Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#248
Expected Predictive Rating-14.2#343
Pace72.1#108
Improvement-2.1#314

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#169
First Shot+0.3#164
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#205
Layup/Dunks+3.0#76
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#117
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#248
Freethrows-1.7#291
Improvement-0.5#224

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#333
First Shot-5.6#345
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#147
Layups/Dunks-3.0#289
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#186
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#278
Freethrows-0.1#188
Improvement-1.6#298
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 5.0% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 1.6% 4.3% 1.2%
.500 or above in Conference 32.3% 41.9% 30.7%
Conference Champion 3.0% 4.5% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 21.2% 15.6% 22.1%
First Four2.9% 3.4% 2.8%
First Round2.6% 4.0% 2.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah (Away) - 14.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 103 - 16
Quad 46 - 69 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 30 @UCLA L 74-80 3%     0 - 1 +11.2 +7.6 +3.7
  Wed, Nov 5 145 @Loyola Marymount L 62-70 20%     0 - 2 -4.0 -5.4 +1.4
  Sat, Nov 8 65 @Colorado L 97-102 OT 7%     0 - 3 +6.6 +16.8 -9.6
  Wed, Nov 12 122 @Seattle L 67-94 15%     0 - 4 -21.1 -5.1 -14.7
  Sun, Nov 23 283 @Central Arkansas L 65-92 44%     0 - 5 -30.4 -9.1 -20.6
  Tue, Nov 25 146 @North Texas L 71-79 OT 20%     0 - 6 -4.0 +1.3 -5.0
  Wed, Dec 3 315 @Denver L 89-93 54%     0 - 7 -10.0 +8.1 -18.2
  Sat, Dec 6 343 UMKC W 90-66 81%     1 - 7 +9.5 +5.7 +1.9
  Fri, Dec 12 126 California Baptist L 83-88 34%     1 - 8 -5.7 +9.1 -14.8
  Wed, Dec 17 150 Washington St. L 63-78 29%     1 - 9 -14.2 -10.6 -3.4
  Sat, Dec 20 118 @Utah L 75-86 14%    
  Mon, Dec 22 9 @BYU L 64-92 0.4%   
  Sat, Jan 3 167 @Idaho L 75-82 25%    
  Thu, Jan 8 169 Montana St. L 74-75 46%    
  Sat, Jan 10 202 Montana W 82-81 52%    
  Thu, Jan 15 212 @Weber St. L 77-82 33%    
  Sat, Jan 17 161 @Idaho St. L 69-77 23%    
  Thu, Jan 22 176 Portland St. L 75-76 46%    
  Sat, Jan 24 284 Sacramento St. W 82-78 65%    
  Thu, Jan 29 269 @Northern Arizona L 74-76 42%    
  Sat, Jan 31 153 @Northern Colorado L 75-84 22%    
  Thu, Feb 5 202 @Montana L 79-84 31%    
  Sat, Feb 7 169 @Montana St. L 71-78 25%    
  Thu, Feb 12 161 Idaho St. L 72-74 43%    
  Sat, Feb 14 212 Weber St. W 80-79 54%    
  Thu, Feb 19 284 @Sacramento St. L 79-81 45%    
  Sat, Feb 21 176 @Portland St. L 72-79 27%    
  Thu, Feb 26 153 Northern Colorado L 78-81 41%    
  Sat, Feb 28 269 Northern Arizona W 77-73 63%    
  Mon, Mar 2 167 Idaho L 78-79 46%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.3 2.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 6.4 3rd
4th 0.2 2.7 3.7 1.2 0.1 0.0 7.9 4th
5th 0.1 2.5 5.1 2.0 0.1 9.8 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 5.9 2.8 0.2 0.0 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.2 6.3 3.9 0.4 12.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.4 4.8 0.7 0.0 14.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.3 6.0 4.3 0.9 0.0 15.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 2.0 3.7 4.1 2.4 0.5 0.0 13.5 10th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.1 4.7 7.7 11.4 13.5 14.4 13.2 11.2 8.5 6.1 3.4 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 95.8% 0.3    0.3 0.0
14-4 77.3% 0.6    0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 54.2% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 22.5% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 3.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.0% 3.0 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.3% 26.0% 26.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.8% 16.3% 16.3% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
13-5 1.9% 15.4% 15.4% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.6
12-6 3.4% 11.8% 11.8% 15.8 0.1 0.3 3.0
11-7 6.1% 9.4% 9.4% 16.0 0.6 5.5
10-8 8.5% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 0.6 8.0
9-9 11.2% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.6 10.6
8-10 13.2% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.4 12.7
7-11 14.4% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 14.1
6-12 13.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.4
5-13 11.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.3
4-14 7.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.7
3-15 4.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.6
2-16 2.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.1
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 3.2 96.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%