Temple
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.0 #142
Expected Predictive Rating +1.7 #142
Pace 66.5 #260
Improvement +0.7 #139

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #92 B A D- A C
Defense #245 C- C+ B- D- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #89 1.20 #133 +2.9 #93
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #159 0.78 #136 +0.7 #146
Three Pointers 37% #272 1.15 #33 +0.3 #169
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #81 +3.9 #81
Freethrows 21.8 #17 74% #133 16.2 #17
Second Chance 26.2% #297 0.94 #298 0.25 #315
Turnovers 13.0% #15
Total Offense +3.4 #92

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #153 1.19 #212 -1.3 #224
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #151 0.83 #285 -1.1 #264
Three Pointers 39% #232 1.04 #215 +0.5 #169
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #243 -1.9 #245
Freethrows 16.6 #154 71% #131 11.8 #207
Second Chance 29.6% #140 0.96 #89 0.28 #94
Turnovers 14.1% #320
Total Defense -2.3 #245

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.3% #170 0.0% #165
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 7.2% #75 3.7% #251
Possession Length 18.1 #263 17.4 #212
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #152 0.15 #103
Improvement -2.9 #337 +3.5 #16

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 3.9% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.9 13.2
.500 or above 84.3% 87.7% 67.8%
.500 or above in Conference 79.7% 83.5% 60.5%
Conference Champion 9.1% 10.5% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.2% 1.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round3.6% 3.9% 2.2%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Carolina (Home) - 83.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 42 - 6
Quad 36 - 57 - 11
Quad 411 - 318 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 351 Delaware St. W 83-65 93%     8.5   1 - 0 +2.0 +12.3 -9.3
  Tue, Nov 11 233 La Salle W 90-63 78%     15.9   2 - 0 +19.9 +19.3 +1.9
  Sat, Nov 15 153 Boston College L 71-76 65%     -4.8   2 - 1 -7.9 +1.1 -9.2
  Wed, Nov 19 113 Hofstra W 81-76 51%     0.9   3 - 1 +5.7 +8.6 -2.9
  Mon, Nov 24 89 UC San Diego L 76-91 30%     -8.7   3 - 2 -8.6 +7.3 -16.3
  Tue, Nov 25 239 Princeton W 79-75 71%     -1.0   4 - 2 -0.6 +9.2 -9.6
  Wed, Nov 26 130 Rhode Island L 75-90 47%     -6.6   4 - 3 -13.1 +5.7 -18.8
  Mon, Dec 1 28 @Villanova L 56-74 7%     -5.0   4 - 4 -0.3 +3.6 -7.7
  Sat, Dec 6 199 Saint Joseph's L 69-70 63%     -2.0   4 - 5 -3.5 +4.5 -8.1
  Sun, Dec 14 363 St. Francis (PA) W 95-67 96%     16.8   5 - 5 +8.2 +13.9 -5.5
  Thu, Dec 18 138 @Davidson W 68-63 37%     6.3   6 - 5 +9.3 +7.2 +2.8
  Mon, Dec 22 239 Princeton W 65-61 79%     3.0   7 - 5 -3.6 +1.2 -4.1
  Tue, Dec 30 178 @Charlotte W 76-73 47%     7.6   8 - 5 1 - 0 +4.8 +4.1 +0.8
  Sat, Jan 3 311 Texas San Antonio W 76-57 88%     9.3   9 - 5 2 - 0 +7.5 +4.4 +4.3
  Wed, Jan 7 273 East Carolina W 79-69 83%    
  Wed, Jan 14 76 @Memphis L 69-79 19%    
  Sun, Jan 18 111 Florida Atlantic L 77-78 50%    
  Wed, Jan 21 256 @Rice W 75-71 63%    
  Sat, Jan 24 311 @Texas San Antonio W 78-71 73%    
  Wed, Jan 28 178 Charlotte W 75-70 69%    
  Sat, Jan 31 88 South Florida L 79-81 41%    
  Sat, Feb 7 273 @East Carolina W 76-72 65%    
  Wed, Feb 11 176 @Tulane L 74-75 47%    
  Sun, Feb 15 132 North Texas W 67-65 58%    
  Wed, Feb 18 109 UAB L 77-78 49%    
  Sat, Feb 21 93 @Wichita St. L 70-78 24%    
  Wed, Feb 25 111 @Florida Atlantic L 74-80 29%    
  Sun, Mar 1 256 Rice W 78-68 82%    
  Thu, Mar 5 176 Tulane W 77-72 68%    
  Sun, Mar 8 82 @Tulsa L 74-83 21%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.2 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 9.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 3.7 4.9 2.1 0.3 0.0 11.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.5 6.2 2.2 0.1 0.0 12.3 3rd
4th 0.1 2.2 6.9 3.1 0.1 12.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 6.0 4.9 0.4 0.0 12.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 4.1 5.7 0.9 11.0 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 6.1 1.9 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 4.1 2.9 0.2 8.3 8th
9th 0.4 2.7 3.0 0.5 6.5 9th
10th 0.2 1.3 2.0 0.5 0.0 4.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.8 6.0 10.0 14.5 16.3 16.6 13.9 9.7 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 98.6% 0.7    0.6 0.1
15-3 87.3% 2.0    1.4 0.5 0.0
14-4 59.4% 3.2    1.4 1.5 0.3 0.0
13-5 25.0% 2.4    0.3 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.7% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.1% 9.1 4.0 3.3 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 16.7% 16.7% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.7% 15.3% 15.3% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.6
15-3 2.3% 13.3% 13.3% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.0
14-4 5.5% 8.5% 8.5% 12.5 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 5.0
13-5 9.7% 7.5% 7.5% 12.7 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 9.0
12-6 13.9% 5.3% 5.3% 13.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 13.2
11-7 16.6% 3.5% 3.5% 13.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 16.1
10-8 16.3% 2.2% 2.2% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 15.9
9-9 14.5% 1.2% 1.2% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.4
8-10 10.0% 0.5% 0.5% 14.7 0.0 0.0 9.9
7-11 6.0% 0.8% 0.8% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0
6-12 2.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.8
5-13 1.2% 1.2
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 12.9 0.1 1.1 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 96.4 0.0%