Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.3 201
Expected Predictive Rating -4.0 233
Pace 69.3 155
Improvement +5.4 17

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 123 C+ C+ D+ C C
Defense D+ 295 D D C- D D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 133 C- 57% 206 +0.4 165
2 Pt. Jumpers 44% 102 C 39% 146 +0.9 131
Three Pointers 38% 249 B 38% 37 +0.3 166
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 205 C+ +1.6 117
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.05 125
Second Chance C 30.7% 177 B- 1.09 82 C+ 0.33 120
Turnovers D+ 18.6% 293
Freethrows C 0.30 197 B- 74% 120 C 0.22 162
Total Offense C+ +1.7 123

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 51% 132 C 11.2% 196
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 24% 191 C 5.2% 195
Three Pointers D- 75% 340 B 0.4% 57
Total C- 53% 231 C 5.8% 207

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 54 C- 60% 248 +4.1 315
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 303 F 47% 360 +0.0 184
Three Pointers 40% 225 C- 35% 219 -0.2 171
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.9 326 D+ +2.9 294
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 308
Second Chance D+ 32.9% 283 D- 1.15 326 D 0.38 324
Turnovers C- 16.4% 204
Freethrows D+ 0.33 272 D- 76% 342 D 0.25 305
Total Defense D+ -4.0 295

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 182 D+ 8.6% 271
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 214 C- 3.9% 237
Three Pointers C 84% 192 C+ 1.2% 102
Total C 56% 175 C- 4.9% 234

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.5 187 17.1 148
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 291 0.20 277
Improvement +2.7 #67 +2.7 #59

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 231 198 166
Conference Record 9 - 9 10 - 8 12 - 6
Conference Finish 6 3 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9% 11% 8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 97% 100% 96%
Conference Champion 0% 2% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four8% 7% 8%
First Round7% 9% 6%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Portland St. (Away) - 27.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 34 - 124 - 18
Quad 48 - 212 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 39 @UCLA L 74 - 80 5% -7  11% 0 - 1 B +10 B- +5 A+ D D- B+ +5 C B D
 Wed, Nov 5 153 @Loyola Marymount L 62 - 70 30% -1  34% 0 - 2 D+ -5 F -10 C- F D B+ +5 B+ F C
 Sat, Nov 8 72 @Colorado L 97 - 102 OT 11% -1  27% 0 - 3 B- +6 A+ +15 A+ D B F+ -8 D C D
 Wed, Nov 12 126 @Seattle L 67 - 94 23% -15  1% 0 - 4 F -21 C- -2 B- D- C F -18 F F A-
 Sun, Nov 23 180 @Central Arkansas L 65 - 92 35% -20  0% 0 - 5 F -25 F -12 F B- F F -13 F B- C+
 Tue, Nov 25 138 @North Texas L 71 - 79 OT 26% -2  26% 0 - 6 C- -4 C- -1 D+ D+ B C- -3 B- D- C-
 Wed, Dec 3 236 @Denver L 89 - 93 45% -0  47% 0 - 7 D+ -5 B+ +8 A+ C F F -13 F A D-
 Sat, Dec 6 360 UMKC W 90 - 66 93% +15  90% 1 - 7 C+ +5 C +1 F+ A+ D+ C+ +1 C- F A+
 Fri, Dec 12 139 California Baptist L 83 - 88 48% -5  19% 1 - 8 D+ -7 B+ +9 B+ A C- F -16 F F A-
 Wed, Dec 17 122 Washington St. L 63 - 78 31% -12  0% 1 - 9 D- -12 F -14 F+ F D B- +2 D C+ B+
 Sat, Dec 20 102 @Utah L 77 - 101 17% -11  1% 1 - 10 F+ -16 B- +4 D+ C C+ F -19 F F D+
 Mon, Dec 22 21 @BYU L 81 - 109 3% -10  6% 1 - 11 D+ -8 B +7 B A+ D+ F -13 D- F D+
 Sat, Jan 3 186 @Idaho L 81 - 84 37% -2  29% 1 - 12 0 - 1 C- -2 B +7 D- A+ F F+ -9 F+ F B
 Thu, Jan 8 147 Montana St. L 64 - 68 51% +0  54% 1 - 13 0 - 2 D+ -7 D- -7 F D C C +0 D+ D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 183 Montana W 66 - 65 58% -2  22% 2 - 13 1 - 2 C- -3 D+ -3 C+ C- B- C +0 B D+ D+
 Thu, Jan 15 224 @Weber St. L 80 - 91 43% -1  53% 2 - 14 1 - 3 D- -12 D+ -3 D A F+ D- -8 D- F C+
 Sat, Jan 17 261 @Idaho St. W 84 - 66 51% +15  98% 3 - 14 2 - 3 A- +15 B+ +8 A F D- A +8 A+ F F
 Thu, Jan 22 142 Portland St. L 61 - 65 49% -5  0% 3 - 15 2 - 4 D+ -6 F+ -9 D C+ C- B- +3 A- F C
 Sat, Jan 24 271 Sacramento St. W 75 - 67 75% +7  94% 4 - 15 3 - 4 C -1 C- -1 F+ A+ C+ C+ +0 C+ D+ B+
 Thu, Jan 29 311 @Northern Arizona L 86 - 92 64% -12  0% 4 - 16 3 - 5 D- -12 A +12 C A- D F -24 F F F
 Sat, Jan 31 156 @Northern Colorado L 71 - 74 30% +1  51% 4 - 17 3 - 6 C +0 C- -1 C B F C+ +1 B B F
 Thu, Feb 5 183 @Montana W 82 - 74 35% -0  41% 5 - 17 4 - 6 B +10 B+ +8 A C D- C+ +2 D B- A-
 Sat, Feb 7 147 @Montana St. W 72 - 71 29% +2  70% 6 - 17 5 - 6 C+ +4 B- +4 C A+ C- C +0 C- A F
 Thu, Feb 12 261 Idaho St. W 88 - 75 73% +7  72% 7 - 17 6 - 6 C+ +4 A- +11 B+ C- A+ D -6 B- F B
 Sat, Feb 14 224 Weber St. W 84 - 66 66% +20  98% 8 - 17 7 - 6 B+ +11 B- +5 A+ F+ D- A- +7 B+ A+ D+
 Thu, Feb 19 271 @Sacramento St. W 102 - 94 54% +13  99% 9 - 17 8 - 6 C+ +5 A+ +19 A+ A+ C F -15 F F F
 Sat, Feb 21 142 @Portland St. L 71 - 77 27%
 Thu, Feb 26 156 Northern Colorado W 80 - 79 53%
 Sat, Feb 28 311 Northern Arizona W 81 - 71 82%
 Mon, Mar 2 186 Idaho W 78 - 76 59%
Totals 11 - 19 10 - 8 -2 C+ +2 C+ C+ C D+ -4 B B- C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C- C B C+ 40% 44% 38% C C+ C B- C+ D+ C B- C D+ C- F C- D+ 44% 17% 40% D D D+ D- D C- D+ D- D
1.11 57% 39% 38% +2 0 1.05 31% 1.1 .33 19% .30 74% .22 1.14 60% 47% 35% +3 +1 1.10 33% 1.1 .38 16% .33 76% .23
Nov
3		 UCLA B- A+ B D+ A+ 38% 15% 48% B+ A+ F+ B- D D- D+ F D- B+ C- F C+ C 33% 28% 40% C C C A- B D A+ A+ A+
1.05 89% 43% 30% +10 +1 1.23 21% 1.0 .21 23% .26 64% .16 1.13 63% 50% 35% +5 -1 1.10 33% 1.0 .33 11% .16 60% .10
Nov
5		 Loyola Marymount F B- C- F C 40% 36% 23% D C- F F F D A+ F+ A B+ B+ D- A- A- 36% 19% 45% D B+ C+ F F C F A- D-
0.88 58% 35% 27% -3 -2 0.91 18% 0.5 .09 18% .44 68% .30 0.99 53% 44% 29% -4 0 0.94 26% 1.8 .47 18% .37 62% .23
Nov
8		 Colorado A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 29% 28% C A+ F+ B D B C- C+ C F+ A- F F D+ 52% 13% 36% F D C+ D+ C D F A- F
1.24 64% 53% 56% +16 -1 1.33 18% 1.2 .21 14% .28 74% .21 1.30 52% 57% 50% +8 +2 1.21 31% 1.0 .31 11% .56 69% .39
Nov
12		 Seattle C- D+ A C+ B 42% 23% 35% C B- F+ D+ D- C C F+ D+ F F F F F 50% 13% 37% F+ F B F F A- A- C B+
0.91 50% 50% 33% -1 0 1.00 22% 0.9 .19 20% .29 65% .19 1.28 69% 71% 53% +20 +2 1.46 21% 1.8 .38 22% .23 69% .16
Nov
23		 Central Arkansas F F F C- F 27% 10% 63% C F A- D- B- F C- D+ D+ F D A+ F F 43% 4% 53% F F D+ A B- C+ B B+ B
0.90 46% 20% 33% -6 +1 0.92 36% 1.0 .36 31% .26 69% .18 1.28 65% 0% 54% +17 +3 1.42 30% 0.8 .24 17% .23 64% .15
Nov
25		 North Texas C- C- D- D D+ 40% 26% 34% C- D+ B- F D+ B D A C C- D+ D+ A+ B- 42% 17% 42% C+ B- B- F D- C- F B F
0.97 55% 31% 29% -5 -1 0.90 36% 0.8 .28 21% .33 79% .26 1.08 60% 38% 20% -8 +1 0.88 32% 1.3 .41 16% .49 67% .33
Dec
3		 Denver B+ A+ A A+ A+ 34% 34% 32% F A+ D+ B+ C F C+ B B- F D B- F F 38% 23% 38% D- F D+ A+ A D- F F F
1.28 82% 47% 50% +19 -2 1.36 30% 1.3 .39 17% .33 74% .24 1.34 61% 36% 61% +16 0 1.34 32% 0.7 .23 12% .54 85% .46
Dec
6		 UMKC C D+ C+ F F 43% 9% 47% B F+ B A+ A+ D+ A+ B- A+ C+ D C+ A+ C- 48% 29% 23% D+ C- C- F F A+ F A- F+
1.18 57% 40% 28% -5 +2 0.96 42% 1.6 .68 18% .42 73% .31 0.87 61% 36% 18% -5 0 0.92 29% 1.3 .39 28% .38 62% .24
Dec
12		 California Baptist B+ D- A- A+ B+ 56% 21% 23% B B+ A- A+ A C- A+ F+ A F F+ F B F 53% 18% 29% D F F D- F A- F F F
1.18 48% 45% 50% +2 +1 1.08 33% 1.2 .39 16% .45 67% .30 1.25 63% 75% 31% +8 +1 1.20 54% 1.0 .54 21% .50 82% .41
Dec
17		 Washington St. F C C F F 43% 19% 38% B F+ D+ F F D C+ F C- B- F+ F D+ D 42% 12% 46% D- D F A+ C+ B+ A+ A+ A+
0.89 57% 40% 20% -8 +1 0.87 23% 0.6 .13 17% .31 67% .20 1.10 73% 50% 38% +10 +1 1.25 38% 0.7 .28 21% .16 56% .09
Dec
20		 Utah B- C F C C- 35% 25% 40% D D+ A+ F C C+ B+ C B F F D F F 46% 13% 40% D F A F F D+ B- B- B
1.09 57% 27% 33% -4 -1 0.93 41% 0.7 .30 14% .31 68% .21 1.43 83% 43% 52% +23 +1 1.52 24% 2.0 .48 14% .28 71% .20
Dec
22		 BYU B A- A+ D- A- 11% 40% 49% F B B- A+ A+ D+ D A- C- F F B- D F+ 25% 13% 62% D D- F+ F F D+ B- F C-
1.08 67% 52% 29% +3 -5 0.98 29% 1.5 .45 19% .20 75% .15 1.45 93% 38% 38% +12 0 1.27 43% 1.4 .60 12% .30 85% .26
Jan
3		 Idaho B D F+ C+ D 32% 36% 32% D- D- A+ F+ A+ F A+ D- A- F+ A+ F F+ F+ 31% 13% 56% C F+ F F F B F C F
1.17 53% 32% 35% -3 -2 0.91 57% 0.9 .52 22% .46 68% .31 1.21 43% 83% 40% +6 0 1.16 40% 1.2 .47 19% .51 72% .37
Jan
8		 Montana St. D- F A F F 48% 20% 32% C+ F B F D C B A+ A+ C C- D D D+ 31% 28% 41% C+ D+ F A D+ A+ F F+ F
0.99 38% 50% 25% -12 +1 0.80 36% 0.7 .26 15% .31 94% .29 1.05 58% 45% 38% +4 -2 1.08 41% 0.8 .33 26% .44 81% .36
Jan
10		 Montana D+ F A+ A C+ 42% 23% 35% C+ C+ F A+ C- B- F A+ F C D A A+ A- 61% 15% 24% F B F A- D+ D+ D- F+ F+
1.04 45% 50% 39% 0 0 1.02 17% 1.6 .28 14% .13 100% .13 1.02 64% 29% 18% -3 +2 1.00 30% 0.9 .27 19% .35 83% .29
Jan
15		 Weber St. D+ D- C+ C D 45% 31% 24% F+ D C- A+ A F+ A+ A A+ D- A- F F D 56% 10% 34% F D- F+ F F C+ F F F
1.07 55% 40% 33% -1 -1 0.98 27% 1.7 .45 20% .45 81% .37 1.21 46% 60% 47% +2 +3 1.12 37% 1.2 .43 17% .48 80% .39
Jan
17		 Idaho St. B+ F+ B+ A+ A+ 38% 33% 29% F A D- F F D- A+ B+ A+ A A+ F A+ A+ 41% 13% 46% D+ A+ C- F F F D F F
1.24 50% 50% 67% +15 -2 1.29 24% 0.3 .08 18% .61 82% .50 0.98 42% 67% 19% -13 +1 0.78 33% 1.3 .42 12% .35 90% .32
Jan
22		 Portland St. F+ F+ D- D+ D 42% 29% 29% D D D A+ C+ C- B+ C- B B- C- A+ A+ A 56% 19% 25% D A- B- F F C A- F C+
0.90 47% 31% 31% -8 -1 0.84 24% 1.3 .30 19% .42 74% .31 0.96 59% 22% 17% -9 +2 0.88 29% 1.6 .46 19% .24 85% .20
Jan
24		 Sacramento St. C- C F F+ F 44% 14% 42% C F+ C A+ A+ C+ C+ A+ B+ C+ C A+ B- B- 41% 18% 41% F C+ A F D+ B+ F F F
1.16 59% 14% 29% -6 +1 0.92 33% 2.0 .67 15% .33 83% .27 1.03 56% 14% 31% -7 +1 0.90 19% 1.8 .35 18% .53 86% .45
Jan
29		 Northern Arizona A D- F A+ C- 51% 10% 39% B+ C A+ D A- D A+ B+ A+ F A- F F F 55% 8% 37% F F D F F F F F F
1.33 52% 20% 47% +3 +2 1.12 49% 1.0 .49 19% .53 79% .42 1.42 48% 50% 56% +7 +3 1.22 27% 2.0 .54 8% .47 93% .43
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Northern Colorado C- D D- A- C 52% 17% 31% B- C D A+ B F F A+ F C+ C- F A+ A- 38% 9% 54% D- B D A+ B F B+ F B
1.05 52% 33% 38% -2 +1 1.00 21% 1.7 .36 18% .18 90% .16 1.10 62% 60% 27% -2 +1 1.00 31% 0.8 .24 6% .17 82% .14
Feb
5		 Montana B+ D+ A+ A+ A 33% 24% 43% D+ A C C C D- A+ F A- C+ C- F D+ D- 38% 21% 40% B- D D A+ B- A- C- C C-
1.16 56% 50% 43% +8 -1 1.16 29% 1.0 .29 18% .42 63% .26 1.05 61% 60% 37% +8 0 1.17 27% 0.8 .20 24% .32 76% .24
Feb
7		 Montana St. B- D- D+ A+ C- 54% 22% 24% C+ C B+ A+ A+ C- F+ A- D C A F D- C 36% 18% 46% F+ C- A A- A F F+ B D-
1.11 48% 36% 42% -3 +1 0.98 37% 1.4 .52 17% .20 82% .17 1.09 44% 56% 39% +2 0 1.06 21% 0.9 .18 8% .33 70% .23
Feb
12		 Idaho St. A- A+ C C A- 45% 18% 37% C+ B+ F+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+ A+ D F B+ A+ B- 39% 15% 46% C B- F D F B F F+ F
1.34 77% 44% 33% +9 +1 1.22 22% 1.4 .30 9% .43 92% .40 1.14 69% 33% 26% -2 +1 1.00 45% 1.1 .48 20% .57 80% .45
Feb
14		 Weber St. B- A D A A 62% 6% 32% A+ A+ F B+ F+ D- B A A A- B- F A+ A- 48% 21% 31% B- B+ A A+ A+ D+ F F F
1.22 72% 33% 40% +11 +4 1.32 17% 1.3 .22 19% .38 81% .31 0.96 52% 50% 20% -7 +1 0.90 24% 0.3 .06 15% .44 81% .36
Feb
19		 Sacramento St. A+ A- B+ A+ A+ 43% 8% 49% B- A+ A A+ A+ C A+ F B F F F A F 44% 27% 29% D F F+ F F F F B- F
1.40 68% 50% 44% +13 +2 1.31 44% 1.4 .62 16% .44 59% .26 1.29 70% 57% 27% +7 0 1.15 33% 1.4 .45 10% .47 74% .35



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.4 0.4 1st
2nd 2.1 10.7 5.6 18.4 2nd
3rd 0.3 18.1 19.0 1.6 39.1 3rd
4th 4.3 16.8 1.6 22.8 4th
5th 0.2 9.9 1.7 11.8 5th
6th 1.3 4.3 5.6 6th
7th 1.6 0.4 1.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 3.1 19.2 38.7 31.4 7.6 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 5.6% 0.4    0.1 0.3 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 7.6% 14.4% 14.4% 15.6 0.5 0.6 6.5
11-7 31.4% 10.4% 10.4% 16.0 0.0 3.2 28.1
10-8 38.7% 9.0% 9.0% 16.0 3.5 35.2
9-9 19.2% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 1.2 18.1
8-10 3.1% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.1 3.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 15.9 90.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.1% 100.0% 15.6 43.9 56.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.2%
Lose Out 1.5%