Temple
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.3 #139
Expected Predictive Rating +1.6 #135
Pace 66.3 #257
Improvement +0.3 #161

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #129 C+ D A- A C
Defense #173 C C+ D B- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #95 1.12 #231 +1.0 #138
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #172 0.83 #77 +0.8 #131
Three Pointers 38% #260 1.07 #99 -0.7 #207
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #144 +1.1 #142
Freethrows 21.4 #17 76% #87 16.2 #16
Second Chance 27.8% #262 0.98 #270 0.27 #279
Turnovers 13.6% #29
Total Offense +1.5 #129

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #108 1.14 #148 -1.1 #216
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #125 0.79 #243 -1.0 #263
Three Pointers 37% #291 1.00 #161 +2.4 #93
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #168 +0.4 #167
Freethrows 15.8 #103 70% #59 11.0 #89
Second Chance 28.7% #106 1.07 #224 0.31 #143
Turnovers 14.5% #296
Total Defense -0.2 #173

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.5% #160 0.0% #165
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.7% #151 -0.8% #166
Possession Length 18.3 #277 17.3 #185
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #188 0.15 #92
Improvement -5.8 #365 +6.1 #3

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 3.9% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.8 12.7 13.2
.500 or above 88.4% 91.3% 74.3%
.500 or above in Conference 84.1% 87.9% 66.0%
Conference Champion 5.6% 6.4% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round3.7% 3.9% 2.3%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas San Antonio (Away) - 82.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 42 - 5
Quad 36 - 77 - 12
Quad 411 - 118 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 355 Delaware St. W 83 - 65 95% +9  1 - 0 +1 +11 A D A+ -9 F A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 11 196 La Salle W 90 - 63 74% +16  2 - 0 +22 +19 A+ B+ A+ +4 A+ B F
 Sat, Nov 15 134 Boston College L 71 - 76 60% -5  2 - 1 -6 +3 F B- A+ -9 C F F
 Wed, Nov 19 121 Hofstra W 81 - 76 56% +1  3 - 1 +5 +7 A+ F C -3 D+ A+ D
 Mon, Nov 24 111 UC San Diego L 76 - 91 41% -9  3 - 2 -11 +6 D B A+ -18 F A+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 216 Princeton W 79 - 75 67% -1  4 - 2 +1 +9 A+ F D -8 F B- F
 Wed, Nov 26 124 Rhode Island L 75 - 90 45% -7  4 - 3 -12 +6 C D- A+ -18 F B F
 Mon, Dec 1 33 @Villanova L 56 - 74 8% -5  4 - 4 -1 +3 D+ D B+ -7 B B- C
 Sat, Dec 6 158 Saint Joseph's L 69 - 70 55% -2  4 - 5 -1 +6 B+ F F -7 B- F B
 Sun, Dec 14 359 St. Francis (PA) W 95 - 67 95% +17  5 - 5 +10 +15 A+ F A+ -4 D+ D- C-
 Thu, Dec 18 136 @Davidson W 68 - 63 38% +6  6 - 5 +9 +7 C- F A+ +3 A+ F F
 Mon, Dec 22 216 Princeton W 65 - 61 76% +3  7 - 5 -2 +1 C D- C+ -3 B B- D-
 Tue, Dec 30 172 @Charlotte W 76 - 73 47% +8  8 - 5 1 - 0 +5 +4 A- D- C +1 B+ B C-
 Sat, Jan 3 344 Texas San Antonio W 76 - 57 93% +9  9 - 5 2 - 0 +4 +1 F A- C +4 A C A+
 Wed, Jan 7 270 East Carolina W 75 - 67 83% +9  10 - 5 3 - 0 -1 +6 F A+ B+ -6 F B- C
 Wed, Jan 14 92 @Memphis L 53 - 55 23% -4  10 - 6 3 - 1 +7 -7 F D D- +14 A+ A+ D
 Sun, Jan 18 94 Florida Atlantic L 73 - 79 45% +2  10 - 7 3 - 2 -3 -6 F C D +3 A+ F D-
 Wed, Jan 21 240 @Rice W 69 - 65 60% +0  11 - 7 4 - 2 +3 +5 F B+ A+ -1 C- D- C
 Sat, Jan 24 344 @Texas San Antonio W 79 - 69 83%
 Wed, Jan 28 172 Charlotte W 74 - 69 69%
 Sat, Jan 31 86 South Florida L 77 - 80 40%
 Sat, Feb 7 270 @East Carolina W 74 - 70 65%
 Wed, Feb 11 170 @Tulane L 72 - 73 47%
 Sun, Feb 15 130 North Texas W 67 - 65 59%
 Wed, Feb 18 116 UAB W 77 - 76 54%
 Sat, Feb 21 102 @Wichita St. L 69 - 75 28%
 Wed, Feb 25 94 @Florida Atlantic L 72 - 79 24%
 Sun, Mar 1 240 Rice W 76 - 67 79%
 Thu, Mar 5 170 Tulane W 75 - 70 68%
 Sun, Mar 8 69 @Tulsa L 72 - 82 18%
Totals 17 - 13 10 - 8 +1 +1 C+ D A- +0 C C+ D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.4 2.4 2.1 0.8 0.0 5.6 1st
2nd 0.4 3.5 4.3 0.7 0.0 8.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.9 7.2 1.6 0.1 11.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 8.2 3.7 0.1 13.4 4th
5th 0.4 6.2 7.0 0.5 14.0 5th
6th 0.1 3.0 8.5 1.7 0.0 13.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 6.4 3.8 0.1 11.1 7th
8th 0.3 3.7 5.4 0.5 9.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 4.5 1.0 0.0 7.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.1 0.8 0.1 3.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.2 4.4 9.9 16.2 20.5 20.3 15.2 8.3 2.8 0.8 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 97.5% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
14-4 72.2% 2.1    0.8 1.0 0.2 0.0
13-5 28.6% 2.4    0.3 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.0
12-6 2.6% 0.4    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.6% 5.6 1.8 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.8% 8.9% 8.9% 12.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
14-4 2.8% 11.3% 11.3% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.5
13-5 8.3% 8.9% 8.9% 12.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 7.5
12-6 15.2% 6.5% 6.5% 12.7 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 14.2
11-7 20.3% 4.1% 4.1% 12.8 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 19.4
10-8 20.5% 2.1% 2.1% 13.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 20.1
9-9 16.2% 1.0% 1.0% 13.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 16.1
8-10 9.9% 1.1% 1.1% 14.5 0.1 0.1 9.8
7-11 4.4% 4.4
6-12 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.2
5-13 0.3% 0.3
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 12.8 96.3 0.0%