Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#222
Expected Predictive Rating-0.7#185
Pace78.3#26
Improvement+1.0#105

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#166
First Shot+0.2#178
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#156
Layup/Dunks-3.2#282
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#262
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#114
Freethrows+3.2#29
Improvement+1.4#65

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#274
First Shot-3.2#279
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#160
Layups/Dunks-0.6#203
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#298
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#113
Freethrows-2.7#306
Improvement-0.4#216
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.0% 9.2% 5.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.6 15.1
.500 or above 53.2% 75.1% 50.0%
.500 or above in Conference 65.1% 75.5% 63.6%
Conference Champion 3.0% 5.6% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.7% 1.4%
First Four1.0% 0.7% 1.0%
First Round5.6% 8.9% 5.1%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colorado (Away) - 12.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 32 - 64 - 11
Quad 412 - 515 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 93   @ Nevada L 76-91 15%     0 - 1 -6.3 -1.0 -4.0
  Nov 12, 2021 211   @ UC Davis L 76-84 36%     0 - 2 -6.9 -5.7 -0.1
  Nov 19, 2021 285   @ Cal St. Northridge W 67-64 OT 54%     1 - 2 -0.6 -8.3 +7.7
  Nov 20, 2021 141   Texas St. L 74-81 34%     1 - 3 -5.2 +0.0 -5.0
  Nov 27, 2021 49   @ Washington St. W 76-71 9%     2 - 3 +17.3 +5.6 +11.5
  Dec 02, 2021 133   Southern Utah L 76-89 43%     2 - 4 0 - 1 -13.7 -6.9 -5.4
  Dec 04, 2021 336   @ Nebraska Omaha W 92-81 75%     3 - 4 +1.3 +11.7 -10.6
  Dec 08, 2021 81   @ Colorado L 69-81 13%    
  Dec 11, 2021 332   @ North Dakota W 81-75 72%    
  Dec 22, 2021 19   @ Texas Tech L 65-84 4%    
  Dec 30, 2021 260   @ Portland St. L 75-76 49%    
  Jan 01, 2022 310   @ Northern Arizona W 78-75 62%    
  Jan 06, 2022 209   Montana W 75-73 59%    
  Jan 08, 2022 345   Idaho W 88-74 90%    
  Jan 13, 2022 322   @ Idaho St. W 73-69 65%    
  Jan 15, 2022 96   @ Weber St. L 73-84 16%    
  Jan 20, 2022 295   Sacramento St. W 79-71 77%    
  Jan 22, 2022 184   Northern Colorado W 79-78 55%    
  Jan 27, 2022 192   @ Montana St. L 76-80 35%    
  Jan 29, 2022 209   @ Montana L 72-76 38%    
  Feb 05, 2022 133   @ Southern Utah L 76-84 25%    
  Feb 10, 2022 96   Weber St. L 76-81 34%    
  Feb 12, 2022 322   Idaho St. W 76-66 81%    
  Feb 17, 2022 192   Montana St. W 79-77 56%    
  Feb 19, 2022 345   @ Idaho W 85-77 77%    
  Feb 24, 2022 184   @ Northern Colorado L 76-81 34%    
  Feb 26, 2022 295   @ Sacramento St. W 76-74 57%    
  Mar 03, 2022 310   Northern Arizona W 81-72 79%    
  Mar 05, 2022 260   Portland St. W 79-73 69%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.6 2.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 7.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.4 4.6 3.5 1.1 0.1 0.0 12.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.5 5.9 3.8 0.8 0.1 14.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 4.3 6.5 3.7 0.7 0.0 16.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.8 6.1 3.2 0.5 0.0 16.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.5 4.9 2.1 0.3 0.0 13.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.2 2.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 8.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.8 1.3 0.4 0.0 4.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.2 3.9 6.4 9.2 11.8 13.3 13.9 12.8 10.2 7.2 4.4 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 93.5% 0.2    0.1 0.0
17-3 82.4% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
16-4 46.0% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 18.7% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
14-6 3.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.0% 3.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 27.2% 27.2% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.8% 28.3% 28.3% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
16-4 2.2% 24.3% 24.3% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.7
15-5 4.4% 17.6% 17.6% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 3.6
14-6 7.2% 13.1% 13.1% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 6.3
13-7 10.2% 9.1% 9.1% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 9.3
12-8 12.8% 7.6% 7.6% 15.4 0.1 0.4 0.5 11.8
11-9 13.9% 4.6% 4.6% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 13.3
10-10 13.3% 3.2% 3.2% 15.8 0.1 0.3 12.9
9-11 11.8% 2.2% 2.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 11.5
8-12 9.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 9.0
7-13 6.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 6.3
6-14 3.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.9
5-15 2.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.2
4-16 1.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.0
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.3 2.2 94.0 0.0%