Temple
American Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#151
Expected Predictive Rating+1.5#157
Pace68.8#195
Improvement-1.5#292

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#150
First Shot-3.5#281
After Offensive Rebound+4.3#7
Layup/Dunks-3.1#287
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#24
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#312
Freethrows+0.2#169
Improvement-1.6#321

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#158
First Shot+1.1#141
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#228
Layups/Dunks+0.0#196
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#112
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#308
Freethrows+3.5#13
Improvement+0.1#177
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.0% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.2 12.1 13.1
.500 or above 28.9% 33.4% 14.6%
.500 or above in Conference 24.5% 26.6% 17.7%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 16.0% 14.4% 21.0%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: La Salle (Home) - 76.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 31 - 7
Quad 21 - 52 - 12
Quad 35 - 57 - 17
Quad 48 - 114 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 351   Maryland Eastern Shore W 72-49 96%     1 - 0 +4.5 -4.1 +9.4
  Nov 13, 2021 14   USC L 71-76 16%     1 - 1 +6.9 +4.2 +2.8
  Nov 18, 2021 45   Clemson L 48-75 20%     1 - 2 -17.1 -12.0 -9.0
  Nov 19, 2021 67   Boise St. L 62-82 28%     1 - 3 -12.7 +2.3 -17.2
  Nov 21, 2021 265   Elon W 75-58 75%     2 - 3 +11.2 +0.9 +11.0
  Nov 27, 2021 160   Delaware W 75-74 64%     3 - 3 -1.5 -2.5 +1.0
  Dec 01, 2021 234   La Salle W 74-66 76%    
  Dec 04, 2021 196   Penn W 74-68 70%    
  Dec 07, 2021 80   @ Vanderbilt L 66-74 22%    
  Dec 11, 2021 218   @ Saint Joseph's W 76-75 53%    
  Dec 15, 2021 66   Central Florida L 68-71 38%    
  Dec 18, 2021 167   Drexel W 71-67 65%    
  Dec 22, 2021 356   Delaware St. W 87-64 98%    
  Dec 29, 2021 8   @ Villanova L 60-79 4%    
  Jan 02, 2022 7   Houston L 60-73 12%    
  Jan 05, 2022 66   @ Central Florida L 65-74 20%    
  Jan 08, 2022 177   East Carolina W 74-69 66%    
  Jan 12, 2022 135   @ Tulsa L 66-70 35%    
  Jan 19, 2022 58   Wichita St. L 65-69 36%    
  Jan 22, 2022 207   @ South Florida W 61-60 51%    
  Jan 25, 2022 57   Cincinnati L 66-70 36%    
  Jan 29, 2022 94   @ SMU L 70-77 25%    
  Feb 02, 2022 177   @ East Carolina L 71-72 45%    
  Feb 05, 2022 135   Tulsa W 69-67 55%    
  Feb 12, 2022 162   @ Tulane L 67-69 42%    
  Feb 16, 2022 94   SMU L 73-74 45%    
  Feb 20, 2022 57   @ Cincinnati L 63-73 19%    
  Feb 24, 2022 22   @ Memphis L 65-81 9%    
  Feb 27, 2022 162   Tulane W 70-66 63%    
  Mar 03, 2022 7   @ Houston L 57-76 5%    
  Mar 06, 2022 207   South Florida W 63-57 71%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.3 0.5 0.1 3.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 2.7 2.0 0.5 0.0 6.3 4th
5th 0.2 1.7 3.9 2.7 0.6 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 5.6 3.6 0.9 0.1 12.2 6th
7th 0.2 2.3 6.8 4.7 1.0 0.0 14.9 7th
8th 0.2 2.5 6.8 4.6 1.1 0.0 15.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.6 6.1 4.9 0.8 0.0 14.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.4 3.5 0.7 0.0 12.6 10th
11th 0.2 1.2 2.8 3.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 9.5 11th
Total 0.2 1.2 3.2 6.3 9.8 12.6 14.7 14.3 13.2 9.7 6.9 4.2 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 66.7% 0.0    0.0
15-3 66.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
14-4 21.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 8.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 10.8% 2.7% 8.1% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 8.3%
13-5 1.1% 15.2% 8.6% 6.7% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9 7.3%
12-6 2.2% 6.8% 5.5% 1.4% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.0 1.4%
11-7 4.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.5% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.2 0.5%
10-8 6.9% 1.5% 1.5% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.8
9-9 9.7% 0.9% 0.9% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.6
8-10 13.2% 0.6% 0.6% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.1
7-11 14.3% 0.3% 0.3% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.3
6-12 14.7% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.7
5-13 12.6% 12.6
4-14 9.8% 9.8
3-15 6.3% 6.3
2-16 3.2% 3.2
1-17 1.2% 1.2
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.2 0.2%