Oregon St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -0.1 160
Expected Predictive Rating +1.3 141
Pace 63.6 318
Improvement +2.2 102

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 168 C C C- A C
Defense C 169 B- C- D D+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 270 D 52% 312 -3.8 311
2 Pt. Jumpers 31% 249 C+ 39% 132 -0.7 219
Three Pointers 46% 68 C+ 35% 118 +3.8 61
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 184 C- -0.8 199
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 197
Second Chance D 25.9% 304 A 1.24 11 C 0.32 145
Turnovers C- 17.5% 230
Freethrows A- 0.37 15 B+ 77% 27 A 0.29 7
Total Offense C -0.2 168

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 52% 112 C- 11.8% 228
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 33% 80 B- 3.9% 97
Three Pointers B- 88% 108 B+ 0.2% 38
Total B 63% 50 B- 5.0% 109

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 95 B- 55% 98 +0.8 209
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 280 C+ 37% 127 -1.4 81
Three Pointers 40% 201 B 31% 64 -2.0 96
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.7 294 B -3.2 62
1st FG Attempt B- 0.97 95
Second Chance D+ 32.2% 258 C+ 1.00 144 C- 0.32 218
Turnovers D 14.7% 307
Freethrows C- 0.33 245 D+ 74% 265 D+ 0.24 263
Total Defense C +0.1 169

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 45% 103 C+ 12.9% 94
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 29% 244 C 5.2% 147
Three Pointers D 90% 328 C 0.9% 160
Total C 56% 177 B- 6.7% 90

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.4 288 17.5 226
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 344 0.18 194
Improvement +0.4 #165 +1.8 #87

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 184 160 137
Conference Record 7 - 11 9 - 9 9 - 9
Conference Finish 6 4 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.0 13.0 n/a
.500 or above 65% 77% 12%
.500 or above in Conference 62% 75% 5%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Pepperdine (Home) - 81.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 3
Quad 21 - 52 - 8
Quad 39 - 611 - 13
Quad 45 - 316 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 132 North Dakota St. W 67 - 65 55% +1  57% 1 - 0 C +1 D -6 C F C+ B+ +7 B A F
 Fri, Nov 7 106 Illinois-Chicago W 76 - 73 45% +3  64% 2 - 0 C+ +4 B- +4 A A+ F C -0 D A B
 Wed, Nov 12 138 North Texas W 66 - 64 56% -6  4% 3 - 0 C +0 C+ +2 D+ D A+ C -1 F+ C A
 Mon, Nov 17 91 @Oregon L 75 - 87 19% -7  1% 3 - 1 C- -3 B +6 C B+ C- F+ -10 D D+ D
 Fri, Nov 21 298 Evansville L 69 - 73 77% -4  11% 3 - 2 D- -12 D- -6 F A+ D D -5 B- F D+
 Sat, Nov 22 249 Iona L 84 - 91 2OT 68% +5  84% 3 - 3 D- -12 D- -8 C- F D+ C- -3 C+ C+ D
 Mon, Nov 24 182 Massachusetts L 65 - 73 55% -2  18% 3 - 4 D -9 F+ -9 B- F F C -1 A- F D
 Sat, Nov 29 139 California Baptist L 69 - 75 57% -2  37% 3 - 5 D+ -8 C- -2 B+ D- D- D -6 F+ A+ F
 Wed, Dec 3 229 Vermont W 80 - 58 74% +16  99% 4 - 5 A- +15 A- +11 A+ D+ D+ A- +7 A- B+ D+
 Sat, Dec 6 273 Southern Utah W 81 - 70 81% +11  99% 5 - 5 C +1 C +1 B+ D+ F C+ +1 B F C-
 Sat, Dec 13 147 Montana St. W 67 - 57 59% +4  92% 6 - 5 B- +7 D+ -3 F A+ D+ A+ +12 A+ F+ B-
 Wed, Dec 17 114 Sam Houston St. L 75 - 85 49% -8  1% 6 - 6 D -10 D -5 C F+ B D+ -4 C C- C
 Sun, Dec 21 63 @Arizona St. W 78 - 75 13% -1  42% 7 - 6 A- +15 A +11 A F B+ B +4 A- A+ D+
 Sun, Dec 28 42 Santa Clara L 64 - 102 19% -22  0% 7 - 7 0 - 1 F -29 D- -8 C- D+ D F -22 F A D
 Tue, Dec 30 119 San Francisco W 70 - 62 50% +3  58% 8 - 7 1 - 1 B- +8 C +1 A+ F D- A- +8 A+ B D+
 Fri, Jan 2 127 @Pacific L 53 - 84 29% -17  3% 8 - 8 1 - 2 F -26 F -12 F B F F -17 F C- F+
 Sun, Jan 4 122 @Washington St. L 67 - 81 28% -11  0% 8 - 9 1 - 3 D -8 D+ -3 C- B- C- D -6 C+ F C+
 Thu, Jan 8 126 Seattle W 68 - 55 51% +2  51% 9 - 9 2 - 3 B+ +13 C +1 F A+ C A+ +12 A+ A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 10 219 @Portland L 76 - 82 51% +2  60% 9 - 10 2 - 4 D+ -6 B +6 C+ D- A- F -13 C+ D- F
 Wed, Jan 14 153 Loyola Marymount W 76 - 70 61% +1  52% 10 - 10 3 - 4 C+ +3 C +1 F A B+ B- +2 A+ F B+
 Sat, Jan 17 127 Pacific L 64 - 81 52% -6  5% 10 - 11 3 - 5 F+ -18 D+ -3 D+ B- C+ F -17 F B- F
 Wed, Jan 21 41 @St. Mary's L 51 - 81 8% -14  0% 10 - 12 3 - 6 D- -14 F+ -10 F F B- D- -8 C+ D- F
 Wed, Jan 28 153 @Loyola Marymount W 72 - 69 38% +0  47% 11 - 12 4 - 6 B- +6 B- +4 A B F C+ +2 C C+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 220 @San Diego W 78 - 76 OT 51% -1  35% 12 - 12 5 - 6 C+ +2 F+ -10 D F C- A+ +11 B- B- A+
 Wed, Feb 4 122 Washington St. W 74 - 64 50% -4  19% 13 - 12 6 - 6 B +10 C- -1 F B A+ A+ +11 A+ C F
 Sat, Feb 7 10 Gonzaga L 61 - 81 7% -5  16% 13 - 13 6 - 7 C- -4 A- +10 A A A F -18 C F F
 Thu, Feb 12 119 @San Francisco W 90 - 63 28% +17  99% 14 - 13 7 - 7 A+ +33 A+ +30 A+ A+ D+ A- +7 A+ C- D
 Sun, Feb 15 126 @Seattle L 50 - 60 29% -11  0% 14 - 14 7 - 8 C- -4 F -11 D- D+ C B+ +6 A+ F C+
 Sat, Feb 21 276 Pepperdine W 76 - 66 82%
 Wed, Feb 25 220 San Diego W 77 - 71 73%
 Sat, Feb 28 42 @Santa Clara L 68 - 83 8%
Totals 16 - 15 9 - 9 +0 C +0 F C- C C +0 C+ B+ A



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D C+ C+ C- 36% 31% 46% C C D A C C- A- B+ A C B- C+ B B 42% 17% 40% D+ B- D+ C+ C- D C- D+ D+
1.08 52% 39% 35% -1 0 1.01 26% 1.2 .32 18% .37 77% .29 1.08 55% 37% 31% -3 +1 0.97 32% 1.0 .32 15% .33 74% .27
Nov
3		 North Dakota St. D D+ A+ B- C+ 29% 17% 54% C C F F F C+ A+ C- A+ B+ C F A+ A- 44% 15% 41% F B B A+ A F A A A
1.02 58% 57% 36% +5 0 1.12 17% 0.6 .10 18% .48 73% .35 0.99 58% 50% 23% -5 +1 0.94 28% 0.7 .21 11% .19 64% .12
Nov
7		 Illinois-Chicago B- B+ A+ B A 27% 20% 54% D+ A A+ B A+ F A+ B+ A+ C D+ F C+ D 31% 10% 58% D D A- A A B F+ F F
1.10 64% 50% 36% +6 -1 1.12 54% 1.1 .57 30% .52 80% .42 1.06 60% 60% 32% +1 +1 1.06 30% 0.8 .24 20% .38 86% .33
Nov
12		 North Texas C+ F A+ B- D- 37% 9% 53% A- D+ F A+ D A+ A+ A+ A+ C B- F D+ D- 56% 7% 37% F F+ F+ A- C A B- C+ B-
1.05 31% 50% 35% -8 +1 0.88 20% 1.3 .27 14% .52 82% .43 1.02 52% 67% 33% -2 +3 1.05 40% 0.8 .33 22% .33 69% .22
Nov
17		 Oregon B C- B- D D+ 36% 15% 49% A- C C- A+ B+ C- A+ A A+ F+ B C F D 45% 11% 45% D- D F B+ D+ D F B+ F
1.10 53% 43% 30% -4 +1 0.96 27% 1.2 .33 18% .44 84% .37 1.28 52% 40% 43% +4 +2 1.13 44% 1.0 .44 15% .67 69% .46
Nov
21		 Evansville D- F A+ F F 41% 17% 41% B F B+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ D F+ A+ B B- 31% 29% 40% C B- F B+ F D+ F F F
1.02 42% 63% 16% -14 +1 0.76 39% 1.5 .58 19% .42 83% .35 1.08 69% 25% 29% -3 -2 0.93 38% 0.9 .34 18% .63 80% .50
Nov
22		 Iona D- C+ F C+ D+ 47% 16% 36% B C- F+ F F D+ A+ F A+ C- A+ F F B- 43% 10% 48% F C+ F A+ C+ D D- F F
0.99 62% 11% 35% -2 +1 1.00 27% 0.7 .18 18% .51 58% .30 1.07 37% 50% 40% -4 +2 0.98 34% 0.7 .23 15% .30 82% .25
Nov
24		 Massachusetts F+ A+ D- C B 22% 20% 59% D- B- D+ F F F D- C- D- C C+ C- A+ A 50% 20% 30% D- A- F C F D B- A B+
0.98 90% 33% 33% +5 -1 1.11 24% 0.3 .07 24% .34 71% .24 1.10 56% 40% 20% -7 +1 0.90 41% 1.2 .49 17% .31 59% .18
Nov
29		 California Baptist C- F F A+ B+ 38% 15% 47% B- B+ F B- D- D- C- A+ B+ D D- A+ F F+ 54% 17% 29% D F+ A+ A- A+ F D+ A C
1.03 44% 29% 45% +1 +1 1.06 14% 1.0 .14 18% .31 88% .27 1.11 61% 22% 40% +1 +2 1.08 27% 0.7 .19 10% .33 65% .22
Dec
3		 Vermont A- B- A A+ A+ 22% 22% 56% D+ A+ D+ C- D+ D+ F A+ C- A- C- A+ C+ B+ 33% 29% 38% A A- F A+ B+ D+ B- D C+
1.29 64% 45% 50% +16 -1 1.32 23% 1.0 .23 14% .24 92% .23 0.93 63% 21% 33% -4 -1 0.92 34% 0.5 .16 14% .24 77% .19
Dec
6		 Southern Utah C A D- A+ A- 40% 24% 36% C- B+ F+ A- D+ F A A+ A+ C+ B F A+ A 57% 8% 35% F B B F F C- C A- B-
1.15 70% 33% 44% +9 0 1.20 24% 1.1 .28 18% .33 79% .26 1.00 52% 50% 22% -9 +3 0.90 26% 1.7 .43 18% .24 64% .16
Dec
13		 Montana St. D+ D B- F F 40% 18% 43% C F F A+ A+ D+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ F A A+ 37% 18% 45% F+ A+ C F F+ B- D+ A+ B-
1.04 50% 43% 18% -13 +1 0.78 18% 2.8 .50 17% .53 82% .43 0.89 28% 56% 27% -12 0 0.78 28% 1.4 .38 17% .28 60% .17
Dec
17		 Sam Houston St. D A+ F F C 24% 15% 62% C- C F A+ F+ B D+ B C D+ B- B- C- B- 46% 12% 42% F+ C D- B- C- C F D+ F
1.01 92% 25% 26% -1 0 1.00 11% 1.8 .20 15% .30 74% .22 1.14 54% 33% 36% -1 +2 1.04 41% 0.9 .38 17% .37 74% .28
Dec
21		 Arizona St. A C+ A+ A- A 34% 20% 46% C+ A A- F F B+ A A+ A+ B B+ F A+ A 45% 20% 35% D+ A- A A A+ D+ D- F F
1.17 59% 50% 39% +6 0 1.14 40% 0.5 .20 18% .38 86% .33 1.12 52% 60% 22% -5 +1 0.94 24% 1.0 .24 13% .42 88% .36
Dec
28		 Santa Clara D- F F A+ C 25% 20% 55% F+ C- D C D+ D A+ F A F F C F F 29% 18% 53% B+ F B- A A D F B- F
0.93 36% 22% 42% -2 -1 0.95 26% 1.0 .26 23% .51 63% .32 1.49 93% 44% 58% +30 0 1.61 35% 0.9 .30 13% .40 71% .29
Dec
30		 San Francisco C F A+ A+ A+ 33% 18% 49% C+ A+ F A+ F D- C A+ B+ A- B F A+ A+ 42% 20% 38% C A+ A+ F B D+ F+ C- F+
1.11 40% 75% 45% +9 0 1.20 5% 3.0 .14 16% .26 93% .25 0.98 53% 56% 12% -11 0 0.80 22% 1.4 .30 14% .41 73% .30
Jan
2		 Pacific F F F C F 28% 28% 45% C- F D A+ B F F F+ F F D+ D+ F F 33% 20% 47% C+ F C- C C- F+ F C+ F
0.85 31% 23% 33% -12 -2 0.74 20% 1.6 .31 19% .22 64% .14 1.35 60% 44% 52% +15 0 1.31 36% 1.0 .36 16% .46 75% .34
Jan
4		 Washington St. D+ F A C D+ 33% 13% 53% B C- D- A+ B- C- A F B D F+ F A- B- 39% 17% 43% C C+ F D F C+ F C+ F
1.03 47% 50% 33% -3 +1 0.98 20% 1.7 .33 15% .38 67% .25 1.24 72% 50% 30% +5 0 1.13 42% 1.1 .45 18% .41 73% .30
Jan
8		 Seattle C F F F F 43% 18% 39% B- F A A+ A+ C A+ A A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 53% 4% 43% F A+ F A+ A+ D+ F A+ D+
1.00 32% 13% 24% -22 +1 0.59 41% 1.7 .68 21% .54 79% .43 0.81 39% 50% 26% -15 +3 0.79 33% 0.1 .04 16% .42 54% .23
Jan
10		 Portland B C A+ C- B- 37% 24% 39% D+ C+ F B D- A- A+ B- A+ F D+ A+ B B- 40% 17% 43% C- C+ F+ C D- F F F F
1.15 59% 45% 33% +2 -1 1.04 22% 1.2 .26 14% .58 76% .44 1.24 63% 25% 30% -3 +1 0.98 35% 1.2 .42 11% .58 88% .51
Jan
14		 Loyola Marymount C F B+ F F 36% 19% 45% B- F C A+ A B+ A+ A+ A+ B- C- A+ A A+ 39% 28% 33% C A+ D- F F B+ F F F
1.08 35% 44% 24% -14 0 0.74 31% 1.5 .46 13% .51 94% .47 1.00 61% 8% 27% -11 -1 0.78 32% 1.5 .47 21% .45 96% .43
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
17		 Pacific D+ D- A+ F D+ 29% 33% 38% D D+ D- A+ B- C+ A+ A+ A+ F D- A+ F D- 55% 10% 35% F F B C B- F C A+ B-
1.03 50% 50% 25% -3 -2 0.90 19% 1.6 .30 15% .51 81% .42 1.31 64% 20% 44% +7 +3 1.22 31% 1.0 .31 11% .27 67% .18
Jan
21		 St. Mary's F+ F A F F 40% 26% 33% C F D+ F F B- A+ B+ A+ D- C B- B- B 48% 13% 39% F+ C+ D+ D- D- F F A D
0.81 35% 45% 14% -17 -1 0.67 21% 0.5 .10 14% .50 78% .39 1.29 59% 33% 33% 0 +2 1.04 39% 1.2 .48 11% .41 74% .30
Jan
28		 Loyola Marymount B- C- A+ A- A+ 33% 27% 40% C- A C A B F C- B C C+ F+ F A- D+ 25% 35% 40% A C B D+ C+ F A- B A-
1.09 53% 58% 39% +7 -1 1.13 32% 1.2 .39 24% .28 79% .22 1.05 69% 50% 29% +4 -3 1.04 24% 1.1 .26 14% .19 64% .12
Jan
31		 San Diego F+ F C+ B+ D 44% 13% 44% B- D F F F C- A- D- B- A+ C F+ A B 34% 22% 43% C B- C A- B- A+ B C B
0.95 46% 43% 38% -2 +1 1.00 21% 0.9 .18 20% .41 67% .27 0.93 60% 46% 28% -1 -1 0.98 30% 0.8 .25 24% .19 75% .15
Feb
4		 Washington St. C- F+ F F F 53% 20% 27% B+ F B B- B A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 32% 6% 62% D- A+ A+ F C F F D+ F
1.09 48% 27% 20% -13 +1 0.78 32% 1.2 .37 7% .43 74% .32 0.95 33% 0% 28% -16 +1 0.72 21% 1.4 .28 13% .44 77% .34
Feb
7		 Gonzaga A- F B A+ A+ 28% 31% 41% C- A D+ A+ A A A+ B- A F C- F+ B+ C+ 52% 28% 20% D C D+ F F F C- F F+
1.10 36% 42% 50% +5 -2 1.08 20% 1.6 .32 16% .39 72% .28 1.46 65% 50% 30% +6 0 1.14 38% 1.8 .69 4% .30 88% .26
Feb
12		 San Francisco A+ A F A+ A+ 37% 21% 42% C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A- B A+ A+ A+ 39% 16% 45% C- A+ F+ B C- D C B C+
1.48 69% 22% 56% +14 0 1.30 42% 1.9 .79 15% .52 89% .46 1.04 53% 25% 23% -12 +1 0.80 38% 1.0 .38 13% .34 67% .23
Feb
15		 Seattle F C- F D- F+ 33% 20% 47% C- D- F A+ D+ C F F F B+ A+ A C- A+ 34% 27% 39% A A+ D+ F F C+ F A D-
0.78 53% 11% 29% -11 0 0.80 18% 1.3 .24 20% .22 55% .12 0.94 40% 25% 35% -9 -1 0.82 28% 1.2 .33 19% .40 62% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 5.0 50.4 4.9 60.3 4th
5th 0.2 16.6 6.5 23.3 5th
6th 1.4 11.4 0.1 12.9 6th
7th 2.3 0.0 2.3 7th
8th 1.0 1.0 8th
9th 0.2 0.2 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 5.0 33.1 57.0 4.9 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 4.9% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 4.9
9-9 57.0% 0.1% 0.1% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 56.9
8-10 33.1% 0.0% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 33.1
7-11 5.0% 5.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 13.0 99.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.1%
Lose Out 2.5%