32% D A F F F F F C F
0.98 48% 33% 24% -12 +2 0.83 26% 1.1 .28 16% .37 73% .27 1.14 61% 31% 12% -11 0 0.79 44% 1.2 .51 13% .42 77% .33
Nov
15		 Denver B+ D+ A+ A+ A 44% 13% 44% B- A B- F D+ D B+ B+ B+ D+ F B- F+ F+ 22% 20% 58% C- D- A A+ A+ F+ B+ F B-
1.29 57% 67% 48% +12 +1 1.29 37% 0.9 .33 15% .36 75% .27 1.21 67% 36% 41% +7 -1 1.15 24% 0.5 .12 11% .24 86% .21
Nov
24		 Abilene Christian F F D F F 51% 16% 32% B- F C- D+ D+ C A+ F C- C+ A+ A+ D+ A+ 45% 16% 39% F A+ F D- F B+ D C D+
0.81 47% 33% 17% -15 +1 0.76 26% 1.0 .26 23% .56 56% .31 0.98 30% 14% 35% -16 +1 0.73 45% 1.0 .45 24% .36 71% .26
Nov
25		 Georgia Southern D F F F+ F 35% 22% 43% F+ F C- D D+ A A+ F A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 27% 10% 63% B- A+ C F D- C+ F A+ F
1.05 47% 27% 29% -10 0 0.82 35% 0.9 .33 14% .58 68% .39 0.87 46% 0% 20% -20 +1 0.63 27% 1.3 .36 16% .62 58% .36
Nov
30		 South Alabama F F F F F 11% 11% 77% D F C F F+ A- F A+ F F+ A+ F F D 43% 23% 34% B- D+ F A+ F B C F F+
0.82 43% 14% 25% -15 -1 0.71 32% 0.8 .25 14% .03 100% .03 1.16 43% 58% 39% +1 0 1.04 42% 0.9 .39 15% .32 84% .27
Dec
7		 Alabama F F C F F+ 26% 20% 54% C+ F+ D- D- D- F C F F B- D- D A+ A+ 30% 6% 64% C A+ D C D+ F A- F B-
0.71 43% 36% 24% -12 -1 0.76 19% 0.8 .15 23% .27 44% .12 1.25 70% 50% 23% -6 +1 0.93 37% 1.2 .43 6% .28 85% .23
Dec
13		 Colorado F F D+ C+ D- 38% 31% 31% D+ D- B+ F C- F C- F F C- C+ F F D- 58% 9% 33% F F+ F A+ A- B- B+ A+ A
0.88 43% 35% 35% -6 -1 0.87 33% 0.8 .26 22% .28 50% .14 1.22 59% 80% 44% +10 +3 1.27 46% 0.5 .22 15% .28 65% .18
Dec
17		 USC C- F C- F F+ 24% 27% 49% D- F+ A+ B- A F A+ A A+ F F D F F 41% 18% 41% D F C- F+ D- D C- F+ D-
0.94 42% 38% 25% -10 -2 0.78 43% 0.9 .40 23% .40 83% .33 1.31 76% 44% 43% +14 +1 1.31 37% 1.2 .44 15% .44 79% .35
Dec
22		 Seattle D B D- C- B 47% 11% 42% A- B+ F D+ F+ C- F B F+ C+ B+ D- A+ A 55% 13% 32% F A- F+ B- C- C F D F
0.92 60% 33% 32% -1 +2 1.04 21% 0.9 .18 22% .21 75% .16 0.96 52% 43% 24% -8 +2 0.91 31% 0.8 .24 18% .43 73% .31
Dec
31		 Florida Atlantic F+ F F F+ F 41% 9% 50% B F D D D D A+ B+ A+ F F+ F F F 38% 9% 53% F+ F C- F F C+ C F D
0.88 35% 20% 29% -15 +2 0.75 21% 0.9 .19 19% .46 77% .35 1.38 68% 60% 52% +20 +2 1.45 34% 1.4 .48 19% .31 80% .25
Jan
3		 Temple F C F F F 42% 22% 36% C F B F D+ F A A+ A+ C- B+ B+ A- A 50% 6% 44% F B+ F F F B- D A+ C+
0.86 58% 10% 19% -14 0 0.73 33% 0.8 .25 23% .39 85% .33 1.15 50% 33% 29% -8 +3 0.92 47% 1.2 .53 15% .41 65% .27
Jan
7		 Charlotte F F A+ D- F 37% 12% 52% B F F B D- B F F F D+ D- B- A+ A 39% 6% 55% D- B+ F D+ F D+ B+ B+ A-
0.90 32% 50% 30% -12 +1 0.81 20% 1.3 .25 12% .21 58% .12 1.15 68% 33% 26% -3 +2 1.00 42% 1.0 .42 17% .28 67% .19
Jan
10		 Tulane F D+ F F F 33% 27% 40% D F F+ F+ F F B F C- F B A- F F 22% 12% 66% C+ F+ F+ F F C A+ F A+
0.76 53% 8% 28% -13 -1 0.73 26% 0.8 .21 23% .36 58% .21 1.24 54% 29% 41% +5 0 1.12 28% 1.4 .39 15% .12 86% .10
Jan
14		 Rice C+ D+ A+ D- D+ 28% 20% 52% B- D+ A F+ B- B- F A+ D F D D- F F 18% 16% 66% D- F D F+ F+ D- D- C D-
1.19 57% 50% 31% 0 -1 1.00 43% 0.9 .37 15% .25 85% .21 1.44 63% 43% 55% +23 -1 1.45 39% 1.1 .43 15% .36 68% .25
Jan
18		 Memphis C- D A+ F C+ 30% 21% 48% C- C+ B- F D+ D- F D- F F D F F F 56% 13% 31% F F C- A B+ D C A- C+
0.95 53% 58% 26% -3 -1 0.95 35% 0.7 .25 23% .16 67% .11 1.31 63% 57% 53% +14 +2 1.35 39% 0.9 .35 17% .30 67% .20
Jan
21		 North Texas D F B D D+ 27% 27% 45% D- D F F F C+ A A+ A+ F D A+ F+ F 43% 12% 45% D+ F+ F D F B- F A D-
0.91 42% 42% 30% -6 -2 0.86 24% 0.5 .12 22% .45 83% .38 1.19 62% 17% 36% +1 +1 1.06 54% 1.1 .59 19% .47 62% .29
Jan
24		 Temple D- B C- F D 44% 32% 24% D- D- A+ F C+ D F B- F C- F A+ C C- 44% 28% 28% B- C F+ B+ C- C+ D C- D-
1.02 64% 38% 17% -4 -1 0.92 41% 0.8 .32 18% .15 75% .12 1.12 74% 17% 33% +1 -1 1.02 35% 0.8 .29 14% .41 77% .32
Jan
28		 UAB C- F C F+ F 34% 24% 42% D+ F C A+ B A- B- A B+ F+ C- F B- F 37% 29% 35% B F+ B- D C D+ F B+ F
1.03 45% 36% 28% -9 -1 0.83 26% 1.2 .31 13% .28 82% .23 1.18 61% 57% 29% +4 -1 1.08 29% 1.1 .32 10% .50 66% .33
Feb
4		 South Florida A+ D- A+ A+ A+ 38% 22% 40% C+ A+ C A+ A C+ C D+ C- F F F C- F 52% 5% 43% D F F F F F B- B B
1.24 47% 55% 55% +12 0 1.26 30% 1.4 .43 18% .31 67% .21 1.54 68% 67% 35% +7 +3 1.22 47% 1.5 .71 7% .35 70% .24
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 North Texas F B F+ F D- 41% 30% 28% D+ D- D D- D- D- C- D D+ F F A+ A D- 48% 19% 33% C D F B- F C+ D- F F
0.83 63% 29% 15% -9 -1 0.83 27% 0.9 .24 26% .35 67% .23 1.16 70% 22% 25% -2 +1 1.00 53% 1.0 .50 19% .41 83% .33
Feb
11		 East Carolina D+ D- F C- F 39% 18% 43% B- F+ A- F D+ B+ C F F F C+ F A+ C+ 31% 19% 50% C- C+ D- F F F B- F D-
1.01 50% 20% 33% -7 0 0.89 38% 0.8 .30 14% .26 50% .13 1.24 53% 60% 22% -6 0 0.89 37% 1.6 .58 11% .32 90% .29
Feb
15		 Charlotte A+ C+ F C- C- 47% 15% 38% B+ C C+ A+ A A+ C- A+ A- D F A+ F F+ 33% 8% 59% C- D- C- F+ D- C+ A A+ A+
1.34 62% 25% 33% -1 +1 1.04 32% 1.5 .48 5% .32 90% .29 1.20 75% 0% 41% +9 +1 1.22 35% 1.1 .39 20% .25 54% .13
Feb
18		 Florida Atlantic F F D- F F 34% 25% 42% D- F B D+ C+ C- F F F A+ C+ A- A+ A+ 36% 28% 36% A- A+ A A+ A+ D- C- B+ C+
0.77 44% 31% 14% -19 -1 0.62 32% 0.9 .30 18% .22 50% .11 0.89 56% 36% 22% -8 -1 0.84 26% 0.5 .14 15% .31 67% .21



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 0.3 0.0 0.3 12th
13th 48.8 40.2 10.2 0.6 99.7 13th
Total 48.8 40.2 10.2 0.8 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14 0.8% 0.8
3-15 10.2% 10.2
2-16 40.2% 40.2
1-17 48.8% 48.8
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 37.9%