Rice
Conference USA
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#186
Expected Predictive Rating-2.1#208
Pace71.5#111
Improvement-2.4#317

Offense
Total Offense+3.5#86
First Shot+2.0#120
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#91
Layup/Dunks-3.4#285
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#255
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.9#13
Freethrows-1.0#241
Improvement-0.1#193

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#306
First Shot-5.6#326
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#118
Layups/Dunks-2.6#264
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#323
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#227
Freethrows+1.4#111
Improvement-2.3#327
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.3% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.2 14.7
.500 or above 43.6% 46.6% 22.3%
.500 or above in Conference 43.5% 45.0% 33.1%
Conference Champion 1.5% 1.6% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 6.5% 6.1% 9.6%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round2.1% 2.2% 0.9%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston Baptist (Away) - 87.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 33 - 64 - 13
Quad 411 - 315 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 229   Pepperdine W 82-63 70%     1 - 0 +12.7 +1.3 +10.3
  Nov 12, 2021 4   @ Houston L 46-79 3%     1 - 1 -11.4 -11.9 -1.9
  Nov 16, 2021 297   Southern W 81-63 82%     2 - 1 +7.4 -3.5 +9.2
  Nov 19, 2021 282   @ New Orleans W 83-78 60%     3 - 1 +1.5 +5.7 -4.2
  Nov 22, 2021 237   Evansville W 109-104 3OT 62%     4 - 1 +0.9 +13.1 -13.2
  Nov 23, 2021 114   Oakland L 73-76 33%     4 - 2 +0.6 +4.0 -3.4
  Nov 24, 2021 235   Fordham L 74-84 62%     4 - 3 -14.0 +0.0 -13.5
  Nov 30, 2021 141   Texas St. L 69-80 51%     4 - 4 -12.2 -6.1 -5.8
  Dec 11, 2021 354   @ Houston Baptist W 84-72 88%    
  Dec 16, 2021 351   Incarnate Word W 85-67 95%    
  Dec 22, 2021 12   @ Texas L 60-80 3%    
  Jan 01, 2022 106   @ North Texas L 63-71 23%    
  Jan 06, 2022 190   Middle Tennessee W 77-74 61%    
  Jan 08, 2022 46   UAB L 71-79 24%    
  Jan 13, 2022 130   @ Western Kentucky L 74-80 28%    
  Jan 15, 2022 126   @ Marshall L 81-88 27%    
  Jan 20, 2022 203   Old Dominion W 70-66 63%    
  Jan 22, 2022 220   Charlotte W 76-72 65%    
  Jan 27, 2022 85   @ Louisiana Tech L 74-84 19%    
  Jan 29, 2022 281   @ Southern Miss W 74-71 60%    
  Feb 03, 2022 278   Texas San Antonio W 84-76 78%    
  Feb 05, 2022 169   UTEP W 74-72 57%    
  Feb 12, 2022 106   North Texas L 66-68 42%    
  Feb 17, 2022 46   @ UAB L 68-82 11%    
  Feb 19, 2022 215   @ Florida International L 72-74 43%    
  Feb 24, 2022 85   Louisiana Tech L 77-81 36%    
  Feb 26, 2022 281   Southern Miss W 77-68 78%    
  Mar 03, 2022 169   @ UTEP L 71-75 36%    
  Mar 05, 2022 278   @ Texas San Antonio W 81-79 59%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 3.3 1.7 0.2 0.0 6.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 3.8 2.6 0.4 0.0 7.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.9 4.1 0.7 0.0 9.2 6th
7th 0.2 2.9 5.5 1.5 0.1 10.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 5.9 2.8 0.2 0.0 10.7 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 5.1 4.1 0.5 0.0 10.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.7 4.9 1.0 0.0 10.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.6 1.6 0.1 8.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.4 1.9 0.2 7.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.3 1.7 0.3 0.0 5.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.2 14th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.4 5.0 8.1 11.6 13.7 14.5 13.8 11.2 8.3 5.2 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 95.5% 0.2    0.1 0.0
15-3 75.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 40.8% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 11.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 13.0% 13.0% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 10.1% 10.1% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.5% 9.6% 9.6% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.4% 14.7% 14.7% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2
13-5 3.0% 9.3% 9.3% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.7
12-6 5.2% 7.3% 7.3% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.8
11-7 8.3% 5.5% 5.5% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 7.8
10-8 11.2% 2.3% 2.3% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.9
9-9 13.8% 1.7% 1.7% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.6
8-10 14.5% 0.9% 0.9% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.3
7-11 13.7% 0.5% 0.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 13.6
6-12 11.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.6
5-13 8.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.1
4-14 5.0% 5.0
3-15 2.4% 2.4
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 97.9 0.0%