Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.9#120
Expected Predictive Rating+4.6#108
Pace67.7#228
Improvement+0.4#153

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#93
First Shot+2.0#120
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#96
Layup/Dunks-0.2#178
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#173
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#133
Freethrows+0.7#137
Improvement-1.0#263

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#178
First Shot-3.7#294
After Offensive Rebounds+3.1#23
Layups/Dunks-0.6#197
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#272
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#212
Freethrows-1.3#263
Improvement+1.4#79
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% 6.7% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 12.2 12.9
.500 or above 75.9% 77.9% 50.3%
.500 or above in Conference 69.0% 70.2% 54.3%
Conference Champion 7.0% 7.3% 3.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 1.5% 3.6%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round6.4% 6.7% 2.8%
Second Round0.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Albany (Home) - 92.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 22 - 52 - 7
Quad 38 - 510 - 12
Quad 47 - 117 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 150 Boston College W 83-78 OT 70%     1 - 0 +2.5 +1.1 +0.8
  Sat, Nov 8 174 College of Charleston W 94-77 64%     2 - 0 +16.1 +23.0 -6.3
  Sun, Nov 9 110 @Liberty L 68-88 35%     2 - 1 -13.2 -0.4 -13.5
  Thu, Nov 20 133 Pacific W 82-59 65%     3 - 1 +22.0 +15.3 +8.4
  Mon, Nov 24 135 Loyola Marymount W 76-65 55%     4 - 1 +12.6 +13.0 +0.5
  Tue, Nov 25 73 George Mason L 65-74 32%     4 - 2 -1.3 +7.5 -10.4
  Sun, Nov 30 105 St. Bonaventure L 65-70 57%     4 - 3 -4.0 -2.1 -2.2
  Sun, Dec 7 179 @Florida Gulf Coast W 81-76 55%     5 - 3 +6.5 +7.7 -1.1
  Sat, Dec 13 327 Albany W 83-67 93%    
  Fri, Dec 19 37 @St. Mary's L 65-77 13%    
  Wed, Dec 31 282 Texas San Antonio W 81-69 87%    
  Sun, Jan 4 183 @Tulane W 77-75 56%    
  Wed, Jan 7 109 @UAB L 74-78 35%    
  Sun, Jan 11 66 Memphis L 74-77 41%    
  Thu, Jan 15 89 Wichita St. W 74-73 50%    
  Sun, Jan 18 164 @Temple W 78-77 51%    
  Wed, Jan 21 183 Tulane W 80-72 75%    
  Sun, Jan 25 84 @South Florida L 76-83 27%    
  Thu, Jan 29 66 @Memphis L 71-80 22%    
  Sun, Feb 1 287 East Carolina W 81-68 87%    
  Wed, Feb 4 85 Tulsa L 76-77 48%    
  Wed, Feb 11 211 @Rice W 74-71 61%    
  Sun, Feb 15 84 South Florida L 79-80 47%    
  Wed, Feb 18 282 @Texas San Antonio W 78-72 71%    
  Sun, Feb 22 146 @North Texas L 68-69 47%    
  Wed, Feb 25 164 Temple W 80-74 71%    
  Sun, Mar 1 196 Charlotte W 75-67 77%    
  Sat, Mar 7 89 @Wichita St. L 70-76 29%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.5 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 7.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.9 2.0 0.5 0.0 9.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.9 2.3 0.3 0.0 10.7 3rd
4th 0.2 2.6 5.9 2.8 0.3 11.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.7 6.1 3.9 0.4 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 4.9 4.6 0.7 0.0 11.4 6th
7th 0.6 3.6 5.0 1.2 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.4 4.6 1.7 0.1 8.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 3.5 1.8 0.1 0.0 7.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 2.6 1.8 0.2 5.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.4 0.3 0.0 3.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.6 3.0 5.9 8.5 11.3 13.7 14.8 13.7 10.8 7.7 4.8 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 97.4% 0.9    0.8 0.1
15-3 80.6% 2.0    1.3 0.6 0.0
14-4 52.4% 2.5    1.0 1.1 0.3 0.0
13-5 15.2% 1.2    0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.0% 7.0 3.6 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 29.5% 21.8% 7.7% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 9.8%
16-2 0.9% 30.0% 28.9% 1.1% 11.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 1.6%
15-3 2.4% 21.7% 21.5% 0.3% 11.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.9 0.4%
14-4 4.8% 18.6% 18.6% 0.1% 11.8 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 3.9 0.1%
13-5 7.7% 14.5% 14.5% 12.0 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.6
12-6 10.8% 10.6% 10.6% 12.3 0.1 0.7 0.4 0.0 9.6
11-7 13.7% 7.4% 7.4% 12.5 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.1 12.6
10-8 14.8% 4.6% 4.6% 12.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 14.2
9-9 13.7% 2.6% 2.6% 13.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 13.3
8-10 11.3% 1.7% 1.7% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 11.1
7-11 8.5% 0.9% 0.9% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.4
6-12 5.9% 1.2% 1.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 5.8
5-13 3.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.0
4-14 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.6
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.3 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 93.6 0.0%