Oregon St.
Pac-12
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.4#149
Expected Predictive Rating-11.0#315
Pace64.5#295
Improvement+0.3#157

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#148
First Shot+0.8#164
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#166
Layup/Dunks+4.5#50
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#51
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#309
Freethrows-1.6#273
Improvement+1.7#52

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#154
First Shot+2.3#105
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#285
Layups/Dunks+0.4#163
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#36
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#228
Freethrows+0.5#160
Improvement-1.4#290
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.1 15.8
.500 or above 1.0% 1.2% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 3.7% 3.9% 1.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 40.6% 39.3% 49.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacramento St. (Home) - 87.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b0 - 41 - 10
Quad 22 - 73 - 16
Quad 33 - 55 - 21
Quad 44 - 29 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 260   Portland St. W 73-64 82%     1 - 0 +0.9 -5.4 +5.8
  Nov 12, 2021 58   @ Iowa St. L 50-60 18%     1 - 1 +1.1 -16.6 +18.0
  Nov 15, 2021 138   @ Tulsa L 58-64 36%     1 - 2 -1.0 -4.6 +2.8
  Nov 18, 2021 243   Samford L 77-78 80%     1 - 3 -8.3 -2.8 -5.5
  Nov 21, 2021 152   Princeton L 80-81 63%     1 - 4 -3.0 +10.2 -13.3
  Nov 26, 2021 51   Wake Forest L 77-80 OT 24%     1 - 5 +6.0 -1.1 +7.4
  Nov 27, 2021 92   Penn St. L 45-60 34%     1 - 6 -9.3 -12.9 -0.2
  Dec 02, 2021 121   @ California L 61-73 33%     1 - 7 0 - 1 -6.0 -0.9 -6.2
  Dec 05, 2021 5   Arizona L 65-90 10%     1 - 8 0 - 2 -9.4 -3.4 -4.6
  Dec 11, 2021 295   Sacramento St. W 73-61 87%    
  Dec 14, 2021 211   UC Davis W 72-66 73%    
  Dec 18, 2021 76   Texas A&M L 63-65 42%    
  Dec 21, 2021 230   Nicholls St. W 74-66 77%    
  Dec 30, 2021 66   Utah L 67-70 39%    
  Jan 01, 2022 81   Colorado L 66-68 42%    
  Jan 08, 2022 53   Oregon L 65-69 35%    
  Jan 13, 2022 14   @ USC L 58-75 6%    
  Jan 15, 2022 9   @ UCLA L 60-79 4%    
  Jan 20, 2022 148   Washington W 71-68 62%    
  Jan 22, 2022 49   Washington St. L 64-69 33%    
  Jan 29, 2022 53   @ Oregon L 62-72 17%    
  Feb 03, 2022 66   @ Utah L 64-73 21%    
  Feb 05, 2022 81   @ Colorado L 63-71 23%    
  Feb 09, 2022 121   California W 64-63 55%    
  Feb 12, 2022 95   Stanford L 68-69 47%    
  Feb 17, 2022 5   @ Arizona L 63-83 4%    
  Feb 19, 2022 105   @ Arizona St. L 64-70 30%    
  Feb 24, 2022 14   USC L 61-72 16%    
  Feb 26, 2022 9   UCLA L 63-76 13%    
  Mar 03, 2022 49   @ Washington St. L 61-72 17%    
  Mar 05, 2022 148   @ Washington L 68-71 40%    
Projected Record 9 - 22 5 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 4th
5th 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.0 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 1.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 2.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.1 2.4 0.4 0.0 8.5 8th
9th 0.2 1.8 5.6 4.1 0.7 0.0 12.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.7 6.9 5.4 1.2 0.1 16.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.9 4.4 8.7 6.2 1.6 0.1 22.0 11th
12th 1.0 3.8 7.7 8.9 5.0 1.3 0.1 27.9 12th
Total 1.0 3.9 8.7 13.6 16.6 16.2 14.3 11.0 6.9 4.0 2.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6 13.0% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0
14-6 0.0% 34.8% 34.8% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 34.8%
13-7 0.1% 1.6% 1.6% 11.0 0.0 0.1 1.6%
12-8 0.4% 3.6% 2.6% 1.0% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1%
11-9 0.9% 0.6% 0.6% 12.0 0.0 0.9
10-10 2.2% 0.5% 0.5% 13.4 0.0 0.0 2.2
9-11 4.0% 0.2% 0.2% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0
8-12 6.9% 0.3% 0.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 6.9
7-13 11.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.0
6-14 14.3% 14.3
5-15 16.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.2
4-16 16.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.6
3-17 13.6% 13.6
2-18 8.7% 8.7
1-19 3.9% 3.9
0-20 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%