Wichita St.
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.3#58
Expected Predictive Rating+14.2#29
Pace68.6#202
Improvement-0.2#201

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#133
First Shot-2.8#260
After Offensive Rebound+3.9#11
Layup/Dunks-3.4#298
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#166
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#173
Freethrows+0.7#138
Improvement-0.4#235

Defense
Total Defense+7.2#27
First Shot+4.3#59
After Offensive Rebounds+2.9#31
Layups/Dunks-0.1#200
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#172
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#54
Freethrows+0.4#169
Improvement+0.2#157
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 1.9% 4.1% 1.1%
Top 6 Seed 5.2% 10.3% 3.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 34.4% 50.8% 28.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 29.6% 46.0% 24.0%
Average Seed 9.2 8.8 9.5
.500 or above 94.7% 98.5% 93.3%
.500 or above in Conference 74.7% 81.6% 72.2%
Conference Champion 5.6% 7.6% 4.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 1.0% 1.2%
First Four8.5% 10.4% 7.8%
First Round30.0% 45.2% 24.6%
Second Round13.4% 21.1% 10.6%
Sweet Sixteen4.3% 6.7% 3.4%
Elite Eight1.3% 2.1% 1.1%
Final Four0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oklahoma St. (Away) - 26.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 22 - 6
Quad 23 - 25 - 9
Quad 38 - 214 - 11
Quad 47 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 150   Jacksonville St. W 60-57 82%     1 - 0 +1.4 -6.4 +8.1
  Nov 13, 2021 157   South Alabama W 64-58 84%     2 - 0 +3.7 -7.3 +11.1
  Nov 16, 2021 180   Tarleton St. W 65-51 87%     3 - 0 +10.2 -4.3 +15.3
  Nov 19, 2021 6   Arizona L 78-82 OT 19%     3 - 1 +13.5 -1.6 +15.9
  Nov 21, 2021 148   UNLV W 74-73 74%     4 - 1 +2.4 +1.8 +0.6
  Nov 26, 2021 127   @ Missouri W 61-55 60%     5 - 1 +11.6 -6.0 +17.7
  Dec 01, 2021 34   @ Oklahoma St. L 64-70 26%    
  Dec 05, 2021 101   Kansas St. W 66-60 73%    
  Dec 11, 2021 257   Norfolk St. W 78-61 94%    
  Dec 14, 2021 326   Alcorn St. W 77-56 98%    
  Dec 18, 2021 115   North Texas W 64-56 76%    
  Dec 22, 2021 266   Prairie View W 79-62 94%    
  Dec 29, 2021 177   @ East Carolina W 71-65 70%    
  Jan 01, 2022 22   Memphis L 68-70 42%    
  Jan 08, 2022 7   @ Houston L 57-69 14%    
  Jan 12, 2022 162   Tulane W 70-59 84%    
  Jan 16, 2022 57   Cincinnati W 66-63 61%    
  Jan 19, 2022 151   @ Temple W 69-65 64%    
  Jan 23, 2022 94   @ SMU L 69-70 49%    
  Jan 26, 2022 66   Central Florida W 68-64 63%    
  Jan 29, 2022 162   @ Tulane W 67-62 67%    
  Feb 01, 2022 135   Tulsa W 70-61 80%    
  Feb 05, 2022 94   SMU W 73-67 70%    
  Feb 08, 2022 66   @ Central Florida L 65-67 42%    
  Feb 12, 2022 207   South Florida W 64-51 88%    
  Feb 17, 2022 57   @ Cincinnati L 63-66 40%    
  Feb 20, 2022 7   Houston L 60-66 29%    
  Feb 27, 2022 22   @ Memphis L 65-73 23%    
  Mar 02, 2022 135   @ Tulsa W 67-64 60%    
  Mar 05, 2022 177   East Carolina W 74-62 85%    
Projected Record 20 - 10 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.0 1.2 0.4 0.1 5.6 1st
2nd 0.6 2.1 4.6 4.2 1.5 0.2 13.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 5.3 7.2 4.1 0.9 0.0 19.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 5.9 6.4 2.7 0.3 17.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 5.6 5.7 1.7 0.1 15.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 5.0 4.4 1.2 0.1 12.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 3.0 3.0 0.7 0.0 7.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.3 2.2 2.1 0.5 0.1 5.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.2 4.5 6.8 10.4 12.7 14.3 14.0 12.2 9.5 6.5 3.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4
16-2 87.1% 1.2    0.9 0.3
15-3 56.5% 2.0    1.1 0.8 0.1
14-4 22.6% 1.5    0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0
13-5 4.9% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.6% 5.6 3.1 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 100.0% 28.2% 71.8% 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.3% 98.5% 26.5% 72.0% 4.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.9%
15-3 3.6% 97.8% 24.4% 73.4% 6.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 97.1%
14-4 6.5% 92.2% 17.4% 74.8% 8.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.5 90.5%
13-5 9.5% 75.1% 12.9% 62.2% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.6 1.6 1.6 0.4 0.0 2.4 71.4%
12-6 12.2% 54.7% 8.5% 46.2% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.8 2.3 0.9 0.0 5.5 50.5%
11-7 14.0% 37.3% 6.1% 31.2% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.1 1.4 0.1 8.8 33.2%
10-8 14.3% 17.9% 3.2% 14.7% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.0 0.1 11.8 15.2%
9-9 12.7% 7.3% 2.0% 5.4% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 11.8 5.5%
8-10 10.4% 3.5% 2.5% 1.0% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 10.0 1.0%
7-11 6.8% 1.5% 1.5% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7
6-12 4.5% 1.1% 1.1% 12.6 0.0 0.0 4.4
5-13 2.2% 0.5% 0.5% 13.0 0.0 2.2
4-14 1.0% 1.0
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 34.4% 6.7% 27.6% 9.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.5 2.9 4.8 5.8 8.1 4.4 0.4 0.0 65.6 29.6%