Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.2#239
Expected Predictive Rating-5.6#260
Pace71.6#104
Improvement-1.5#280

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#133
First Shot+2.3#108
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#220
Layup/Dunks+3.5#70
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#251
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#155
Freethrows-0.4#212
Improvement+0.1#170

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#339
First Shot-4.0#306
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#297
Layups/Dunks-3.0#281
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#67
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#290
Freethrows+0.5#156
Improvement-1.7#314
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 8.4% 5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 15.5% 29.5% 12.4%
.500 or above in Conference 54.4% 64.0% 52.3%
Conference Champion 6.2% 9.2% 5.5%
Last Place in Conference 8.4% 5.3% 9.1%
First Four2.8% 2.1% 3.0%
First Round5.1% 7.4% 4.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota St. (Away) - 18.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 33 - 63 - 13
Quad 49 - 612 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 85   @ Colorado L 56-76 11%     0 - 1 -10.7 -11.9 +1.3
  Nov 06, 2024 123   Seattle W 93-86 37%     1 - 1 +6.3 +17.8 -11.7
  Nov 11, 2024 63   @ Missouri L 77-84 7%     1 - 2 +5.1 +10.4 -5.5
  Nov 17, 2024 228   Cal Poly L 78-82 60%     1 - 3 -10.7 -6.3 -4.0
  Nov 21, 2024 74   Washington St. L 81-96 14%     1 - 4 -7.5 +3.9 -9.7
  Nov 23, 2024 185   @ California Baptist L 68-79 28%     1 - 5 -9.2 -1.2 -8.5
  Nov 26, 2024 126   @ UC Santa Barbara L 51-67 19%     1 - 6 -10.9 -15.6 +2.9
  Nov 30, 2024 60   @ Utah L 80-88 7%     1 - 7 +4.3 +14.0 -9.9
  Dec 04, 2024 289   North Dakota W 87-81 70%     2 - 7 -3.6 +14.9 -18.1
  Dec 07, 2024 120   @ South Dakota St. L 75-85 18%    
  Dec 10, 2024 75   @ Washington L 70-85 8%    
  Jan 02, 2025 190   Montana W 78-77 50%    
  Jan 04, 2025 122   Montana St. L 75-79 37%    
  Jan 09, 2025 256   @ Portland St. L 80-82 43%    
  Jan 11, 2025 320   @ Sacramento St. W 72-70 57%    
  Jan 18, 2025 265   @ Idaho L 76-77 46%    
  Jan 20, 2025 122   @ Montana St. L 72-82 20%    
  Jan 23, 2025 301   Northern Arizona W 80-74 71%    
  Jan 25, 2025 180   Northern Colorado L 81-82 49%    
  Jan 30, 2025 252   @ Idaho St. L 71-73 42%    
  Feb 01, 2025 210   @ Weber St. L 73-78 33%    
  Feb 06, 2025 320   Sacramento St. W 75-67 76%    
  Feb 08, 2025 256   Portland St. W 83-79 65%    
  Feb 15, 2025 265   Idaho W 79-74 67%    
  Feb 20, 2025 180   @ Northern Colorado L 79-85 29%    
  Feb 22, 2025 301   @ Northern Arizona W 77-76 50%    
  Feb 27, 2025 210   Weber St. W 76-75 54%    
  Mar 01, 2025 252   Idaho St. W 74-70 63%    
  Mar 03, 2025 190   @ Montana L 75-81 30%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.8 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.6 2.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 9.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.9 5.0 2.9 0.6 0.1 11.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.2 6.3 3.1 0.3 0.0 13.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.0 6.3 3.1 0.4 0.0 13.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.5 6.2 3.3 0.4 0.0 12.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.4 3.2 0.3 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.2 2.8 0.4 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.9 2.0 0.3 0.0 7.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.7 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.5 6.1 8.8 11.2 13.3 13.5 13.0 10.6 7.6 4.8 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 97.6% 0.4    0.4 0.0
15-3 86.9% 1.2    1.0 0.2 0.0
14-4 63.6% 1.8    1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 36.3% 1.8    0.6 0.8 0.3 0.0
12-6 10.7% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.2% 6.2 3.4 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 32.7% 32.7% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 29.8% 29.8% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.3% 27.0% 27.0% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0
14-4 2.8% 22.2% 22.2% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 2.2
13-5 4.8% 16.5% 16.5% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 4.0
12-6 7.6% 11.8% 11.8% 15.4 0.0 0.5 0.4 6.7
11-7 10.6% 9.8% 9.8% 15.8 0.2 0.8 9.6
10-8 13.0% 8.2% 8.2% 15.9 0.1 1.0 12.0
9-9 13.5% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.0 0.6 12.9
8-10 13.3% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.4 12.9
7-11 11.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 11.1
6-12 8.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 8.7
5-13 6.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.1
4-14 3.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.5
3-15 1.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.7
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.7 3.8 93.7 0.0%